Professional Documents
Culture Documents
July 2008
Confidential Draft
Executive Summary
• Reality remains a critical growth area for SPE and requires further investment
– Sector offers attractive program economics and continues to grow
– Through 2waytraffic, SPE has secured strong international distribution
– Additional U.S. product is needed to fill 2way’s distribution capacity
– U.S. formats of 2way’s product will also create new value
2
Strategic Rationale
• History of success with shows like “Who Wants to be a Millionaire?” and “Wife Swap”
• Now focusing on reinvigorating Sony brands (e.g., “Million Dollar Pyramid” and “Newlywed Game”) and launching new shows with global potential (e.g., “Take the
• Reality producers / production companies are quickly being locked-up (Lisa Levenson, Tom Forman, Ryan Seacrest)
• Davies has one of the best track records amongst reality producers; may be acquired by another studio if not by SPT
Market Factors / Timing
3
Financial Performance
• FY09 EBIT impact on SPE will be better than SPE budget, due largely to timing
– $118K including P10, ($1.0M) before P10 vs. budget of ($3MM)
– Later close of acquisition results in less deal amortization during the fiscal year
– Earlier quarters (pre-acquisition) included losses; December and March quarters expected to be more profitable
• We believe Davies will still generate successful new shows and that the deal will remain NPV
Deal NPV positive under the current structure
4
Deal Structure
P&L FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 P&L FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
EBITDA $1.9 $4.3 $9.6 $15.5 $21.6 EBITDA $2.1 $3.2 $4.5 $5.4 $5.8
Amortization ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) Amortization ($2.0) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($3.2)
EBIT ($2.5) ($0.1) $5.2 $11.1 $17.3 EBIT (1) $0.1 ($1.2) $0.1 $1.0 $2.6
Incremental EBITDA $1.4 $1.4 $3.7 $5.8 $6.7 Incremental EBITDA $2.1 $1.7 $3.8 $4.9 $5.4
Amortization ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) Amortization ($2.0) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($3.2)
Incremental EBIT ($3.0) ($3.0) ($0.7) $1.5 $2.4 Incremental EBIT $0.1 ($2.7) ($0.6) $0.6 $2.2
Notes: Difference between total EBITDA and Incremental EBITDA is the portion of shows we own under Davies’ current deal
Old Cases assume ER is owned for all of FY09 while New Cases assume ER is owned as of October 1, 2008
Assumes a risk adjusted discount rate of 16.5% for all NPV calculations
(1) If ER secures 5% chargebacks, EBIT in FY10 - FY13 would be ($0.1), $1.9, $3.6 and $6.1, NPV would be $19.1MM
(2) Includes exit at 11x multiple
(3) Includes $25MM up-front, incremental EBITDA less earn-outs, plus exit at 11x 6
Cumulative Incremental EBITDA and NPV: New and Prior Base Case
Expenses
ER Overhead ($40.8) ($18.4) ($10.5) ($28.9) ($40.6) ($18.5) ($10.3) ($28.7)
Incremental Investment ($54.7) ($24.2) ($14.4) ($38.6) ($20.2) ($9.1) ($5.2) ($14.3)
Sub-Total ($95.5) ($42.6) ($24.9) ($67.5) ($60.9) ($27.6) ($15.5) ($43.1)
Deal Consideration N/A ($25.0) N/A ($25.0) N/A ($25.0) N/A ($25.0)
Total Acquired EBITDA $52.8 ($4.0) $16.1 $12.2 $45.0 ($6.2) $12.9 $6.7
Slate • Davies’ “New” slate, but eliminate chargebacks • Begins w/ Davies’ updated slate
on new shows – Smaller shows (WSOPC, Chain Reaction, Grand
Slam) no longer on-air
• New shows including 2 modest format successes
– New shows added (Newlywed, Pyramid)
in the next 3-5 years
– Format profits on new/library shows more modest
• P10 on GSN, declining format profits, no
compared with format profits on network shows in
syndication and no local language production prior model
– P10 moved to GSN from CBS, formats/ syndication
fees and local language production reduced
Incremental • Reduced to $1.2MM - $2.2MM of investment in • Reduced investment from prior estimate of
Investment HC and development $3MM - $6MM due to:
– Ability to leverage 2way for acquisition and
distribution
– Davies now has more HC in place
Interactive • $1.9MM (CY07 actuals) growing at 5% • Increased from $1.5MM growing @ 5% based on
actual performance
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Incremental SPT Investment New Case vs. Prior
• Incremental investment was modeled prior to • New incremental investment assumes ability to
2waytraffic acquisition leverage 2waytraffic
• $300K-$2.4M of headcount costs • Current ER and 2way working relationship is
– 2-3 Acquisition headcount already bearing fruit with the development of
– 1-3 Development headcount “Celebrity Mr. and Mrs. “
– 1-3 Administration headcount • Reduced headcount costs to $700K-$1.7M
– An additional 5 Embassy Row headcount – 2 Acquisition headcount
converted to full-time employees – 1 Development headcount
• $2.0-$2.5M of self-funded pilot costs – 1-2 Administration headcount
• $0.0-$2.0M for development and acquisitions – 1 Finance headcount
– 2 additional Embassy Row headcount
converted to a full-time employees
• $0 in self-funded pilot costs
• $500K for development and acquisitions
Incremental Investment (Old) Incremental Investment (New)
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
($2.8) ($4.7) ($5.2) ($5.9) ($6.0) ($1.2) ($1.9) ($2.0) ($2.1) ($2.2)
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Timing and Next Steps
July 2008
S M T W T F S
Date 1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Late July • Lynton / Hendler review
27 28 29 30 31
August 2008
S M T W T F S
1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Early August • Formalize / sign term sheet 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
17 18 19 20 21 22 23
24 25 26 27 28 29 30
31
September 2008
S M T W T F S
• Finalize long-form confirmatory diligence (legal, tax, 1 2 3 4 5 6
End Sept financial) 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
• Final approval from SCA 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30
October 2008
S M T W T F S
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APPENDIX
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Comparable Transaction Analysis
Transaction Value /
Date Target Acquiror Transaction Value Last FY Sales Last FY EBITDA Last FY EBIT
European Deals
07-Dec 12 Yard Productions ITV £35 3.0x 14.8x na
07-Sep Metronome Film & Television Schibsted £31.4 0.4x na 18.8x
07-Sep Twenty Twenty Productions Shed Media £18.0 1.9x 8.6x na
07-Aug Sparrowhawk Media NBC Universal £175.0 1.8x na na
07-Aug Objective Productions All3Media £50.0 2.2x na na
07-Jul Marathon Group De Agostini 250 3.6x na na
07-Jul Prospect Pictures DCD Media £7.1 0.9x na 3.9x
07-Jul September Holdings DCD Media £9.1 1.2x na 12.9x
07-Jul West Park Pictures DCD Media £3.0 2.7x na nm
07-May Endemol Investor group incl. John de Mol 3396.8 3.0x 19.2x 21.2x
07-Jan Princess Productions Shine £20.0 na 8.5x 8.6x
07-Jan Endemol France Endemol NV 450 2.6x na na
06-Dec WWTBAM & Cellador 2waytraffic £111.5 3.8x 7.3x na
06-Dec Kudos Shine £35.0 na 11.0x 11.3x
06-Aug All3Media Secondary buy-out (Permira) £320.0 1.4x 11.5x 12.3x
06-May Tiger Aspect Holdings IMG Media £27.0 0.4x 12.1x 15.1x
06-Apr Darlow Smithson Productions IMG Media £20.0 1.0x na na
06-Apr Odeon Film GFP Vermögensverwaltungs £15.6 0.4x 4.3x 4.5x
06-Mar Hurricane Spütz Na na na na
05-Dec IWC RDF £14.0 0.8x 17.5x 19.5x
05-Nov Ricochet Shed £30.0 2.0x na 14.1x
05-Oct TV Corp Tinopolis £27.7 0.6x 21.2x na
05-Aug Touchpaper Television RDF £4.2 0.9x 11.9x na
Median 1.6x 11.7x 12.9x
Average 1.7x 12.3x 12.9x
2waytraffic Deal
TBD 2waytraffic (1) Sony Pictures Entertainment $353.0 3.4x 11.4x nm
Recent US Deals
7-Dec Reveille Shine $155.0 2.0x 12.0x 12.0x
Note: (1) Based on expected Sony Base Case consideration of $353 and CY07E projections. 12