Professional Documents
Culture Documents
lens: Africa
Emerging markets
2019
Africa: the continent with the next emerging
markets?
• A forgotten continent (both in regards
to business and to research)
• Many reasons for that:
• Political unrest.
• Wars.
• Low buying power of consumers.
• Fragmentation.
• Poor infrastructure
• Great geographical distances between
trading hubs)
Source:
• Many different trade zones. https://www.bcg.com/publications/2018/pioneering-one-africa-companies-bl
• Many different countries with different (and azing-trail-across-continent.aspx
inefficient) visa and licensing procedures
etc..
Yet…
• Some indications of strong growth
potential
• Several sub-Saharan countries among the
world’s fastest growing.
• But corresponding causes for concern
• Nigeria and South Africa, the two economies
that most frequently are mentioned as
emerging economies, are stalling.
https://qz.com/africa/1522126/african-economies
-to-watch-in-2019-and-looming-debt/
Applying our theoretical lens
• We have already noted voids in hard infrastructure (roads, rails, ports,
communication technologies etc.
• Arguably, hard infrastructure play a relatively greater role in Africa compared
to soft (institutional) due to the geography
• What are the institutional voids beyond the voids in hard
infrastructure?
• Lack of market intermediaries and financial services.
• Lack of institutional support and enforcement.
How is growth possible in spite of
institutional voids?
Firms can:
1) Fill/develop
2) Internalize
3) Substitute
4) Wait
Fill/develop institutional voids
• Lobbying government can be unproductive if government regulation
is not enforced efficiently.
• But acting as market intermediary is and has been an often used
strategy.
• https://www.forbes.com/sites/mfonobongnsehe/2012/09/07/the-ten-most-i
nnovative-companies-in-africa/#50be99215348
• https://www.fastcompany.com/most-innovative-companies/2019/sectors/afri
ca
Growth sectors
• Air transport
• Telecoms
• Financial services
• Health (mobile, low tech)
• Consumer services
• Business and production services
Jumping an evolutionary step?
• Skipping old infrastructure and developing newer.
• Using capabilities of newest technologies for information distribution
and service.
Substituting
• Familiar ownership patterns in terms of
• Family ownership.
• Concentrated ownership.
• Not that many business groups.
• Networks, both business ties and political ties are of importance but
often the dark side of social networks are visible: corruption, rent
seeking, etc.
• Informal institutions only work if they can substitute…
Why do some informal institutions not work
as efficient substitutes?
• Dark sides are detrimental to performance.
• Informal institutions have to be ‘compatible’ with the (non-existing or
inefficient) formal institutions.
“We develop a framework to model explicitly the ways in which formal
and informal institutions interact and to highlight two aspects of
institutions: whether formal institutions are effective in what they claim
to do; and whether the goals of agents in the formal and informal
institutions are compatible and mutually reinforcing or incompatible
and in conflict with each other.”