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Unit 3 (a)

TIME VALUE OF MONEY 1 :


ANALYZING SINGLE CASH FLOWS
货币时间价值 1 :分析单一现金流
- Chapter 4
Introduction
• Time Value of Money (TVM)
• Used by financial and non-financial business
managers as a powerful financial decision-making
tool.
• Key to making sound personal financial decisions.

货币时间价值( TVM )
被财务和非财务业务经理用作强大的财务决策工具。
做出正确的个人财务决策的关键。
Introduction
• Basic TVM Concept : 基本 TVM 概念:
• $1 today is worth more than $1 next year.

今天的 1 美元比明年的 1 美元还值钱。


• TVM decisions are based on : TVM 的决策基
于:
• Size of cash flows.
现金流的规模。
• Timing between cash flows. 现金流之间的时间间隔。
回报率。
• Rate of return.

$ Today > $ Next Year


Organizing Cash Flows
• Timing of cash flows is key to successful
business operations. 现金流的时间安排是成功
经营的关键。
• Cash Flow Analysis : 现金流量分析
• A time line shows the magnitude of cash flows at different
points in time. 时间线显示不同时间点的现金流大小。
• Monthly
月刊
• Quarterly 每季的
每半年
• Semi-annually
每年
• Annually
Organizing Cash Flows 组织现金流
• Cash Flow Analysis
• Inflow = Cash received 流入 = 收到的现金
• a “positive” number“ 正数”
• Outflow = Cash going out 流出 = 现金流出
• a negative number 负数

Inflow Outflow
Organization
Positive # Negative #
Example of a Time Line

Outflow Inflow
Future Value (FV)
• Value of an investment after one or more periods. 一个
或多个时期后的投资价值。
• Example :
Refer to the previous time line, the $105 payment your
bank credits to your account one year from the original
$100 investment at 5% annual interest.
请参阅上一个时间表,即您的银行从原始 100 美元投资一
年内以 5% 年利息记入您账户的 105 美元付款。

($100 x 1.05 = $105 after one year)


( 100 美元 x 1.05 = 一年后 105 美元)

Single-Period Future Value 单期未来价值
• Interest is earned on principal
• 利息按本金赚取
• Value in 1 year = Today’s Cash Flow + Interest
• 1 年内的价值 = 今天的现金流 + 利息
FV1 = Value in 1 year
PV = Total’s Cash Flow
i = interest rate
Example : Single-Period Future Value
单期未来价值
• Assumptions : 假设:
• Invest $100 today. 今天投资 $100
• Earn 5% interest annually (one period).
• 每年赚取 5% 的利息(一个时期)。

Compounding and Future Value 复利和未来价值

• Compounding 复合
• Interest is earned on both principal and interest.
利息从本金和利息中赚取。
• Today’s Cash Flow + Interest on Principal and
Interest on Interest = Value in 2 years 今天的现
金流 + 本金利息和利息 = 2 年内的价值

Example : Compounding and Future Value
• Assumptions : 假设
• Invest $100 today.
• Earn 5% annual interest for more than one year
(2 years in the following equation). 赚取 5% 的
年利息超过一年(在以下等式中为 2 年)。

The Power of Compounding 复合的力量
Compound interest is a powerful wealth-building tool 
Exponential Growth 复利是一种强大的财富积累工具  指数增长
Present Value (PV)
• The opposite of Future Value (FV)
• Future Value = Compounding
• Present Value = Discounting
• 未来价值 ( FV ) 相反
• 未来价值 = 复利
• 现值 = 贴现
Present Value (PV)
• Discounting
• Value today of sum expected to be
received in future. 预计将来收到的金额的
今天价值。
• Next period’s valuation ÷ One period of
discounting 下一期的估值 ÷ 一个贴现期

Example : Discounting and Present Value
• Assumptions : 假设
• Banks pays $105 in 1 year. 银行在 1 年内支付
105 美元。
• Interest rate = 5% interest per year. 利率 = 每年
5% 的利息。
• Present Value (PV :
Example : Present Value Over Multiple Periods
• Assumptions :
• $100 payment five years in the future.
• 五年后支付 100 美元。
• Interest rate = 5% interest per year.

• 利率 = 每年 5% 的利息。
Present Value with Multiple Rates 具有多个利率的现值

• Concept : Discounting 概念 : 折扣
• Value today of sum expected to be received in
future -- Variable rates of interest over N periods.
预计未来收到的金额的今天价值 - N 个时期的可变
利率。

Example : Present Value with Multiple Rates 示例:
具有多个汇率的现值
• Assumptions :
• Banks pays $2,500 at the end of 3rd year.

银行在第三年年底支付 2 , 500 美元。


• Interest rate year 1 = 7%
• Interest rate year 2 = 8%
• Interest rate year 3 = 8.5%
Present Value and Future Value
• Concepts : Discounting &
Compounding 概念:贴现和复利
• Move cash flows around in time. 及时移动现金
流。
• Use PV calculation to discount the cash flow.
使用 PV 计算对现金流进行贴现。
• Use FV calculation to compound the cash
flow. 使用 FV 计算来复利现金流。
Example : Present and Future Value
• Assumptions : PV
• Expected cash flow of $200 in 3 years. 预计 3 年内现
金流为 200 美元。
• Decision : change receipt of CF to 2 years (one year
earlier). 决定:将 CF 的收据更改为 2 年(提前一年)。
• Discount rate = 6% per year

• PV calculation to discount the cash flow


for 1 year. PV 计算,以贴现 1 年的现金流。

Example : Present and Future Value
• Assumptions : FV

• Expected cash flow of $200 in 3 years. 预计


3 年内现金流为 200 美元。
• Decision : change receipt of CF to 5 years
later. 决定:将 CF 的收据更改为 5 年后。
• Compound rate = 6% per year. 复合率 = 每
年 6% 。
• FV calculation to compound the cash flow for 5 years. FV 计
算,以复利 5 年的现金流。
Rule of 72
• Concept : Compound Interest 概念 : 复利
• How much time for an amount to double ? 多少时间使金额翻倍?

• Example :
• Interest rate = 6% per year 利率 = 每年 6%
• Rule of 72 calculation : 72 计算法则:

72 / 6 = 12 years
It takes roughly 12 years to double the original amount.
72 / 6 = 12 年
大约需要 12 年才能使原始金额翻倍。
Interest Rate to Double an Investment 投资翻倍的利率
Computing Interest Rates 计算利率
• Concept : Solving for Interest Rate
• 概念 : 解决利率问题
Assumptions :

Bought asset for $350; Sold asset for $475
以 350 美元的价格购买了资产 ; 以 $475 的价格出售资

Timeframe : 3 years 时间范围 : 3 年
$475 = $350 x (1 + i)3
(1 + i)3 = 1.36
Take the cubic root : 1 + i = 1.11
Solving for Time 求解时间
• Concept : Solving for Time
• Assumptions/Known Data : 假设 / 已知数据
• Starting Cash Flow
• Interest Rate
• Future Cash Flow
• 起始现金流
• 利率
• 未来现金流
Example : Solving for Time
• When interest rates are 9% per year, how long
will it take $5,000 to double ?
当利率为每年 9% 时, 5 , 000 美元需要多长时间
才能翻倍?
• Assumptions :
• Interest = 9% per year
• PV = - 5,000
• PMT = 0
• FV = 10,000

• Solution : 8.04 years


Texas Instruments :
德州仪器
TI-BA II Plus, or
TI-BA II Plus Professional
FINANCIAL
CALCULATOR WIZARD 金融计算器向

M: Finance 3rd Edition
Cornett, Adair, and Nofsinger
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
Compounding and Future Value 复利和未来价值

• Solve for 2 years :

INPUT 2 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 110.25

What is the FV if we invest $100 today and earn 5% annual


interest for a two-year period ? 如果我们今天投资 100 美元,
并在两年内赚取 5% 的年利息,那么 FV 是什么?
Compounding and Future Value
• Solve for 5 years :

INPUT 5 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 127.63

What is the FV if we invest $100 today and earn 5% annual


interest for a five-year period ? 如果我们今天投资 100 美元,
并在五年内赚取 5% 的年利息,那么 FV 是什么?
TVM Relationships Are Exponential Not Linear
TVM 关系是指数关系,而不是线性关系
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 20 years at 5% annual interest ?
如果以 5% 的年利率投资 20 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?
INPUT 20 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 265.33
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 40 years at 5% annual interest?
如果以 5% 的年利率投资 40 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?

INPUT 40 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 704.00
More than
double
TVM Relationships Are Exponential Not Linear
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 40 years at 5% annual interest ?
如果以 5% 的年利率投资 40 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?

INPUT 40 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 704.00
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 40 years at 10% annual interest ?
如果以 10% 的年利率投资 40 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?

INPUT 40 10 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 4,525.93
Exponential
指数
Present Value

Solve for 2 years :

INPUT 2 5 0 100.00
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT
What is the PV if we can get $100 in the future and discount
for a two-year period at 5% annual interest ? 如果我们将来可
以获得 100 美元,并以 5% 的年利息在两年内贴现,那么 PV
是什么?
PV = - 90.70
Present Value
Solve for 5 years :

INPUT 5 5 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 100.00

What is the PV if we can get $100 in the future and discount for
a five-year period at 5% annual interest ? 如果我们将来可以获
得 100 美元,并以 5% 的年利息在五年内贴现,那么 PV 是什
么?

PV = - 78.35
Solving for Time

INPUT 9 -5,000 0 10,000


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 8.04

How many years will it take for a $5,000 investment to


double to $10,000 at 9% annual interest ?
5 , 000 美元的投资需要多少年才能翻倍到 10 , 000 美
元,年利率为 9% ?
Unit 3 (b)
TIME VALUE OF MONEY 2 :
ANALYZING ANNUITY CASH FLOWS
货币的时间价值 2 :分析年金现金流
M: Finance 3rd Edition
- CHAPTER 5 Cornett, Adair, and Nofsinger
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
Introduction
• Time Value of Money calculations 货币
的时间价值计算
• can deal with either single cash flows,
可以处理单一现金流,
• or multiple cash flows over time.
• 或随时间推移的多个现金流。
Future Value of Multiple Cash Flows 多个现金流
的未来价值
• Multiple Cash Flows 多种现金流
• Regular, evenly-spaced 规则,均匀分布
• Examples :
• Car loans and home mortgage loans
• Saving for retirement
• Companies paying interest on debt
• 汽车贷款和住房抵押贷款
• 退休储蓄
• 支付债务利息的公司
Future Value – Several Cash Flows
未来价值 – 多个现金流
• Concept : Compounding 概念 : 复合
• Value in the future. 未来的价值。
• Different cash flows paid in at different
times. 不同的现金流在不同的时间支付。

Example : Finding FV for Several Cash Flows
示例:为多个现金流查找 FV
• Assumptions :
• Invest $100 today (compounds for 3 years)
• 今天投资 100 美元( 3 年复合)
• Invest $125 at end of year 2 (compounds for 2
years) 在第 2 年年底投资 125 美元( 2 年复合)
• Invest $150 at end of year 3 (compounds for 1
year) 在第 3 年年底投资 150 美元( 1 年复合)
• Interest rates : 7% per year 利率 :每年 7%

Example : FV for Several Cash Flows
示例:多个现金流的 FV

Several
(Different)
Cash Flows
几种(不同
的)现金流
Future Value – Level Cash Flows 水平现金流

• Concept : Compounding 概念 : 复合
• Also called “annuities” 也称为 " 年金 "
• Value in the future. 未来的价值。
• Same cash flows paid in every period. 每
个期间支付的现金流相同。

...
Finding FV – Level Cash Flows/Annuity

• Assumptions :
• Invest $100 at the end of each year for 5
years. 每年年底投资 100 美元,为期 5 年。
• Interest rates : 8% per year 利率 :每年
8%

Level Cash Flows Time Line 水平现金流时间线

Level (Same) Cash Flows


Each Period 水平(相同)
每个期间的现金流
Future Value – Multiple Annuities 未来价值 – 多
种年金
• Concept : Compounding – annuity equation to compute
future value. 概念:复利 - 年金方程计算未来价值。
• To solve for multiple annuities, compute FV for each
separately and add them together. 要求解多个年金,请分
别计算每个年金的 FV 并将它们相加。
Finding FV – Multiple Annuities
• Assumptions :

• Invest $100 at end of years 1 - 3 at 8%.


• Invest $150 at end of years 4 - 5 at 8%.
• 在 1 - 3 年末投资 100 美元,占 8% 。
• 在 4 - 5 年末投资 150 美元,占 8% 。

Future Value – Multiple Annuities
Step 1 (same as FV of Level Cash Flows Calculation
与水平现金流计算的 FV 相同

Step 2
Step 3
Add two sums together –
FV of both is $690.66
将两个总和相加 – 两者的
FV 为 $690.66
Present Value of Multiple Cash Flows 多个现金流的现
值• Multiple Cash Flows 多种现金流

• Car loans and home mortgage loans.

汽车贷款和住房抵押贷款。
• Determining value of business opportunities.

确定商机的价值
• Concept : Discounting 概念 : 折扣

• Value of future sum today. 今天未来总和的价值。

• Different cash flows paid in at different times.

不同的现金流在不同的时间支付
Present Value – Level Cash Flows 现值 – 水平现金流
• Concept : Discounting 概念 : 折扣

• Value of future sum today. 今天未来总和


的价值。
• Level cash flows paid in at different times.
在不同时间支付的水平现金流。
• Most loans are set up with even payments throughout
the life of loan. 大多数贷款都是在贷款的整个生命周期内
以均匀的付款设置的。

Finding PV – Level Cash Flows
• Assumptions :
• $100 payments at end of each year for 5 years.
每年年底支付 100 美元,为期 5 年。
• Interest rates : 8% per year
Present Value – Multiple Annuities
• Concept : Discounting
• Changing level cash flows. 改变水平现金流。
• Ex : Alex Rodriguez’s baseball contract
Example : PV – Multiple Annuities
• Assumptions (Alex Rodriguez’s
Contract) :
• $10 million signing bonus.
• $21 million per year from 2001 – 2004.
• $25 million per year in 2005 and 2006.
• $27 million per year in 2007 – 2010.
• Interest rates : 8% per year
Example : PV – Multiple Annuities
Refer to Alex Rodriguez’s example, it is equivalent
to 3 annuities :
Perpetuity – Special Annuity
• Concept : Discounting

• Stream of level cash flows that are paid forever.


永久支付的水平现金流流。
• Example : Preferred stocks (explained later) 优
先股(稍后解释)
• Value of investment is equivalent to the PV of
all future annuity payments.
• 投资价值相当于所有未来年金支付的 PV 。
Perpetuities 永久

• Suppose you will receive a fixed payment
every period (month, year, etc.) forever. This
is an example of a perpetuity.
• You can think of a perpetuity as an annuity
that goes on forever.
• 假设您将在每个时期(月,年等)永久收到固
定付款。 这是永久性的一个例子。
• 您可以将永久资本视为永远存在的年金。

54
Present Value of a Perpetuity 永久现值

When we find the PV of an annuity, we think of


the following relationship: 当我们发现年金的 PV
时,我们会想到以下关系:

PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n )

55
Mathematically, 1
1- (1 + i) n
(PVIFA i, n ) =
i
We said that a perpetuity is an annuity
where n = infinity. What happens to
this formula when n gets very, very
large? 我们说过,永久年金是 n = 无穷大
的年金。 当 n 变得非常非常大时,这个公
式会发生什么? 56
When n gets very large,

1 this becomes zero.


n
1- (1 + i)
i

1
So we’re left with PVIFA =
i
57
Present Value of a Perpetuity
• So, the PV of a perpetuity is very
simple to find: 永久性的 PV 很容
易找到:

PMT
PV =
i

58
Example: Perpetuity
What should you be willing to pay in order to
receive $10,000 annually forever, if you require
8% per year on the investment? 如果您需要每年
8% 的投资,那么为了永远每年获得 10 , 000 美元,
您应该愿意支付什么?

PMT $10,000
PV = =
i .08

= $125,000
59
Ordinary Annuities vs. Annuities Due 普通年金与到期年金

Two Types of Annuities :


• Ordinary Annuity 普通年金
• Payment occurs at the end of each period. 付款发生在每
个期间结束时
• (All previous examples showed ‘Ordinary Annuities)
(所有先前的例子都显示 " 普通年金 " )

• Annuity Due 到期年金


• Payment occurs at the beginning of each period. 付款发生
在每个时期的开始。

Example : Annuity Due
• Five annuity-due cash flows basically same as payment
today plus 4-year ordinary annuity payment. 五个年金到期
现金流基本与今天付款加上 4 年普通年金付款相同。
• Payments occur one period sooner than ordinary annuity,
and earn extra period of interest. 还款比普通年金早一个时
期,并赚取额外的利息。
Future Value of Annuity Due 到期年金的未来价值
• Concept : Compounding 概念 : 复合
• Value of future sum today. 今天未来总和的价值。
• Cash flows at beginning of each period. 每个期间开始时的现
金流。

(compound for one more period)


(再复合一段时间)
Future Value of Annuity Due 到期年金的未来价值

• Assumptions :

• Assumes a 5-year annuity-due, each cash


flow is equal to $100. 假设 5 年年金到期,
每个现金流等于 100 美元
• The first cash flow compounds for 5 years5 年来首次
现金流复合
• The last cash flow compounds for 1 year only. 最后的
现金流仅复利 1 年。
• Interest rates : 8%

FV for a 5-year Ordinary Annuity


Present Value of Annuity Due
• Concept : Discounting
• Today’s value of future sum.
• Cash flows at beginning of each period.
• 今天的价值与未来总和。
• 每个期间开始时的现金流。
Present Value of Annuity Due
• Assumptions :

• 5-year annuity-due, each cash flow equals to


$100. 5 年年到期,每个现金流等于 100 美元。
• The first cash flow is paid today – not discounted. 第一笔现
金流是今天支付的,而不是贴现的。
• The last cash flow is discounted for 4 years. 最后现金流贴
现4年
• All cash flows discounted for one year less than ordinary
annuity. 所有现金流贴现一年,均低于普通年金。
• Interest rates : 8% per year

PV for a 5-year Ordinary Annuity


Compounding Frequency 复合频率

• Used in situations that do not use yearly time


periods. 用于不使用年度时间段的情况。 For
example :
• Semi-annual bond payments (semi-annual compounding;
compound frequency = 2) 半年度债券支付(半年复利 ; 复合
频率 = 2 )
• Quarterly stock dividends (quarterly compounding;
compound frequency = 4) 季度股票股息(季度复利 ; 复合频
率= 4)
• Consumer loans – monthly payments (monthly
compounding; compound frequency = 12) 消费贷款 – 每月
还款额(每月复利 ; 复利频率 = 12 )
Effect of Compounding Frequency 复合频率的影响
• Assumptions :
• $100 deposit today; 12% annual interest rate. 今天存款
100 美元 ;12% 年利率。
• Bank compounds interest at six months instead of end of
year. 银行复利利率为六个月,而不是年底。
• Interest is earned on interest. 利息是根据利息赚取的。

Total amount after one year 一年后的总金额


= $100 x 1.06 x 1.06
= $112.36
( $100 x 1.12 = $112 if the interest is compound annually)
EARs and APRs
• Quoted, or nominal rate called “Annual Percentage Rate”
(APR). 报价或称为 " 年利率 " ( APR )的名义利率。
• Rate that incorporates compounding called “Effective
Annual Rate” (EAR). 包含复合的利率称为 " 有效年利
率 " ( EAR )。
• Relationship between APR and EAR

m = compound frequency
Example : EARs vs. APR
• Assumptions :
• Borrow $100 today; 12% annual interest
rate. 今天借 100 美元 ;12% 年利率。
• APR : Loan compounds annually -- you
pay 12.00% APR : 每年的贷款复合物 - 您
支付 12.00%
• EAR : Loan compounds monthly -- you pay
12.68%EAR : 每月贷款复合物 - 您支付
12.68%
Finding Payments on Amortized Loan 寻找摊销贷款的
付款
• Rearrange PV of annuity formula to solve for the payment.
重新安排年金公式的 PV 以解决付款问题。
Example : Payments on Amortized Loan
• Assumptions :

• You need $10,000 to buy a car; Loan term : 4


years; Payment : Monthly. 你需要 10 , 000 美
元才能买一辆车 ; 贷款期限 : 4 年 ; 付款:每月。
• Interest rate : 9% APR
• Use interest rate of 0.75% (= 9%/12) and 48 periods (= 4 x
12)


End of Unit 3

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