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PD is calculated on the basis of historical data and hence, more the historical information, better the
PD estimate.
Historical data should be at least 5 years as mandated by RBI and should necessarily include a period
of high financial duress.
Probability of Default is of 2 types:
Through the Cycle PD (TTC): is essentially a long run average default rate covering a
time horizon of minimum 5 years and including at least one period(s) of high stress.
Point in Time PD (PIT) is a default rate that is responsive to the current economic
scenario as in at a particular point of time
Loss Given Default (LGD): The amount of money a bank or other financial institution loses
when a borrower defaults on a loan.
repayment towards contractual dues coupled with liquidation of collateral security is to be
considered and thus the Recovery Rate is found out.
LGD = 1 – RR
The facility rating (FR) under internal rating model provides different LGD estimates
Credit Risk: The risk of an obligor defaulting on his obligation towards the bank
It exists even in continuous repayment. i.e deterioration of credit worthiness of borrower.
Components of Credit Risk: Obligor Risk & Facility Risk
Maturity: Risk related to the length or maturity of the credit exposure.
EAD: Bank’s exposure on the borrower. Exposure x Credit Conversion Factor
Expected Loss = PD x LGD x EAD
Factors that drive in Credit Risk:
RATING MATRIX
FR1 FR2 FR3 FR4 FR5 FR6 FR7 FR8
BOB1 CR1 CR1 CR1 CR1 CR1 CR1 CR2 CR2