QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUE

PRESENTATION
FORECASTING COVID-19 VACCINATION
EFFECT ON ACTIVE CASES
GROUP MEMBERS:-
1. AISHWARYA IPSITA – 21202150
2. PRATYUSH BEHERA – 21202180
3. RISHABH JAIN – 21202185
4. RITU SWAIN – 21202186
5. SEMRAN KUMARI – 21202193
6. SHRUTI PAUL – 21202198
7. ITISHREE PARIDA - 21202318
Introduction
In this project we have collected data on weekly basis of completely
vaccinated cases and active cases of month August and September 2021
and used those information and linear regression equation to forecast the
effect, the no. of vaccinated cases is having on active cases for the
month of October, November and December 2021.

Source of Data- https://www.covid19india.org/

Linear Regression Analysis
• Linear regression, is a way of calculating the relationship between
two variables. It assumes that there’s a direct correlation between the
two variables, and that this relationship can be represented with a
straight line.
• The Linear Regression equation has the form Y= a + bX, where Y is
the dependent variable (that's the variable that goes on the Y axis), X
is the independent variable (i.e. it is plotted on the X axis), b is the
slope of the line and a is the y-intercept.
Blueprint of the Project
1. Collect raw data of completely vaccinated cases and active cases of month
August and September.
2. Forecast completely vaccinated cases from October to December using Forecast
sheet in MS Excel.
3. Find the regression equation using the collected completely vaccinated cases (X
Axis) and active cases (Y Axis) from August to September through the scatter
diagram.
4. Also find the slope and intercept using MS Excel Formula.
5. Using the forecasted completely vaccinated cases as X and the values of slope
and intercept we forecasted active cases.
Step 01:- Collect raw data of completely vaccinated cases and active cases of month August and September.
Step 02:- Forecast completely vaccinated cases from October to December using Forecast
sheet in MS Excel.

CONFIDENCE
INTERVAL
A confidence
interval is a range
around a
measurement that
conveys how precise
the measurement is.
The CI provides a
range +/- of the
forecasted value.
Step 03:- Find the regression equation using the collected completely vaccinated
cases (X Axis) and active cases (Y Axis) from August to September through the
scatter diagram.
Step 04:- Also find the slope and intercept using MS Excel Formula.
Step 05:- Using the forecasted completely vaccinated cases as X and the values
of slope and intercept we forecasted active cases.

1.Black - Collected Data

2.Blue - Forecasted Date
3.Red – Forecasted Completely
Vaccinated Case
4.Green – Forecasted Active Cases
THANK
YOU