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Basics of securities markets:
Nepalese perspective
- Nabaraj Adhikari, PhD
Executive Director Policy,
Research & Training Department, SEBON
Khumaltar, Lalitpur
All rights reserved.
Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
Coverage
0. Current macro-economic situation of Nepal
1. Financial system in Nepal
2. Major issues and challenges of financial system in Nepal
3. Introduction of securities markets
4. Significance of securities markets
5. Comparative advantages of securities markets
6. How is securities markets regulated?
7. Properties of financial systems
8. Principles of good regulation
9. The IOSCO objectives and principles
10. What do securities investors want?
11. Ingredients to a vibrant securities markets
12. Prominent features of best regulatory approach
13. Objectives of Nepalese securities laws
14. Structure of securities markets in Nepal
15. Primary securities market operation in Nepal
16. Merchant banking in Nepal
17. Secondary securities market operation in Nepal
18. Factors affecting stock price
19. Securities market trend for last 12 months
20. GoN’s policy & programmes of FY 2022.23
21. Way forward to reform & develop securities markets 2
22. Favourite
Copyright Buffet’s Quotes
© Nabaraj Adhikari
0.Current macro-economic situation of Nepal
Fiscal year 2022/23, First Eight Months:
-GDP- Rs. 4851.6 Billion ( Fiscal year 2021/22 preliminary
estimate)- USA-$23 Trillion; China-$18 Trillion; $ 3 Trillion-5th
-Consumer Price Index (year on year price changes)= 7.44 %
- Export growth= - 29.1%
- Import growth = - 19.1%
- BOP(-Deficit) (Rs. in billion)= 148.1
-Current Account Balance (Rs. in billion) = - 44.3
-Workers' Remittances (Rs. in billion) = 794.3
Trade Balance (Rs. in billion)= - 953.6
- Gross Foreign Exchange Reserves (Rs. in billion) = 1401.2 sufficient for 9.4
months goods & services import and 11 months goods import.
- 91-day T-bills Rate* = 9.33**
- Revenue Growth (%) = - 14.9
Expenditure Growth (%) = 15.4
- Domestic Debt (Rs. in billion) = 1006.2
-External Debt (Rs. in billion) = 1027.3 as of Ashad end
- Internal Debt+ External Debt/ GDP ratio= 41.91%
Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
1. Financial system in Nepal
Financial System in Nepal
How?
By generating higher returns for investors
• Through projects that would not have been financed by
banks but where the return justifies the risk
By presenting a more efficient engine for raising capital (from
a wider audience) for certain types of projects (especially
large aggregations of capital)
• But they also facilitate capital intermediation between large
and small enterprises
By creating equity ‘buffers’ (as opposed to debt) that reduce
systemic risk
By facilitating the privatisation of state owned enterprises,
when this is more efficient
By de-regionalising the flow of capital to business enterprises
away from a given depository base. 13
Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
6.How securities markets are regulated?
Most nations have a securities market, and each is
regulated by a local financial regulator or monetary
authority, or institute. The SEBON is the regulatory body
charged with overseeing the Nepalese securities market.
The SEBON is a federal agency that works independently
of the government and without political pressure.
The objective of the securities market regulation or the
mission of SEBON as stated in Securities Act, 2006 is
“protecting investors, maintaining fair, orderly, and
efficient markets, and facilitating capital formation.”
Companies listed on the securities market exchanges are
regulated, and their dealings are monitored by the SEBON.
In addition, the exchanges set certain requirements such
as mandating timely filing of quarterly financial reports
and instant reporting of relevant corporate developments,
to ensure that all market participants are equally
informed.
Failure to adhere to the regulations can lead to
suspension of trading and other disciplinary measures.14
Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
7.Properties of financial systems
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Bank-based Market-based
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Share of control-oriented finance High Low
Financial markets Small, less liquid Large, highly liquid
Share of all firms listed on exchanges Small Large
Ownership of debt and equity Concentrated Dispersed
Investor orientation Control-oriented Portfolio-oriented
Use of mechanisms for separating Frequent Limited
control and capital base
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Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
17. Secondary market operation, contd.
Order execution
This represents the phases of trading when to
execute the order. There are three phase during
which the broker can place the order to execute
the transactions. Such phases are
NEPSE Index =
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Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
17. Secondary market operation, contd.
An example of base value adjustment
Market value on Dec.4, 2022 was Rs.36,00,000 million
Base value was Rs.22,00,000 million
Case : Dec 5, 2022, a new company listed its shares of
Rs.1,000 million
Index calculation, contd.
Adjusted Base Value= New Market Value * Base Value before new listing
Old Market Value
= Old Market Value +Amount of New Listing * Base Value before new listing
Old Market Value
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Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
17. Secondary market operation, contd.
NEPSE classify listed companies into Group ‘B’ based on the following
criteria:
- Paid up capital should be at least Rs.500 million.
- Listing of securities was made three years before.
- Should be in profits at least two years in the last three years.
- Have rated by Credit Ratings Agency one level below than the average.
- Have conducted AGM within the six months of the fiscal year end.
- Should not have accumulated loss.
NEPSE classify listed companies into Group ‘G’ if the listed companies
have not completed two years after listing.
NEPSE classify listed companies into Group ‘Z’ if the listed companies
have not been classified in any of the ‘A’, ‘B’ and ‘G’ Groups.
Trading through NOTS:
Contacting your Broker and update the KYC along with a valid e-mail address.
Get the user ID and URL for TMS from the Broker
Open the URL in any browser and click forget password.
You will get an e-mail with the password reset.
Click on Reset password.
You will get e-mail after successfully changing the password.
Now login with your user ID and newly set password. You will get an OTP in your e-mail
after clicking submit button.
Enter the OTP that you have got in mail and sign in.
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Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
18.Factors affecting stock price in secondary markets
Performance of
the company
Policy & Notice and
directives and information
regulation of the about the
regulator company
International Factors
markets, and
export and affecting Investor’s
important psychology
situation
stock price
Demand and
supply of Political and Banking
securities economic liquidity and
situation
interest rate
of the
country
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Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
19.Securities market trend for last 12 months
4000000
3500000
3000000
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
Manshir2078 Poush2078 Magh2078 Falgun2078 Chaitra2078 Baisakh2079 Jestha2079 Asar2079 Shrawan2079 Bhadra2079 Asoj2079 Kartik2079
2.
Investing is laying out money now to get more money back in the future.
3.
Never invest in a business you cannot understand as risk comes from not knowing
what you're doing.
4.
I put heavy weight on certainty. It's not risky to buy securities at a fraction of what
they're worth.
5.
If a business does well, the stock eventually follows.
6.
Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.
7.
All there is to investing is picking good stocks at good times and staying with them
as long as they remain good companies.
8.
Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are
doing as diversification may preserve wealth, but concentration builds wealth.
9.
You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you. You are right
because your data and reasoning are right.
10.
The best business returns are usually achieved by companies that are doing
something quite similar today to what they were doing five or ten years ago.
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Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
23.How to be a smart investor?
Invest with long horizon-Short-term investments in the securities
market can result in big losses, and losses become less and less
frequent, the longer the time horizon of the investment.
Invest in stocks of secondary markets having low P/E Ratio that is
see the potential, not the current value of a stock.
Invest in new and emerging companies with the business growth
scope in the primary & secondary markets
Pay more attention to long-term trends rather than short-term
movements.
Note that there is positive relationship between banking liquidity and
stock price and negative relationship between banking interest rate and
stock price.
See web-sites of SEBON, NEPSE, Insurance Board, Nepal Rastra Bank
and Ministry of Finance, as well as go through major daily newspapers
to know new policy, directives, changes in business scope and price
sensitive information.
Diversify & find the right time to buy and sell. When the return on an
investment reaches the target you set, cash out. Don’t be greedy.
Don’t show herd instinct or irrational exuberance while involving in
securities transaction, rather make required decisions based on facts,
figures and intuition as there is limit of everything.
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Learn fundamental and technical analysis.
Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari
Assignments
1. What do you mean by financial system? Why do we need the financial
system?
2. What is the structure of Nepalese financial system? Describe its
components.
3. What are the issues and challenges of Nepalese financial system?
4. Securities market is an essential aspect of economic development.' Discuss.
5. Why do you think stock market needs to be regulated? Explain the attributes
of good regulation.
6. Illustrate the securities markets structure in Nepal.
7. Discuss the details of operational procedure of primary securities markets in
Nepal.
8. Explain the secondary securities markets operational procedure in Nepal.
9. What are the major issues and challenges in developing securities markets in
Nepal?
10.Out of the two elements of securities markets, which element is more
problematic in Nepal? Give your arguments.
11.Do you think Nepal is underdeveloped due to the poor level of securities
market development? If yes, suggest the measures to develop the securities
markets in Nepal.
12.How does one can be a smart investor in Nepalese securities markets?
Good Luck!
Copyright © Nabaraj Adhikari 51