Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Bond Prices
and Yields
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
10.1 Bond Characteristics
10-2
U.S. Credit Market Instruments O/S 2008 Q3
U.S. Equity Market (Common)
$19,648 Billion
U.S. Credit Market Debt
$51,796
Debt by Selected Major Borrowers (Not Exhaustive
List):
U.S. Government Securities
(Includes Agency & GSE) $13,850 (27%)
%s are percent of Total U.S. Credit Market Debt, source is Federal Reserve
Flow of Funds
10-3
U.S. Credit Market Instruments O/S 2008 Q3
$2,669 Billion
Municipal Bonds
G.O., Revenue, Notes (5%)
$14,720 Billion
Mortgages
(28%)
10-4
Bond Characteristics
• Face or par value
• Coupon rate
– Zero coupon bond
• Compounding and payments
– Accrued Interest
• Indenture
10-5
Treasury Notes and Bonds
• T Note maturities range up to 10 years
• T bond maturities range from 10 to 30 years
• Bid and ask price
– Quoted in dollars and 32nds as a percent of par
– Typical par = $1,000
• Accrued interest
– Quoted price does not include interest accrued
10-6
Figure 10.1 Prices and Yields
of U.S. Treasuries
10-7
Corporate Bonds & Debt
• Most bonds are traded over the counter
• Par = $1,000
• Registered versus Bearer bonds
• Call provisions
• Convertible provision
• Put provision (putable bonds)
• Floating rate bonds
• Preferred Stock
10-8
Figure 10.2 Listing of
Corporate Bonds
10-9
Other Domestic Issuers
• Federal Home Loan Bank Board
• Farm Credit Agencies
• Ginnie Mae
• Fannie Mae
• Freddie Mac
• Municipalities
10-10
International Bonds
• Foreign bonds
– Issued by a borrower from a country other than the one
in which the bond is sold.
– Bonds are denominated in the currency of the country
in which it is sold.
• Yankee bonds, Samurai bonds, Bulldog bonds
• Eurobonds
– Bonds issued in the currency of one country but sold in
other national markets.
• Eurodollar bonds, Euroyen bonds
10-11
Innovations in the Bond Market
• Inverse floaters
– Coupon rate falls when interest rates rise & vice versa
• Asset-backed bonds
– Income from specified assets is used to service the
bond
• Pay-in-kind bonds
– Bond issuer may choose to pay interest by giving the
investor a bond rather than cash
10-12
Innovations in the Bond Market
• Catastrophe bonds
– In the event of a specified ‘disaster’ the bond issuer’s
required payments are reduced or eliminated.
• Indexed bonds
– Payments are tied to a price index or the price of a
commodity.
• TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) With TIPS
the par value of the bond increases with the Consumer
Price Index.
10-13
Hypothetical Principal and Interest
Payments on a TIPS
10-14
10.2 BOND PRICING
10-15
Bond Prices & Yields
a) Bond Price for a corporate bond:
C = Coupon = 10%, interest rate = ytm = r = 12%, Maturity =
N or T = 10 years, P = price, Par = $1,000
What is the bond’s price using semiannual compounding?
2N ½$C Par
P T
T 1 (1 ½r) (1 ½r)
2N
20 $50 $1,000
P T
T 1 (1 . 06 ) (1 . 06 ) 20
64.8% 35.2%
10-16
Bond Pricing Between
Coupon Dates
• The flat price or quoted price assumes the
bond is purchased on a coupon payment
date.
10-17
Bond Pricing Between
Coupon Dates
Annual Coupon$ Days since last coupon payment
Accrued Interest
2 Days between coupon payments
10-18
10.3 BOND YIELDS
10-19
Bond Prices and Yields
• Prices and Yields (required rates of return)
have an inverse relationship
10-20
Promised Yield to Maturity
(YTM)
• YTM is the discount rate that makes the present value of
a bond’s payments equal to its price
• Find the YTM for a 8% coupon, 30-year bond selling at
$1,276.76
2N ½$C Par
P T
T 1 (1 ½r) (1 ½r)2N
60 $40 $1,000
$1,276.76 T
T 1 (1 ½r) (1 ½r)60
r 3%
• Assumption of this calculation?
10-21
Figure 10.3 The Inverse Relationship
Between Bond Prices and Yields
10-22
Alternative Measures of Yield
• Current Yield
– Annual dollar coupon divided by the price
• Yield to Call
– Call price replaces par
– Call date replaces maturity
10-23
Yield to Call Illustrated
10-24
Figure 10.4 Bond Prices:
Callable and Straight Debt
10-25
Figure 10.5 Growth of $1000
invested in a 2 year bond
10-26
Example 10.5 Growth of $1000
invested in a 2 year bond
10-27
10.4 BOND PRICES OVER
TIME
10-28
Premium and Discount Bonds
• Premium Bond
– Coupon rate exceeds yield to maturity
– Bond price will decline to par over its maturity
• Discount Bond
– Yield to maturity exceeds coupon rate
– Bond price will increase to par over its maturity
10-29
Figure 10.6 Premium and
Discount Bonds over Time
10-30
Figure 10.7 The Price of a
Zero Coupon Bond over Time
How does one earn a rate of return on a zero
coupon bond?
Par
P
(1 r)N
What are
STRIPS?
10-31
10.5 DEFAULT RISK AND
BOND PRICING
10-32
Default Risk and Ratings
• Main Ratings Companies
– Moody’s Investor Service
– Standard & Poor’s
– Fitch
10-33
Figure 10.8 Definitions of Bond Rating Classes
10-34
Factors Used by Rating
Companies
• Coverage ratios
– TIE and Fixed Charges Coverage ratio
• Leverag e ratios
– Debt to equity or Debt to assets
• Liquidity ratios
– Current and quick ratio
• Profitability ratios
– Return on assets and return on equity
• Cash flow to debt
– Cash flow to debt
10-35
Financial Ratios and Default Risk
10-36
Protection Against Default
• Sinking funds
– Issuer may repurchase a given fraction of the
outstanding bonds each year, or
– Issuer may either repurchase at the lower of open
market price or at a pre-specified price, usually par;
bonds are chosen randomly
• Serial bonds
– Staggered maturity dates
• Subordination of future debt
– Senior debt holders must be paid in full before junior
debt holders.
10-37
Protection Against Default
• Dividend restrictions
– Limit on liquidating dividends
• Collateral
– A specific asset pledged against possible default on a
bond.
10-38
Figure 10.9 Callable Bond
Issued by Mobil
10-39
Example 10.10 YTM and
Default
10-40
Figure 10.10 Yields Spreads on 10 year
bonds
10-41
Credit Default Swaps
A credit default swap (CDS) is an insurance policy on the
default risk of a bond or loan.
•The seller of the swap collects an annual premium (and
sometimes an upfront fee) from the swap buyer.
10-42
Credit Default Swaps
• CDSs can be used to speculate on financial health of
firms.
– Swap buyer need not hold the underlying bond or
loan.
– At their peak there were reportedly $63 trillion worth
of CDS; US GDP is about $14 trillion.
– What is the implication of the size of this market if the
economy experiences greater than expected
defaults?
– Did this contribute to the Financial Crisis of 2008?
10-43
Credit Default Swaps
10-44
Credit Default Swaps
• New regulations on CDS will be
implemented
– CDS contracts will be required to be traded on
an exchange with collateral requirements to
limit risk.
10-45
10.6 THE YIELD CURVE
10-46
Term Structure of Interest Rates
• Relationship between yields to maturity
and maturity
10-47
Figure 10.12 Treasury Yield
Curves
10-48
Theories of the Term Structure
• Expectations
– Long term rates are a function of expected future
short term rates
– Upward slope means that the market is expecting
higher future short term rates
– Downward slope means that the market is expecting
lower future short term rates
• Liquidity Preference
– Upward bias over expectations
– The observed long-term rate includes a risk premium
10-49
Figure 10.13 Returns to Two
2-year Investment Strategies
10-50
Forward Rates Implied
in the Yield Curve
(1 yn) (1 y (1 f n)
n n 1
n 1)
2 1
(1.12 ) (1 .11) (1.1301)
For example, using 1-yr and 2-yr rates
Longer term rate, yn = 12%
Shorter term rate, yn-1 = 11%
Forward rate, a one-year rate in one year =
13.01%
10-51
Figure 10.14 Illustrative Yield
Curves
10-52
Figure 10.15 Term Spread
10-53