Professional Documents
Culture Documents
INSIDE JOB
(2010) 6.53
PART 1: PART 2:
HOW WE GOT HERE THE BUBBLE
PART 3: PART 4:
THE CRISIS ACCOUNTABILITY
PART 5:
WHERE WE ARE NOW
3
PART 1: HOW WE GOT HERE
The American financial industry was regulated from 1941 to
1981, followed by a long period of deregulation. At the end of the
1980s, a savings and loan crisis cost taxpayers approximately $124
billion. In the late 1990s, the financial sector had consolidated into a
few giant firms. In March 2000, the Internet Stock Bubble burst because
investment banks promoted Internet companies they knew would fail,
resulting in $5 trillion in investor losses. In the 1990s, derivatives
became popular in the industry and added instability. Efforts to regulate
derivatives were thwarted by the Commodity Futures Modernization
Act of 2000, backed by several key officials. In the 2000s, the industry
was dominated by five investment banks (Goldman Sachs, Morgan
Stanley, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, and Bear Stearns), two
financial conglomerates (Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase), three securitized
insurance companies (AIG, MBIA, AMBAC) and the three rating
agencies (Moody's, Standard & Poor's, Fitch).
4
5 INVESTMENT BANKS THAT DOMINATED
THE INDUSTRY IN THE 2000
1. GOLDMAN SACHS 2. MORGAN STANLEY 3. LEHMAN BROTHERS
5
2 FINANCIAL CONGLOMERATES THAT
DOMINATED THE INDUSTRY IN THE 2000
1. CITIGROUP
2. JP MORGAN CHASE
6
3 SECURITIZED INSURANCE COMPANIES THAT
DOMINATED THE INDUSTRY IN THE 2000
7
3 RATING AGENCIES THAT DOMINATED
THE INDUSTRY IN THE 2000
1. MOODY’S
8
PART 1: HOW WE GOT HERE
9
PART 2: THE BUBBLE
During the housing boom, the ratio of money borrowed by
investment banks versus the banks' own assets reached unprecedented
levels. Speculators could buy credit default swaps (cdss), which were
akin to an insurance policy, to bet against cdos they did not own.
Numerous cdos were backed by subprime mortgages. Goldman-sachs
sold more than $3 billion worth of cdos in the first half of 2006.
Goldman also bet against the low-value cdos, telling investors they
were high-quality. The three biggest ratings agencies contributed to the
problem, with aaa-rated instruments rocketing from a mere handful in
2000 to over 4,000 in 2006. There were some warnings about the
growing risks in the financial system, including from raghuram rajan,
then the chief economist of the IMF, who, at the federal reserve's 2005
jackson hole conference, identified some risks and proposed policies to
address them, though former U.S. Treasury secretary lawrence summers
called his warnings "misguided" and rajan himself a "luddite".
10
RISING COST OF HOUSE FROM 1970-2007
U.S. HOUSING PRICES
200%
180%
160%
140%
120%
194%
100%
140% 140%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
1970's BOOM 1980's BOOM 2007 HOME PRICES
11
COUNTRYWIDE CORPORATE PROFITS
(IN BILLIONS)
$3 B
$2 B
$1 B
$0 B
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
12
WALL STREET BONUSES
(IN BILLIONS)
$35 B
$30 B
$25 B
$20 B
$15 B
$10 B
$5 B
$0 B
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
13
LARGEST UNDERWRITER
14
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP (CDS)
INVESTOR AIG
S
CDO
15
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP (CDS)
INVESTOR AIG
S
CDO
16
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP (CDS)
SPECULATOR
S
SPECULATOR
SPECULATOR
S
INVESTOR S
AIG SPECULATOR
S
S
CDO
17
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP (CDS)
SPECULATOR
S
SPECULATOR
SPECULATOR
S
INVESTOR S
AIG SPECULATOR
S
S
CDO
BONUSES
$3.5 BILLION
18
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP (CDS)
SPECULATOR
S
SPECULATOR
SPECULATOR
S
INVESTOR S
AIG SPECULATOR
S
S
CDO
19
PART 3: THE CRISIS
The market for CDOs collapsed and investment banks were left
with hundreds of billions of dollars in loans, CDOs, and real estate they
could not unload. The great recession began in November 2007, and in
March 2008, Bear Stearns ran out of cash. In September, the Federal
Government took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which had been on the
brink of collapse. Two days later, Lehman Brothers collapsed. These entities
all had AA or AAA ratings within days of being bailed out. Merrill lynch, on
the edge of collapse, was acquired by Bank of America. Henry Paulson and
Timothy Geithner decided that Lehman must go into bankruptcy, which
resulted in a collapse of the commercial paper market. On September 17, the
insolvent AIG was taken over by the government. The next day, Paulson and
Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke asked congress for $700 billion to bail out the
banks. The global financial system became paralyzed. On October 3, 2008,
President George w. Bush signed the troubled asset relief program, but
global stock markets continued to fall. Layoffs and foreclosures continued
with unemployment rising to 10% in the us and the European union.
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22
23
24
25
26
U.S. FORECLOSURES
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2007 2008 2009
27
PART 4: ACCOUNTABILITY
Top executives of the insolvent companies walked away with
their personal fortunes intact and avoided prosecution. the executives had
hand-picked their boards of directors, which handed out billions in bonuses
after the government bailout. The major banks grew in power and doubled
anti-reform efforts. Many academic economists who had advocated for
deregulation for decades and helped shape U.S. Policy still opposed reform
after the 2008 crisis. Firms involved were the analysis group, Charles river
associates, compass Lexecon, and the law and economics consulting group
(LECG). Many of these economists were paid consultants to companies and
other groups involved in the financial crisis, conflicts of interest that were
often not disclosed in their research papers.
PART 5: WHERE WE ARE NOW
$40 B
$35 B
$30 B
$25 B
$20 B
$15 B
$10 B
$5 B
$0 B
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA TUITION
(ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION)
$12,000
$10,000
$8,000
$6,000
$4,000
$2,000
$0
1977 1985 1993 2001 2009
HOURS WORKED PER YEAR
COUNTRYWIDE CORPORATE PROFITS
(IN BILLIONS)
1,900
1,850
1,800
1,750
1,700
1,650
1979 1989 1995 2000 2006
32
PERSONS WHO ARE INVOLVED AND
INTERVIEWED IN THE MOVIE
PERSONS WHO ARE INVOLVED AND INTERVIEWED IN THE MOVIE
NAME PROFESSION
1 Gylfi Zoega Professor of Economics, University of Iceland
11 Lee Hsien Loong Prime Minister, Singapore (as Hsien Loong Lee)
PERSONS WHO ARE INVOLVED AND INTERVIEWED IN THE MOVIE
• https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/fullcr
edits?ref_=tt_cl_sm
• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inside_Job_(20
10_film)
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2IaJwk
qgPk&t=2253s
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