Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SYSTEM
Nguyễn Việt Hưng
OBJECTIVES
Explore the structure of the financial system
Study the relationship between risk and
returns
Explain how to calculate present value of a
financial asset
2
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Saving
Economic
Investment
Growth
Foreign
borrowing
3
Financial
system
Financial Financial
markets intermediaries
Commercial
Stock market Bond market Mutual funds
Bank
4
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
5
STOCK VS. BOND
Who issues stock and bond?
What is the position of the stockholder and
the bondholder in the company?
Where do returns of holding stock and bond
come from?
Which is riskier and which offers a higher
average return?
6
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
The Bond Market
A bond is a certificate of indebtedness that
specifies obligations of the borrower to
the holder of the bond.
Characteristics of a Bond
Term: The length of time until the bond matures.
Credit Risk: The probability that the borrower will
fail to pay some of the interest or principal.
Normally, bonds have a fixed interest rate
7
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
How can we calculate the present value of a bond, which promises to
pay $1,000 in 20 years, assume interest rate now is 10%?
$1, 000 =
Present value = 20
$148.64
(1 0.10)
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Now assume interest rate is 2%, other things being equal. What would
happen to the answers of two cases above?
$1, 000
Present value = 20
$673
(1 0.02)
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
The Stock Market
Stock represents a claim to partial ownership in a firm and
is therefore, a claim to the profits that the firm makes.
The sale of stock to raise money is called equity financing.
Compared to bonds, stocks offer both higher risk and potentially
higher returns.
10
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Returns to stockholder are expressed in two
types:
Dividends (divided profits)
Capital gains/losses (net change in stock price)
This is determined by demand/supply of its stock in
the market, which in turn is determined by that firm’s
retained earnings and profitability.
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
The market value, or price, of the stock can be explained in
terms of investors’ forecasts of dividends and price and the
expected return offered by other equally risky stocks.
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
How can we measure the riskiness of a particular financial
asset?
R R
2
t
Standard deviation t 1
N 1
13
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
14
15
The relationship between average returns and standard
deviation of stocks, bonds, and bills, 1900-2003
16
17
18
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
When the risk is higher, the required rate of
return should be higher to compensate for
risk-taker
When the rate of return offered is higher, it
should be remembered that you are exposed
to higher risk
19
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
The Stock Market
Most newspaper stock tables provide the
following information:
Price (of a share)
Volume (number of shares sold)
Dividend (profits paid to stockholders)
Price-earnings ratio
20
52weeks
22.5 9.75 CCFemsa KOF .12e 0.9 2121 13.81 12.87 13.75 +0.06
ADR
45.39 19.75 ResMed RMD 52.5 3831 42.00 39.51 41.50
31.31 16.63 Rit chieBr RBA 20.9 15 24.19 24.29 24.49 -0.01
21
52weeks
Hi
Hi lo Lo stock sym div Yld PE Vol hi lo close Net
% 100s CHg
26.18
26.18 23.43
23.43CslFnl TOPrS 2.09 8.6 … 59 24.25 23.81 24.25 +0.06
12.87
12.87 6.87 Coastcast
6.87 PAR … 171 11.37 10.87 11.37 +0.37
75.43
47.31
22.5
75.43 47.31 Cocola KO 0.64 1.3 39384 51 49.75 51 +1.06
9.75
45.39
22.5 9.75 CCFemsa KOF .12e 0.9 2121 13.81 12.87 13.75 +0.06
19.75ADR
11.6
3.55 ResMed (52 week high
52.5& 3831
low): The
42.00stock’s
39.51highest
41.50 &
3 45.39 19.75 RMD
lowest closing price in the last 52 weeks
77.25
11.63
55.13
3.55 Revlon A REV 162 6.09 5.09 6.09 +0.12
77.25
31.31 16.63RioTinto
55.13 RTP 2.30 3.2 168 72.75 71.84 72.74 +0.03
8.44
31.31 1.75 Rit chieBr
16.63 RBA 20.9 15 24.19 24.29 24.49 -0.01
38.63 18.81
8.44 1.75 RiteAld RAD 31028 4.50 4.20 4.31 +0.21
51.25
38.63 27.69RobtHalf
18.81 RHI 26.5 6517 27.15 26.5 26.50 +0.14
51.25 27.69 Rockwel ROK 1.02 2.1 14.5 6412 47.99 47.00 47.54 +0.24
22
52weeks
PAR
75.43 47.31 Cocola
Cocola KO 0.64 1.3 39384 51 49.75 51 +1.06
CCFemsa KO
22.5 9.75 CCFemsa KOF .12e 0.9 2121 13.81 12.87 13.75 +0.06
ADR
ADR
KOF
45.39 19.75 ResMed
ResMed RMD
RMD 52.5 3831 42.00 39.51 41.50
Revlon A REV
11.63 3.55 Revlon A REV 162 6.09 5.09 6.09 +0.12
77.25 55.13 RioTinto
RioTinto RTP 2.30 3.2
RTP 168 72.75 71.84 72.74 +0.03
Rit chieBr RBA
31.31 16.63 Rit chieBr RBA 20.9 15 24.19 24.29 24.49 -0.01
RiteAld RAD
8.44 1.75 RobtHalf
RiteAld RHI
RAD 31028 4.50 4.20 4.31 +0.21
38.63 18.81 RobtHalf RHI 26.5 6517 27.15 26.5 26.50 +0.14
ROK
51.25 27.69 Rockwel
Rockwel ROK 1.02 2.1 14.5 6412 47.99 47.00 47.54 +0.24
23
52weeks
31.31 16.63 Rit chieBr RBA 20.9 15 24.19 24.29 24.49 -0.01
8.44 1.75 RiteAld RAD
31028 4.50 4.20 4.31 +0.21
38.63 18.81 RobtHalf RHI 1.02 26.5 6517 27.15 26.5 26.50 +0.14
51.25 27.69 Rockwel ROK 1.02 2.1 14.5 6412 47.99 47.00 47.54 +0.24
24
52weeks
+0.21
31.31 16.63 Rit chieBr RBA 20.9 15 24.19 24.29 24.49 -0.01
+0.14
8.44 1.75 RiteAld RAD 31028 4.50 4.20 4.31 +0.21
+0.24
38.63 18.81 RobtHalf RHI 26.5 6517 27.15 26.5 26.50 +0.14
51.25 27.69 Rockwel ROK 1.02 2.1 14.5 6412 47.99 47.00 47.54 +0.24
30
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
A lot of challenges for partners when undertaking transactions
through financial markets!!!
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
That explains why we need financial intermediaries!!!
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Banks
take deposits from people who want to save and use the
deposits to make loans to people who want to borrow.
pay depositors interest on their deposits and charge
borrowers slightly higher interest on their loans.
Mutual Funds
A mutual fund is an institution that sells shares to the
public and uses the proceeds to buy a portfolio, of various
types of stocks, bonds, or both.
They allow people with small amounts of money to easily diversify.
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Diversification into a portfolio of financial
assets – or not putting all the eggs in one
basket – can reduce the risk.
Purchasing insurance policy can help reduce
the size of loss when the bad outcome
realizes.
Examples: fire insurance, deposit insurance, CDS
– credit default swap
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
To veil the risk of individual financial assets
and enhance its liquidity, financial
intermediaries (such as Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac) can purchase loans, re-package
them, and sell them to the financial markets
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THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Leverage, which means using borrowed funds
to purchase assets, also increase the risk
that financial intermediaries undertake.
Regulations
on the maximum leverage ratio
(debt/equity) can help reduce the risk
36