Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Exchange Rate Adjustment and BOP
Exchange Rate Adjustment and BOP
By Robert J. Carbaugh
9th Edition
Chapter 15:
Exchange-Rate Adjustments
and the Balance of Payments
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 2
Exchange rate adjustments
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 3
Exchange rate adjustments
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 4
Exchange rate adjustments
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 5
Devaluation as adjustment tool
Elasticity approach
Impact of currency devaluation depends on
price elasticity of domestic demand for
imports and of foreign demand for exports
The less either foreign or domestic demand
responds to price changes, the less effect a
devaluation will have on the payments
imbalance
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 6
Devaluation as adjustment tool
Elasticity approach
Marshall-Lerner condition:
Devaluation will improve the trade balance if
domestic demand elasticity for imports plus
foreign demand elasticity for exports is greater
than 1
Devaluation will worsen the trade balance if the
sum of the two elasticities is less than 1
If the sum is equal to 1, devaluation will have
no effect
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 7
Devaluation as adjustment tool
Absorption approach
Emphasizes impact of devaluation on
spending behavior of domestic economy
Balance of trade is the difference between
total domestic output and domestic
absorption
Positive balance means output exceeds
domestic spending
Negative balance means spending exceeds
total production
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 9
Devaluation as adjustment tool
Monetary approach
Elasticity and absorption approaches apply
only to the trade balance; monetary
approach includes capital account
Devaluation may induce a temporary
improvement in the balance of payments
Devaluation increases the domestic price level,
increasing demand for money and drawing
foreign capital flows (because of higher interest
rates that result)
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 11
Devaluation as adjustment tool
Carbaugh, Chap. 15 12