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SCENARIOS FOR CALCULATION - G50

Dr. J. Sarva Vinothini


Senior Guide - Dr. A. Eswaran
Mentor - Dr. Ram
AB CD E F GH

A - ANALYSIS
B - BIAS

C - CALCULATION
CALCULATION
• Contract value for
entering 1 lot futures
• What is the Net FAD

CV = 2812 x 200
= Rs 564200
FAD = 2813.65-2812 = 1.65
Net FAD = 1.65 x 200
=Rs 330

ASSES LIQUIDITY
- Volume
-Open Interest
-(Ask-Bid diff/ Bid ) x 100
< 0.5
Margin

CV = 5.64 L
How much margin • Three Buckets
required ? • M2M margin required -
- 1.04L Cash
How to provide ?
EV eating - strike price, EV%
EV eating - strike price, EV%
EV eating - strike price, EV%
EV% = 1% EV% = 0.89%

EV% = 1.21% EV% = 1.14%

EV% = 1.31% EV% = 1.2%

EV% = 0.96% EV% = 0.92%

EV% = 0.73% EV% = 0.78%

Check liquidity
Calculate IV, EV , EV%
Scenarios
Anchor - 2812 . CC1 - Shares - 5.64 L
EV% = 1.21% 2800 CE - 48
IV = 12 EV = 36
Premium received = 9600
???

SCENARIO A SCENARIO B SCENARIO C


Asset remains @2812 0n expiry Asset @3100 0n expiry Asset @ 2500 0n expiry
P/L ? P/L ? P/L ?

IV = 300, EV = 0 IV = 0, EV = 0
IV = 12, EV = 0
Square off = 6000 Square off = 0
Square off = 2400
Profit = EV = 36
Profit = EV = 36 Profit = EV = 36 Gain IV = 12
IV = 0 Loss IV = - 288 = 48 x 200 = 9600
=36 x 200 = 7200 = -252x 200 = -50,400 Shares Unrealised loss
Shares - no change Shares = +288 = 57600 = 312 x 200 = -62400
Net P/L = 7200 = EV Net P/L = 7200 = EV Net P/L = 9600 = Premium received
= EV + IV
Covered call ITM -Plan C >>> Plan A >>> Plan B
Profit = EV = 36 Anchor - 2812 . CC1 - Shares - 5.64 L
Gain IV = 12 2800 CE - IV =12
= 48 x 200 = 9600
Shares Unrealised loss
= 312 x 200 = -62400
Net P/L = 9600 = Premium received

When asset again raises to anchor, when we sell 2800 CE


same strike @ same anchor again, the IV 12 gained will be
eventually lost, (as the initial anchor price of asset is 2812)
and when we finally reach Plan B, Only EV is gained.
CC - Near OTM Strike -Advantage
EV% = 1% EV% = 0.89%

EV% = 1.21% EV% = 1.14%

EV% = 1.31% EV% = 1.2%

EV% = 0.96% EV% = 0.92%

EV% = 0.73% EV% = 0.78%

SCENARIO B IV = 300, EV = 0 IV = 260, EV=0


Asset @3100 0n expiry Profit = EV = 36 IV lost = - 260, EV gained = 27.30
Loss IV = - 288 Shares = + 288
Shares = +288 Net Gain = 27.30 - 260 +288 = 55.3. (11,060 Rs)
Net P/L = 36-288+288 = 36 x 200 = EV + (288-260) = EV + (Strike - Anchor)
Net P/L = 7200 = EV The additional 28 IV gain in the Strike - Anchor Diff =
2840 - 2812 = 28
Covered call OTM - Plan B

OTM strike , in Covered Call Strategies


When in Plan B
EV + Additional Profit
Additional profit = Strike - Anchor diff

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