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Chapter 11
Investment Decision
Criteria
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Copyright © 2021
2021 Pearson
Pearson Education
Education Ltd.
Ltd.
Learning Objectives (1 of 2)
1. Understand how to identify the sources and
types of profitable investment opportunities.
2. Evaluate investment opportunities using net
present value and describe why net present
value is the best measure to use.
k=
20% 0 1 2 3 4 5
Years −$3M +$0.5M +$0.75M +$1.5M $2M $2M
Cash flows
(in $ millions)
Net
Present
Value = ?
Cost of making the investment = Present value of the investment’s cash inflows =
Initial cash flow (this is typically a Present value of the project’s future cash inflows
cash outflow, taking on a negative
value)
k = 9%
Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Cash flows −$50 −$6 −$6 −$6 −$6 −$6 −$6
(in $, thousands)
EAC = ?
1 1 1
Rate ( k ) Rate ( k ) Rate ( k )
Cost of making the investment = Present value of the investment’s cash inflows =
Initial cash flow (this is typically a Present value of the project’s future cash inflows
cash outflow, taking on a negative
value)
0 −$50,000
1 $15,000
2 $8,000
3 $10,000
4 $12,000
5 $14,000
6 $16,000
k = 10%
Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Cash flows −$50 +$15 +$8 +$10 +$12 +$14 +$16
(in $, thousands)
PI = ?
1 $15,000 $13,636.36
2 $8,000 $6,611.57
3 $10,000 $7,513.14
4 $12,000 $8,196.16
5 $14,000 $8,692.90
6 $16,000 $9,031.58
Years 0 1 2 3 4
Cash flows −$10,010 +$1,000 +$3,000 +$6,000 +$7,000
IRR = ?
0% $6,990
5% $4,605
10% $2,667
15% $1,075
20% −$245
3 1 $1,000
4 2 $3,000
5 3 $6,000
6 4 $7,000
7 Blank Blank
8 IRR 19%
Years 0 1 2
Cash flows −$300,000 +$540,500 −210,200
IRR, NPV = ?
0% $0
50% −$22,222.22
100% $0
150% $4,800
200% $0
i = 8%
Years 0 1 2
Cash flows −$235,000 $540,500 −$310,200
First Second
Sign Sign
change change
Years 0 1 2
Cash flows −$235,000 $540,50 −$310,200
−$265,947
−$500,947
Years 0 1 2
Cash flows −$500,947 $540,500 −$0
The discounted payback period equals 2.97 years for Project Long. Three
years of discounted cash flows sum to a positive $476. However, since we
need to sum to 0, we do not need a full three years of discounted cash flows
(we need $18,256/$18,731 = .97 of Year 3’s cash inflow).
Copyright © 2021 Pearson Education Ltd.
Table 11.2 Discounted Payback Period Example (Discount
Rate = 17 percent) (2 of 2)
Project Short
Blank Annual Cash Cumulative Cash Discounted Cumulative
Flow Flow Cash Flow Discounted Cash
Flow
Initial cash outlay $(100,000) $(100,000) $(100,000) $(100,000)
Year 3 − − − (20,739)
Year 4 − − − (20,739)
Year 5 − − − (20,739)
Equivalent The annual cost Select the Provides a tool that can be Should be used
annual cost that is equivalent in investment used to account for different only where the
(EAC) or present value to the alternative that has initial costs of purchase, investments being
equivalent initial cost and the lowest annual different annual costs of compared are
annual annuity annual cash flows cost. operation, and different expected to be
(EAA) of an investment. productive lives. used indefinitely.
For single-use
investments, the
NPV is appropriate.
Profitability The present When the PI is greater than Is theoretically correct in Is not as familiar to managers
index (PI) value of 1, the NPV will be positive, that it measures directly as the NPV. Does not add any
expected so the project should be the increase in value that additional information to the
future cash accepted. When PI is less the project is expected to NPV.
flows than 1, the NPV will be produce. Is useful when
divided by negative, which indicates a rank ordering positive-
the initial bad investment, and the NPV projects where
cash project should be rejected. capital is being rationed.
investment.
Internal rate The Accept the project if the Provides a rate-of-return Cannot always be estimated.
of return discount IRR is greater than the metric, which many Sometimes provides multiple
(IRR) rate that required rate of return or managers prefer. rates of return for projects
makes the discount rate used to with multiple changes in the
NPV equal calculate the net present sign of their cash flows over
to zero. value of the project, and time. Can provide results that
reject it otherwise. conflict with the NPV for
mutually exclusive projects.
Payback period The number of If the project payback Is easy to understand Ignores the time value of
years required to period is less than the and calculate. Indicates money. Ignores cash
recover the initial maximum the firm will risk by showing how flows beyond the
cash outlay out of accept, the project is long it takes to recover payback period. There is
project future cash acceptable. the investment. no rational way to
flows. determine the cutoff
value for payback.