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ECONOMIC THOUGHT
• Economic thought goes as far back as the ancient Greeks and is
known to have been an important topic in the ancient Middle East.
Today, Scottish thinker Adam Smith is widely credited for creating the
field of economics. However, he was inspired by French writers who
shared his hatred of mercantilism.
A GLIMPSE OF THE PAST
• Modern economic thought is generally considered to
have originated in the late eighteenth century with the
work of David Hume and Adam Smith, the founders of
classical economics.
• The nineteenth and twentieth centuries saw major
developments in the methodology and scope of
economic theory; and the early twenty-first century has
seen a rethinking of some previously accepted tenets.
A GLIMPSE OF THE PAST
• Nineteenth- and early twentieth-century economists applied self-
evident and simplified assumptions which were thought to capture
the essential features of economic activity. That methodology
yielded concepts such as elasticity and utility, tools such as marginal
analysis, and theorems such as the law of comparative advantage.
• An understanding of the relationships governing transactions
between consumers and producers was considered to provide all
that was necessary to explain the behaviour of the economic
system.
Development of New Theories
• The development, in the later half of the 20th century, of systems of economic
statistics enabled economists to test theoretical findings against observed
economic behaviour, and to develop new theories.
• By that time, the concept had emerged of the national economy as a complex
interactive system, and analysis of that concept provided explanations ie
recessions, unemployment and inflation that were not previously available. The
application of empirical data and reasoning enabled those theories to be
refined, and led to the development of forecasting models that could be used
as tools of economic management.
Categorization of Thoughts by Periods
• Historians categorise economic thought into “periods” and
“schools”, and tend to attribute each innovation to one individual.
Division of Labour
Increases productivity
Invisible hand of
and a country’s
competition
wealth.
Eg. it takes 18 different Allows self regulation
operations to make a pin! to operate ensuring
economic progress
Labour theory of
Free Trade
value & wealth Cannons of Taxation
With no tariffs/tax,
The value of an item is Fair tax system;
markets operate
equal to the amount of equity
effectively & trade to
labour that goes into economy
be spread between
producing it certainty
nations
convenience
Classical School
• He identified what he considered to be the economic drawbacks of all
forms of taxation (except the taxation of land values) and of public
expenditure.
• He examined the relation of price to value and concluded that the
price of a product tends to equality with its cost of production, which
he termed its "natural price".
• He reasoned that "when the quantity brought to market is just
sufficient to supply the effectual demand and no more, the market
price naturally comes to be either exactly, or as nearly as can be
judged of, the same with the natural price" - an outcome which he
took to be the normal result of market bargaining.
Jean Baptiste Say (1767-1832)
Wrote: “Treatise on Political Economy”
Says law
• Following Adam Smith’s lead, he also developed the wage fund concept that
the amount available for the payment of wages is fixed at any particular level
of capital investment, so that an increase in the supply of labour would lead to
a reduction in wage rates.
• Equilibrium is the state in which market supply and demand balance each other, and as a result prices
become stable. Generally, an over-supply of goods or services causes prices to go down, which results in
higher demand—while an under-supply or shortage causes prices to go up resulting in less demand.
• Perfect competition is the situation prevailing in a market in which buyers and sellers are so numerous and
well informed that all elements of monopoly are absent and the market price of a commodity is beyond
the control of individual buyers and sellers.
• 'Gross Domestic Product' GDP is the final value of the goods and services produced within the geographic
boundaries of a country during a specified period of time, normally a year. GDP growth rate is an
important indicator of the economic performance of a country.
Terms of Economics
• A monopoly is when a product or service can only be bought from one
supplier for a specific market. ... In law, a monopoly is a firm that has a lot of
market power and is able to charge very high prices for a product or service.
• An oligopoly is a market characterized by a small number of firms who
realize they are interdependent in their pricing and output policies. The
number of firms is small enough to give each firm some market power.
If Inv<Saving=Leakage
Leads to a decrease in Investment decisions
national income & Depends on
employment expectations not rate
of interest
The multiplier
Shows the relationship between an initial injection into the circular
flow of income and the eventual total increase in national income.
The contribution of John Maynard Keynes
• The most important contribution to economic thought by John Maynard
Keynes was his examination of the factors determining the levels of
national income and employment, and the causes of economic fluctuations.
• His major (and hard to read) work, the General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money, contains a sustained attack on much of the thinking of
classical economics - mainly on the grounds that their postulates were
unrealistic.
• His first target was Say's law of markets with its denial of the possibility of a
general deficiency of demand. He challenged its implicit assumption that
money is no more than a medium of exchange by drawing attention to
the speculative motive for holding money.
The contribution of John Maynard Keynes
• Secondly, he attacked the classical economists' contention that it was the interest
rate that reconciled savings plans with investment plans, claiming that the level
of savings was largely determined by the level of national income.
• Thirdly, he rejected the classical economists' assumption that any tendency for
unemployment to rise would be corrected by a reduction in the general level of
wages, substituting the contention that "wages are sticky downward". Having
substituted his assumptions for those of his predecessors, he advanced the thesis
that a deficiency of demand could occur if there was an excess of planned savings
over planned investment, because such an excess could be removed only by a
reduction in national income.
• The implication of that thesis was that the economy could settle down into a
condition of high unemployment, lacking the self-righting mechanism envisaged
by the classical economists.
The Chicago School
• Chicago School is usually taken to refer to the outlook and methodology of its
economists during the period that started in the 1960s - including Milton
Friedman, George Stigler, Ronald Coase, Robert Lucas, Cary Becker, Harry
Johnson and Merton Miller, and to some like-minded economists in other
universities.
• It is best known for its advocacy of monetarism but its economists have also
made contributions on a wide range of other topics, including international
trade, rational expectations and institutional economics. Their methodology
embodies an approach, which philosophers term instrumentalist, that gives
the predictive value of a theory priority over the representativeness of its
assumptions
Monetarism