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Lecture 2 (today)
Hitting times, concentration.
Lecture 3
Meetings and intersections, improved bounds on graphs.
Recall the definition
A MC with transition matrix on a finite set with n elements is a
random process
and
.
Definition ( chain)
A chain is a Markov chain that is reversible with respect to
(assumed fully supported), has spectral gap and has nonnegative
eigenvalues.
Intuition
At each step, flip a coin with probability of heads.
If you do get heads, jump according to . If you get tails, stay put.
Extremal chains are extremal
Lemma
Given write if for all
Then for any chain and any
.
Hitting times
Hitting times
Time 0
Set 𝐴
Hitting times
Time 1
Set 𝐴
Hitting times
Time 2
Set 𝐴
Hitting times
Set 𝐴 Time 3
Hitting times
Set 𝐴 Time 4
Hitting times
Set 𝐴
Time 5
Hitting times
Time 6
Set 𝐴
𝜏 𝐴 =6
Hitting times
Definition (hitting time)
1/3 1/6
(...)
A
1/2
Notation
)
Understanding hitting times
Introduce a new matrix
Define a diagonal matrix with
Properties of
Reversible, nonnegative entries (easy to check).
Since we obtain:
.
Proof that
Largest eigenvalue for such matrices
Variational formula
, achieved by .
Limit formula
For any strictly positive
Largest eigenvalue = operator norm
= :=sup { : =1}
Submultiplicativity
Consequences
Corollaries for
Operator norm = largest eigenvalue
Corresponding eigenvector is nonnegative
Nonnegative spectrum, .
Variational formula monotone in matrix order:
Hitting times
(Theorem 1) For any chain, we have that:
.
Simple bound for diagonal matrices
Proposition I
For any chain , and any diagonal with nonnegative entries,
(.
How likely is it
that RW spends
an atypical amount
of time in A?
Set 𝐴
Functions
(
The Benrnstein trick
Markov’s inequality
For a nonnegative random variable,
The trick
I(
.
The Bernstein trick
Moment generating function
The trick
I(.
(.
where and
.
Recursive structure of extremal chain
; want
=
future indep. from
stationarity
Recursive structure of extremal chain
Unconditional recursion
Proof elements for equal functions
Complex analysis and the radius of convergence:
where
Proof elements for equal functions
Generating function of MGF of extremal chain:
If we write
then
Proof elements for equal functions
Recursions and identification of convergence radius:
Define another analytic function: