NATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURE

(KHARIF CAMPAIGN-2022)
19th April, 2022

KHARIF PROSPECTS AND STRATEGIES

Dr. A. K. Singh
Agriculture Commissioner
Department of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare,
Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare
 AREA AND PRODUCTION OF CROPS IN 2021-22 (2nd Adv. Est.)
Crops Area (Million hectare) Production (Million ton)
Second estimates
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
Rice 41.58 5.20 46.78 109.54 18.39 127.93
Wheat - 30.95 30.95 - 111.32 111.32
Sorghum 1.48 2.38 3.86 1.58 2.73 4.31
Bajra 7.05 - 7.05 9.22 - 9.22
Maize 8.00 1.86 9.86 22.59 9.83 32.42
Ragi 1.13 - 1.13 1.67 - 1.67
Small millets 0.41 - 0.41 0.33 - 0.33
Barley - 0.68 0.68 - 1.90 1.90
Total Coarse cereals 18.06 4.92 22.98 35.39 14.47 49.86
cum Nutri Cereals

Total Pulses 14.03 16.34 30.37 8.61 18.34 26.95

Total food grains 73.67 57.41 131.08 153.54 162.52 316.06
Total Oil seeds 19.75 9.01 28.76 23.82 13.33 37.15
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 RAINFALL – RABI & SUMMER SEASON (mm)
METEOROLOGICAL POST-MONSOON, 2021 WINTER - 2022 MARCH, 2022 ONWARD
SUBDIVISIONS (01.10.21 to 31.12.21) (01.01.22 to 28.02.22) (01.03.22 to 06.04.22)

ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP. ACTUAL NORMAL % DEP.

EAST & NORTH EAST 186.3 166.7 12% 73.4 52.1 41% 85.9 85.0 1%
INDIA
NORTH WEST INDIA 80.5 55.9 44% 108.3 78.9 37% 5.2 53.5 -90%

CENTRAL INDIA 106.4 76.0 40% 26.6 15.2 75% 1.4 10.2 -87%
SOUTH PENINSULA 444.6 277.1 60% 24.2 16.2 49% 15.6 19.5 -20%

COUNTRY AS A 177.7 123.8 44% 58.7 40.8 44% 18.8 37.3 -50%
WHOLE
• Post monsoon rainfall : was (+) 44%
• Rabi 2022 rainfall winter : was (+) 44%
Rabi: Western disturbances rains coupled with cold wave condition benefitted Rabi crops (wheat,
mustard and gram)
• Normal Forecast for Kharif - 2022 3
 STATUS OF AREA SOWN FOR SUMMER CROP as on 08.04.2022
Area Sown (LAKH HA)
Sl. Increase/
Crops
No. 2021-22 2020-21 Decrease over last year

1 Rice 28.22 30.16 -1.94

2 Pulses 9.32 8.48 0.84
a Greengram 6.12 6.38 -0.26
b Blackgram 2.84 1.82 1.02
c Other Pulses 0.36 0.28 0.08
3 Coarse Cereals 8.78 8.72 0.06
a Jowar 0.17 0.08 0.09
b Bajra 2.97 2.49 0.47
c Ragi 0.22 0.17 0.05
d Maize 5.42 5.98 -0.56
4 Oilseeds 9.45 9.11 0.33
a Groundnut 4.83 5.20 -0.37
b Sunflower 0.36 0.49 -0.14
c Sesamum 3.62 3.34 0.28
d Other Oilseeds 0.64 0.07 0.56
Total 55.76 56.47 -0.71
 TENTATIVE REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF SEEDS FOR MAJOR CROPS
KHARIF-2022
Crops Group Crop Requirement Availability Surplus/Deficit
(in Quintals) (in Quintals) (in Quintals)

Paddy 7599868 8873767

1273899
1. Cereals
Maize 1065256 1061094
-4162
Bajra 234869 260447
25578
2. Nutri-Cereals Jowar 95577 108191
12614
Millets 7590 8767
1177
Arhar 269831 302295
32464
Urd 227903 237105
9202
3. Pulses Moong 196480 217806
21326
Cowpea 27111 29044
1933
Moth 25000 28668
3668
Groundnut 2131597 2188249
56652
Soybean 3721005 3502563 -218442
4. Oilseeds Sunflower 12588 16071
3483
Sesame 18909 20598
1689
Castor 49165 52622
3457
*Based on tentative information provided by the states in ZSRM Kharif-2022, the deficiency shows will be met from Farm
Saved Seed, NSC & Private Seed Companies as informed by States.
 REQUIREMENT & SALES OF FERTILIZERS IN 2021 AND REQUIRMENT IN KHARIF -2022
(Lakh Tonnes)
KHARIF: 2021 KHARIF: 2022
Fertilizers Total sales
Assessed requirement Assessed requirement

Urea 177.53* 154.02 179.01**

DAP 65.18 41.90 58.82
MOP 20.24 11.23 19.82
NPK 61.87 62.03 63.72
SSP 26.46 25.62 33.19
*Reserve Allocation- 2.85 LMT (Total Allocation- 180.38 LMT)
** Reserve Allocation – 0 LMT (Total Allocation – 179.01 LMT)
Use of Bio-fertilizers, Neem Coated urea, Use of Micro-nutrients
Source: INM & FMS, DAC, GOI

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 National Crop Production Targets for 2022-23
(In Million Tonnes)
Season
Crop
Kharif Rabi Total
Rice 112.00 18.50 130.50
Wheat   112.00 112.00
Maize 23.10 10.10 33.20
Barley   2.25 2.25
Total Coarse Cereals 23.10 12.35 35.45
Jowar 3.00 3.00 6.00
Bajra 11.30  11.30
Ragi 2.50  2.50
Small Millets 0.70  0.70
Total Nutri Cereals 17.50 3.00 20.50
Tur (Arhar) 4.55  4.55
Gram 13.50  13.50
Urad 2.70 1.00 3.70
Moong 2.50 1.50 4.00
Other Kharif Pulses 0.80  0.80
Other Rabi Pulses   3.00 3.00
Total Pulses 10.55 19.00 29.55
Total Foodgrains 163.15 164.85 328.00
Total Oilseed 26.89 14.45 41.34
Sugarcane 415.00  415.00
Cotton* 37.00  37.00
Jute** 10.00  10.00
Mesta** 0.50  0.50
Jute & Mesta** 10.50  10.50

* Production in Million bales of 170 kg for Cotton, ** Production in Million bales of 180 kg for Jute & Mesta.
 Pulses Scenerio
In Million Tonnes
Pulses Present Status Target Projections
2020-21 2021-22 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31
Demand 28.18 29.26 31.83 32.64 35.23
Production 25.72 26.96* 29.79 30.75 33.95
Import Requirement 2.46 2.30 2.04 1.89 1.28
Dependency on Import 9% 8% 6% 5.7% 3.6%
*2nd Advance Estimates
Source: Working Group recommendations on Final Projections, Niti Ayog

Dependency on import can easily be neutralized

by little additional production of 1.5-2.0 million
tonnes than the target

Import Substitution
Rs. 28523.90 crore in 2016-17
to Rs.11937.59 crore from 6.6 Mt in 2016-17 to
2.46 Mt in 2020-21
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 Trends of area, production and yield of Pulses in India (2015-16 to 2021-22)
* 2nd Advance Estimates; Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, Govt. of India
35 1000
900
30
800
25 700

20 600
500
15 400
10 300
200
5
100
0 0

Area (Mha) Production (Mt) Linear (Production (Mt)) Yield (Kg/ha)

Self-sufficiency in Pulses: a Saga of Success

Year 2015-16 2017-18 Increase in 2017-18 over 2015-16
Net increase %
Production (Mt) 16.32 25.42 + 9.10 55.8
Area (Mha) 24.91 29.81 + 4.90 19.7
Yield (Kg/ha) 655 853 + 198 30.2
 Sustaining Self-sufficiency in Pulses

Closing the
yield gaps
Productivity
(Presently yield Area expansion
enhancement
gaps ranges (Additional
(From 817
from 17.1% in potential area:
kg/ha to 1000
Lentil to 6.2 million ha)
kg/ha)
196.8% in
Mothbean)

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 SRR of Pulse Crops
70
61.05
60
50
40.48
40 32.64
36.37
32.14 30.94
29.19
30 26.68
23.45 22.6
17.51 18.38
20
10
0
URD MOONG ARHAR PEAS GRAM LENTIL

2010-11 2019-20

VRR of Pulse Crops

100 89.5 85.3 90.8
80
80 66.6
56.1 61.3
60 52.4 50.4
33.8 37.9 37.9
40
20
0
Pigeonpea Chickpea Mungbean Urdbean Fieldpea Lentil

2014-15 2021-22
Source: DAC&FW and IISR, Mau
 Edible Oils: Demand-Supply Gap Widening

The gap between demand and supply for edible oils has widened in India over the
years
- as the per capita consumption of edible oils has increased from 15.8 kg/year in
2012-13 to 18.8 kg/year in 2019-20
- and there has been 2.48% annual growth in the per capita consumption

Increasing productivity and acreage under oilseeds are the two pronged approach
along with the strategies/action plans, similar to that of pulses, for marching towards
the self -sufficiency in edible oils.
 Edible Oil Sector

Edible oil for available Dependency on

Year for consumption Domestic Production Imports Value of import imports Per capita
(MT) (MT) (MT) (Rs. in crore) (%) Consumption (kg/yr)

1986-87 5.34 3.87 1.47 700 28.0 6.2

1994-95 7.54 7.19 0.35 300 5.0 7.3

2014-15 21.36 8.63 12.73 64,894 59.6 18.3

2019-20 25.06 10.60 14.46 68,576 57.7 18.7

2020-21 25.82 12.47 13.35 79,190 54.9 18.2

Source: Department of Sugar & Vegetable Oils; DG, CI&S, Dept. of Commerce, Kolkata

ICMR recommendation i.e. 30 g/person /day : 12 kg/person/annum

Total import of edible oils: 13.35 million tons

(Palm oil (56%), Soybean oil (27%), Sunflower oil (16%), Others (1%)
 Trends of area, production and yield of Oilseeds in India (2015-16 to 2021-
22)
1400 40

1200 35

30
1000
25
800
20
600
15
400
10
200 5

0 0
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22*

Area (Mha) Production (Mt) Linear (Production (Mt)) Yield (Kg/ha)

* 2nd Advance Estimates; Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, Govt of India
 Reducing Yield Gap in Edible Oilseeds
Crop Existing yield gap (%) Target for 2025-26 for minimizing yield
gap (%) up to

Soybean 50 20
Rapeseed-Mustard 27 15
Groundnut 40 15
Sesame 22 10
Sunflower 160 20
Safflower 81 45
Niger 40 15
Average 60 20
• The average yield gap in edible oilseeds is about 60%.
• Reducing the yield gap to 20% in the next five years may lead to 13-14 Mt additional
production of edible oilseeds (~ 3-4 Mt edible oils) without bringing any additional area
under them.
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 State-wise APY of Sunflower and gap over the period
Area (lakh ha), Production (lakh tonnes) & Yield (kg/ha)

1993-94 2020-21* APY gap & % between 2020-21 and 1993-94

States
Area Production Yield Area Production Yield Area Production Yield

Karnataka 14.69 4.75 323 1.2 1.08 898-13.49 (92%) -3.67 (77%) 575
A.P. 3.9 2.17 556 0.12 0.08 692-3.78 (97%) -2.09 (96%) 136
Maharashtra 5.72 3.54 619 0.26 0.12 466-5.46 (95%) -3.42 (97%) -153
Haryana 0.4 0.65 1625 0.11 0.25 2004-0.29 (73%) -0.40 (62%) 379
Punjab 0.85 1.46 1718 0.02 0.04 1870-0.83(98%) -1.42 (97%) 152
T.N. 0.4 0.33 825 0.06 0.03 545-0.34 (85%) -0.30 (91%) -280
U.P. 0.36 0.43 1194 0.04 0.05 1372-0.32 (89%) -0.38 (88%) 178
Other 0.36 0.15 417 0.45 0.63 14000.16 (44%) 0.52 (347%) 983

All India 26.68 13.48 505 2.26 2.28 1011-24.42 (92%) -11.20 (83%) 506

* As per final estimate of DES

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 Strategy for Sunflower

Area expansion: Targeting area expansion in traditional and non-traditional

areas with quality seed supply.

Productivity improvement: Achieving higher productivity through technology

(BMPs) adoption and reducing yield gap.

Profitability improvement: Integrating secondary agriculture and value addition

opportunities through apiary, oil extraction, thalamus utilization,
mechanization, etc.
Capacity Development: Training farmers, extension agencies and technical
manpower on full lifecycle supply and value chain opportunity and
entrepreneurship development.
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 Cotton – State specific challenges and interventions
State Area Production Yield Challenges Interventions
Punjab 17.5 13.4 (17.1%) 585 • Whitefly • Use of virus tolerant hybrids
Haryana (13.4%) • Leaf curl Virus • Monitoring/ mating disruption technique
Rajasthan • Pink boll worm for PBW near ginneries/ oil extraction
(PBW) units
• Soil crusting • ETL based neem & pesticide
Application (pheromone traps 2/ac, ETL
10% flower damage or boll damage)
Gujarat 23.9 (18.4%) 81.7 (23.1%) 577 Pink boll worm • Use of early maturing hybrids
• PBW management
• Promotion of Herbaceum cotton in north
Gujarat
MP 6.0 (4.7%) 14.9 (4.3%) 416 Sustain the organic • Certification & quality input supply
cotton value chain • Promotion of ELS cotton
Maharashtra 44.1 80.9 312 • Boll rot • High density planting system
(33.8%) (23.0%) • Pink bollworm (compact Bt varieties/hybrids)
• Low productivity in • Boll rot management (between 60- 90
rainfed shallow soils days, prophylactic)
APY figures are average of three years (2019-20, 20- 21, 21-22), % share in • Poor soil health • IPM/IRM of Jassid & PBW
total, Area in lakh ha, Production in lakh bales and Yield in Kg lint/ha
• Promotion of long linted desi cotton
varieties
 Cotton – State specific challenges and interventions
State Area Production Yield Challenges Interventions
Telangana 21.8 64 500 • Low productivity in red • High Density planting system
(16.7%) (18.2%) soils in shallow to medium soils
• Thrips (dry spells) & • Crop window & ETL based
boll rot (excess sprays for boll rot & PBW
rains)
• Pink bollworm • Timely sowing and crop
termination
Andhra 6.0 (4.5%) 19.1 (5.4%) 542 • Late season • HDPS in rainfed shallow soils,
Pradesh rains/cyclones ICM in heavy soils
• Sucking pests, TSV • IDM boll rot, leaf spots and
disease IRM for PBW
• Pink bollworm
Tamil Nadu 1.3 (1.0%) 3.2 (0.9%) 400 • Stem weevil, tea • ETL based sucking pest
mosquito bug, Thrips management
• Low productivity of • Mulch cum drip fertigation
ELS cotton technique for ELS cotton
Karnataka 7.8 (6.0%) 21.6 (6.2%) 473 • Mirid bug, PBW • Sucking pest management
• Leaf reddening • Nutrient management
• Mating disruption for PBW
Odisha 1.8 (1.4%) 6.0 (1.7%) 570 • Non-Bt seeds • Quality seed production

APY figures are average of three years (2019-20, 20-21, 21-22), % share in total, Area in lakh ha, Production in lakh bales and Yield in Kg lint/ha
 Rice: Performance of major 10 Varieties (75% HHs) in Bihar and Eastern
Uttar Pradesh

5
4.54
4.26
4.02 3.99 3.99 3.91 3.88
4 3.82 3.68 3.61
Paddy yield (t ha-1)

0
MTU 7029 BPT5204 Arize 6444 Rajendra Moti Gold Moti Pioneer Sonam Damini Sarju52
Gold Mansoori1 27P31
 LET US STRATEGISE ACCORDINGLY

 Timely arrangement of inputs

 Mobilizing extension staff for field deployment
 Implementation & monitoring
 Cluster approach for crop productivity enhancement
 Cropping system centric interventions : Focus on Pulse, Oil
seeds, Nutricereals
 Utilization of rice fallow, intercropping, rainfed areas,
summer season
 Increasing Seed Replacement Rate and Varietal Replacement
 Increasing water and nutrient use efficiency
 Large scale adoption of improved technologies

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THANK YOU