Professional Documents
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Unit II
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MANAGEMENT
• % SPREAD= 35.0050-35.0000/35.0000*100
• =0.0143
Triangular arbitrage
• A triangular arbitrage opportunity is a trading strategy that
exploits the arbitrage opportunities that exist among three
currencies in a foreign currency exchange. The arbitrage is
executed through the consecutive exchange of one currency
to another when there are discrepancies in the quoted prices
for the given currencies.
• A triangular arbitrage opportunity occurs when the exchange
rate of a currency does not match the cross-exchange rate.
The price discrepancies generally arise from situations when
one market is overvalued while another is undervalued.
•
• If the price of the product in Paris is FFR 60.00
& the same product cost $ 22.00 in US, then
what should be the spot exchange rate for
FFR/$, If spot rate (ffr/$)= 2.3. explain
arbitrage.
• Price of the product in Paris = FFR60
• Price of the product in US=$22
• Spot exchange rate= FFR/$
• =60/22=2.73
From following 3 quotes, examine if any
arbitrage gains are possible and if yes, calculate
the same for USD 1 million.
• 0.5591 UK Pound per USD (UK£/US$)
• 1.4521 Euro per UK Pound
• 0.8128 Euro per USD
• From following 3 quotes, examine if any
arbitrage gains are possible and if yes,
calculate the same for SGD 1 million.
• 64.85 JPY per SGD(Singapor $)
• 0.0113 CHF(Swiss franc) per JPY
• 0.7345 CHF per SGD
• The exchange rates of three currencies are
$1.19/€, $1.37/£ &€1.167/£ &. What are the
steps to conduct triangular arbitrage if you
start with $1000000?
• In New Delhi 1US$ is INR.46.010-48.000 & in
Paris 1US$ = 5.1025FFR-5.1050 FFR. Explain
arbitrage.
Derivatives
• Derivatives
• Derivatives are derived values. A derivative is a
financial instrument or contract whose value is derived
from some other asset or economic variable called as
underlying assets.
• Derivatives are instruments which include – Security
derived from a debt instrument share, loan, risk
instrument or contract for differences of any other
form of security and , – a contract that derives its value
from the price/index of prices of underlying securities.
• A financial instrument whose characteristics and value
depend upon the characteristics and value of an
underlying assets, typically a commodity, bond, equity
or currency,
• Examples of derivatives include futures and options. •
Advanced investors sometimes purchase or sell
derivatives to manage the risk associated with the
underlying security, to protect against fluctuations in
value, or to profit from periods of inactivity or decline. •
These techniques can be quite complicated and quite
risky.
• Definition:
• Securities contract (regulation ) act, 1956, defines
derivatives as under
1. Security derived from a debt instrument, share,
loan whether secured or unsecured, risk
instrument or contract for differences or any
other form of security.
2. A contract which derives its value from the
prices or index of prices of underlying securities.
• Derivatives contract is between two parties to
buy and sell an asset at a certain price at a
specified quantity and at a specified future
time and place.
• They are two types of markets:
• Customized contract: over-the-counter
• Standardized contract: exchange trade
• Advantages of Derivative Market
• Diversion of speculative instinct form the cash market to the
derivatives.
• Increased hedge for investors in cash market.
• Reduced risk of holding underlying assets.
• Lower transactions costs.
• Enhance price discovery process.
• Increase liquidity for investors and growth of savings flowing into
these markets.
• It increase the volume of transactions.
• Evolution of derivatives
• 1997
• Odyssey of Indian derivative market.
• There are two types of derivatives 1. Financial
derivatives – Financial Derivatives the
underlying instruments is stock, bond, foreign
exchange. 2. Commodity Derivatives –
Commodity derivatives the underlying
instruments are a commodity which may be
sugar, cotton, copper, gold, silver.
• Forward contract • A forward is a contract in which one party
commits to buy and the other party commits to sell a specified
quantity of an agreed upon asset for a pre-determined price at a
specific date in the future. • It is a customized contract, in the
sense that the terms of the contract are agreed upon by the
individual parties. • A bilateral contract • Hence, it is traded OTC. •
Generally closing with delivery of base asset • Not need any initial
payment when signing the contract
• A forward contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset on a
specified date for a specified price. • One of the parties to the
contract assumes a long position and agrees to buy the underlying
asset on a certain specified future date, for a certain specified price
• Future contract:
• Future contracts are special type of forward
contracts.
• They are standardized and are traded on
exchanges (clearing corporations).
• The term like quantity, quality, delivery time,
place & value etc., are regulated by these
exchanges where they trade.
• Options:
• An option is a contract that gives one party (the option
holder) the right but not the obligation to perform a
specified transaction with another party(the option
seller).
Definition :
An option is an instrument or contract which gives one
party ( the option holder) the right but not the obligation,
to perform a specified transaction with another
party( the option writer) according to specified terms.
• Types of options
• Call option gives the buyer the right but not the
obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying
assets, at a given price on or before a given future date.
• If assets price is higher than the strike price – Option is
in the money.
• If assets price is exactly at the strike price – Option is at
the money.
• If assets price is below the strike price – Option is out
of the money.
• Put gives the buyer the right but not obligation to sell a
given quantity of the underlying asset at a given price on
or before a given date.
• If asset price is lower than the strike price – Option is in
the money.
• If asset price is exactly at the strike price – Option is at the
money.
• If asset price is higher than the strike price – Option is out
of the money.
• Swaps are private agreement between two parties to
exchange cash flows in the future according to pre arranged
formula. They can be regarded as portfolio’s of forward
contract.
• The two commonly used swaps are:
• Interest rate swaps: This entail swapping only the interest
related cash flows between the parties in the same currency.
• Currency swaps: This entail swapping both principal and
interest between the parties with the cash flows in one
direction being in a different currency than those in the
opposite direction.
• Market participants
• Hedge is the position taken in derivative exchange/markets for
the purpose of reducing risk. A person who takes such position
is called hedger.
• A hedger uses the derivatives market to reduce risk caused by
movement in prices of shares/securities, commodities,
exchange rates, interest rate, indices, etc.
• The position taken by hedger is opposite to the risk he is
exposed.
• Taking an opposite position to the risk exposure is called
hedging strategy.
• A speculator may be defined as a investor who
is willing to take a risk by taking derivatives
position with the expectation to earn profits.
• The speculator forecasts the future economic
conditions and decides which position (long or
short) to be taken will yield a profit if his
forecast is correct.
• An arbitrageur is an intelligent trader who
attempts to make profits in a derivatives market
by simultaneously entering into two transaction
at a time in two different markets and takes
advantage of the difference in pricing.
• The arbitrage opportunities available in two
markets usually do not last long because of
heavy transaction by arbitrageur when such
opportunity arises.
• Market maker:
• Market maker is a trader who competes with a
number of participants by quoting both and
offer price simultaneously with a motive to
ensure that the public will receive a market
determinant price for their traders.
• The Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA) of 1973 enacted in 1973 .
• In the backdrop of acute shortage of foreign exchange in the country
FERA had a controversial 27 year stint during which many bosses of the
Indian corporate world found themselves at the mercy of the
Enforcement Directorate (E.D).
• The FEMA (1999) or in short FEMA has been introduced as a
replacement for earlier Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA)
• FEMA came into act on the 1st day of June,2000
• 49 sections in the Act.
• To consolidate & amend the law relating to foreign exchange. To
facilitating external trade & payments. To remove imbalance of
payment. To make strong & developed foreign exchange market.
Regulation of employment business & investment of non-residents.
• Activities such as payments made to any person outside India or
receipts from them, along with the deals in foreign exchange and
foreign security is restricted. It is FEMA that gives the Central
Government the power to impose the restrictions
• Restrictions are imposed on residents of India who carry out
transactions in foreign exchange, foreign security or who own or
hold immovable property abroad
• Without general or specific permission of the MA restricts the
transactions involving foreign exchange or foreign security and
payments from outside the country to India – the transactions
should be made only through an authorized person.
Types of foreign exchange market
• Spot Market
• The spot market is a market in which quick
transactions regarding currency exchange takes
place. Here buying and selling of currencies is done
for immediate delivery. Immediate payment at the
current exchange rate is provided to buyers and
sellers in the spot market. The Trade-in spot market
takes one or two days for settlement of transactions
and allows traders to open to the volatility of the
currency market.
• Forward contract
• It is a market in which transactions are done
for doing trade at some future date. Here both
payment and delivery are done at future date at
agreed exchange rate also termed as the
forward exchange rate. The contract is made
between buyers and sellers for sale and
purchase of currency after 90 days. Forward
contracts are non-standardized contracts.
• Future Market
• Future market is also similar to the forward market. In future
market, contract are made between buyers and sellers to do
trade in future. All payments and delivery in this market are
done at decided exchange rate which is also termed as future
rate. Whereas future contracts are standardized contracts and
cannot be customized. These contracts are standardized in
terms of their date, features, size, and cannot be negotiated.
Trading on future market is centralized on stock exchanges
like BSE, NSE, and KOSPI.
• Swaps Market
• Swap market is one where transactions for
simultaneous lending and borrowing of two
different currencies are done between investors. It
is a contract between two or more parties for
exchanging cash flows on the basis of a
predetermined notional principal amount. In the
swap market, there two types of swap transactions
done that are currency swap and interest swap.
• Option market:
• The options market is one where transactions are done for
exchanging one currency with at agreed rate and on a
specified date. Under the option contract, it is an option for an
investor to convert the currency but not under any obligation
to do so. The buyer of the option has the right but not an
obligation to sell or purchase the underlying currency in the
contract at future date and at agreed rate. Options are of two
types that is call option and put option. A put option gives the
right to sell and call option gives the right to buy.
Bop payments
• Balance of payments (BOP) accounts are an accounting
record of all monetary transactions between a country and
the rest of the world. These transactions include payments
for the country's exports and imports of goods & services,
financial capital, and financial transfers.
• A country has to deal with other countries in respect of 3
items:- Visible items which include all types of physical goods
exported and imported. Invisible items which include all
those services whose export and import are not visible. e.g.
transport services, medical services etc. Capital transfers
which are concerned with capital receipts and capital
payment
• According to Kindle Berger, "The balance of
payments of a country is a systematic record
of all economic transactions between the
residents of the reporting country and
residents of foreign countries during a given
period of time".
Importance of BOP
1. BOP records all the transactions that create demand for and
supply of a currency.
2. Judge economic and financial status of a country in the short-
term
3. BOP may confirm trend in economy’s international trade and
exchange rate of the currency. This may also indicate change or
reversal in the trend.
4. This may indicate policy shift of the monetary authority (RBI) of
the country.
5. BOP may confirm trend in economy’s international trade and
exchange rate of the currency. This may also indicate change or
reversal in the trend.
Components of BOP
1.CURRENT ACCOUNT BOP
• BOP on current account is a statement of actual receipts and
payments in short period.
• It includes the value of export and imports of both visible and
invisible goods. There can be either surplus or deficit in current
account.
• The current account includes:- export & import of services,
interests, profits, dividends and unilateral receipts/payments
from/to abroad.
• BOP on current account refers to the inclusion of three balances of
namely – Merchandise balance, Services balance and Unilateral
Transfer balance
• Types of balances:
• Trade Balance
• Merchandise: exports - imports of goods Services:
exports - imports of services
• Income Balance
Net investment income: net income receipts from assets
Net international compensation to employees: net
compensation of Employees
Net Unilateral Transfers
Gifts from foreign countries minus gifts to foreign countries
• CAPITAL ACCOUNT:
• The capital account records all international transactions that
involve a resident of the country concerned changing either his
assets with or his liabilities to a resident of another country.
Transactions in the capital account reflect a change in a stock –
either assets or liabilities.
• It is difference between the receipts and payments on account
of capital account. It refers to all financial transactions.
• The capital account involves inflows and outflows relating to
investments, short term borrowings/lending, and medium
term to long term borrowing/lending.
• The reserve account balance:
• Three accounts: IMF, SDR, & Reserve and Monetary
Gold are collectively called as The Reserve Account.
• The IMF account contains purchases (credits) and re-
purchase (debits) from International Monetary Fund.
• Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) are a reserve asset
created by IMF and allocated from time to time to
member countries. It can be used to settle
international payments between monetary
authorities of two different countries.
• Errors and omissions:
• The entries under this head relate mainly to
leads and lags in reporting of transactions
• It is of a balancing entry and is needed to
offset the overstated or understated
components.
Recent trends in BOP
• Key Features of India’s BoP 2019-20
• India’s Current Account Deficit (CAD) at US$ 6.3 billion (0.9 per cent of GDP) in of 2019-20
narrowed from US$ 19.0 billion (2.9 per cent of GDP) in Q2 of 2018-19 and US$ 14.2 billion (2.0
per cent of GDP) in the preceding quarter.
• The contraction in the CAD was primarily on account of a lower trade deficit at US$ 38.1 billion
as compared with US$ 50.0 billion a year ago.
• Net services receipts increased by 0.9 per cent on a y-o-y basis, on the back of a rise in net
earnings from computer, travel and financial services.
• Private transfer receipts, mainly representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, rose to
US$ 21.9 billion, increasing by 5.2 per cent from their level a year ago.
• In the financial account, net foreign direct investment was US$ 7.4 billion, almost same level as
in Q2 of 2018-19.
• Foreign portfolio investment recorded net inflow of US$ 2.5 billion – as against an outflow of
US$ 1.6 billion in Q2 of 2018-19 – on account of net purchases in the debt market.
• Net inflow on account of external commercial borrowings to India was US$ 3.2 billion as
compared with US$ 2.0 billion in Q2 of 2018-19.
• There was an accretion of US$ 5.1 billion to the foreign exchange reserves (on BoP basis) as
against a depletion of US$ 1.9 billion in Q2 of 2018-19
CURRENT ACCOUNT CONVERTIBILITY
• CONVERTIBILITY OF CURRENT ACCOUNT
• Free convertibility of currency means that the currency
can be exchanged for any other convertible currency
without any restriction at the market determined
exchange rates.
• Convertibility of rupee means that the rupee can be
freely converted in to dollar, yen, pound, euro etc. and
vice versa at market determined exchange rates.
• India adopted 100% convertibility of Indian rupee in
1994.
CAPITAL ACCOUNT CONVERTIBILITY
• RBI defined Capital Account Convertibility
(CAC) as the freedom to convert local financial
assets into foreign financial assets and vice
versa at market determined rates of exchange.
It is associated with changes of ownership in
foreign/ domestic financial assets and
liabilities and embodies the creation and
liquidation of claims on or by the rest of the
world
TARAPORE COMMITTEE REPORT
• Jumping into capital account convertibility game without
considering the downside of the step can harm the
economy. The Committee on Capital Account Convertibility
(CAC) or Tarapore Committee was constituted by the
Reserve Bank of India for suggesting a roadmap on full
convertibility of Rupee on Capital Account.
• The committee submitted its report in May 1997. The
committee observed that there is no clear definition of CAC.
The CAC as per the standards, refers to the freedom to
convert the local financial assets into foreign financial assets
or vice versa at the market determined rates of exchange.
The CAC Committee recommended the implementation of Capital Account
Convertibility for a 3 year period viz. 1997-98, 1998-99 and 1999-2000. But
this committee had laid down some pre conditions as follows:
• Gross fiscal deficit to GDP ratio has to come down from a budgeted 4.5
per cent in 1997-98 to 3.5% in 1999-2000.
• A consolidated sinking fund has to be set up to meet government’s debt
repayment needs; to be financed by increased in RBI’s profit transfer to the
govt. and disinvestment proceeds.
• Inflation rate should remain between an average 3-5 per cent for the 3-year
period 1997-2000.
• Gross NPAs of the public sector banking system needs to be brought down
from the present 13.7% to 5% by 2000. At the same time, average effective
CRR needs to be brought down from the current 9.3% to 3%
• RBI should have a Monitoring Exchange Rate Band of plus
minus 5% around a neutral Real Effective Exchange Rate
RBI should be transparent about the changes in REER
• External sector policies should be designed to increase
current receipts to GDP ratio and bring down the debt
servicing ratio from 25% to 20%
• Four indicators should be used for evaluating adequacy of
foreign exchange reserves to safeguard against any
contingency. Plus, a minimum net foreign asset to currency
ratio of 40 per cent should be prescribed by law in the RBI
Act.