1. The document calculates share valuations for Fern using four methods: net asset value, price earnings ratio, dividend valuation, and discounted cash flow.
2. It then discusses the relevance of each valuation method. The net asset value provides a floor value. The price earnings ratio provides a reasonable market value if adjusted downward. The dividend valuation is irrelevant as the entire company is for sale. The discounted cash flow provides the highest value but relies on forecasts.
3. It recommends an initial asking price of RM660-715 million, based on a 20-30% premium to the price earnings ratio valuation as a fair starting point for negotiations.
1. The document calculates share valuations for Fern using four methods: net asset value, price earnings ratio, dividend valuation, and discounted cash flow.
2. It then discusses the relevance of each valuation method. The net asset value provides a floor value. The price earnings ratio provides a reasonable market value if adjusted downward. The dividend valuation is irrelevant as the entire company is for sale. The discounted cash flow provides the highest value but relies on forecasts.
3. It recommends an initial asking price of RM660-715 million, based on a 20-30% premium to the price earnings ratio valuation as a fair starting point for negotiations.
1. The document calculates share valuations for Fern using four methods: net asset value, price earnings ratio, dividend valuation, and discounted cash flow.
2. It then discusses the relevance of each valuation method. The net asset value provides a floor value. The price earnings ratio provides a reasonable market value if adjusted downward. The dividend valuation is irrelevant as the entire company is for sale. The discounted cash flow provides the highest value but relies on forecasts.
3. It recommends an initial asking price of RM660-715 million, based on a 20-30% premium to the price earnings ratio valuation as a fair starting point for negotiations.
Calculate a range of values for Fern using FOUR (4)
methods of share valuation (from lecture notes). Show all workings. FOUR (4) methods of share valuation:
1. Net Assets Value
= Ordinary share capital + Reserves = RM50 million + RM43 million = RM93 million
2. Price Earnings (PE) Method
= Net profit after taxation x Price-earnings ratio = RM50 million x 11 times (proxy) = RM550 million FOUR (4) methods of share valuation:
3. Dividend Valuation Model
= = = RM444 million
(Constant Annual Dividend)
- this amount is expected to remain constant for the foreseeable future FOUR (4) methods of share valuation:
4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method
Year Cash Flows Discount Factor Present Value (RM mil) @9% (RM mil) 1 50 x (1+3%) = 51.5 0.917 47.226 2 51.5 x (1+3%) = 53.045 0.842 44.664 3 53.045 x (1+2%)/ 0.842 650.816 onwards (9% - 2%) = 772.941 Total cash-based value = 742.706 Required:
Advise the owners of Fern about the relevance of each
of the FOUR (4) values calculated in part (a) above and recommend (with reasons) an appropriate initial asking price for the disposal. 1. Relevance of Net Assets Value
The asset-based value represents the lower limit
floor value for the disposal of Fern. This value is relevant to a company that is no longer in going concerned because it reflects the break-up value of the asset on disposal. Intangible assets are ignored. 2. Relevance of Price Earnings (PE) Method
This value could provide Fern with a reasonable
market value as it is based on a proxy company. This value provides a fair price for how much Fern's owners should be asking, while also paying a reasonable price for foreign multinationals. However, Fern is not listed, and its market capitalization should be lower than that of similar public companies because Fern’s shares lack marketability. Therefore, the price-earnings ratio should be discounted by 20% to 30%. 3. Relevance of Dividend Valuation Model
Due to the lack of control over corporate decisions,
dividend-based value is only relevant when valuing minority shareholdings. In Fern's case, this value is irrelevant because the entire company's stock is under consideration for sale. 4. Relevance of Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method
• This value is the highest possible value because it is
calculated based on Fern's predicted future earnings potential. While this may be the Fern owner's preferred asking price, the buyer may disagree with the forecasts and assumptions used in the calculation. • Besides that, this is the maximum possible value, which will give all the benefits to the existing owners of Fern and nothing for the buyer. Recommend an appropriate initial asking price for the disposal:
An earnings-based valuation with a premium of
approximately 20% to 30% may be an appropriate starting price for negotiation, as it is a fair and reasonable price based on current market prices for similar proxy valuations. This is equivalent to RM660 million (RM550 million x 120%) to RM715 million (RM550 million x 130%).