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where
• pi,t = price paid by a consumer i at time t
• ci,t = direct cost of servicing the customer at time t
• ri,t = probability of customer i repeat buying or being alive at
time t
• ACi = acquistion cost for the customer i
• h = time horizon for estimating the CLV
• d = discount rate
Transactions prediction approach
• With the transactions prediction approach, the CLV is designed
as
xi ,t mi ,t
CLVi t 0
h
(1 d )t
• Where
• xi,t = number of transactions yielded by customer i in the
period t
• mi,t = profit per transaction yielded by customer i in the
period t
• d = discount rate
• h = time horizon of the prediction
RFM Approach
• Recency (R): the latest purchase amount.
• • Frequency (F): the total number of purchases during a
specific period.
• • Monetary (M): monetary value spent during one specific
period.
Continued……
• The first dimension is recency, which indicates the length of
time since the start of a transaction.
• The second dimension is Frequency, which indicates how
frequently a customer purchases products during a particular
period.
• Finally, Monetary value measures the amount of money that
customer spending during a period
conclusion
• Customer Lifetime Value means the economic value of
customer relations during the whole period of relation
between customer and company.
• Therefore the Customer Lifetime Value is a very important
business performance figure.
• As it allows to measure the value of a customer of a
company in monetary meanings for the first time,
Customer Lifetime Value is of increasing importance in
various industries.
Difficult prediction
• CLV Prediction is difficult because:
• The retention rate is unknown
• The future margin/profit per transaction is
unknown
• The future number of transactions is unknown.
References
• www.Marketingprofs.com
• Scribd.com
• Authorstreem.com
• “A Business Guide to Customer Relationship Management
• By Jill Dyche