THE INFLUENCE OF ROMANIAN

MOUNTAIN TOURISM AND

COMMUNICATIONS ON THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE ROMANIAN
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Brîndușa Covaci1,2, Hind Bushra Ahmed2,3, Mihai Covaci2,4
1
Centrul de Economie Montană al Academiei Române – Institutul Național de
Cercetări Economice, România;
2
CBM International University, United States of America;
3
Ahfad University for Women, Sudan; 4Universitatea Hyperion
Abstract:

@ The paper analyzes Romanian mountain tourism and information-communications

through the prism of the influence they have on the Romanian business environment.
@ The sectors considered for the analysis are Accommodation and Food Services and
Information and Communication respectively.
@ The demography of the mountain business environment in Romania for which the
study was carried out presents several relevant indicators, such as the Population of
active enterprises in t - number, Newly established enterprises in t - number and
Dissolved enterprises in t - number.
@ The authors used SPSS - dynamic and forecasting analyses.
@ The results show that these sectors, in the period 2008-2018, strengthened their
position in the general mountain entrepreneurial picture.
@ The pandemic and forecast period, 2018-2028, considerably influences the
Romanian mountain business environment, the tourism sectors reducing their business
volume, while the information-communication sectors developed at an accelerated
pace. 2
Analysis/Forecasting of the sectors

Development specific to the Accommodation and

food service activities

Development specific to the Information and

communication

3
METHOD AND DATA

The data presented in the paper show that the business demographics (population of active
enterprises) in European mountain area have improved positively

For the calculation, the authors used different variables (years 2008 - 2018) for analysis
and 2020-2030 for forecasting, SPSS returning all as valid (there were no invalidated data).

According to the data from the paper, the demographics of mountain business in Romania
could represent a huge potential for the development of the mountain economy.

4
RESULTS

5
6
7
 Forecast
Model 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Romania-Model_1 Forecast 43428 45311 47194 49077 50959 52842 54725 56608 58491 60374 62257

UCL 47206 50654 53738 56633 59408 62098 64722 67295 69826 72322 74788
LCL 39649 39967 40649 41520 42510 43587 44728 45921 47155 48425 49725
Macroregiunea unu- Forecast 12455 13025 13595 14166 14736 15306 15876 16446 17016 17586 18156
Model_2
UCL 13604 14650 15586 16464 17305 18121 18916 19696 20464 21220 21968
LCL 11306 11400 11605 11867 12166 12491 12835 13196 13569 13952 14345
Macroregiunea doi- Forecast 6854 7131 7407 7684 7961 8238 8514 8791 9068 9345 9621
Model_17
UCL 7582 8160 8668 9140 9588 10020 10440 10850 11251 11646 12035
LCL 6126 6101 6147 6228 6333 6455 6588 6732 6884 7043 7207
Macroregiunea trei- Forecast 18993 19784 20574 21365 22155 22945 23736 24526 25316 26107 26897
Model_32
UCL 20661 22142 23462 24700 25884 27030 28148 29243 30319 31380 32428
LCL 17326 17425 17686 18029 18426 18861 19324 19809 20314 20833 21366
Macroregiunea patru- Forecast 5126 5371 5617 5863 6108 6354 6599 6845 7091 7336 7582
Model_44
UCL 5541 5959 6337 6694 8 7038 7372 7699 8021 8338 8651 8961
LCL 4710 4783 4897 5031 5179 5335 5500 5669 5844 6022 6203
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10
11
 Forecast
Model 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Romania-Model_1 Forecast 43428 45311 47194 49077 50959 52842 54725 56608 58491 60374 62257

UCL 47206 50654 53738 56633 59408 62098 64722 67295 69826 72322 74788
LCL 39649 39967 40649 41520 42510 43587 44728 45921 47155 48425 49725
Macroregiunea unu- Forecast 12455 13025 13595 14166 14736 15306 15876 16446 17016 17586 18156
Model_2
UCL 13604 14650 15586 16464 17305 18121 18916 19696 20464 21220 21968
LCL 11306 11400 11605 11867 12166 12491 12835 13196 13569 13952 14345
Macroregiunea doi- Forecast 6854 7131 7407 7684 7961 8238 8514 8791 9068 9345 9621
Model_17
UCL 7582 8160 8668 9140 9588 10020 10440 10850 11251 11646 12035
LCL 6126 6101 6147 6228 6333 6455 6588 6732 6884 7043 7207
Macroregiunea trei- Forecast 18993 19784 20574 21365 22155 22945 23736 24526 25316 26107 26897
Model_32
UCL 20661 22142 23462 24700 25884 27030 28148 29243 30319 31380 32428
LCL 17326 17425 17686 18029 18426 18861 19324 19809 20314 20833 21366
Macroregiunea patru- Forecast 5126 5371 5617 5863 6108 6354 6599 6845 7091 7336 7582
Model_44
UCL 5541 5959 6337 6694 7038 7372 7699 8021 8338 8651 8961
LCL 4710 4783 4897 5031 5179 5335 5500 5669 5844 6022 6203
CONCLUSION

The forecast analysis for the tourism and food sectors in the
mountainous area of ​Romania indicates that they will have a continuous
growth until 2030.

Both at the national, macro-regional, regional and county level, the

models resulting from the statistical modeling show that certain
mountainous areas are more sustainable than others.

13
 Thank you for the
attention!
Brîndușa Covaci, Hind Ahmed Bushra, Mihai Covaci
Email
covacibrindusa@gmail.com