index model • Assessing systematic and unsystematic risk of individual securities and portfolio • Evaluating beta-excess return relationship • Constructing optimal risky using single index model Single Index Model
• Sharpe’s model is also called market model
as it assumes that the co-movement between two stocks is due to their movement with the index representing the market as a whole. • Sharpe used a broad index of securities (like S&P BSE SENSEX or S&P 500 or STI) as a proxy for measuring the change in expected return of a security due to macroeconomic factors. Single Index Model
• The model implies that the rates of returns
of securities are correlated on account of their individual relationship with some basic underlying factors. • The sensitivity of a stock to the movement in the market index is measured by beta. Single Index Model
• Sharpe’s model is symbolically expressed as:
Single Index Model The single index model is based on certain assumptions: • The error term (ei) is a zero mean term with finite variance. Its covariance with the market portfolio is zero. • The error term of one security has no connection with the error term of another security. Single Index Model • The expected value of error term is zero. Risk Return Relationship in Single Index Model
Beta – Expected Return Relationship
• The single index model divides the return on a security into two components: - a unique part, αi - a market-related part, βi Risk Return Relationship in Single Index Model
Variance, Covariance and Correlation as
Measures of Risk • Variance: According to this model, for any security, Total risk = Systematic risk + Unique or firm specific risk. Symbolically, Risk Return Relationship in Single Index Model
• Covariance: Covariance between any pair of
securities is product of the respective betas and the variance of the market. Cov (ri, rj) = Product of betas × Variance of market index • The covariance between the return on stock i and the market index is given as: Risk Return Relationship in Single Index Model
• Correlation: Correlation between two
securities, i and j may be given as the product of correlations of i and j with the market. Security Characteristic Line
• Sharpe’s single index model is
represented by the equation: Security Characteristic Line
• SCL is a regression line that represents the
relationship between the returns on the stock and the returns on the market over a period of time in the past • The slope of the characteristic line is the Beta Coefficient. • If the coefficient of determination is equal to 1.00, it would imply that all the points of observation would lie on SCL. This would mean that the characteristic line explains 100% of the variability of the dependent variable (the stock returns). Security Characteristic Line • The alpha is the vertical intercept of the characteristic line. • Many analysts and portfolio managers search out stocks with high alphas. Application of the single index model for diversification
• The single index model and its risk-return
computation can be used for diversification, i.e., for construction of a portfolio. • For a portfolio, written may be computed as: Application of the single index model for diversification The return of the portfolio of ‘n’ securities where weight of each security is equal to 1/n may be computed as: Application of the single index model for diversification • βp may be measured here as: Application of the single index model for diversification • The non-market component of the portfolio, return αp can be measured as Application of the single index model for diversification • Another non-market component ep is measured as Application of the single index model for diversification • The risk of the portfolio may be computed as: Application of the single index model for diversification • The total risk of an equally weighted portfolio of ‘n’ securities is given by: Application of the single index model for diversification • Assuming that the entire diversifiable risk has been eliminated, the portfolio risk may be measured as: Critique of Sharpe’s Single Index Model
The single index model scores over Markowitz’ MPT
in that it reduces the computational requirements tremendously. However, Sharpe’s model suffers from limitation of being over simplistic in its assumptions about real-world uncertainty.