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CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

PowerPoint Lectures for


Principles of
Macroeconomics, 9e
; ; By
Karl E. Case,
Ray C. Fair &
Sharon M. Oster

© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 1 of 37
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 2 of 37
PART III THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC THEORY

Aggregate
Demand
12
in the Goods and
Money Markets

Prepared by:
Fernando & Yvonn Quijano

© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster
PART III THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC THEORY

Aggregate
Demand
11
12
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

in the Goods and


Money Markets CHAPTER
OUTLINE
Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Other Determinants of Planned Investment
Planned Aggregate Expenditure and the
Interest Rate
Equilibrium in Both the Goods and Money
Markets
Policy Effects in the Goods and Money
Markets
Expansionary Policy Effects
Contractionary Policy Effects
The Macroeconomic Policy Mix
The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
The Aggregate Demand Curve: A Warning
Other Reasons for a Downward-Sloping
Aggregate Demand Curve
Aggregate Expenditure and Aggregate
Demand
Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve

Looking Ahead: Determining the Price


Level
Appendix: The IS-LM Diagram
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Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

goods market The market in which goods and


services are exchanged and in which the
equilibrium level of aggregate output is
determined.

money market The market in which financial


instruments are exchanged and in which the
equilibrium level of the interest rate is determined.

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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.1 Planned Investment Schedule

Planned investment spending is a negative function of the interest rate.


An increase in the interest rate from 3 percent to 6 percent reduces planned investment from I0 to I1.

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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Other Determinants of Planned Investment
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

The assumption that planned investment depends


only on the interest rate is obviously a
simplification, just as is the assumption that
consumption depends only on income. In practice,
the decision of a firm on how much to invest
depends on, among other things, its expectation of
future sales.

The optimism or pessimism of entrepreneurs about


the future course of the economy can have an
important effect on current planned investment.
Keynes used the phrase animal spirits to describe
the feelings of entrepreneurs, and he argued that
these feelings affect investment decisions.

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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Other Determinants of Planned Investment
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Interest Rates and


Investment Spending

A recent study by Simon


Gilchrist, Fabio Natalucci,
and Egon Zakrajsek finds
that interest rates have a
powerful effect on the
behavior of firms.

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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Planned Aggregate Expenditure and the Interest Rate
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

We can use the fact that planned investment


depends on the interest rate to consider how
planned aggregate expenditure (AE) depends on
the interest rate.

Recall that planned aggregate expenditure is the


sum of consumption, planned investment, and
government purchases.

AE ≡ C + I + G

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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Planned Aggregate Expenditure and the Interest Rate
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.2 The Effect of an Interest Rate Increase on Planned Aggregate Expenditure
An increase in the interest rate from 3 percent to 6 percent lowers planned aggregate
expenditure and thus reduces equilibrium income from Y0 to Y1.
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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Planned Aggregate Expenditure and the Interest Rate
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

The effects of a change in the interest rate include:

 A high interest rate (r) discourages planned


investment (I).

 Planned investment is a part of planned


aggregate expenditure (AE).

 Thus, when the interest rate rises, planned


aggregate expenditure (AE) at every level of
income falls.

 Finally, a decrease in planned aggregate


expenditure lowers equilibrium output (income)
(Y) by a multiple of the initial decrease in
planned investment.

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Planned Investment and the Interest Rate
Planned Aggregate Expenditure and the Interest Rate
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Using a convenient shorthand:

r  I  AE  Y 

r  I  AE  Y 

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Equilibrium in Both the Goods and Money Markets
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

An increase in the interest rate (r) decreases output


(Y) in the goods market because an increase in r
lowers planned investment.

When income (Y) increase, this shifts the money


demand curve to the right, which increases the
interest rate (r) with a fixed money supply. We can
thus write:

Y  M d  r 
d
Y  M  r 

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Equilibrium in Both the Goods and Money Markets
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.3 Links Between the Goods Market and the Money Market
Planned investment depends on the interest rate, and money demand depends on aggregate output.

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Expansionary Policy Effects
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

expansionary fiscal policy An increase in


government spending or a reduction in net taxes
aimed at increasing aggregate output (income) (Y).

expansionary monetary policy An increase in


the money supply aimed at increasing aggregate
output (income) (Y).

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Expansionary Policy Effects

Expansionary Fiscal Policy: An Increase in Government


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Purchases (G) or a Decrease in Net Taxes (T)

crowding-out effect The tendency for increases


in government spending to cause reductions in
private investment spending.

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Expansionary Policy Effects

Expansionary Fiscal Policy: An Increase in Government


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Purchases (G) or a Decrease in Net Taxes (T)

 FIGURE 12.4 The


Crowding-Out Effect
An increase in government
spending G from G0 to G1
shifts the planned aggregate
expenditure schedule from 1
to 2.
The crowding-out effect of the
decrease in planned
investment (brought about by
the increased interest rate)
then shifts the planned
aggregate expenditure
schedule from 2 to 3.

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Expansionary Policy Effects

Expansionary Fiscal Policy: An Increase in Government


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Purchases (G) or a Decrease in Net Taxes (T)

interest sensitivity or insensitivity of planned


investment The responsiveness of planned
investment spending to changes in the interest
rate. Interest sensitivity means that planned
investment spending changes a great deal in
response to changes in the interest rate; interest
insensitivity means little or no change in planned
investment as a result of changes in the interest
rate.

Effects of an expansionary fiscal policy:

G  Y  M d  r  I 
Y increases less than if r did not increase
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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Expansionary Policy Effects

Expansionary Monetary Policy: An Increase in the


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Money Supply

Effects of an expansionary monetary policy:

M s  r  I  Y  M d 
d
r decreases less than if M did not increase

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Contractionary Policy Effects

Contractionary Fiscal Policy: A Decrease in Government


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Spending (G) or an Increase in Net Taxes (T)

contractionary fiscal policy A decrease in


government spending or an increase in net taxes
aimed at decreasing aggregate output (income)
(Y).

Effects of a contractionary fiscal policy:

G  or T  Y  M d  r  I 
Y decreases less than if r did not decrease

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
Contractionary Policy Effects

Contractionary Monetary Policy: A Decrease in the


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

Money Supply

contractionary monetary policy A decrease in


the money supply aimed at decreasing aggregate
output (income) (Y).

Effects of a contractionary monetary policy:

M s  r  I  Y  M d 
d
r increases less than if M did not decrease

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Policy Effects in the Goods and Money Markets
The Macroeconomic Policy Mix
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

policy mix The combination of monetary and


fiscal policies in use at a given time.

TABLE 12.1 The Effects of the Macroeconomic Policy Mix


Fiscal Policy
Expansionary Contractionary
( G or  T ) ( G or  T )
Expansionary
Y , r ?, I ?, C  Y ?, r , I , C ?
( M s )
Monetary
Policy
Contractionary
Y ?, r , I , C ? Y , r ?, I ?, C 
( M s )
Key :
: Variable increases.
: Variable decreases.
? : Forces push the variable in different directions. Without additional information, we cannot
specify which way the variable moves.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

aggregate demand The total demand for goods


and services in the economy.

aggregate demand (AD) curve A curve that


shows the negative relationship between
aggregate output (income) and the price level.
Each point on the AD curve is a point at which
both the goods market and the money market are
in equilibrium.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.5 The Impact of an Increase in the Price Level on the Economy—Assuming No
Changes in G, T, and Ms
This figure shows that when P increases, Y decreases.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.6 The Aggregate


Demand (AD) Curve
At all points along the AD curve, both
the goods market and the money
market are in equilibrium. The policy
variables G, T, and Ms are fixed.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
The Aggregate Demand Curve: A Warning
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

It is important that you realize what the aggregate


demand curve represents.

The aggregate demand curve is more complex


than a simple individual or market demand curve.
The AD curve is not a market demand curve, and it
is not the sum of all market demand curves in the
economy.

To understand what the aggregate demand curve


represents, you must understand the interaction
between the goods market and the money
markets.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Other Reasons for a Downward-Sloping Aggregate Demand Curve

The Consumption Link


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

The consumption link provides another reason for


the AD curve’s downward slope.

An increase in the price level increases the


demand for money, which leads to an increase in
the interest rate, which leads to a decrease in
consumption (as well as planned investment),
which leads to a decrease in aggregate output
(income).

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Other Reasons for a Downward-Sloping Aggregate Demand Curve

The Consumption Link


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

The initial decrease in consumption (brought about


by the increase in the interest rate) contributes to
the overall decrease in output.

Planned investment does not bear all the burden


of providing the link from a higher interest rate to a
lower level of aggregate output.

Decreased consumption brought about by a higher


interest rate also contributes to this effect.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Other Reasons for a Downward-Sloping Aggregate Demand Curve

The Real Wealth Effect


CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

real wealth, or real balance, effect The change


in consumption brought about by a change in real
wealth that results from a change in the price level.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Aggregate Expenditure and Aggregate Demand
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

At equilibrium, planned aggregate expenditure


(AE ≡ C + I + G) and aggregate output (Y) are
equal:

equilibrium condition: C + I + G = Y

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.7 The Effect of an


Increase in Money Supply on the AD
Curve

An increase in the money supply (Ms)


causes the aggregate demand curve
to shift to the right, from AD0 to AD1.
This shift occurs because the increase
in Ms lowers the interest rate, which
increases planned investment (and
thus planned aggregate expenditure).
The final result is an increase in output
at each possible price level.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.8 The Effect of an


Increase in Government Purchases or
a Decrease in Net Taxes on the AD
Curve
An increase in government purchases
(G) or a decrease in net taxes (T)
causes the aggregate demand curve
to shift to the right, from AD0 to AD1.
The increase in G increases planned
aggregate expenditure, which leads to
an increase in output at each possible
price level. A decrease in T causes
consumption to rise. The higher
consumption then increases planned
aggregate expenditure, which leads to
an increase in output at each possible
price level.

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The Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve
Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12.9 Factors That Shift the Aggregate Demand Curve

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REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS

aggregate demand
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

aggregate demand (AD) curve


contractionary fiscal policy
contractionary monetary policy
crowding-out effect
expansionary fiscal policy
expansionary monetary policy
goods market
interest sensitivity or insensitivity of planned
investment
money market
policy mix
real wealth, or real balance, effect

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APPENDIX A
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
THE IS CURVE
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

An IS curve illustrates the negative relationship


between the equilibrium value of aggregate output
(income) (Y) and the interest rate in the goods
market.

 FIGURE 12A.1 The IS Curve

Each point on the IS curve


corresponds to the equilibrium
point in the goods market for
the given interest rate.
When government spending (G)
increases, the IS curve shifts to
the right, from IS0 to IS1.

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APPENDIX A
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
THE LM CURVE
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

An LM curve illustrates the positive relationship


between the equilibrium value of the interest rate
and aggregate output (income) (Y) in the money
market.

 FIGURE 12A.2 The LM Curve

Each point on the LM curve


corresponds to the equilibrium
point in the money market for
the given value of aggregate
output (income).
Money supply (Ms) increases
shift the LM curve to the right,
from LM0 to LM1.

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APPENDIX A
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

The IS-LM diagram is a way of depicting


graphically the determination of aggregate output
(income) and the interest rate in the goods and
money markets.

 FIGURE 12A.3 The IS-LM


Diagram
The point at which the IS and
LM curves intersect
corresponds to the point at
which both the goods market
and the money market are in
equilibrium.
The equilibrium values of
aggregate output and the
interest rate are Y0 and r0.

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APPENDIX A
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12A.4 An Increase in Government Purchases (G)


When G increases, the IS curve shifts to the right.
This increases the equilibrium value of both Y and r.
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APPENDIX A
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
THE IS-LM DIAGRAM
CHAPTER 12 Aggregate Demand in the Goods and Money Markets

 FIGURE 12A.5 An Increase in the Money Supply (Ms)


When Ms increases, the LM curve shifts to the right.
This increases the equilibrium value of Y and decreases the equilibrium value of r.
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