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Financial

Derivatives:
Tumbling Trade
on the MCX
Why is the trade falling in the mentha oil futures?
Is there a problem with the contract?
• Are future and spot prices cointegrated? (Vector Error Correction
Model)
• What about the basis risk? (Can we predict the basis over a year every
year?)
Options for Nathany
1. Decreasing the size of lots and minimum margin requirements and
increasing the limit on the maximum position in the market
2. Assaying cost reduction? What will be the impact on the traders?
3. Bringing in FPCs. How will the mentha oil contract benefit?
What actually happened?
• May 2021:
• Lot size reduced to 2 Drums
• Specifications revision
Thank you
for your patience

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