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Abhinav Rajverma
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Time Value of Money
A rupee today is worth more than a rupee in the future.
Basic Concepts
• Timelines & CFs
• Nominal/Effective/Periodic Rates
• Compounding
• PV/FV of lumpsum
• PVF & FVF
• Annuities/Perpetuities
• Growing Perpetuity
Excel Functions
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Excel Functions
PV Function
Syntax = PV (rate, nper, pmt, [fv], [type])
FV Function
Syntax = FV (rate, nper, pmt, [pv], [type])
NPV Function
Syntax = NPV (rate, value1, value2…..)
PMT Function
Syntax = PMT (rate, nper, pv, [fv], [type])
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Modeling for Time and Risk
CFs Modeling
• Even Timeline
• Uneven
Time-difference between CFs
• Even
Timeline
• Uneven
Modeling for “r”
• Constant per period Equivalent Rate
• Not Constant - Bootstrapping
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Timeline
T0 T1 T2 T3
r = i%
CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3
“Modeling for risk (r)”: Find equivalent rate (r) for one period
Note: Time period may be of any time duration
Always draw a timeline to visualize the timing of CFs
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What is a rate (r) ?
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Present Value (PV)
What is ? How is value determined?
Subjective
Objective
Valuation (or CFs)
1. No Uncertainty – Complete Solution
2. Uncertainty – Partial Solution (approximation)
The Value is determined the same way, but how?
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Net of initial cost of investment
Captured by date 0 cashflow
PV (of future CFs) minus initial investment
Cashflows (CFs)
CFs can be positive or negative
Discount Rate?
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NPV Example
IRMA pays an annual electricity bill of ₹10,00,000. ABC
Calibrations offers to install a circuit system for ₹2,50,000 that
will reduce bills by ₹1,00,000 per annum for the next three years.
Is this a good investment? Assume the interest rate is 10%.
Year 0 1 2 3
CFs -250,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
₹ (-) 1,315
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Equivalent Periodic Rate Calculation
Þ=
Þ=
Þ=
10
Power of Compounding
𝐴 𝑇 = 𝐴 0 (1+ 𝑅/ 𝑚)𝑚𝑇
Compounding Value of 100
frequency (in 1 year at 10% nominal)
Annual (m=1) 110.000
Semi-annual (m=2) 110.250
Quarterly (m=4) 110.381
Monthly (m=12) 110.471
Weekly (m=52) 110.506
Daily (m=365) 110.516
Continuous Compounding ??
FV of a lumpsum
FVF =
PVF = 1/FVF =
12
Doubling Period
Rule of 72:
Doubling period = 72/Interest Rate
Rule of 69:
Doubling period = 0.35 + 69/Interest Rate
PV Excel Function
Syntax = PV (rate, nper, pmt, [fv], [type])
Example 1: You have an option of selecting either of the three
income. (1) ₹1000 after 2 years (2) ₹1080 after 3 years, and (3)
₹1200 after 5 years. Assuming a return of 10 percent,
compounded annually. What will be your selection?
FV Excel Function
Syntax = FV (rate, nper, pmt, [pv], [type])
Example 2: Assume, you invest ₹1000 today that earns a return
of 10 percent, compounded annually. How much worth is your
investment after year 2, year 3, and year 5?
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Annuity
An annuity is a series of identical payments at equal intervals.
Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
i%
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Annuity Formula
An annuity is a series of identical payments at equal intervals.
+ + ……. +
+ …….
𝐶
𝑟 ∗ 𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶 − 𝑇
(1 +𝑟 )
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Example: Ordinary Annuity (1/2)
Problem: Find the PV of a 3-year ordinary annuity of Rs.
1000 at 10%?
0 1 2 3
10%
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Example: Ordinary Annuity (2/2)
Problem: Find the PV of a 3-year ordinary annuity of Rs.
1000 at 10%?
Using Annuity Formula:
= 2486.9
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FV of Ordinary Annuity (1/2)
Problem: Find the FV of a 3-year ordinary annuity of Rs.
1000 at 10%?
0 1 2 3
10%
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FV of Ordinary Annuity (2/2)
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Perpetuity
A perpetuity is a series of identical CFs forever at equal intervals.
+ + …….
+ …….
𝑟 ∗ 𝑃𝑉 =𝐶
𝑷𝑽 =𝑪 /𝒓
*Dividend Discount Model (DDM) uses the concept of a perpetuity
Growing Perpetuity ??
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Uneven CFs
Q. Find PV of the CFs assuming expected return of 10% per period.
0 1 2 3
10%
-50 100 75 50
Solution:
• Get PV of all the CFs
• Add all the PVs to get NPV of the CFs
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Retirement problem
Scenario Solution
1. Retirement in 35 years
2. Deposit Rs. 25,000 every year 1. Time Period = 35 yrs
into an Index fund
2. PMT = Rs. 25,000
3. Returns expected = 12.1%
annually
3. Interest Rate = 12.1%
4. How much will you have on
retirement after 35 years?
4. FV = ? = Rs. 1,10,48,533
5. How much total cash will you
have to outlay to accumulate 5. Total cash outlay = 25,000 *
that much? 35 = Rs. 8,75,000
6. Calculate the lumpsum fund 6. Lump sum fund (PV) =
required to generate same FV*PVF = 1,10,48,533*
amount in 35 years. 0.018357 = Rs. 2,02,819
Takeaways
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Thank You
for
Your Time
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