• Rational decision making A decision making model that describes how individuals should behave in order to maximize some outcome • Bounded rationality A process of making decisions by constructing simplified models that extract the essential features from problems without capturing all their complexity • Intuitive decision making An unconscious process created out of distilled experience Common biases and errors in Decision Making • Anchoring bias A tendency to fixate on initial information, from which one then fails to adequately adjust for subsequent information • Confirmation bias Seeking information that reaffirms our past choices • Availability bias The tendency for people to base their judgments on information that is readily available • Escalation of commitment error Staying with a decision even when there is a clear evidence that it is wrong • Randomness error The tendency to believe we can predict the outcomes of uncertain events • Risk aversion error The tendency to prefer a sure thing over a risky outcome Thank You