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Management Consultant: National Competitiveness, Market Dynamics & Business Analysis Mahesh Narayan
Management Consultant: National Competitiveness, Market Dynamics & Business Analysis Mahesh Narayan
CONSULTANT
National Competitiveness, Market Dynamics & Business Analysis
Mahesh Narayan
LEARNING OUTCOME
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
CHANGING NATURE OF DOMESTIC & INTERNATIONAL COMPETITION
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
WHAT IS COMPETITIVENESS
•Competitiveness depends on the productivity with which a nation uses its human, capital, and natural
resources.
• Productivity sets the sustainable standard of living(wages, returns on capital, returns on natural resources) that a
country can sustain
• It is not what industries a nation competes in that matters for prosperity, but how productively it
competes in those industries
• Productivity in a national economy arises from a combination of domestic and foreign firms
• The productivity of “local” or domestic industries is fundamental to competitiveness, not just that of
export industries
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
DETERMINANTS OF COMPETITIVENESS
• Macroeconomic
competitiveness creates the
potential for high
productivity, but is not
sufficient
• Productivity ultimately
depends on improving the
microeconomic capability of
the economy and the
sophistication of local
competition
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
QUALITY OF BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
PORTER’S DIAMOND
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
FRAMEWORKS TO ANALYZE MACRO ENVIRONMENT
PORTER’S DIAMOND
• Factor Conditions
• Nation does not inherit but instead creates the most important factors of production
• Stock of factor less important than the rate & efficiency with which it creates, upgrades & deploys them in
particular industries
• Most important factors are those that involve sustained & heavy investment and are specialized to an
industry’s specific needs
• Factors which are scarce, more difficult for foreign competitors to imitate
• Competitive advantage results from the presence of world-class institutions that first create specialized factors &
continually work to upgrade them (Denmark has specialized institutions that research diabetes – Denmark is also
world’s leading exporter of Insulin, Holland – Flower etc)
FRAMEWORKS TO ANALYZE MACRO ENVIRONMENT
PORTER’S DIAMOND
• Demand Conditions
• Composition & Character of the home market effect how companies perceive, interpret & respond to global
buyer needs
• Companies gain competitive advantage where the home demand gives them clear understanding of
emerging buyer needs
• Demanding buyers, pressure companies to innovate faster & achieve more sophisticated competitive
advantages than their foreign rivals
• If domestic buyers are the world’s most sophisticated & demanding buyers
• Stringent needs arise from local values & circumstances
• Local buyers – help companies to anticipate global trends/needs (Denmark’s Environmentalism, US – Fast
Food/Credit Card
• When the industry in home country is large – companies have a competitive advantage
• Demand conditions force companies to respond to tough challenges
FRAMEWORKS TO ANALYZE MACRO ENVIRONMENT
PORTER’S DIAMOND
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
QUALITY OF BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
STATE OF CLUSTER DEVELOPMENT
Source: Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School, Advanced Management Program, April 15, 2009
FRAMEWORKS TO ANALYZE MACRO ENVIRONMENT
FLYING GEESE MODEL
The phase "flying geese pattern of development" was coined originally by Kaname Akamatsu in 1930s articles in Japanese, and presented to world
academia after the World War II in 1961 and 1962 articles in English.
The flying geese (FG) model intends to explain the catching-up process of industrialization of latecomer economies from the following three aspects:
• Intra-industry aspect: product development within a particular developing country, with a single industry growing over three time-series curves,
i.e., import (M), production (P), and export (E).
• Inter-industry aspect: sequential appearance and development of industries in a particular developing country, with industries being diversified and
upgraded from consumer goods to capital goods and/or from simple to more sophisticated products.
• International aspect: subsequent relocation process of industries from advanced to developing countries during the latter's catching-up process.
GEOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES ON COMPETITIVENESS
GEOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES ON COMPETITIVENESS
MODELS &
FRAMEWORKS OF
STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
Other Frameworks
Mahesh Narayan
PROFIT POOLS ARE THE TOTAL PROFITS EARNED IN AN INDUSTRY AT ALL POINTS ALONG THE VALUE CHAIN
Total profit =
$1.9B
Operating profit
Photofinishin
g equipment
Enhanced
services
Share of Industry Revenue
Profit pools answer the question: “Where and how is money being
made?”
CONVERGENCE BLURS BUSINESS BOUNDARIES CREATING NEW OPPORTUNITIES
I
T
Pharmacogenomics drug Disease management (e.g. Pfizer)
e.g Herceptin antibody therapy (e.g. Genentech)
Diagnostics Rx
Remote patient monitoring
Alza)
Drug-eluting stent
(e.g. J&J Cordis)
Drug
Medical
Implantable drug pumps Delivery
Devices (e.g Medtronic, Amgen)
KEY LEARNINGS FROM THE SESSION
Mahesh Narayan
MEASURING MARKET POWER OF THE FIRM
• How would you measure the market power of a firm or its exercise in a market
• How would you measure the impact of different factors on the market power of a firm
MODELS OF MARKET DYNAMICS
S-C-P MODEL
Market Power is a measure of seller concentration in the industry & barriers to entry in the
industry
Seller concentration:
• Number & Size of firms
• Coordinate their pricing behavior
• Collusion
• Conditions of Entry
• Extent of barriers to entry
• Economies of Scale
• Product Differentiation
• Absolute Cost Advantages
KEY LEARNINGS FROM THE SESSION
2 0.10
2.41
“HEAT MAP” CAN HELP IDENTIFY OPPORTUNITIES
Life P&C
Credit Mutual insur- insur- Under- Deriva- Corp. Foreign ex-
cards Mort-gagesfunds De-posits ance ance M&A writing tives lending change Opportunity
United assessment
States Hot
Ger-many
Cold
Japan
Italy
UK
Korea
Peru
i Value chain analysis provides a systematic method for disaggregating a firm or industry
into its major discrete activities to understand sources of competitive advantage
E O M
q p S o
D In
ui e er n
es st
p r vi i
ig al
m a c t
n l
e t e o
nt e r
• PESTEL FRAMEWORK
• DRIVERS OF GLOBALIZATION
• Market Globalization
• Political • Similar Customer needs
• Economic • Global Customers
• Socio-Cultural • Transferable Marketing
• Technological • Cost Globalization
• Environmental • Scale Economies
• Legal • Sourcing Efficiencies
• BUILDING SCENARIOS • Country specific costs
• High Product Development costs
I • Competition Globalization
m • Interdependence
p • High Exports/Imports
ac • Global Competitors
t • Global Policies
• Trade Policies
• Technical Standards
• Host Govt. Policies
Uncertainty
Market maps show the size of market segments, market share and level
of fragmentation
Medical Device Market
Source: Medical and Healthcare Marketplace Guide; Analyst Reports (In-vitro: SG Cowen
IFE MATRIX
• tool for auditing or evaluating major strengths and weaknesses in functional areas of a business
• The IFE matrix can be created using the following five steps:
• 1) Key internal factors - Conduct internal audit and identify both strengths and weaknesses in all your business areas. It is suggested you identify
10 to 20 internal factors, but the more you can provide for the IFE matrix, the better. The number of factors has no effect on the range of total
weighted scores (discussed below) because the weights always sum to 1.0, but it helps to diminish estimate errors resulting from subjective
ratings. First, list strengths and then weaknesses. It is wise to be as specific and objective as possible. You can for example use percentages,
ratios, and comparative numbers.
• 2) Weights - Having identified strengths and weaknesses, the core of the IFE matrix, assign a weight that ranges from 0.00 to 1.00 to each factor.
The weight assigned to a given factor indicates the relative importance of the factor. Zero means not important. One indicates very important. If you
work with more than 10 factors in your IFE matrix, it can be easier to assign weights using the 0 to 100 scale instead of 0.00 to 1.00. Regardless of
whether a key factor is an internal strength or weakness, factors with the greatest importance in your organizational performance should be
assigned the highest weights. After you assign weight to individual factors, make sure the sum of all weights equals 1.00 (or 100 if using the 0 to
100 scale weights). The weight assigned to a given factor indicates the relative importance of the factor to being successful in the firm's industry.
Weights are industry based.
• 3) Rating - Assign a 1 to X rating to each factor. Your rating scale can be per your preference. Practitioners usually use rating on the scale from 1 to
4. Rating captures whether the factor represents a major weakness (rating = 1), a minor weakness (rating = 2), a minor strength (rating = 3), or a
major strength (rating = 4). If you use the rating scale 1 to 4, then strengths must receive a 4 or 3 rating and weaknesses must receive a 1 or 2
rating. Note, the weights determined in the previous step are industry based. Ratings are company based.
• 4) Multiply - Now we can get to the IFE matrix math. Multiply each factor's weight by its rating. This will give you a weighted score for each factor.
• 5) Sum - The last step in constructing the IFE matrix is to sum the weighted scores for each factor. This provides the total weighted score for your
business.
IE MATRIX
• The IE matrix works in a way that you plot the total weighted score from the EFE matrix
on the y axis and draw a horizontal line across the plane. Then you take the score
calculated in the IFE matrix, plot it on the x axis, and draw a vertical line across the
plane. The point where your horizontal line meets your vertical line is the determinant of
your strategy. This point shows the strategy that your company should follow.
• On the x axis of the IE Matrix, an IFE total weighted score of 1.0 to 1.99 represents a
weak internal position. A score of 2.0 to 2.99 is considered average. A score of 3.0 to 4.0
is strong.
• On the y axis, an EFE total weighted score of 1.0 to 1.99 is considered low. A score of 2.0
to 2.99 is medium. A score of 3.0 to 4.0 is high.
LEARNING OUTCOME
If we understand what our competitors do and what they are good at, we can start to determine
where our own relative strengths and weaknesses lie
Anticipating our key competitors’ strategic moves will help us to identify areas of opportunity and
concern for the future
KEY QUESTIONS TO ASK INCLUDE...
Data sources are relatively abundant, but very little meaningful information is likely to be given
away, especially in published sources
▪ Customer/employee interviews are likely to yield the best results
Even when information is found, it can be highly misleading
▪ Do not take everything you read at face value!
▪ Does every ‘strength’ that a competitor claims to have really constitute a strength?
IFE
IE MATRIX
IE MATRIX
• The IE matrix can be divided into three major regions that have different strategy implications.
• Cells I, II, and III suggest the grow and build strategy. This means intensive and aggressive
tactical strategies. Your strategies should focus on market penetration, market development,
and product development. From the operational perspective, a backward integration, forward
integration, and horizontal integration should also be considered.
• Cells IV, V, and VI suggest the hold and maintain strategy. In this case, your tactical strategies
should focus on market penetration and product development.
• Cells VII, VIII, and IX are characterized with the harvest or exit strategy. If costs for rejuvenating
the business are low, then it should be attempted to revitalize the business. In other cases,
aggressive cost management is a way to play the end game.
IE MATRIX
KEY LEARNINGS FROM THE SESSION
Application Microsof
Linux IBM
Software t
Middle Microsof
Linux SUN IBM
Ware t
Operating Micro
Linux SUN IBM
System soft
System AMA AM
Intel Intel SUN IBM
Hardware DM D
D
CPU
AMD Intel TI IBM
Fabrication
ACQUISITION ANALYSIS
RONA CHARTS
Market maps help to identify those market segments in which a business is well or
poorly established
▪ By plotting market maps for different points in time, you can gain an understanding of how
each competitor’s position is changing
Others
100% Others
Others
Comp F Comp D
Comp E Comp E
Comp D Comp F
Comp A
Comp C Comp B
Market Share (Companies stacked in decreasing
order)
Comp B Comp A
Comp B
Comp A Comp C
It is an approach which can be used to estimate the costs of your client’s key
competitors
The first step is to gain a thorough understanding of your client’s own cost base
▪ Break the cost base down into its constituent elements
▪ Establish an understanding of what drives each of these elements
Then, using any available competitor information, take a view as to how these drivers
might vary between the key competitors in the industry
▪ Good data sources are competitor interviews, market research and benchmarking data
▪ Using this approach, you can estimate the cost base of your client’s competitors by summing your
estimates for each of the constituent elements
COST DATA CAN BE FOUND IN MANY PLACES
Product brochures
Plant/site tours Customer interviews
For example:
Choose the value
Manufacturing
55% Other
Marketing/ (Admin,
Design Sourcing Sales Finance)
3% 33% Net working Drying 4%
Stages 1&2
Con- 5%
capital Assembly Testing Rework
struction
15% 15% 3% 3% 4%
15%
COST COMPARISONS
S
trengths W eaknesses
O T
External
pportunities hreat
s
Strengths Weaknesses
-Human Resource
-Competitive
-Customer Base
vulnerability
-Market Position
-Low profit margins
-Financial Resources
-Sales channel conflicts
-Products/Services
Threats
Opportunities
POSITIVE -Complimentary market
-Economy NEGATIVE
-New Govt. regulations
-Strategic alliances -Lose of key staff
-Competition weakness - New technology
60
EXTERNAL
WHAT MAKES UP SWOT?
Strengths
Positive tangible and intangible attributes, internal to an organization.
They are within the organization’s control.
Weakness
Factors that are within an organization’s control that detract from its ability to attain the desired goal.
Which areas might the organization improve?
Opportunities
External attractive factors that represent the reason for an organization to exist and develop.
What opportunities exist in the environment, which will propel the organization?
Identify them by their “time frames”
Threats
External factors, beyond an organization’s control, which could place the organization mission or operation at risk.
The organization may benefit by having contingency plans to address them if they should occur.
Classify them by their “seriousness” and “probability of occurrence”.
STRENGTHS ANALYZE INTERNAL ABILITIES AND ASSOCIATED
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
Strengths
• What does the competitor do well? Do best?
• What are the competitor’s advantages?
• What relevant resources does the competitor have?
• How much better are the competitor’s advantages/resources relative to
other market players?
Weaknesses
• What does the competitor do poorly?
• What does the competitor need to improve?
• What resources does the competitor lack?
• What market segments does the business avoid?
• Does the competitor have bad debt or cash flow problems?
• How much worse are the competitor’s disadvantages relative to other
market players?
Opportunities
• What external trends could competitor use to build competitive advantage?
• Are the required specifications for the competitor’s products/services
changing in a potentially beneficial manner for the competitor?
• Is changing technology aiding the competitor?
• Is the competitor relatively more affected by these trends than other market
players?
Threats
• What external obstacles does the competitor face?
• Are the required specifications for the competitor’s products/services
changing in a potentially disadvantageous way for the competitor?
• Is changing technology threatening the competitor?
• Is the competitor relatively more affected by these trends than other market
players?
WT ST
• Minimize Weaknesses & Threats • Use Strengths to minimize threats
• Merger/cut back operations
SO
WO • Use strengths to exploit opportunities
• Minimize weaknesses & maximize
opportunities
• Weaknesses prevent the company from
taking advantage of opportunities
• Alliances/Acquisition
• Hire talent
“SPIDER CHARTS” – AS IS POSITION
“SPIDER CHARTS” – ADJACENCIES
LEARNING OUTCOME
• CPM
• SPACE
• Portfolio Analysis
• BCG Matrix
• Ansoff Matrix
• Directional Policy Matrix/Business Screen
• Ashridge Portfolio Display
• Public Sector Portfolio Matrix
•QSPM
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE FRAMEWORK
Relevant and strategic insights to each function enables the company to compete better
overall… • “Green” initiatives
Channel
insights on Branding
and
• GTM Strategy
Strategy Competition Positionin
• Channel partner segmentations
g
• Partner programs and promotions • Brand strategy and positioning
• Channel efficiencies analyses • Brand communication
Supply Product
• Customer perceptions on brand
Chain Strategy
Earnings Analyses • How are competitors performing in terms of revenues Brand and Messaging Analyses • How is my competitor targeting customers?
and margins in key markets? • What is the underlying message that they are trying to
• What kind of new strategies are they likely to employ? push through this campaign?
Product Comparisons • How does the competitor product differ from ours in Supply Chain Analyses • What kind of manufacturing and distribution efficiencies
terms of features, technology, and price? are my competitors gaining?
• How do we compete against them at a feature, price, • How do our ODM relationships compare?
technology, or solution level?
Channel and GTM • How is my competitor targeting specific segments like Customer Management Strategy • What is my competitor doing on Environment initiatives?
SMB and Online? • How is my competitor using Social Media for marketing?
• What kind of partner incentives and programs are
they running?
Newsletters • What are the different reasons for which my Special Initiatives Analyses • What is my competitor doing on Environment initiatives?
competitor was in the news? • How is my competitor using Social Media for marketing?
• What rumors and potential developments is the
industry foreseeing for my competitor?
COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX
• A tool to compare the firm with the major players of the industry.
•Competitive profile matrix show the clear picture to the firm about their strong points and weak
points relative to their competitors.
•The CPM score is measured on basis of critical success factors, each factor is measured in
same scale mean the weight remain same for every firm only rating varies.
The competitive profile matrix consists of following attributes mentioned below.
•Critical Success Factors
• Critical success factors are extracted after deep analysis of external and internal environment of the firm.
The higher rating show that firm strategy is doing well to support this critical success factors and lower
rating means firm strategy is lacking to support the factor.
COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX
•Rating
• rating range from 1.0 to 4.0
• The response is poor represented by 1.0
• The response is average is represented by 2.0
• The response is above average represented by 3.0
• The response is superior represented by 4.0
•Weight
• Weight attribute in CPM indicates the relative importance of factor to being successful in the firm’s industry.
The weight range from 0.0 means not important and 1.0 means important, sum of all assigned weight to
factors must be equal to 1.0
•Weighted Score
• Weighted score value is the result achieved after multiplying each factor rating with the weight.
COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX
CPM matrix shown below show the comparison among Harley, Honda and Yamaha.
• It is used to determine what type of a strategy a company should undertake. The Strategic Position & ACtion Evaluation matrix
• The SPACE matrix is broken down to four quadrants where each quadrant suggests a different type or a nature of a strategy:
• Aggressive
• Conservative
• Defensive F
• Competitive
S
CA I
S
E
S
SPACE (STRATEGIC POSITION & ACTION EVALUATION) MATRIX
• SPACE matrix tells us that our company should pursue an aggressive strategy. Our
company has a strong competitive position it the market with rapid growth. It needs to
use its internal strengths to develop a market penetration and market development
strategy. This can include product development, integration with other companies,
acquisition of competitors, and so on.
• The SPACE Matrix analysis functions upon two internal and two external strategic
dimensions in order to determine the organization's strategic posture in the industry.
• The SPACE matrix is based on four areas of analysis.
• Internal strategic dimensions:
• Financial strength (FS)
• Competitive advantage (CA)
• External strategic dimensions:
• Environmental stability (ES)
• Industry strength (IS)
SPACE (STRATEGIC POSITION & ACTION EVALUATION) MATRIX
• The financial strength factors often come from company accounting. These SPACE matrix factors can
include for example return on investment, leverage, turnover, liquidity, working capital, cash flow, and
others.
• Competitive advantage factors include for example the speed of innovation by the company, market
niche position, customer loyalty, product quality, market share, product life cycle, and others.
• SPACE matrix factors related to business external strategic dimension are for example overall
economic condition, GDP growth, inflation, price elasticity, technology, barriers to entry, competitive
pressures, industry growth potential, and others.
• The SPACE matrix calculates the importance of each of these dimensions and places them on a
Cartesian graph with X and Y coordinates.
The following are a few model technical assumptions:
• - By definition, the CA and IS values in the SPACE matrix are plotted on the X axis.
- CA values can range from -1 to -6.
- IS values can take +1 to +6.
• - The FS and ES dimensions of the model are plotted on the Y axis.
- ES values can be between -1 and -6.
- FS values range from +1 to +6.
SPACE (STRATEGIC POSITION & ACTION EVALUATION) MATRIX
• The SPACE matrix is constructed by plotting calculated values for the competitive advantage (CA) and industry
strength (IS) dimensions on the X axis. The Y axis is based on the environmental stability (ES) and financial strength
(FS) dimensions. The SPACE matrix can be created using the following seven steps:
• Step 1: Choose a set of variables to be used to gauge the competitive advantage (CA), industry strength (IS),
environmental stability (ES), and financial strength (FS).
• Step 2: Rate individual factors using rating system specific to each dimension. Rate competitive advantage (CA) and
environmental stability (ES) using rating scale from -6 (worst) to -1 (best). Rate industry strength (IS) and financial
strength (FS) using rating scale from +1 (worst) to +6 (best).
• Step 3: Find the average scores for competitive advantage (CA), industry strength (IS), environmental stability (ES),
and financial strength (FS).
• Step 4: Plot values from step 3 for each dimension on the SPACE matrix on the appropriate axis.
• Step 5: Add the average score for the competitive advantage (CA) and industry strength (IS) dimensions. This will be
your final point on axis X on the SPACE matrix.
• Step 6: Add the average score for the SPACE matrix environmental stability (ES) and financial strength (FS)
dimensions to find your final point on the axis Y.
• Step 7: Find intersection of your X and Y points. Draw a line from the center of the SPACE matrix to your point. This
line reveals the type of strategy the company should pursue.
SPACE (STRATEGIC POSITION & ACTION EVALUATION) MATRIX
Each factor within each strategic dimension is rated using appropriate rating scale. Then averages are calculated. Adding
individual strategic dimension averages provides values that are plotted on the axis X and Y.
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
• BCG Matrix
• Ansoff Matrix
•Directional Policy Matrix/Business Screen
• Ashridge Portfolio Display
•Public Sector Portfolio Matrix
BCG Matrix
❑ BCG Matrix a.k.a. Growth-Share Matrix, Boston Box, Boston Matrix, Boston
Consulting Group analysis.
❑ Created by Bruce Henderson for the Boston Consulting Group in 1970 to help
corporations with analyzing their business units or product lines.
❑ This helps the company allocate resources and is used as an analytical tool in
brand marketing, product management, strategic management, and portfolio
analysis.
BCG Matrix
BCG Matrix
BCG CATEGORIES
(Attractiveness Score: 1 = not acceptable; 2 = possibly acceptable; 3 = probably acceptable; 4 = most acceptable; 0 = not relevant)
QUANTITATIVE STRATEGIC PLANNING MATRIX (QSPM)
The left column of a QSPM consists of key external and internal factors . The top row consists of feasible alternative strategies
• Step 1 - Provide a list of internal factors -- strengths and weaknesses. Then generate a list of the firm's key external factors
-- opportunities and threats. These will be included in the left column of the QSPM.
• Step 2 - Having the factors ready, identify strategy alternatives that will be further evaluated. These strategies are displayed at the top of
the table. Strategies evaluated in the QSPM should be mutually exclusive if possible.
• Step 3 - Each key external and internal factor should have some weight in the overall scheme. You can take these weights from the IFE
and EFE matrices again.
• Step 4 - Attractiveness Scores (AS) in the QSPM indicate how each factor is important or attractive to each alternative strategy.
Attractiveness Scores are determined by examining each key external and internal factor separately, one at a time, and asking the
following question: Does this factor make a difference in our decision about which strategy to pursue? If the answer to this question is
yes, then the strategies should be compared relative to that key factor. The range for Attractiveness Scores is 1 = not attractive, 2 =
somewhat attractive, 3 = reasonably attractive, and 4 = highly attractive. If the answer to the above question is no, then the respective key
factor has no effect on our decision. If the key factor does not affect the choice being made at all, then the Attractiveness Score would be
0.
• Step 5 - Calculate the Total Attractiveness Scores (TAS) in the QSPM. Total Attractiveness Scores are defined as the product of
multiplying the weights (step 3) by the Attractiveness Scores (step 4) in each row. The Total Attractiveness Scores indicate the relative
attractiveness of each key factor and related individual strategy. The higher the Total Attractiveness Score, the more attractive the
strategic alternative or critical factor.
• Step 6 - Calculate the Sum Total Attractiveness Score by adding all Total Attractiveness Scores in each strategy column of the QSPM. The
QSPM Sum Total Attractiveness Scores reveal which strategy is most attractive. Higher scores point at a more attractive strategy,
considering all the relevant external and internal critical factors that could affect the strategic decision.
STRATEGIES FROM SWOT
WT ST
• Minimize Weaknesses & Threats • Use Strengths to minimize threats
• Merger/cut back operations
SO
WO • Use strengths to exploit opportunities
• Minimize weaknesses & maximize
opportunities
• Weaknesses prevent the company from
taking advantage of opportunities
• Alliances/Acquisition
• Hire talent
TOWS MATRIX
• A tool to compare the firm with the major players of the industry.
•Competitive profile matrix show the clear picture to the firm about their strong points and weak
points relative to their competitors.
•The CPM score is measured on basis of critical success factors, each factor is measured in
same scale mean the weight remain same for every firm only rating varies.
The competitive profile matrix consists of following attributes mentioned below.
•Critical Success Factors
• Critical success factors are extracted after deep analysis of external and internal environment of the firm.
The higher rating show that firm strategy is doing well to support this critical success factors and lower
rating means firm strategy is lacking to support the factor.
COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX
•Rating
• rating range from 1.0 to 4.0
• The response is poor represented by 1.0
• The response is average is represented by 2.0
• The response is above average represented by 3.0
• The response is superior represented by 4.0
•Weight
• Weight attribute in CPM indicates the relative importance of factor to being successful in the firm’s industry.
The weight range from 0.0 means not important and 1.0 means important, sum of all assigned weight to
factors must be equal to 1.0
•Weighted Score
• Weighted score value is the result achieved after multiplying each factor rating with the weight.
COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX
CPM matrix shown below show the comparison among Harley, Honda and Yamaha.
Product brochures
Plant/site tours Customer interviews
For example:
Choose the value
Manufacturing
55% Other
Marketing/ (Admin,
Design Sourcing Sales Finance)
3% 33% Net working Drying 4%
Stages 1&2
Con- 5%
capital Assembly Testing Rework
struction
15% 15% 3% 3% 4%
15%
COST COMPARISONS
The 7-S framework was first mentioned in ‘The art of Japanese management ’by Richard Pascale and Anthony Athos in 1981
At the same time Tom Peters and R H Waterman were exploring what made a company excellent.
THE 7-S FRAMEWORK
• Strategy • Systems
• Ways in which Sustainable Competitive Advantage will be • Formal processes & procedures used to manage
achieved the organization
• Key Questions • Management control systems
• What are the company’s sources of sustainable • Performance measurement & reward systems
competitive advantage
• Planning & Budgeting
• What are the company’s key strategic priorities
• Resource Allocation systems
• Structure
• Information systems
• Way in which tasks & people are specialized & divided and
authority is divided • Distribution systems
• Focus people’s attention on what needs to get done • Key Questions
• Structural Forms • Does the organization have the systems it
• Functional
needs to run its business?
• In the late 1960s Bruce Henderson of the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) began to
emphasize the implications of the experience curve for strategy. Research by BCG
in the 1970s observed experience curve effects for various industries that ranged
from 10 to 25 percent.
• A curve that depicts a 15% cost reduction for every doubling of output is called an
“85% experience curve”, indicating that unit costs drop to 85% of their original level.
IMPROVEMENT CURVE ANALYSIS
REASONS
• Labour efficiency - Workers become physically more dexterous. They become mentally more confident
and spend less time hesitating, learning, experimenting, or making mistakes. Over time they learn short-
cuts and improvements. This applies to all employees and managers, not just those directly involved in
production.
• Standardization, specialization, and methods improvements - As processes, parts, and products
become more standardized, efficiency tends to increase. When employees specialize in a limited set of
tasks, they gain more experience with these tasks and operate at a faster rate.
• Technology-Driven Learning - Automated production technology and information technology can
introduce efficiencies as they are implemented and people learn how to use them efficiently and effectively.
• Better use of equipment - as total production has increased, manufacturing equipment will have been
more fully exploited, lowering fully accounted unit costs. In addition, purchase of more productive
equipment can be justifiable.
• Changes in the resource mix - As a company acquires experience, it can alter its mix of inputs and
thereby become more efficient.
• Product redesign - As the manufacturers and consumers have more experience with the product, they
can usually find improvements. This filters through to the manufacturing process. A good example of this is
Cadillac's testing of various "bells and whistles" specialty accessories. The ones that did not break became
mass produced in other General Motors products; the ones that didn't stand the test of user "beatings"
were discontinued, saving the car company money. As General Motors produced more cars, they learned
IMPROVEMENT CURVE ANALYSIS
Strategic consequences of the effect
• The BCG strategists examined the consequences of the experience effect for
businesses. They concluded that because relatively low cost of operations is a very
powerful strategic advantage, firms should capitalize on these learning and
experience effects. The reasoning is increased activity leads to increased learning,
which leads to lower costs, which can lead to lower prices, which can lead to
increased market share, which can lead to increased profitability and market
dominance.
• According to BCG, the most effective business strategy was one of striving for
market dominance in this way. This was particularly true when a firm had an early
leadership in market share. It was claimed that if you cannot get enough market
share to be competitive, you should get out of that business and concentrate your
resources where you can take advantage of experience effects and gain dominant
market share.
• One consequence of the experience curve effect is that cost savings should be
IMPROVEMENT/LEARNING CURVE
IMPROVEMENT CURVE ANALYSIS
• In the late 1960s Bruce Henderson of the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) began to
emphasize the implications of the experience curve for strategy. Research by BCG
in the 1970s observed experience curve effects for various industries that ranged
from 10 to 25 percent.
• A curve that depicts a 15% cost reduction for every doubling of output is called an
“85% experience curve”, indicating that unit costs drop to 85% of their original level.
IMPROVEMENT CURVE ANALYSIS
REASONS
• Labour efficiency - Workers become physically more dexterous. They become mentally more confident
and spend less time hesitating, learning, experimenting, or making mistakes. Over time they learn short-
cuts and improvements. This applies to all employees and managers, not just those directly involved in
production.
• Standardization, specialization, and methods improvements - As processes, parts, and products
become more standardized, efficiency tends to increase. When employees specialize in a limited set of
tasks, they gain more experience with these tasks and operate at a faster rate.
• Technology-Driven Learning - Automated production technology and information technology can
introduce efficiencies as they are implemented and people learn how to use them efficiently and effectively.
• Better use of equipment - as total production has increased, manufacturing equipment will have been
more fully exploited, lowering fully accounted unit costs. In addition, purchase of more productive
equipment can be justifiable.
• Changes in the resource mix - As a company acquires experience, it can alter its mix of inputs and
thereby become more efficient.
• Product redesign - As the manufacturers and consumers have more experience with the product, they
can usually find improvements. This filters through to the manufacturing process. A good example of this is
Cadillac's testing of various "bells and whistles" specialty accessories. The ones that did not break became
mass produced in other General Motors products; the ones that didn't stand the test of user "beatings"
were discontinued, saving the car company money. As General Motors produced more cars, they learned
IMPROVEMENT CURVE ANALYSIS
Strategic consequences of the effect
• The BCG strategists examined the consequences of the experience effect for
businesses. They concluded that because relatively low cost of operations is a very
powerful strategic advantage, firms should capitalize on these learning and
experience effects. The reasoning is increased activity leads to increased learning,
which leads to lower costs, which can lead to lower prices, which can lead to
increased market share, which can lead to increased profitability and market
dominance.
• According to BCG, the most effective business strategy was one of striving for
market dominance in this way. This was particularly true when a firm had an early
leadership in market share. It was claimed that if you cannot get enough market
share to be competitive, you should get out of that business and concentrate your
resources where you can take advantage of experience effects and gain dominant
market share.
• One consequence of the experience curve effect is that cost savings should be
GAME THEORY
GAME THEORY
• What if you could make good predictions about how competitors will respond to your actions?
• What if you could take this into account BEFORE taking action to make sure that that action is
in your best interest?
• And better still, what if you could do this with a "scientific" method, rather than just with guess-
work?
WHAT IS GAME THEORY?
• Bad news:
Knowing game theory does not guarantee winning
• Good news:
Framework for thinking about strategic interaction
GAMES WE PLAY
• Group projects
• Traffic
GAMES BUSINESSES PLAY
• Market entry
• Drug testing
• Supply chains
• Corporate takeovers
• Patent races
• Stock options
• OPEC output
WHY STUDY GAME THEORY?
• “Game theory forces you to see a business situation over many periods from
two perspectives: yours and your competitor’s.”
• Judy Lewent – CFO, Merck
• “Game theory can explain why oligopolies tend to be unprofitable, the cycle
of over capacity and overbuilding, and the tendency to execute real options
earlier than optimal.”
• Tom Copeland – Director of Corporate Finance, McKinsey
APPLICATIONS
COMMANDMENT
Never assume that your opponents’
behavior is fixed.
Predict their reaction to your behavior
DECISION THEORY VS. GAME THEORY
It is only
a
dollar more
for
• Check splitting policy changes incentives.
me!
DEFINING THE GAME
CAVEAT
Predict opponents’ reaction to your behavior.
BUT
Be sure you understand who your opponents are.
(Do you know everyone who may react to your
decisions?)
SUMMARY
DEFINING THE GAME
•Best outcome for either company: Develop the new widget, and for its competitor to do nothing.
•If either company does nothing - it risks a large drop in income of nearly 50% if the other company develops the new product.
•If it goes ahead - might do extremely well if the other company does nothing, or experience a relatively smaller drop in income, if the
other company goes ahead too.
•Wise option - to go ahead, however managers need to be careful to prepare for the possible downsides that could occur if their
competitors also develop new products.
• Tip:
When thinking about what your competitor will do, assume that he or
she will make the best possible choice for themselves. Don't assume
that their decision will be random!
ACTIVITY
Strategy Efficiency
Risk
Management
Product/ Service
CUSTOME
Attributes
VALUE
Quality, Price,
Time
PROCESS
• Separate inputs, calculations, reports • Consistent use of columns across sheets • Do not use balancing figures or `fudges’
• Start model development with reports • Consistent formulae across rows • Use check totals where a relationship exists
• Each cell contains only data or a formula, never both • Consistent layout between the results of separate calculations
• Model logic should flow top to bottom, front to back
• Avoid using circular referencing • Build models using small and simple logical steps • Protect all areas which do not contain input data
between input data and reports from alteration
• Split complex formulae into their constituent
parts
VERSION CONTROL
160
BEST PRACTICE
WRITING / PRESENTATION
GEORGE ORWELL’S RULES FOR
GROUND RULES
CLEAR WRITING
4. BACKUPS
Do Don’t
2. GETTING THE DATA − Give detailed sources as per the SCI style − Forget to make a note of or to save data
slide from the web that you will not be able
Do Don’t − Not “Datamonitor” but “Datamonitor, to find again in three months
Midrange System Sales by Vendor, 6 Sept • be specific about web sources e.g.
− Spend time with the client to understand − Issue verbal data requests 01” `www.ft.com’ not `FT website’
what data they have, how it is organised − Forget to follow up data requests − Build too many stand-alone,
and how quickly it can be retrieved − Make your assumptions clear
complicated models of which you will
− Be clear about what data you need and why lose track
− Be specific in date requests and agree a
timetable for receiving data
DO’S AND DON’TS
Do Don’t
− Keep the story together; don’t show − Use slides that are half-finished
factoids (applies to blanks, handdrawns,
− Mark slides clearly as needed produced slides)
• ‘Work in Progress’ − Get caught with spelling mistakes,
sloppy grammar or imprecise text
• ‘Preliminary’
• ‘Illustrative’
LEARNING OUTCOME
▪ Annual reports
▪ Analyzing Financial statements
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
• Ratio Analysis
• Valuation - DCF
• Vertical & Horizontal
Annual Reports and their interpretation
168
Every Limited Company prepares an annual report on Chairman's statement: -
its accounts and state of affairs. The annual report • It is an important medium through which company's management
comprises : - communicates with its shareholders, prospective investors and
✔ Notice of Annual General Meeting others interested in the performance and prospects of the company.
• Highlights of the company's performance, future plans, industrial
✔ Chairman's statement relations, company's position in the industry, research and
✔ Director's Report development efforts, etc.
✔ Auditors Report • Investors should make a thorough study of such statements.
✔ Balance Sheet
✔ Profit and Loss Account
✔ Notes on Accounts
169
Every Limited Company prepares an annual report on Auditors Report: -
its accounts and state of affairs. The annual report • Every company is subject to audit and an auditor
comprises : - makes a report to the members of the company on its
✔ Notice of Annual General Meeting state of affairs.
✔ Chairman's statement • It is a comment on accounts and on balance sheet and
✔ Director's Report profit and loss account and other documents attached
✔ Auditors Report to the financial statements, which are laid in the
✔ Balance Sheet AGM.
✔ Profit and Loss Account • Auditors report to shareholders contains an opinion
✔ Notes on Accounts as to whether the financial statements present a true
and fair view of the state of affairs of the company, in
case of a balance sheet and of profit or loss in case of
profit and loss account.
• They also report whether the books of accounts are in
agreement and whether there is any deviation from
generally accepted accounting principles.
• It indicates the areas to which shareholders and
investors must give due attention while assessing the
financial strength of the company whose securities
are being considered for investment.
170
Every Limited Company prepares an annual report on Director's Report:
its accounts and state of affairs. The annual report • Director's report is a report submitted by the directors of a
company to its shareholders, appraising them of the
comprises : -
performance of the company under its direction. It is an
✔ Notice of Annual General Meeting exercise of self-evaluation.
✔ Chairman's statement • Director's report expresses the opinion of directors on the state
✔ Director's Report of the company, explains performance and the financial
✔ Auditors Report results, discusses company's plans for expansion,
✔ Balance Sheet diversification or modernization, tells about appropriation of
✔ Profit and Loss Account profits, elaborates company's future prospects and plans for
investments.
✔ Notes on Accounts • The director's report talks about developments that have
happened after the balance-sheet date.
• Other than the financials, it talks about expansion plans,
employee productivity and near-term growth plans.
• It also mentions the products and services introduced during
the year and their potential, besides abnormal expenditures or
negatives that have hit margins.
• Then there is an assessment of the current year's prospects,
which is important for fundamental analysis.
171
Every Limited Company prepares an annual report on Report on Corporate Governance
its accounts and state of affairs. The annual report It includes disclosures about board of directors, appointment
of nonexecutive directors, constraints imposed on management
comprises : -
power and ownership concentration, financial information and
✔ Notice of Annual General Meeting executive compensation. The level of transparency, fairness and
✔ Chairman's statement accountability in dealings with the constituents of the business
✔ Director's Report shows how stable and strong the company is.
✔ Auditors Report
✔ Balance Sheet
✔ Profit and Loss Account Management Discussion
The Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), usually put
✔ Notes on Accounts at the start of the annual report, is supposed to be a frank
commentary on the management's outlook about the company.
Notes to Accounts
These non-financial notes relate to details about financial
numbers and are extremely important for appropriate
interpretation of the company's financials.
Contingent Liabilities
Contingent liabilities are possible future liabilities. Contingent
liabilities give a sense of the risk and concerns associated with
key assumptions made during the analysis
172
AN APPROACH TO READING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
STEP 1 : Making yourself knowledgeable about the environment in which the company operates
in now and its direction in the future
STEP 2: Have a look to the statement of comprehensive income and the statement of financial
position and assess the size of the company and its profitability. Read: “To Our Stockholders”
letter and/or President/CEO letter
•Are Earnings or Sales down?
•Is the Market down?
•Look for Alibis and Excuses
Read between the lines...What’s your “gut” feeling?
STEP 3:Turn to the notes to the financial statements. Read the accounting policies which are
used for any items which have attracted your attention in the financial statements. look for the
notes which elaborate on any amounts which have come to your attention in the financial
statements. Read the Management’s Discussion & Analysis (MD&A section)
AN APPROACH TO READING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
STEP 5: Read the audit report to see if the audit opinion has been modified or contains some
other communication by the auditor.
– Read the Auditor’s Statement
• Read enough to recognize “normal” verbiage
• Look for exceptions -- References to footnotes should be investigated
• Look for softening of the language used in prior years reports
• Warning Words:
–“subject to. . .” “except for. . .”
STEP 6:
Compare the company Data with --
–S&P 500
–Industry Averages (Peer Group)
TIPS
• Look for outliers
• When you’ve collected a large amount of data on a particular aspect of your problem,
look for outliers— things that are especially good or bad. Use a computer to get a quick
picture. For example, suppose you are collecting data on your company’s sales force.
Enter the average sales of each salesperson and divide it by the number of accounts
served by that salesperson for, say, the last three years; this gives you the average sales
per account. Type the data into your favorite spreadsheet software and sort the averages
from lowest to highest. Then look at the two or three best and worst figures.
Congratulations, you’ve just found a fruitful area for research. Figure out why the
numbers are so good or bad and you’ll be well on your way to fixing the problem.
• Look for best practice
• There’s an old saying that no matter how good you are at something, there’s always
somebody better. This is as true in business as it is anywhere else. Find out what the
best performers in the industry are doing and imitate them. Often, this is the quickest
antidote to poor performance. Talk to other people in the industry: suppliers, customers,
Wall Street analysts, friends from business school, and so forth. Sometimes you can find
best practice within your company.
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS EAGLE PERSPECTIVE
177
RATIO COVERAGE
✔ Liquidity Ratio-Current Ratio, Acid Test Ratio, Net Working Capital
178
WHAT TO LOOK IN P&L
Revenue Costs
• Revenue from operations • COGS
• Operating Margin-Business risk • Depreciation
• Net profit margin-Business+Financial • Employee cost
Risk • SGA
• EBIT
• EBITDA
WHAT TO LOOK IN A BALANCE SHEET
Asset Liabilities
• Cash • Overdraft
• Debtors-A/c receivables • Short term borrowings.
• Stock-Inventories . • Trade creditors-A/C payables
• Net Block • Tax Payables
• Long term debt
• Long term bank borrowings.
• Equity & Retained earnings
WHAT TO LOOK IN CASH FLOW STATEMENT
183