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Week 7 - Qualitative Risk Analysis II
Week 7 - Qualitative Risk Analysis II
QUALITATIVE RISK
MANAGEMENT II (FMEA)
mb.its.ac.id RISK MANAGEMENT TEAM TEACHING 2023
OUTLINE
UNDERSTANDING THE FUNDAMENTAL
DEFINITIONS AND CONCEPTS OF FMEAS
TYPES OF FMEA
RECIPE IN FMEA
UNDERSTANDING THE
FUNDAMENTAL DEFINITIONS AND
CONCEPTS OF FMEAS
WHAT IS
FMEA ?
FMEA = FAILURE MODE EFFECT ANALYSIS
POTENTIAL
ANALYSIS
“ What can go WRONG in your process or product”
WHAT IS
FMEA ?
An FMEA should be the guide to the development of a
complete set of actions that will reduce risk associated
with the system, subsystem, and component or
manufacturing/assembly process to an acceptable level.
WHAT IS
FMEA ?
An FMEA is an engineering analysis:
• done by a cross-functional team of subject matter experts
• that thoroughly analyzes product designs or
manufacturing processes
• early in the product development process.
• Finds and corrects weaknesses before the product gets
into the hands of the customer.
WHAT IS
FMEA ?
• Performing an FMEA just to fill a checkbox in the Product
Development Process and then filing it away, never to be
seen again, is a waste of time and adds no value
• If not for use as guidance through the development process,
why waste the time and resources to do it in the first place?
• If effectively used throughout the product life cycle, it will
result in significant improvements to reliability, safety,
quality, delivery, and cost.
DEFINITION OF FMEA
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a method designed
to:
SYSTEM FMEA
PROCESS FMEA
GENERAL OVERVIEW
THREE types of FMEAs are:
GENERAL OVERVIEW
GENERAL
OVERVIEW
When is the FMEA complete?
Example :
• Design FMEA at the subsystem level is the hand brake of a bicycle
• The scope is the design of the entire hand brake subsystem, including
the interfaces of the various components of the hand brake subsystem
• The objective is to ensure the hand brake subsystem accomplishes its
intended functions safely and reliably, and the risk due to the
subsystem design is low
DESIGN FMEA
Ensuring product operation is
safe and reliable during the
useful life the design
Improving
EMPHASIS
FOCUS = is on ON ensuring product operation is
product design- safe and reliable during the
useful life
related
deficiencies ensuring
Interfacesproduct
betweenoperation
adjacent is
safe and reliable during the
components
useful life
Example :
• Process FMEA is the manufacturing and assembly of a bicycle
• The scope of a bicycle Process FMEA is the entire set of
manufacturing and assembly operations of the bicycle.
• The objective is to ensure that the assembly operations are
accomplished as intended in a safe and reliable manner, and
ensure the risk due to manufacturing and assembly is low.
PROCESS
FMEA Improving the
manufacturing process is built to
Ensuring the product
design requirements in a safe
manner, with minimal downtime,
FOCUS = is EMPHASIS scrap and rework
on ON
manufacturing
related ensuring product operation is safe
deficiencies Manufacturing and assembly
and reliable during the useful life
operations, shipping, incoming
parts, transporting of materials,
storage, conveyors, tool
maintenance, and labeling
Example :
2. Production availability
2.Compare
components to
determine priority for
corrective action
STEP 8. PRIORITIZE THE
FAILURE MODES FOR THE
ACTION
• This Failure modes should be prioritized by ranking them in order, from the
highest to the lowest
• The team must now decided which item to work for —> helps to set a cutoff
RPN (cutoff point)*
•*= any failure modes with an RPN above that point are attended to and
Those below the cutoff are left alone for the time being
• High-risk priority numbers should be given attention first ( RPN > 100 )
• If several failure modes have the same risk priority number, that failure mode
with the highest severity should be given more priority
STEP 9.
TAKE ACTION TO ELIMINATE OR
REDUCE THE HIGH RISK FAILURE
MODES
• It is using the problems-solving approaches and implement actions
• The easiest way —> increase the detectability of the failure,
• Increase the detection rate = assigning a schedule Preventive Monitoring action such as ;
1. use a proper condition monitoring program
• Example : ac computer software will automatically warn incase of low disk space.
STEP 10.
CALCULATE THE RESULTING RPN AS
THE FAILURE MODES ARE REDUCED
OR ELIMINATED
• Actions have been taken to reduce the RPN=
1. A new ranking for the severity, occurrence, and detection should be calculated
2. A resulting RPN is calculated
• Expectation is at least 50 percentage reduction in RPN
• The question —> “ how much relative risk the team is willing to take “ And The Answer
—> depend on the industry and the seriousness of the failure
• For example : in the nuclear industry, there is a little margin for errors,; they can’t risk a
disaster occurring
CREATING AN FMEA
CASE STUDY FMEA
• We will conduct an FMEA on the
All Ranks Club coffee example
• A Black Belt wants to improve
customer satisfaction with the
coffee served at the All Ranks
Club
• Use the process map and
completed C&E matrix folloW
WHAT MAKES AN
FMEA ?
RISK ASSESSMENT -
CREATING FMEA
• For The FMEA process begins by identifying
“Failure Modes,” the ways in which a product,
service or process could fail The Customer
Requirement
CRITICAL TO CUSTOMER
Analyze how your process can fail to deliver
CTC
LET US MAKE A COFFEE
FOR OUR CUSTOMER
CTQ :
1. Taste
2. Strength
3. Temperature
INPUT OUTPUT
MAPPING
INPUTS
PROCESSING OUTPUT
Example :
List various ways how the Process can fail to deliver at various aspects of CTQ (CTQ = TASTE )
SEVERITY RATING
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 2 :IDENTIFY POTENTIAL EFFECTS AND SEVERITY
6
STEP 3
IDENTITY POTENTIAL CAUSES /
OCCURRENCE
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 3 :IDENTIFY POTENTIAL CAUSES/OCCURENCE
STEPS :
5
• Now we have to find the CAUSEs of the Failure
Modes
5
• Brainstorm among process experts what are the
6 causes of failure in the system
ASK WHY ?
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 3 :IDENTIFY POTENTIAL CAUSES / OCCURRENCE
REMEMBER :
One failure mode can have more then 1 Effects Each
effect can have more then one Causes
PROBABILITY RATINGS
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 3 :IDENTIFY POTENTIAL CAUSES / OCCURRENCE
IMPORTANT :
• Evaluate how often this Cause has occurred in
the past
• Based on:
1. Past Data
2. Trend
3. Experience
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 3 :IDENTIFY POTENTIAL CAUSES / OCCURRENCE
STEP 4
LIST CURRENT CONTROL AND
SCORE
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 4 :LIST CURRENT CONTROL AND SCORE
BEST
NUMBER 3 DETECTION
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 4 : LIST CURRENT CONTROL AND SCORE
DETECTION RATINGS
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 4 : LIST CURRENT CONTROL AND SCORE
RISK
MITIGATION
STEP 6
DEVELOP RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 6 : DEVELOP RECOMMENDED ACTION
PROCESS FMEA FORM
STEP 6 : DEVELOP RECOMMENDED ACTION
RISK CONTROL - ACTING ON FMEA
POTENTIAL
SEVERIT OCCURENC DETECTIO
FAILURE RPN
Y E N RPN
MODES
Should be as low as
MIN 1 1 1 1
possible
MAX 10 10 10 1000
RPN to 100
NOTE
= Sev —> Severity can’t be changed,
it remains the same