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Globalization & the Multinational Firm 全球化與跨國公司

Chapter One
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Chapter One Outline
• What’s Special about “International” Finance? “ 國際
”金融有什麼特別之處?
• Goals for International Financial Management 國際
財務管理的目標
• Globalization of the World Economy 世界
經濟全球化
• Multinational Corporations 跨國
公司

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What’s Special about “International” Finance? “ 國際
”金融有什麼特別之處?

• Foreign Exchange Risk and Political Risks 外匯


風險和政治風險
• Market Imperfections 市場
不完善
• Expanded Opportunity Set 擴展
的機會集

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What’s Special about “International” Finance: Foreign
Exchange Risk“ 國際”金融的特別之處:外匯
風險
• Foreign Exchange Risk 外匯風險
– This is risk that foreign currency profits may evaporate in local currency terms
due to unanticipated unfavorable exchange rate movements. 這是由於意外
的不利匯率變動,外幣利潤可能以當地貨幣計算蒸發的風險。

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Exhibit 1.1: Monthly Percentage Change in Japanese
Yen—U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate 日元—美元匯率
的月度百分比變化

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What’s Special about “International” Finance: Political
Risk“ 國際”金融的特別之處:政治風險
• Political Risk 政治風險
– Sovereign governments have the right to regulate the movement of goods,
capital, and people across their borders. These laws sometimes change in
unexpected ways. 主權政府有權監管貨物、資本和人員的跨境流動。這些
定律有時會以意想不到的方式發生變化。
Measuring Political Risk 衡量政治風險
• The host country’s political and government system. 東道國的政治和政府制度。
• Integration into the world system. 融入世界體系。
• Key economic indicators 主要經濟指標
• -- Political risk is not entirely independent of economic risk. 政治風險並非完全獨立於
經濟風險。

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What’s Special about “International” Finance: Market
Imperfections“ 國際”金融的特別之處:市場不完善

• Market Imperfections 市場不完善


– Legal restrictions on the movement of goods, people, and money.
對貨物、人員和資金流動的法律限制。
– Transactions costs 交易成本
– Shipping costs 運費
– Tax arbitrage 稅收套利

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What’s Special about “International” Finance: Expanded Opportunity
Set“ 國際”金融的特別之處:擴大機會集

• Expanded Opportunity Set 擴展的機會集


– It doesn’t make sense to play in only one corner of the sandbox. 只
在沙箱的一個角落玩是沒有意義的。
– A firm can locate production in any country to maximize its
performance and raise funds in any capital market where the cost
of capital is the lowest. 公司可以在任何國家 / 地區進行生產,
以最大限度地提高其業績,並在資本成本最低的任何資本市
場中籌集資金。
– True for corporations as well as individual investors. 適用於公司
和個人投資者
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Goals for International Financial Management 國
際財務管理的目標
• Maximization of shareholder wealth? 股東財富最大化?
or
• Other goals? 其他目標?

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Maximization of Shareholder Wealth 股東財富最大化

• Long accepted as a goal, but complications arise. 長期以


來一直被接受為目標,但出現了複雜情況。
– Who are and where are the shareholders? 股東是誰,在哪裡?
– In what currency should we maximize their wealth? 我們應該用
什麼貨幣最大化他們的財富?

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Other Goals: Stakeholders 其他目標:利益攸關者

• In other countries shareholders are viewed as merely one among


many “stakeholders” of the firm including: 在其他國家,股東被視
為公司眾多「利益相關者」之一,包括:
– Employees 員工
– Suppliers 供應商
– Customers 客戶
– In Japan, managers have typically sought to maximize the value
of the keiretsu—a family of firms to which the individual firms
belongs. 在日本,管理者通常尋求最大化 keiretsu 的價
值, keiretsu 是各個公司所屬的公司家族。

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Globalization of the World Economy: Major Trends and
Developments 世界經濟全球化:主要趨勢和發展
• Emergence of Globalized Financial Markets 全球化金融市場的出現
• Emergence of the Euro as a Global Currency 歐元作為全球貨幣的出

• Europe’s Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2010 2010
年歐洲主權債務危機
• Trade Liberalization and Economic Integration 貿易自由化和經濟一
體化
• Privatization 私有化
• Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 2008-
2009 年全球金融危機
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Emergence of Globalized Financial Markets 全球化金融市場
的出現

• Deregulation of Financial Markets and Advances in Technology


金融市場的放鬆管制和技術進步
– have greatly reduced information and transaction costs, which
has led to: 大大降低了資訊和交易成本,從而導致:
• Financial Innovations, such as 金融創新,例如
– Currency futures and options 貨幣期貨和期權
– Multi-currency bonds 多幣種債券
– Cross-border stock listings 跨境股票上市
– International mutual funds 國際共同基金

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Emergence of the Euro as a Global Currency 歐元作為全球貨
幣的出現

• A momentous event in the history of world financial systems. 世界金


融體系史上的重大事件
• Currently more than 300 million Europeans in 19 countries are using
the common currency on a daily basis. 目前, 19 個國家的 3 億多名
歐洲人每天都在使用這種共同貨幣。
• The “transaction domain” of the euro may become larger than the
U.S. dollar’s in the near future. 在不久的將來,歐元的“交易領域
”可能會變得大於美元。

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Europe’s Sovereign-Debt Crisis of 2010
2010 年歐洲主權債務危機

• In December of 2009 the new Greek government revealed that its budget deficit for
the year would be 12.7% of GDP, not the 3.7% forecast. 2009 年 12 月,希臘新政
府透露,今年的預算赤字將佔 GDP 的 12.7% ,而不是預測的 3.7% 。
• Investors sold off Greek government bonds and the ratings agencies downgraded
them to “junk.” 投資者拋售了希臘政府債券,評級機構將其降級為“垃圾”。
• While Greece represents only 2.5% of euro-zone GDP, the crisis became a Europe-
wide debt crisis. 雖然希臘僅占歐元區 GDP 的 2.5% ,但這場危機變成了全歐洲
的債務危機。
• The challenge remains that fiscal indiscipline of one euro-zone country can escalate
to a Europe-wide crisis. 挑戰仍然是,一個歐元區國家的財政紀律可能會升級為
全歐洲範圍的危機。

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The Greek Drama 希臘戲劇

• Greece paid no premium above the German rate until late fall 2009. 直到
2009 年秋末,希臘才支付高於德國利率的溢價。
• The Greek interest rate rose until the bailout package on May 9. 希臘利率
上升,直到 5 月 9 日的救助計劃。 Copyright © 2018 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1-16
Trade Liberalization and Economic Integration 貿易
自由化和經濟一體化
• Over the past 50 years, international trade increased about
twice as fast as world GDP. 在過去 50 年中,國際貿易的
增長速度大約是世界 GDP 的兩倍。
• Many of the world’s governments have embraced free trade
as the surest route to prosperity for their citizenry. 世界上
許多國家的政府都把自由貿易作為本國公民實現繁榮的
最可靠途徑。
• The principal argument for international trade is based on
the theory of comparative advantage. 國際貿易的主要論點
是基於比較優勢理論。 Copyright © 2018 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1-17
Liberalization of Protectionist Legislation 保護主義立法自由化

• At the global level, the World Trade Organization (WTO) has the
power to enforce the rules of international trade. 在全球一級,世界
貿易組織(世貿組織)有權執行國際貿易規則。
- To lower trade barriers around the world and to promote free trade between
developed and developing countries 降低世界各地的貿易壁壘,促進發達國家和發
展中國家之間的自由貿易
• At the regional level, the European Union (EU) and the North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) play a vital role in
dismantling trade barriers with regions. 在區域一級,歐洲聯盟(歐
盟)和北美自由貿易協定( NAFTA )在消除與各區域的貿易壁
壘方面發揮著至關重要的作用

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Brexit 英國脫歐
• The unexpected outcome of a British referendum held on June 23,
2016. 2016 年 6 月 23 日舉行的英國公投的意外結果。
• Britons voted to leave the EU. 英國人投票決定離開歐盟。
• Likely outcome is a weakening of both the United Kingdom and the
European Union. 可能的結果是英國和歐盟的削弱。
• Brexit revealed some of the difficulties with free trade and global
economic integration. 英國脫歐揭示了自由貿易和全球經濟一體化
的一些困難。

– The free movement of goods, capital and people leads to economic growth, but
also leads to political opposition. 商品、資本和人員的自由流動導致經濟增
長,但也導致政治上的反對。

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Privatization 私有化

• The selling of state-run enterprises to investors is also known as


“denationalization.” 將國有企業出售給投資者也被稱為「去國有
化」。
• Privatization is often seen in socialist economies in transition to
market economies. 私有化經常出現在向市場經濟轉型的社會主義
經濟體中。
• By most estimates, this increases the efficiency of the enterprise. 根
據大多數估計,這提高了企業的效率。
• It also often spurs a tremendous increase in cross-border investment.
它還經常刺激跨境投資的巨大增長。
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Chinese Privatization 中國私有化
• State-owned enterprises have been listed on organized stock
exchanges. 國有企業已在有組織的證券交易所上市。
• More than 1,500 companies are currently listed on China’s
stock exchanges. 目前有 1 , 500 多家公司在中國證券交
易所上市。
• The Chinese government still retains the majority stakes in
most public firms. 中國政府仍然保留著大多數上市公司
的多數股權。

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Global Financial Crisis of 2008—2009
2008—2009 年全球金融危機
• The “Great Recession” was the most serious, synchronized economic
downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s. “ 大衰退”是自
1930 年代大蕭條以來最嚴重、最同步的經濟衰退。
• Factors included: 因素包括:
– Excessive borrowing and risk taking by both households and banks
家庭和銀行的過度借貸和冒險
– Failure of government regulators to detect the rising risk and take
timely preventive actions 政府監管機構未能發現風險上升並及
時採取預防措施
– The interconnected and integrated nature of financial markets 金融
市場的互聯和整合性質
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Exhibit 1.5: U.S. Unemployment Rate and Dow Jones Industrial
Average 美國失業率和道瓊斯工業平均指數

During the course of the crisis, the G-20 emerged as the premier forum for
discussing international economic issues and coordinating financial
regulations and macroeconomic policies 在危機期間, G-20 成為討論國際
經濟問題和協調金融監管和宏觀經濟政策的首要論壇。 Copyright © 2018 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1-23
Multinational Corporations 跨國公司
• A multinational corporation (MNC) is a firm that has been
incorporated in one country and has production and sales operations
in other countries. 跨國公司( MNC )是在一個國家註冊成立並
在其他國家 / 地區擁有生產和銷售業務的公司。
• There are about 60,000 MNCs in the world. 世界上大約有 60 , 000
家跨國公司。
• Many MNCs obtain raw materials from one nation, financial capital
from another, produce goods with labor and capital equipment in a
third country, and sell their output in various other national markets.
許多跨國公司從一個國家獲得原材料,從另一個國家獲得金融資
本,在第三個國家用工作力和資本設備生產商品,並在其他各種
國家市場出售其產品。

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Exhibit 1.6: Top Nonfinancial MNCs

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