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Chapter 1

Introduction

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 1


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Economics and managerial decision
making

 Economics

The study of the behavior of human


beings in producing, distributing and
consuming material goods and
services in a world of scarce
resources

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Economics and managerial decision
making

 Management

The science of organizing and allocating a


firm’s scarce resources to achieve its
desired objectives

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Economics and managerial decision
making

Managerial economics

The use of economic analysis to make


business decisions involving the best
use (allocation) of an organization’s
scarce resources.

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Economics and managerial decision
making
 Relationship to other business
disciplines

Marketing: demand, price elasticity


Finance: capital budgeting, breakeven
analysis, opportunity cost, value added

Management science: linear


programming, regression analysis,
forecasting
Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 5
Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Economics and managerial decision
making
 Relationship to other business disciplines

Strategy: types of competition,


structure-conduct-performance
analysis

Managerial accounting: relevant


cost, breakeven analysis, incremental
cost analysis, opportunity cost
Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 6
Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Economics and managerial decision
making
 Questions that managers must
answer:

 What are the economic conditions in


our particular market?
 market structure?

 supply and demand?

 technology?

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Economics and managerial decision
making
 Questions that managers must answer:

 What are the economic conditions in our


particular market?
 government regulations?

 international dimensions?

 future conditions?

 macroeconomic factors?

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 8


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Economics and managerial decision
making
 Questions that managers must answer:

 Should our firm be in this business?


 if so, at what price?

 and at what output level?

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 9


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Economics and managerial decision
making
 Questions that managers must answer:

 How can we maintain a competitive


advantage over other firms?
 cost-leader?

 product differentiation?

 market niche?

 outsourcing, alliances, mergers?

 international perspective?

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 10


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Economics and managerial decision
making
 Questions that managers must answer:

 What are the risks involved?


 shifts in demand/supply

conditions?
 technological changes?

 the effect of competition?

 changing interest rates and

inflation rates, exchange rates ?


Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 11
Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Economics and managerial decision
making

 Questions that managers must answer:

 What are the risks involved?


 exchange rates (for companies in
international trade)?
 political risk (for firms with foreign
operations)?

Risk is the chance that actual future


outcomes will differ from those
expected
Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 12
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Economics of a business
 The economics of a business refers to
the key factors that affect the firm’s
ability to earn an acceptable rate of
return on its owners’ investment

The most important of these factors are


 competition
 technology
 customers

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 13


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Economics of a business
 Change: the four-stage model

 Stage I (the ‘good old days’)


 market dominance

 high profit margin

 cost plus pricing

… changes in technology, competition,


customers force firm into Stage II ..

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 14


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Economics of a business
 Change: the four-stage model

 Stage II (crisis)
 cost management

 downsizing

 restructuring

… ‘re-engineering’ to deal with changes


and move firm into Stage III ..

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 15


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Economics of a business
 Change: the four-stage model

 Stage III (reform)


 revenue management

 cost cutting has limited benefit

… focus on ‘top-line’ growth ..

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 16


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Economics of a business
 Change: the four-stage model

 Stage IV (recovery)
 revenue plus

… revenue grows profitably

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 17


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Review of economic terms
 Microeconomics is the study of individual
consumers and producers in specific
markets, especially:
 supply and demand

 pricing of output

 production process

 cost structure

 distribution of income

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 18


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Review of economic terms
 Macroeconomics is the study of the
aggregate economy, especially:
 national output (GDP)

 unemployment

 inflation

 fiscal and monetary policies

 trade and finance among nations

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 19


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Review of economic terms
 Resources are inputs (factors of
production), notably:
 Land  Return : rent

 Labor  Wage/Salary

 Capital  Interest

 Entrepreneurship  Profit

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 20


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Review of economic terms
 Scarcity is the condition in which
resources are not available to satisfy
all the needs and wants of a specified
group of people

 Opportunity cost is the amount (or


subjective value) that must be
sacrificed in choosing one activity
over the next best alternative

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 21


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Review of economic terms
 Allocation decisions must be made
because of scarcity. Three choices:

What should be produced?

How should it be produced?

For whom should be produced?

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 22


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Review of economic terms
 Economic decisions of the Firm

What - begin or stop providing


goods/services (production)
How - hiring, staffing, capital budgeting
(resourcing)
For whom – target the customers most
likely to purchase (marketing)

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 23


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Review of economic terms

 Entrepreneurship is the willingness to


take certain risks in the pursuit of
goals

 Management is the ability to organize


resources and administer tasks to
achieve objectives

Chapter One Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 24


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Chapter 2

The Firm and its Goals

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 25


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The Firm

 A firm is a collection of resources that is


transformed into products demanded by
consumers

 Profit is the difference between revenue


received and costs incurred

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 26


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The Firm

 Transaction costs are incurred when


entering into a contract

 types of transaction costs


 investigation

 negotiation

 enforcing contracts

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 27


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The Firm

 Transaction costs are incurred when


entering into a contract

 influences
 uncertainty

 frequency of recurrence

 asset specificity

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 28


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The Firm

 Examples

 Kodak – uses offshoring to source


cameras
 IBM – manufacturing computers
overseas
 Exult – third party services used in
human resources

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 29


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The Firm
 Limits to firm size

 tradeoff between
external transactions
and the cost of internal
operations

 company chooses to
allocate resources so
total cost is minimum

 outsourcing of
peripheral, non-core
activities
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 30
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The Firm

 Illustration: Coase and the Internet

 Ronald Coase wrote in 1937, pre-


internet
 but his ideas are still relevant today
 tradeoff between internal costs and
external transactions
 search costs

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 31


Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Economic goal of the firm
 Profit maximization hypothesis: the
primary objective of the firm (to
economists) is to maximize profits

Other goals include market share, revenue


growth, and shareholder value

 Optimal decision is the one that brings


the firm closest to its goal

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 32


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Economic goal of the firm
 Short-run versus Long-run

 nothing to do directly with calendar time


 short-run: firm can vary amount of
some resources but not others
 long-run: firm can vary amount of all
resources
 at times short-run profitability will be
sacrificed for long-run purposes

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 33


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Goals other than profit
 Economic goals

 market share, growth rate


 profit margin
 return on investment, Return on assets
 technological advancement
 customer satisfaction
 shareholder value

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 34


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Goals other than profit
 Non-economic objectives

 good work environment

 quality products and services

 corporate citizenship, social


responsibility

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 35


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Do companies maximize profit?
 Criticism: companies do not maximize
profits but instead merely aim to
satisfice, which means to achieve a
satisfactory goal, one that may not require
the firm to ‘do its best’

 two forces affect satisficing:


 position and power of stockholders

 position and power of management

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 36


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Do companies maximize profit?

 Position and power of stockholders

 larger firms are owned by thousands of


shareholders
 shareholders own only minute interests
in the firm ... and hold diversified
holdings in many other firms

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 37


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Do companies maximize profit?
 Position and power of stockholders

 shareholders are concerned with


performance of entire portfolio and not
individual stocks
 less informed about the firm than
management

 stockholders not likely to take any


action if earning a ‘satisfactory’ return
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 38
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Do companies maximize profit?
 Position and power of management

 high-level managers may own very little


of the firm’s stock
 managers tend to be more conservative
because jobs will likely be safe if
performance is steady, not spectacular

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 39


Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Do companies maximize profit?
 Position and power of management

 managers may be more interested in


maximizing own income and perks
 management incentives may be
misaligned (eg. revenue not profits)

 divergence of objectives is known as


‘principal-agent’ problem
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 40
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Do companies maximize profit?
 Counter-arguments which support the
profit maximization hypothesis

 large stockholdings held by institutions


(mutual funds, banks, etc.)  scrutiny
by professional analysts
 stockmarket discipline  if managers do
not seek to maximize profits, firms face
threat of takeover
 incentive effect  the compensation of
many executives is tied to stock price

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 41


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Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 Views the firm from the perspective of a
stream of profits (cash flows) over time
 the value of the stream depends on
when cash flows occur

 Requires the concept of the time value of


money: says a dollar earned in the future
is worth less than a dollar earned today

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 42


Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 Future cash flows (Di) must be
‘discounted’ to find their present
equivalent value

The discount rate (k) is affected by risk

 Two major types of risk:


business risk
financial risk
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 43
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Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders

 Business risk involves variation in


returns due to the ups and downs of the
economy, the industry, and the firm

All firms face business risk to varying


degrees

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 44


Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders

 Financial risk concerns the variation in


returns that is induced by ‘leverage’

Leverage is the proportion of a company


financed by debt
 the higher the leverage, the greater
the potential fluctuations in stockholder
earnings
 financial risk is directly related to the
degree of leverage
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 45
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Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 The present price of a firm’s stock should
reflect the discounted value of the expected
future cash flows to shareholders (dividends)

D1 D2 D3 Dn
P (1 k )  (1 k ) 2  (1 k )3    (1 k ) n

P = present price of the stock


D = dividends received per year
k = discount rate
n = life of firm in years
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 46
Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders

 If the firm is assumed to have an infinitely


long life, the price of a unit of stock which
earns a dividend D per year is given by
the equation:

P = D/k

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 47


Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 Given an infinitely lived firm whose
dividends grow at a constant rate (g) each
year, the equation for the stock price
becomes:
P = D1/(k-g)
where D1 is the dividend to be paid during
the coming year

Multiplying P by the number of shares outstanding


gives total value of firm’s common equity (‘market
capitalization’)
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 48
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Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 Company tries to manage its business in
such a way that the dividends over time
paid from its earnings and the risk
incurred to bring about the stream of
dividends always create the highest price
for the company’s stock

When stock options are substantial part of


executive compensation, management
objectives tend to be more aligned with
stockholder objective

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 49


Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders

 Another measure of the wealth of


stockholders is called Market Value
Added (MVA)®

MVA = difference between the market


value of the company and the capital that
the investors have paid into the company

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 50


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Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 Market value includes value of both
equity and debt

‘Capital’ includes book value of equity and


debt as well as certain adjustments
e.g. accumulated R&D and goodwill

While the market value of the company


will always be positive, MVA may be
positive or negative
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 51
Publishing as Prentice Hall.
Maximizing the wealth
of stockholders
 Another measure of the wealth of
stockholders is called Economic Value
Added (EVA)®

EVA=(Return on total capital – Cost of


capital) x Total capital

if EVA > 0 shareholder wealth rising


if EVA < 0 shareholder wealth falling
Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 52
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Economic profits
 Economic profits and accounting profits
are typically different

 accountants measure explicit incurred


costs, as allowed by GAAP

 accountants use historical cost of


machines

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 53


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Economic profits
 Economists are concerned with implicit
costs, called opportunity costs

Accordingly, economists use replacement


cost of machines
 economic costs include historical and
explicit (accounting) costs as well as
replacement and implicit (economic) costs
 economic profit is total revenue
minus all economic costs

Chapter Two Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. 54


Publishing as Prentice Hall.

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