Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ORGANIZATIONAL
STRUCTURE AND INTERNATIONAL
CONTROLS STRATEGY
CORPORATE COOPERATIVE
GOVERNANCE STRATEGY
STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
FORECASTING
• Forecasting is the process of predicting changing conditions and
future events that may significantly affect the business of an
organization.
• Forecasting is important to both planning and decision making.
• Forecasting is used in a variety of areas such as: production
planning, budgeting, strategic planning, sales analysis, inventory
control, marketing planning, logistics planning, and purchasing
among others.
METHODS OF FORECASTING
JUDGEMENTA
QUANTITIVE QUALITITIVE
L
FORECASTING FORECASTING
FORECASTING
Explanatory or causal models attempt to identify the major variables that are related to or
have caused particular past conditions and then use current measures of those variables
(predictors) to predict future conditions.
METHODS OF FORECASTING
JUDGEMENTA
QUANTITIVE QUALITITIVE
L
FORECASTING FORECASTING
FORECASTING
Delphi Method: This method involves taking opinions from experts through
questionnaires and then using it into a forecast.
METHODS OF FORECASTING
JUDGEMENTA
QUANTITIVE QUALITITIVE
L
FORECASTING FORECASTING
FORECASTING
The jury of executive opinion is one of the two judgmental forecasting model. It
is a means of forecasting in which organization executives hold a meeting and
estimate, as a group, a forecast for a particular item.
The Sales-force composite is a means of forecasting that is used
mainly to predict future sales and typically involves obtaining the views of
various salespeople, sales managers, and/or distributors regarding the
sales outlook
CHOOSING AND FORECASTING METHODS
Quantitative Forecasting Technological Forecasting Judgmental Forecasting
Methods Methods Methods
Have a short-to-medium time Have a medium-to-long time horizon Have a short-to-long time horizon
horizon
Require a short period of time Require a medium-to-long time Require a short time
if a method is developed
The choice of which
Often have high development Have medium development costs Have low development costs
costs forecasting method to
use depends upon the
Are high in accuracy in Are of medium accuracy in Are of medium-to-high accuracy
identifying patterns needs within
identifying patterns particular in identifying patterns
Are low in accuracy in
forecasting situations.
Are of medium accuracy in Are of low accuracy in predicting
predicting turning points for predicting turning points turning points
time series, but medium for
other methods
Are difficult to understand Are easily understood. Are of low accuracy in predicting
turning points
INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY
International Strategy: a strategy through which the firm sells
its goods or services outside its domestic market
INTERNATIONAL
BUSINESS - INTERNATIONAL
LEVEL STRATEGY CORPORATE - LEVEL
STRATEGY
ENVIRONMENTAL
TRENDS
Regionalization: Is a
business strategy that
maintains focus on a particular
region or area as such, this
approach employs
differentiation based on
regions.
CHOICE OF INTERNATIONAL ENTRY MODE
WHAT’S THE BEST SOLUTIONS?
The firm’s intellectual
property rights in an
emerging economy are
WHOLLY
not well OWNEDthe
protected,
numberSUBSIDIARY
of firms in the
(GREENFIELD
industry is growing
The firm must act fast, andVENTURE)
the need for
The firm has no
quickly to gain global integration is foreign
rapid access to high. manufacturing
ACQUISITION
this new market, expertise andEXPORTING
requires
where corruption investment only in
is not an issue. distribution.
CHOICE OF
INTERNATIONAL
ENTRY MODE
The firm needs to
The firm needs to
STRATEGIC
reduce its risk facilitate the
through
ALLAINCEthe product
sharing of costs. LICENSING
improvements
The firm needs to
connect with an
necessary to enter
STRATEGIC
experienced foreign markets.
ALLIANCE
partner already in
the targeted
market.
RISKS IN AN INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC
POLITICAL RISK
RISK
Government instability Foremost economic risk - currency volatility
Conflict or war Currency effect on the prices of globally
manufactured goods, thus exports/imports
International diversification: Firm expands sales of its goods or services across the borders of global
regions and countries into different geographic locations or markets
Many factors contribute to the positive effects of international diversification:
• Private versus government ownership
• Economies of scale and experience
• Location advantages
• Increased market size
• Opportunity to stabilize returns, which helps reduce a firm’s overall risk
• Exposure to new products and markets
• Opportunity to integrate new knowledge into operations
• Generation of resources to sustain innovation efforts
• The relationship among international geographic diversification, innovation, and returns is complex
THE CHALLENGE OF INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIES
THE COMPLEXITY OF MANAGING LIMITS TO INTERNATIONAL EXPANSION
INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIES There are several reasons that explain the limits to
Complexity of managing multinational firms–six the positive effects of the diversification associated
considerations: with international strategies
Complexity
Geographic Logistical Logistical of
Cultural Geographic
costs competition
dispersion costs diversity dispersion
Cultural Relationship
Costs of Trade Host Trade
diversity and between firm
coordination barriers Government barriers
barriers and host
country
STRATEGIC ALLIANCE AS A PRIMARY
TYPE OF COOPERATIVE STRATEGY
Strategic Alliance: Cooperative strategy in which firms combine
resources and capabilities to create a competitive advantage
THREE TYPES OF MAJOR STRATEGIC ALLIANCES
DIVERSIFYING STRATEGIC
FRANCHISING SYNERGISTIC STRATEGIC ALLIANCE
ALLIANCE
1. INADEQUATE CONTRACTS
2. MISREPRESENTATION OF
1. DETAILED
COMPETENCIES CONTRACTS AND
3. PARTNERS FAIL TO USE MONITORING
THEIR COMPLEMENTARY CREATING VALUE
RESOURCES 2. DEVELOPING
4. HOLDING ALLIANCE TRUSTING
PARTNERS SPECIFIC
INVESTMENT HOSTAGE RELATIONSHIPS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Corporate Governance: A set of mechanisms used to manage the relationships (and
conflicting interests) among stakeholders, and to determine and control the strategic direction and
performance of organizations (aligning strategic decisions with company values)
When CEOs are motivated to act in the best interests of the firm—particularly, the shareholders—the
company’s value should increase.
GOVERNANCE
It is important to serve the interests of theMECHANISMS
firm’s multiple MARKET FOR • External governance: a
stakeholder groups! CORPORATE
AND ETHICAL mechanism consisting
• Capital Market CONTROL of a set of potential owners
BEHAVIOR seeking to acquire
Stakeholders
• Product Market undervalued firms and earn
Stakeholders above-average returns on
• Organizational their investments
Stakeholders
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
As stewards of an organization's resources, an effective and well-structured
board of directors can influence the performance of a firm:
I. Oversee managers to ensure the company is operated in ways to
maximize shareholder wealth
II. Direct the affairs of the organization
III. Punish and reward managers
IV. Protect shareholders’ rights and interests
V. Protect owners from managerial opportunism
THREE DIRECTOR CLASSIFICATION:
Related outsiders:
Outsiders: Individuals
Individuals uninvolved
Insiders: The firm’s CEO who are independent of
with day-to-day
and other top-level operations, but who the firm’s day-to-day
managers have a relationship with operations and other
the firm relationships
EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION
Performance-Based Incentive-Based
compensation compensation Stock options
• Shareholder approval
STRATEGY STRUCTURE
Strategies do not take place against a characterless background but must take account of the
features of the organization in which they will be implemented. Organizational structures
determine what actions are feasible and most optimal. The importance of organizational structures
in the implementation of a strategy is hard to overemphasize. Good strategy involves taking
account of where a company finds itself in terms of the external market and its internal
organizational structure. Strategy and implementation must cohere .