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PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Dr. Rajesh Matai, Department of Management, BITS Pilani
BITS Pilani
Pilani Campus
BITS Pilani
Pilani Campus
Project Selection
Lecture No. 4
Lecture Outline
• Non-discounting Criteria
– Return on Investment (ROI)
– Payback Period
[(-1000000)
+ (181818.18 + 165289.2562 + 225394.44
+ 204904.04 + 217322.46)]
= - Rs. 5271.26
PVB = 22,321.43+31,887.76+28,471.21+31,775.90
= 1,14,456.30
BCR = PVB / I = 114456.30 / 100000 = 1.14456 = 1.145
NBCR = BCR – 1 = 0.145 {(114456.30–100000)/100000}
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
IRR Method
Advantages
• It Is Simple Both In Concept And Application
• It Favors Projects Which Generate Substantial Cash
Inflows In Earlier Years And Discriminates Against
Projects Which Bring Cash Inflows In Later Years
• It Is Useful When Company Is Pressed With Problems
Of Liquidity
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
LIMITATIONS
Omega
Year Inflow Outflow Netflow
Y0 0 $225,000 -225,000
Y1 0 190,000 -190,000
Y2 150,000 0 150,000
Y3 220,000 30,000 190,000
Y4 215,000 0 215,000
Y5 205,000 30,000 175,000
Y6 197,000 0 197,000
Y7 100,000 30,000 70,000
Total 1,087,000 505,000 582,000
Alpha
Year Inflow Outflow Netflow
Y0 0 $300,000 -300,000
Y1 50,000 100,000 -50,000
Y2 150,000 0 150,000
Y3 250,000 50,000 200,000
Y4 250,000 0 250,000
Y5 200,000 50,000 150,000
Y6 180,000 0 180,000
Y7 120,000 30,000 90,000
Total 1,200,000 530,000 670,000
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
NPV Calculation
3 156160.11
4 135791.40
5 118079.47
Total 796136.84 BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Discounted Pay Back Period
Project X
3 156160.11
4 135791.40
5 118079.47
6 102677.80
7 89285.05
8 77639.17
Total 1065738.86 (7.7973
years) BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Discounted Pay Back Period Project Y
(undiscounted payback period is 4.44
years)
Year Outflow Discounted value of cash inflow
0 8,00,000 -----
1 156521.74
2 136105.86
3 118352.92
4 102915.58
5 89491.81
6 77818.96
7 67668.67
8 58842.32
Total 807717.87 (7.8688
years) BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Goal
Criteria
Alternatives
1 Equally preferred
2 Equally to Moderately preferred
3 Moderately preferred
4 Moderately to Strongly preferred
5 Strongly preferred
6 Strongly to Very Strongly preferred
7 Very Strongly preferred
8 Very to Extremely Strongly preferred
9 Extremely preferred
04/19/2024 Project SElection 30
BITS Pilani, Deemed to be University under Section 3 of UGC Act, 1956
Steps
Develop hierarchy
Perform pair-wise comparison of attributes
and determine priority vector (B2)
For each attribute perform pair-wise
comparison of the alternatives and
determine priority vector Vi for i =1,…,n
Matrix B3= V1, V2 ,…,Vn
Synthesize to determine scores vector
B3*B2T
04/19/2024 Project SElection 31
BITS Pilani, Deemed to be University under Section 3 of UGC Act, 1956
Normalization and averaging
• Divide the elements of each column by
sum of that column
• Add the elements in each resulting row
and divide this sum by the number of
elements in the row
Nearness to
Starting Salary Life Quality in City Interest in Job
Family
Job A 1 2 4 0.571
Job B 3 1 2 0.540
Job B 2 1 2 0.484
Job B 4 1 4 0.667
V1 V2 V3 V4 B2
0.099
0.296 0.540 0.484 0.667 = 0.419
0.24
Job B
0.143 0.297 0.349 0.167 0.148 0.210
Job C