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Walker circulation breaks down and can even get westerly winds
this allows the Pacific warm pool to spread out across
equatorial region towards S. America
1997/1998 El Nino was the second strongest El Nino on record.
4
Normal Conditions
7
ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current
Status and Predictions
Summary
Recent Evolution and Current Conditions
Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)
Pacific SST Outlook
U.S. Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks
Summary
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml
Climate Prediction
Center / NCEP
Waves
(Chap.8)
Nazare Portugal
Today…
• Wave basics
• Deep and Shallow water waves
• Generation of waves
• Tsunamis
• Surf Forecasting
• Tides
Ocean Waves…Why do we care?
54 ft
US carrier
Bennington returning
from Okinawa
How big can waves get?
According to US Navy Hydrographic office,
theoretical maximum height of wind-generated waves
was 18. 3 meters (60 feet)….
1. There is no net
displacement of water
Select a
Atlan
Atlan
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Bay o
et Carib
Centr
Chile
Europ
anc e
Gulf o
ms
ms Gulf o
Gulf o
(East
Nova
Pacif
Pacif
bo o k USA-
USA-
USA-
oy
USA-
USA-
USA-
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m World
2000 km
2000 mi
Map data ©2012 MapLink Imagery ©2012 NASA - Terms of Use
Mouse Cursor Coordinates:
Stations with recent data 1154 stations deployed Disclaimer
he r Stations with historical data only 885 have reported in the past 8 hours
Stations with no data in last 8 hours Get Observations by Progra
(24 hours for tsunami stations)
Origin of ocean waves: storms at sea
– Constructive
superposition
– Destructive
superposition
• SEISMIC DISTURBANCES
(submarine earthquakes, landslides)
• Also created by big meteorites potentially
If there is an underwater
earthquake in the Aleutian Islands:
~ 2500 miles from West Coast
~ 5 hour travel time
2011 Tsunami
Tides
Two Balancing Forces act on the Earth – Moon System
• Gravity
– Gravitational attraction tends to draw them
together
– Strength varies with location on Earth’s surface
• Centripetal Force
– Caused by rotation about the center of mass
– Tends to drive them apart
– Strength is the same everywhere on Earth’s surface
33
Distortion of the Water Envelope
• The hypothetical ocean of constant depth
will be deformed
• Excess gravity will create a bulge pointing
to the Moon
• Excess centrifugal force will create a bulge
on the opposite side of Earth pointing away
from the Moon
34
Earth-Moon-Sun System
35
Tide Patterns
• Diurnal tide
• Semidiurnal tide
• Semidiurnal mixed
tide
36
Terminology
• Uniform diurnal or semidiurnal tides (St. Augustine)
– High water and Low water
• Mixed Semidiurnal tide
– Higher high water and Lower high water
– Higher low water and Lower low water
• Tidal range
– Vertical difference in water level from high tide to low tide
• Tidal datum
– Either mean low water or mean lower lower water over 1 year
• Flood tide
– Water level is rising
• Ebb tide
– Water level is dropping
• Minus tide
– Water level is below the tidal datum
37
Distribution of Tidal Patterns
38
Predicting Tides and Tidal Currents
• Tide tables
– Available on Internet saltwatertides.com
– Dates, times, water levels for high and low water at
primary tide stations
• Tidal current tables
– Times of slack water, maximum flood currents and
maximum ebb currents, and current speed
– Importance for oceanographers
– Importance for commercial vessels and
pleasure boaters
39
Tidal Currents
• Currents associated with rising and falling
coastal waters
• Water moves into a region during flood tide
and out of a region during ebb tide
• Slack water
– When the tide turns, changing from ebb to
flood or flood to ebb.
– Tidal currents slow to a stop and then reverse
40
Tidal Bores
• Large wave caused by the funneling of a flood tide as
it enters a long, narrow, shallow inlet.
• Large amplitude tides
• Hazards
silver dragon
http://www.supracer.com/stand-up-paddle-sur
fing-tidal-bore-river-wave-france/