Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Mortgage Market in Mexico
Mortgage Market in Mexico
1 de dic de 2023
Contents
I. Introduction
2
SHF: Mandate & activities, Mission & Vision
SHF was created in 2001 as a government financial
institution oriented to foster the development of the primary
Mission:
and secondary mortgage markets.
Lead the development of a
As a Mortgage bank: SHF grants long term financing to competitive market in
order to allow all Mexicans
financial intermediaries and covers their interest rate risk.
be able to acquire a
SHF does not lend directly to individuals. residence.
As a Guarantor: SHF offers products like mortgage
insurance and financial guaranties. Vision:
To be an innovative
Until 2013, SHF will have the 100% guarantee from the institution in solutions to
Federal Government. After 2009 SHF will not be able to develop social housing.
grant finance, hence, it is necessary to develop alternative
mechanisms of housing financing.
4
Over the next 25 years, the number of households will grow at an
annual rate of 2% and the year of 2012 will have the larger number of
household formation.
Million of Households
36
Thousands of New
40 680
667 34
Households
35 670 32
660
30 650
30
25 22.8 640
636 28
630 26
20 620
25.5
24
15 9.8 610 22
600 20
10 4.8
5
0 New Households Total Number of Households
1940 1970 2000 2030 e/
/* PPP Methodology
5
Housing Demand
Source: INEGI.
6
Housing Demand: Strengthening of the Middle Class
DISTRIBUTION OF FAMILIES ACCORDING TO THEIR
INCOME (%)
34.4 and more
A gradual increase of the middle class is
30.1-34.4
expected. This will allow a strengthening of In 2006,
the housing demand from financially 25.8-30.1 80.2% of
7
Demographic dynamics: a challenge and opportunity in the
mortgage market
MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO IN MEXICO
400,000
Even under very conservative assumptions,
Million Dollars
350,000
%
SHF estimates that the residential mortgage 300,000 wt h Rate
: 10.1
nnua l Gro
portfolio will grow from USD $80,724 millions 250,000
Cum ulative A
-
20062007 20082009201020112012 201320142015 2016201720182019 2020
The flow of financial savings available in the ACCUMULATED NET FLOW NEEDED TO FINANCE
country will not be sufficient to finance the 2500 MORTGAGE LOANS
mortgage sector. 0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Private Mortgages Siefores Savings Savings from banks
To attend the growing demand of mortgage loans in the following years, it was necessary to develop a
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities market.
8
Contents
I. Introduction
9
The industry is still dominated by the two Federal Housing Funds,
INFONAVIT and FOVISSSTE.
INFONAVIT +
FOVISSSTE INF ONAVIT + F OVIS S S TE
84% 75%
10
INFONAVIT
11
FOVISSSTE
12
BANKS
Until 1994, banks were the only private intermediaries doing mortgages in Mexico.
In 1995, the “Tequila Crisis” bankrupted the Mexican banking system and private
banks abandoned the mortgage market. Past-due loans became rampant,
specially in the mortgage portfolio of banks. Banks did not have efficient collection
mechanisms or foreclosure procedures.
By 2004 it became clear to banks they had been out of a profitable market, and
they entered back aggressively by:
Undercutting Sofoles in price
Buying up the largest Sofoles
Banks originated approximately USD 7,300 millions of loans in 2007.
13
SOFOLES
Sofoles were created in 1994 as a result of NAFTA. They are Non-bank banks
similar to mortgage banks in US.
14
FOVI, which was manage by the Central Bank until the creation of SHF,
started funding SOFOLES in 1995.
Collections on
outstanding portfolio
15
SHF started operations in 2002, overtaking the activities of FOVI but with a
new capacity to get funding from the capital markets.
MI is offered to prepare
SHF hedges market and prepayment risk
Local capital and loans for securitization
through debt and derivatives markets
international
derivatives
markets
Mortgage Insurance
MORTGAGE
Central Bank loans SOFOLES LENDING
16
Contents
I. Introduction
17
Participation of SHF in the securitization model
SHF does not perform the same activities that Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac: it neither
purchases loan portfolios nor does it issue MBSs with its own Guarantee attached.
Instead:
SHF offers Mortgage Insurance covering the first loss of up to 35% of loans,
whether they are part of a pool of an MBS (BORHIS) or not.
SHF supports the liquidity of the MBS (BORHIS) by continuously quoting bid-ask
prices (with tight bid-ask spreads) for every issue in the market. All this activity is
channelled through one of the eleven “BORHIS Market Makers”.
However, the goal of SHF is similar that of the GSEs: to foster the liquidity to the
mortgage markets as a means to promote the affordability of mortgages.
18
How is the market organized to issue MBS (BORHIS)?
Depends on the
=
preferences of the issuer,
Mortgage Financial Guarantee but Mortgage Insurance
is necessary unless a
Insurance Insurance 100% Financial
Companies Company/Mezzanine Guarantee Insurance on
the MBS exists.
Mortgage Insurance Total or Partial Financial
PREMIUM (First loss up to 30%) PREMIUM Guarantee Insurance
and Mezzanine
Loan + Mtg.Insurance
AAAmx rated MBS
SPV
(BORHIS)
SOFOL or BANK (funded and Debt Markets
administered by
$
private entities) $
Mortgage $
SPV acquires mortgage
portfolios, structures and
BORROWER issues MBS (BORHIS)
19
The securitization Model
Equivalent May be
Mezzanine Bond to a Partial partially
10% Financial Equity substituted
Guarantee by a
Equity 3% 12% Mezzanine
Bond
20
SHF has been actively seeking the entrance of private providers of guarantees.
The end-game is a market based system relying on private providers of financial
solutions.
Investor and market
maker in initial and
secondary markets
SPV
Mortgage
Portfolios
Financial L
$
Intermediaries O MBS Capital Markets
•Banks A
•Sofoles N MBS
$ S
Financial
K Guarantee
Mortgage Insurance
Insurance
21
The number of participants in securitization has steadily increased, first Sofoles,
then banks by 2006 started to have an important participation
participating in securitizations is
also higher every year. Bancomer Bancomer
22
Securitizing mortgages has proven to be a successful mechanism to originate
mortgages recurrently and at competitive rates
Through 2007, we have witnessed important progress on the issuance of mortgage backed
securities:
On 2007, $2,352 million USD were securitized, representing an increase of 107% of
the amount observed in 2006.
And also on 2006, banks started working towards securitizing their mortgage portfolios,
managing to account for 33% of the issuance of BORHIs in 2007.
Amount Securitized
Issuances
(Million USD) Mortgages
Non-bank institutions (SOFOLES)
Total MBS issuance per year 2007 1,263 12 49,326
2006 950 13 30,926
Amount Securitized 2005 260 5 8,359
Years Issuances
(million USD) Mortgages 2004 250 3 9,562
2003 54 1 1,979
2003 54 1 1,979 Subtotal 2,777 34 100,152
2004 250 3 9,562
2005 260 5 8,359 Banks
2007 777 3 10,025
2006 1,136 14 34,857 2006 186 1 3,931
2007 2,352 17 59,351 2005 - - -
Total 4,052 40 114,108 2004 - - -
2003 - - -
Subtotal 963 4 13,956
23
On 2007, the average size of issuances also increased, making BORHIs a
more appropriate instrument for institutional investors
issuance
Year % of increase 140
(million
USD)
120
2003 54 141%
2004 83 57%
2005 52 151% 100
2006 81 61%
2007 131 0% 80
40
20
-
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
24
BORHIS offer very attractive yields to Foreign Investors:
YTM: BORHIS* vs. “Mexican Government Real Rate Benchmark”, “TIP’s + EMBI+”, TIP’s
(Dic-2003 – YTD)
7.0%
6.0%
5.0% 4.50%
4.0% 3.59%
3.0%
3.35%
2.0%
2.23%
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Ago-04
Ago-05
Ago-06
Ago-07
Feb-04
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Abr-04
Oct-04
Abr-05
Oct-05
Abr-06
Oct-06
Abr-07
1.0%
Dic-03
Dic-04
Dic-05
Dic-06
BORHIS* UDIBONOS** TIP's 20 yr + EMBI+
TIP's 20 yr TIP's 10 yr + EMBI+ TIP's 10 yr
25
Today there are 11 Market Makers participating in SHF’s program to foster
the liquidity of BORHIS in the secondary market.
SHF acts through these institutions, and quotes prices both ways on every
security at very tight margins throughout the day.
26
There is a lot of room for efficiencies being translated into more affordable
mortgages.
25%
Average rate on
First Loss + 14.00% mortgage portfolio
Mortgage Insurance
- 1.25% Servicing Fee
- MI
87% 0.85%
Senior security P&C and Life insurance +
- 1.10% structuring and
Mortgage
securitization costs
Portfolio
10% Mezzanine - 0.17% Mezzanine
Piece
3% Subordinated
- 8.34%
Funding rate for MBS
Security
= 2.29% Excess Spread
27
The BORHIs market is still on its early stages, so it is important to
correct and adjust some aspects in order to improve its efficiency
28
In order to satisfy the demand of institutional investors and widen
the range of BORHIs available, different types of issuances have
been promoted:
We have worked to generate a great variety of types of BORHIs with the objective of
attracting different investors through diverse tranches.
Likewise, SHF participated in the creation of Hipotecaria Total (HiTo), a company
that allows the securitization of mortgages at real time, in a similar way as the
Danish model.
We are supporting Covered Bonds as another securitization option.
These schemes offer different options for both, investors and issuers.
29
Contents
I. Introduction
30
Mexico Pension Funds System
Individual
Pension Fund
Account* PRIVATE
EMPOYER
AFORES
Pension administrator
PUBLIC
EMPOYER
$
SIEFORES
$$$
One of the aim objectives of the SIEFORES is to invest the income of pension
funds in order to obtain the best returns with financial instruments that comply with the
regulator investment policies.
Taking into account that pension funds look for a long term basis investment, there
is a need for long term financial instruments to match the necessities of the pension
saving accounts.
The regulator of SIEFORES establishes strict conditions for the type of financial
instruments that could comply with the pension funds portfolio.
BORHIS are an attractive investment option for SIEFORES in terms of:
Risk Level
Term
Quality of the bond & bond underlying
Timing of the issuances
32
SIEFORES & BORHIS: matching necessities
The 70% of BORHIS investors is distributed within SIEFORES, Banks and stock
exchange specialists.
The participation of BORHIS within the SIEFORES portfolio represents the 1.7%
33
Contents
I. Introduction
34
In order to prevent the low-income population from living in irregularity or illegality and in stark
conditions, it is necessary to provide it of housing.
Historical Mortgage Loans1
Housing Demand
Potential Market (Houses)
Target Segment
Attended Segment
This has traduced into an increase of the
housing supply and demand, as well as of
mortgage loans. However, the main
beneficiaries have been the formal workers.
The housing supply for informal and/or low-
income workers is still too limited.
Familiar Income in Mimimum Wages
New mechanisms should be created in order to supply housing to this segment of the market,
which represents more than 80% of the population. To attend the low-income and informal
workers, this market should be provided of attractive characteristics to constructors.
1
Source: Softec, “Mexican Housing Overview 2006”
2
Source; Softec, “Mexican Housing Overview 2006” and figures from SHF
35
In spite of the development of the mortgage market and of the diminish in the interest rates, the
increase in the prices of houses has not allowed the low-income sector to be benefited.
The government has established the need to generate 6 million mortgage loans during the period
2006-2012, which traduces in 339,762 acres of urban ground with the required infrastructure and
equipment*.
In Mexico, many urban development programs have been carried out. However, the following is
necessary to benefit the low-income population:
The State and Municipalities should influence the type of housing that the constructors build.
The urbanization process – equipment of land, construction of housing, and individual sales
- should be enhanced in order to reduce the cost of land and to give access to housing to
the low-income population.
To give access to quality houses to the low-income population, the participation of the States
and Municipalities is needed, as well as the creation of attractive conditions for the
investment of constructors in social housing.
*Source: Softec, “Mexican Housing Overview 2006”
36
Participation of Constructors in the Housing Market
One of the problems regarding the lack of attention to the low-income market consists in the fact
that the constructors found this segment less profitable and more risky. The typical cost structure
for constructors according to the market segment is showed below. *
SHF, in coordination with BANOBRAS and several Financial Institutions, has defined and
implemented different projects known as “Macrodesarrollos”. These have the objective of
creating management and financing methodologies for the States and Municipalities in order
to generate low cost housing in a sustainable environment.
A self-sustainable city, adjacent and complementary to the already existent one, that
offer jobs and services to the population –health, education, diversion, transport, etc.-
(avoiding to create dorm cities or isolate urban developments).
Spaces that allow housing meant to all social classes (providing urbanized and well
located grounds).
Public spaces that allow to develop a communitarian life – centers and sport areas,
among others-.
Spaces for the environmental protection and enhancement.
Open spaces for primary activities – agriculture and farming-.
Legal and political certainty that will allow to offer housing at lower costs.
38
To improve the access to mortgage loans, all participants and markets developed for the
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities should be directed to the steps currently
unattended and to the low-income population.
All the advances achieved in the market and the products developed by SHF to promote the Residential
Mortgage Backed Securities, should be used to attend the steps in the chain that are actually
unattractive.
Current Cover
Current Participation of SHF
Housing Demand
6 a- 25 Mimimum Wages
Securitization
• Investors
Future Cover • Mortgage insurers
0 - 5 Mimimum Wages • Financial guarantors
• Structuring agent
Low-income population
Urban developments with adequate equipment, services, employment sources, and
infrastructure linked to public spaces.
Access to houses with infrastructure, at regular prices and with the possibility of
obtaining credits and subsidies.
Urban Developers
The State or Municipality will guarantee the legal security of the project, as well as
its basic infrastructure and urbanization.
Permissions and licenses are previously granted. Urban design and
individualization scheme with loan products of SHF, INFONAVIT, and other entities.
Obtain financing for business lines that were previously unfeasible.
40
Contents
I. Introduction
41
Challenges ahead in Housing Finance
To attend the population that has not been attended, SHF has the following
actions to achieve:
42
Contacts:
1 de dic de 2023