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FORWARDS, FUTURES,
SWAPS AND
MANAGEMENT OF
INTEREST RATE RISK
Topic highlights
Part I
1) OTC forward market vs. Organized futures market
2) Mechanics of Futures Trading
3) Why firms hedge?
4) Hedging concepts
5) Stock Market Hedge using Stock Index Futures
Part II
6) Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs)
7) Interest Rate Futures
8) Interest Rate Options: Cap, Floor, Collar
9) Interest Rate Swaps
Over-the-Counter (OTC) Forward Market
• customized
• private negotiation
• essentially unregulated
• higher credit risk
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. Ch. 38: 3
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Organized Futures Trading
• Contract Development
• Contract Terms and Conditions
– contract size
– quotation unit
– minimum price fluctuation
– trading hours
• Delivery Terms
– delivery date and time
– delivery or cash settlement by ‘close out’
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. Ch. 48: 4
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Organized Futures Trading
• Daily Price Limits and Trading Halts
– limit moves (max and min price at which a contract can
trade during a day prevent margin accounts from being
depleted so quickly that losses cannot be covered)
– circuit breakers (restrict trading after prices have moved by
specified amounts during the day permit market to ‘cool
off’ and avoid panic trading, allow additional margins to be
collected through margin calls)
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. Ch. 58: 5
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
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Mechanics of Futures Trading
• Placing an Order
– pit
– open outcry
– electronic systems
• The Role of the Clearinghouse
– margin deposits
– reduces credit risk
– https://qz.com/871648/cme-group-cme-is-closing-the-
last-of-new-yorks-commodity-trading-pits-on-dec-30/
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. Ch. 88: 8
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
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Mechanics of Futures Trading
• Daily Settlement
– initial margin
– maintenance margin
– settlement price
– variation margin
– open interest: number of contracts outstanding
24
Stock Market Hedge using
Stock Index Futures
Solution:
• Price of one futures contract on March 31 = $250(1,305) =
$326,250.
• Optimal number of index futures contracts to hedge portfolio’s
market risk Nf = – (
( S/f) (S/f) = – (1.06/1)
($7,725,425/$326,250) = – 25.10 contracts
• Decision: Short 25 S&P 500 index futures on March 31.
• Come July 27, the market value of stocks in the portfolio
declined by $7,725,425 – $7,518,700 = $206,725, or a loss of
2.68%.
25
Stock Market Hedge using
Stock Index Futures
• Come July 27, buy 25 S&P 500 index futures contracts to
close out position.
Profit from futures contracts = (1,305 – 1,295.40)($250)(25)
= $60,000
• Hedge Efficiency ratio = $60,000 / $206,725 *100% = 29.02%
26
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. 27 27
Ch. 11:
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Interest Rate Risk
• This is the risk faced owing to adverse movement in
interest rates.
• Interest rate risk may be borne if firms or individuals borrow
funds with floating interest rate. Here the risk is that
changes in interest rates can change the cost of capital or
financing.
• On the other hand, interest rate risk may also be borne if
firms or individuals invest in interest-bearing assets, where
the rate of return depends on changes in interest rates.
• Derivatives as tools to manage interest rate risk: forward
rate agreements (FRAs), interest rate futures, interest rate
options, interest rate swap, swaptions.
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Interest Rate Risk
• The payoff of a derivative on a bond is based on the
price of the bond relative to a fixed price.
• The payoff of a derivative on an interest rate is based
on the interest rate relative to a fixed interest rate.
• In some cases these can be shown to be the same,
particularly in the case of a discount instrument. In
most other cases, however, a derivative on an interest
rate is a different instrument than a derivative on a
bond.
29
Forward Rate Agreements
• Definition: A forward contract in which the underlying
is an interest rate
• A FRA can work better than a forward or futures on a
bond, because its payoff is tied directly to the source
of risk, i.e. the interest rate.
• FRA is an over-the-counter agreement between two
parties, to lock-in an interest rate for a short period of
time.
• FRAs offer companies the facility to fix future interest
rates today on either borrowing or lending/investing
for a specific future period.
35
If actual LIBOR rate turns out to be 1.00% on day 30 (lower than
agreed FRA rate of 5.00%)
• FRA settlement in arrears = $20,000,000 (0.01 – 0.05)(90/360)
= -$200,000
The company pay compensation to FRA seller.
• FRA settlement at initiation = -$200,000 / [1 + 0.01(90/360)
= -$199,501
• The company borrow at LIBOR + 1.00% repayment amount due on
the loan = $20,000,000 [1 + (0.01 + 0.01)(90/360)]
= $20,100,000
• Total amount paid = $20,100,000 + $200,000 = $20,300,000
• Effective annual cost of borrowing with FRA hedge
= ($20,300,000 / $20,000,000)365/90 – 1 = 0.0622 = 6.22%
• Effective annual cost of borrowing without FRA hedge
= ($20,100,000 / $20,000,000)365/90 – 1 = 0.0204 = 2.04%
36
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. 37 37
Ch. 13:
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Forward Rate Agreements
• The above example is a ‘1 x 3’ FRA.
• Hedging the interest rate risk with FRA has stabilize the net
total interest payment regardless of what the eventual LIBOR
interest rate turns out.
38
Interest Rate Futures
• Definition: a standardized exchange traded contract on
interest rates. It is widely used due to the high liquidity of
interest rate futures markets, simplicity in use, and the
rather common interest rate exposure that companies
possess.
• Price of interest rate futures = 100 – interest rate
• Decision Rule:
Borrower Short interest rate futures to hedge
Lender / Investor Long interest rate futures to
hedge
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Interest Rate Futures
• Summary:
Exposure Futures position Interest rates Futures price
Borrower Short futures today Increase Decrease (Gain)
Decrease Increase (Loss)
Investor Long futures today Increase Decrease (Loss)
Decrease Increase (Gain)
40
Interest Rate Futures
Example 1
Suppose a company has RM5,000,000 on short-term
deposit with 3-months’ rollover. The company is worried
that come next rollover in December, the interest rate
would have decreased. Current interest rate is 4% and
December interest rate futures priced at 96. Show how
the interest rate risk may be hedged using futures if
come December, interest rate is 2.5% and December
interest rate futures priced at 97.30. December interest
rate futures has a contract size of RM1,000,000 and 3-
month maturity.
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Solution:
• Number of contracts = deposit amount / contract size
= RM5m / RM1m = 5 contracts
• Hedge by purchasing 5 December KLIBOR futures priced
at 96 today.
• Come December, deposit is rolled over at 2.5%.
Loss (less interest income)
= (4% – 2.5%) x RM5m x 3/12 = RM18,750
• Close-out the futures position by selling 5 December
futures at 97.30.
Profit per futures contract = 97.30 – 96 = 1.30%. This is
equivalent to 130 ticks. (KLIBOR futures 1 tick = RM25)
Profit from futures = 130 x 5 contracts x RM25
= RM16,250
• Hedge Efficiency ratio = 16,250 / 18,750 = 86.66%
42
Interest Rate Futures
Example 2
Suppose a company has RM10,000,000 short-term
borrowings on 6-months’ rollover. The company is
worried that come next rollover in December, the interest
rate would have increased. Current interest rate is 7%
and December interest rate futures priced at 93.25.
Show how interest rate risk may be hedged using futures
if come December, interest rate is 8% and December
futures priced at 92.50. December futures has a contract
size of $1,000,000 and 3-month maturity.
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Solution:
• Number of contracts = loan amount / contract size
= RM10m / RM1m = 10 contracts
However, since the borrowing 6-months rollover whereas
KLIBOR futures has 3-month maturity cycle, number of contracts
needed for hedging = 10 x 6/3 = 20 contracts
• Hedge by selling 20 Dec KLIBOR futures priced at 93.25.
• Come December, borrowing is rolled over at 8%.
Loss (extra interest payment)
= (8% – 7%) x RM10m x 6/12 = RM50,000
• Close-out the futures position by purchasing 20 Dec futures at
92.50.
Profit per futures contract = 93.25 – 92.50 = 0.75%. This is
equivalent to 75 ticks. (KLIBOR futures 1 tick = RM25)
Profit from futures = 75 x 20 contracts x RM25
= RM37,500
• Hedge Efficiency ratio = 37,500 / 50,000 = 75%
44
Interest Rate Options
• Definition: an option in which the underlying is an
interest rate; it provides the rights to make a fixed
interest payment and receive a floating interest
payment or the rights to make a floating interest
payment and receive a fixed interest payment.
• The fixed rate is called the exercise rate.
• Most are European-style.
54
Chance/Brooks An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, 8th ed. 55 55
Ch. 13:
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Interest Rate Options
• Interest Rate Collar
– A borrower using a long cap can combine it with a
short floor so that the floor premium offsets the cap
premium. If the floor premium precisely equals the
cap premium, there is no cash cost up front. This is
called a zero-cost collar.
– The exercise rate on the floor is set so that the
premium on the floor offsets the premium on the cap.
– By selling the floor, however, the borrower gives up
gains from falling interest rates below the floor
exercise rate.
– Refer to Table 13.9 for example.
58
Interest Rate Swaps
• The Structure of a Typical Interest Rate Swap
• Example: On December 15 XYZ enters into $50
million NP swap with ABSwaps. Payments will be
on 15th of March, June, September, December for
one year, based on LIBOR. XYZ will pay 7.5%
fixed and ABSwaps will pay LIBOR. Interest based
on exact day count and 360 days (30 per month). In
general the cash flow to the fixed payer will be
Days
(Notional principal) (LIBOR - Fixed rate)
360 or 365
Days
($50,000,0 00)(LIBOR - 0.075)
360
66
Interest Rate Swaps
Finding Swap Rate
Example
Suppose we are given the yields of zero-coupon bonds (strips) as
of today (time 0)
Maturity (months) Zero-coupon yield
6 5.50%
12 5.70%
18 5.90%
24 6.20%
30 6.50%
Assume that floating rate reset is every 6 months. What is the swap
rate on a 2-year generic interest rate swap?
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S o lu t io n :
Firs t le g
At t = 0
We kn o w 6 -m o n t h s s p o t r a t e = 5 .5 0 %
At t = 6 m o n th s
Flo a t in g in t e r e s t w ill b e p a id a t 5 .5 0 %
S o , fo r a 6 -m o n th s b o n d , th e P V o f a $ 1 b o n d is
$1
=$ 0 .9 7 3 2
1 0.055
2
S e c o n d le g
Be tw e e n t = 6 a n d t = 1 2 m o n t h s
Le t a % b e t h e in t e r e s t r a t e b e tw e e n 6 a n d 1 2 m o n th s
We kn o w t h a t fo r 1 2 m o n t h s r a te to d a y, th e s p o t r a t e = 5 .7 0 %
He n c e , to m a in ta in e q u ilib r iu m , t h e in t e r e s t r a t e fo r th e s e c o n d
le g c a n b e c a lc u la t e d a s
2
0.055 a% 0.057
1 1 1
2 2 2
S o lvin g fo r a %, w e g e t a = 0 .0 5 9 0 0 2 o r 5 .9 0 0 2 %
S o , fo r a 1 2 -m o n th s b o n d , t h e P V o f a $ 1 b o n d is
$1 1 0.055
2
1
1 0.059
2
1
$0.9453
We c a n w o r k o u t s im ila r ly fo r t h e 3 r d a n d 4 t h le g s .
68
This s umma rize s to b e
Time Forwa rd ra te s Ze ro p ric e s x×y
(%) (x) (y) ($)
6 5.5000 0.9732 0.0535
12 5.9002 0.9453 0.0558
18 6.3006 0.9165 0.0577
24 7.1026 0.8850 0.0629
Sub -tota l 3.7201 0.2299
The e ffe c tive s wa p ra te is found b y xy 0.2299 0.061802 or
y 3.7201
6.1802%.
69