Informational Presentation Chicken Little and the Sky is Falling!!!!! or The Next Major Disaster?
Which is it?
When have we asked this before?
May 20, 1980 Not if…..but WHEN Influenza pandemics are inevitable
They recur at more-or-less cyclical intervals
Definition
Epidemic: An increase in disease
above what is normally expected Pandemic: A worldwide epidemic How Do Influenza Pandemics Arise?
When avian influenza viruses experience sudden
changes in genetic structure And
Are capable of infecting humans
And
Can reproduce and spread from person to person….a
pandemic occurs Excess US Deaths in Previous Influenza Pandemics
1918-19: Spanish 500,000 - 650,000
Ten times as many Americans died of flu than died in WW I
1957-58: Asian 70,000
1968-69: Hong Kong 40,000
Typical annual influenza season: 36,000
Phases of a Pandemic World Health Organization
Mitigation and Preparedness Response
Phase I Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 Phase 6
Interpandemic Pandemic Alert Pandemic
Declared globally by the World Health Organization
Declared nationally by the Department of Health and Human Services Current Outbreak: Avian Influenza (H5N1) Began in fall, 2003
238 confirmed human cases; 139 deaths in
10 countries as of 8/14/06
No efficient person-to-person transmission
Isolated human disease
Outbreak spreading in birds, not controlled
Estimated National Impact
Up to 200 million people infected
40 - 90 million people clinically ill
20 - 46 million (low range estimate only)
outpatient medical visits
104,000 – 2,200,000 deaths
Many geographic areas affected at the same time
Pandemic Impact Consequences will effect all organizations: Extreme staffing shortages (30%) Impacts on Law Enforcement: 25% - 35% of officers absent due to illness, death, caring for family members 911 dispatch centers operating with reduced staff, higher call volumes Large numbers of people unable to purchase food, pay bills – high unemployment and schools closed Potential for civil unrest over weeks / months Hospitals may become high security areas No mutual aid available Impacts on Transit / Transportation 25% - 35% of drivers, maintenance crews, leadership absent due to illness, death, caring for family members Mechanics unavailable to affect repairs Fuel deliveries reduced in frequency or erratic Contractors normally relied upon also impacted Assumptions • Illness will spread quickly and globally
• No vaccine (or very limited) for first 6 to 8 months antivirals will
also be very limited
• Health care delivery system may be overwhelmed with significant
mortality and morbidity
• Two or three waves likely
• Extreme workplace staffing shortages (30%) due to illness, death,
or caring for family members Pandemic Planning Group 1. Develop a District Plan for a Pandemic Flu Event (60 days) 2. Roles of Each Member (Prevent,Prepare,Response,Recovery) 1. Incident Commander and Communications -Robert Shipek 2. Public Information Officer-John Cerna 3. Liaison Officer with Outside Agencies -Steve Myers 4. Health Service - Susan Vahlakis 5. Transportation - Dave Beltran 6. Food Services - Renee Miles 7. Buildings and Grounds and Custodial -Manuel Orozco 8. Logistics and Fiscal -Dave Andrews 9. Human Resources and Legal Issues -Jo-Ellen Thomas 10. Liaison with Building Principals - Matt Piper 11. Liaison with Certified Staff –Erinne Steinmetz 12. Liaison with building and district level secretarial staff -Nora Flores 13. Liaison with PSE Staff- Debbie Voorhees Prepare for difficult HR issues
If offices are closed, will staff be paid?
If staff are needed, can they refuse to come to work? If required to report, what protective equipment, if any, will be provided? Can employer force someone who may be ill NOT to work? (Employees without sick leave may try to work while ill.) Influenza Prevention What Can We Do? Specific Recommendations: Infection Control in Schools : Pandemic preparedness planning
Distribution of educational messages
and infection control guidance
Social distancing: people stay home when ill
Promotion of respiratory etiquette
Provision of materials for respiratory hygiene/
etiquette: tissues and disposal receptacles Respiratory Etiquette: Not just being polite! Pandemic Preparedness Responsibilities of Parents
Store an extended supply of food and water at home
Store nonprescription drugs and health supplies at home
Plan with family members about the following:
• Caring for loved ones who get sick
• Caring for children if the schools are closed
• Other impacts on your life if you need to stay at home
for an extended period of time Pandemic Preparedness Responsibilities of Group Leaders
3. Continuity of Operations Planning
Identify key functions
Cross train staff
Identify telecommuting opportunities
Review HR policies (sick leave, flex shifts)
Identify ways to maintain payroll functions
Make alcohol gel, disinfectant wipes available
Who will help us? Little or no state and federal assistance Local government also limited in what it can do to assist citizens Churches, neighbors, friends and families would need to help each other Vulnerable groups would need extra assistance Advance planning and stockpiling of necessities could help. Key Steps for District Preparedness: Mitigation
Identify a district committee to provide support and guidance to
schools
Review communicable disease policy and procedures
(communication, human resource management, prevention messages, reporting)
Develop pandemic flu plan including school closure plan
Key Steps for District Preparedness: Action
Review current public health, district and school pandemic
flu plans
Continue staff, student and parent education
Implement incident command protocol
Key Steps for District Preparedness: Response
Track and report absenteeism
Ensure information is translated
Activate incident command management
System Document actions taken Conduct debriefings Incident Command System Mitigation and Prevention
Preparedness
Response
Recovery How Ready Are We?
Used with permission of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune
"Every day a pandemic doesn't happen is another day we have to prepare.”