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Economics For Managers: Mcguigan, Moyer, & Harris
Economics For Managers: Mcguigan, Moyer, & Harris
Slide 3
To Expand Capacity or Not?
• Should Toyota expand its capacity? In part, it must
consider current and future demand and what other
firms are likely to do.
• Capacity for making cars is a long term project, so
Toyota should think in terms of the present value (PV)
of future profits.
• Objective Function:
» Max PV of profits {S1, S2}
» S1 could be expand capacity and S2 not to expand yet
capacity at this time.
• Decision Rule:
» Choose S1 if PV {Profits of S1 } > PV { Profits of S2 }
» Choose S2 if PV { Profits of S1 } < PV { Profits of S2 }
» If equal profits, then flip a coin
Slide 4
The Decision-Making Process
(Figure 1.2)
1. Establish Objectives
2. Identify the Problem
3. Examine Alternative Solutions
Consider 4. Analyze Alternatives Consider
Organizational
Societal and Select the Best! & Input
Constraints Constraints
Slide 7
What Went Right?
What Went Wrong?
• Eli Lilly (p. 16) a Pharmaceutical company
» 12.3 on average to get a new drug approved
» Patents on Lilly’s Prozac created monopoly power and profits for a
widely used medication for depression.
» As the patent began to expire, Lilly requested s patent “extension”
because of some alterations in Prozac’s formula
» But when the patent extension was overturned, generic drug
manufactures took 70% of the share of the market for anti-depressants.
» Lilly missed the chance of finding a replacement in time for its
blockbuster Prozac
Slide 8
Objectives of the Firm
• Profit maximization
• Shareholder wealth = value of each share (V0)
times the number of shares outstanding, or
V0 · (# shares outstanding). This is the present
value of expected future profits or cash flows,
discounted at the shareholders required rate of
return, ke, ignoring taxes.
V0 (shares
t=1
outstanding) = t /(1+ke)
t
Slide 9
Determinants of Firm Value
(Figure 1.3)
t = REVENUE – COST = TRt – TCt = PtQt – VtQt - Ft
N
(PtQt – VtQt – Ft) / (1+ke)t
t =1
• Whatever lowers the perceived risk of the firm (ke) will also raise firm value.
• Whatever raises the price of the product (Pt) or the quantity sold (Qt ) will
raise firm value.
• Whatever raises variable cost (Vt )or fixed cost ( Ft ) will reduce firm value.
Slide 10
• To make good economic decisions, managers
need to be able to forecast & estimate relationships
• Will be forecasting demand (both Pt & Qt)
» applies to for-profit corporations
» non-profit organizations
• Hospital Administrators forecast patients
• University Administrator forecast enrollment
Slide 11
Agency Problems
• Modern corporations allow firm
managers to have no ownership
participation, or only limited
participation in the profitability of the
firm.
• Shareholders may want profits, but
managers may wish to relax.
• The shareholders are principals, whereas
the managers are agents.
Slide 12
• The Principal-Agent Problem
» Shareholders (principals) want profit
» Managers (agents) want leisure & security
» Conflicting motivations between these groups are called
agency problems.
• Examples (page 13)
» KKR’s takeover of RJR Nabisco to refocus on wealth-
maximization
» The LBO by O.M. Scott (a lawn fertilizer company)
from ITT (a conglomerate) improved Scott’s
performance
Slide 13
Solutions to Agency Problems
• Compensation as incentive
• Extending to all workers stock options,
bonuses, and grants of stock
» It helps to make workers act more like owners of
firm
• Incentives to help the company, because that
improves the value of stock options and
bonuses.
Slide 14
What Went Right? What Went Wrong?
• Saturn Corporation (p. 15)
» Different kind of car company in 1991
» No-haggle pricing
» Sales were above expectations
• But, margin of only $400 per car to GM
» GM earned only 3% on capital
» Saturn customers wanted bigger Saturns rather than trade up to Buick, as
GM hoped.
» When the dollar appreciated, Japanese firms could price their cars more
competitively.
» Must continuously keep up with global competitors.
Slide 15
Shareholder Wealth Maximization:
Necessary Conditions
• COMPLETE MARKETS - liquid markets for
firm's inputs and by-products (including polluting by-
products).
• NO SIGNIFICANT ASYMMETRIC
INFORMATION - buyers and sellers all know the
same things.
• KNOWN RECONTRACTING COSTS future
input costs are part of the present value of expected cash
flows.
Slide 16
Goals in the Public Sector and the
Not-For-Profit (NFP) Enterprise
Public Goods are goods that can be consumed or used by more than one
person at the same time with no extra cost (like a flood control or
national defense).
Sometimes governments produce public goods. Other times, they are
exclusive to one person (like a free meal).
Instead of profit, NFP organizations may have as their goals:
1. Maximization of the quantity of output, subject to a breakeven
constraint.
2. Maximization of the utility (happiness) of NFP administrators.
3. Maximization of cash flows.
4. Maximization of the utility of contributors to the NFP organization.
Slide 17
• Which goal a NFP manager selects affects decisions
made.
» A food shelter manager may decide to maximize the
utility of contributors by selecting only "healthy foods"
• Public sector managers are performance monitored .
» V.A. hospital administrators are rewarded by reducing the cost
per bed over a year. Hence, they become efficient with respect to
costs.
» The "friendliness" of the hospital staff is harder to measure, so
friendliness will tend not be a high priority of the public sector
manager.
Slide 18