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Plan Action
• CREATE One Page ACTION PLAN
• First start with a simple trending move. Once this setup is mastered, then move onto the next one.
• Take 20 such trades and become master at catching the trending moves at start and then riding the complete wave. Once 20 trades are
done, analyse them and see what went wrong. Write down the mistakes made in those trades and make sure not to repeat the same
mistakes in the next block of 20 trades. THERE WILL BE LOSING TRADES IN THIS SET. LEARN TO ACCEPT THEM AND NOT TO TAKE ANY
TRADE OUTSIDE OF SETUP.
• If most of the trades in block 1 are losing trades, then make sure to reduce loss by 30% in each trade for the next block of trades. Don’t
focus on profits. Focus on booking the losses as per limit decided.
• Final aim is to be able to take a trade every 8 mins. And every block of 20 trades should be net profitable.
• I should be able to take any chart with the setup and talk about it for at least 5-10 mins. This is the level of involvement that every
successful trader has. I have seen the same with Siva, Vijay, KGS and OV.
Plan
• Always trade with the 20MA. If daily candle is green bar • Questions to ask before a trade
and it loses more than 55% from the top of the range, then
• What am I playing? BT, TT, RBI, GBI, Elephant Bar, Tail
bearish trades can be taken.
Bar, Colour Change
• With VCM strategy, it is better to scalp and not wait for big
• Where is it happening? At or near rising 20, at prior
trade. If a trending move happens, then re-entry will always
high/low, at PDC, at price resistance, at 200ma
appear. But if I go after acquiring big trade, I mostly lose on
many small trades. I need to keep on booking profits every • When do I strike? 55% retracement of big bar, normal
2nd and 3rd candle. Even if it gives only 5-10-15-20 points. bar 100% retracement, previous red/green bar takeout
• If a trade gets stopped out and immediately the same
candle retraces back 100% of neutral candle or 55% of big
candle, enter the trade again, even if it is the next moment.
• A master trader hires the stock and asks it to do it job while
he does his. The stock’s job is just to move either way.
Trader’s job is to cut the trade if one bar is violated and trail
if it moves into profit.
Scalping Thumb Rules
• We can NEVER KNOW what the candles are going to do next. We • 3 Push trade: After entry off 20ma, you need 3 pushes before you
can only observe the current candle and its location and its start Trailing. After a pullback, once price retraces 80% of pullback,
relationship with previous candles and then take a trade based on you can trail SL to the latest low. This is if we have VIX above 12-13
probability. and good volatility is present in market.
• WHEN IN DOUBT- Get in the trade. The trade should be in direction • Addition in trade: The addition in trade should not be far away
of daily candle and 20ma. The SL will be the low of entry candle from the entry. It should be near the entry candle and preferably
unless it's very far off. If we get stopped out, enter again at next near 20/200. If it is far away then don’t add, book the trade and
entry signal. wait for next re-entry.
• 2 Bar Rule: Always wait for second candle unless we get an ENO
candle at top or bottom.
• MTF Rule: When we have an established uptrend on 15 mins chart,
buying dips and breakouts on 2 min and 5 min charts have better
odds of working.
• Patience: Remember, you need to watch the market continuously
and still take entry only when setup appears. So, this will require
long times of watching the screen and keeping the trade window
ready without getting bored.
Master the Open
• OV trades the open like a pure scalper. • His morning trade session lasts for 30 mins only. After that, in
second session, he takes the normal swing trades
• Based on Elephant bar below 20/200 or above 20/200, he enters in
anticipation. Building position slowly. It doesn’t matter whether all • Check Only Elephant Bar at open.
positions are filled or not. Even if he can take 10000 qty, if only • If green EB is above 20 and 200 and if it’s not far, then enter near end of candle
3000 gets filled, he continues the trade with 3000 qty. he doesn’t with 25% position. Keep other orders below entry just in case price comes below
run after the price. He immediately sells them at 5 to 10 cents profit entry point.
to open the day with appositive note. • If red EB is below 20 and 200 and if it's not far, then enter near end of candle with
25% position. Keep other orders above entry just in case price comes above entry
• Once first trade is successful, he enters the second trade (again point.
with anticipation) with more qty. He places orders for every 2-3
cents and waits for them to get filled. If they don’t fill up, it is fine. • Don’t take open trade if:
Profit will be small. He books profits in second leg again at 5 to 10 • Any other candle apart from Elephant, look for other stock/index.
cents. He doesn’t wait for very long. • Even if its Elephant bar, but it is not in line with 20/200.
• While entering and existing the trade he always enters market
orders beforehand, so that as soon as stock moves in the direction
of anticipation, profit books automatically. THIS IS A VERY
IMPORTANT CONCEPT FOR TRADING THE OPEN.
• He can enter multiple positions in morning if he finds entry in other
stocks. But his most go to stock in Apple. He looks for elephant bar
and enters the stock where he finds the EB in the best location.
Remember
• Start by making 1500-2000 Rs. Per trade (60 • The quantity of trade will be derived from the SL
qty) during entry.
• Then move to 3000-4000 Rs. Per trade (120 • For anticipation trade, take 50% qty and after
qty) confirmation enter rest 50% or 25% qty.
• Then move to 6000-8000 Rs. Per trade (240 • Starting small is very important. Once in profits
qty) even if we let some trades go, it is fine. It is very
• Then move to 12000-16000 Rs. Per trade (480 essential to develop confidence that profits can
be made repeatedly without blowing accounts.
qty)
• Once this confidence is absorbed in the
• Then move to 24000-32000 Rs. Per trade (900
consciousness, position size can be increased to
qty)
make big profits.
• This move will happen once I get the
confidence in the system and the fact that I am
able to execute my system as per the rules
defined.
Risk Management
• Decide upon the maximum loss for one day. Divide this amount 1. Trade with 20ma
into 3 and give yourself 3 chances every day. 2. NRB Color Change
If trading capital is 100000, and daily SL limit is 10000, then I can 3. Max loss per trade is 2000
take 3 trades with SL of 3500 for each trade. So, if I trade with 60 4. Max loss per day is 6000
qty, then I can lose max 50 pts per trade. 5. Max qty is 100 per trade
6. Breakeven stop after 2000
• Don’t utilize whole max loss in a single trade. 7. Sell half after 4000 with Stop
• Qty must vary based on the SL (entry candle). Adjustment to 2000
• Don’t limit the profits. Wait until trade stops you out ( except in low
VIX, when keep on booking 15-20 pts at every entry rather than waiting for
trending move. If trending move starts, take entry at every colour change )
• Never get out on fat bars unless its climactic bar faraway from
20/200. Wait for the next bar.
• If immediately to the left there are candles, then trade
probability decreases. We need a clean space on the left.
• Map out your trade plan in a single page.
Multi Time Frame Analysis
• Check the candle structure in weekly, daily, hourly and 15 mins timeframe.
• If 15mins or above TF is in bull run, then ignore Sell setups and focus on Buy setups.
• If 15mins or above TF is in bear run, then ignore Buy setups and focus on Sell setups.
• Check 5min and 15min MA levels to identify a major reversal support or resistance in 2 mins TF.
THEORY CONCEPTS
The Powerful 8MA & 20MA
• ALL MA’s are zones and not skinny lines. So we can get reversal before or after touching the lines as well.
• Use 20MA as a median line:
• During sideways consolidation, 20ma will be flat and usually positioned right in the middle of the trend. Candles will keep on cutting
across 20ma up and down.
• Always be watchful on which side the candles halt on. [8ma is early indicator for this]. After multiple criss-crosses, the 20ma will
wake either a bull or bear.
• Use 20MA as a magnet
• When candles get far away from 20ma, it becomes a magnet and a quick snapback is eminent.
• This typically happens when a big elephant bar occurs far from 20. Almost always, there will be a very quick pullback at least till
8MA.
50MA and 100MA
• 50MA:
• This is the institutional moving average. It’s so focused on by professional traders that its support and resistance qualities are almost
self fulfilling.
• It is a must for medium term time frames. [15min, 60 min]
• 100MA:
• One of the most used MA of all for the long term view in your focus [1D, 1W, 1M]
20MA Halt
• When daily bar is rising and candles are below 20 MA, but slowly start rising above 20 MA and stop going
below 20 MA. That is your 20MA halt.
• Candles are below 20ma,but held in check by 20ma once candles rise above.
• 20ma Halt gives the first catch before the trend starts.
• 20ma Halt can help signal the end of downtrend and when can we swiTch from bear to bull trades.
• Good on 2min for Stocks and 5mins for Forex
• Criterai
• Stock needs to spend some good period under declining 20ma.
• Stock need to get from under 20 to above 20. There has to be some space between 20 and stock when below
• When we get a elephant bar, color change near 20, then entry can be taken.
20MA Halt
20MA Halt
The Mighty 200MA
• During NORMAL markets, candles cannot move in the same direction more than 5 to 8 bars in a row;
however, candles tend to stay trapped in a 3 to 8 bar max cycle 80% of the time. 20% of the time, candles
moves can top and bottom outside of this zone. But 5 bars is a truly pivotal number.
• Alternatively
• After a 3 to 5 bar run, candles sharply reverse, creating a nice trading opportunity. Every now and then, candles can slip into the
next 5 to 8 bar zone.
• Neither bulls nor the bears can consistently win more than 5 bars in a row. After a sharp 3 to 5 bar rally, the bears usually quickly
regain control. After a sharp 3 to 5 bar decline, the bulls usually quickly regain control. These moves can move to the 5 to 8 bar
zones at times.
• After 3 to 5 green bars in a row, trader should look to take advantage of an upcoming series of red bars. After 3 to 5 red bars in a
row, traders should look to take advantage of an upcoming series of green bars.
• In nutshell, if a reversal candle appears after continuous 5 or more bars, then its better to book the profits
and wait for next entry.
Examples - 3,5,8 Bars
• Examples from BN
TSL Method 1 – Bar by Bar method
• Use this method, when we have consecutive same coloured bars. For ex.if we enter into a long trade and get continuous 5 or more
green bars, then trail with bar by bar.
• Use this method when candles are far away from 8 ma as well especially after a good upmove or downmove, use bar by bar.
• In case of elephant bar, mark 55% of 75% level. If any next candle retraces to this level, then SL is hit.
• In case of normal bar, the previous candle low needs to be marked.
• TSL can be entered once we have 2 proper bars in our direction. This method can be employed only in case of profits. If we do not
have profits, then do not engage it.
• In case of elephant bars, 1 candle is enough. Trail to 55% of the bar.
• If candles are far away from 20ma and we encounter an ENO candle, (full body red turning green or full body green turning red),
then also we can exit.
• Candles always need a wiggle room before moving in their intended direction.
• 55% of big red bar.
• 100% of current bar.
Examples
TSL Method 2 – 8MA Momentum Stop
• Long Trade: If candles are above 8ma and 8ma moves higher than initial stop, then initial stop can be moved along 8 ma.
• Short Trade: If candles are below 8ma and 8ma moves below initial stop, then it can be moved along 8ma.
• This strategy can be mostly used for the trades that originate near 8ma.
• This strategy, once mastered, has potential to make huge returns on a particular trending day.
• If entry happens at 20, then wait for first retest at 8ma. If 8 is rising and is able to defend the candles, then switch to 8ma TSL.
Examples
TSL Method 3 – 20MA Momentum Stop
• Regular Uptrend
• A rising stock above a smooth rising 20ma.
• Buy dips towards 20ma. Buy breakouts away from 20ma
• Most commonly occurring scenario.
• Power Uptrend
• A rising stock above a rising 20ma which is above the 200ma.
• Here dips towards 20ma are no concern and can be used to accumulate large positions.
• Super Uptrend
• A rising stock above a rising 8ma which is above a rising 20ma.
• The most powerful trend. It signifies pure unadulterated buying power.
• Buy any dip towards 8ma.
The Three Downtrends
• Regular Downtrend
• A falling stock above a smooth falling 20ma.
• Sell rises towards 20ma. Sell breakdowns away from 20ma
• Most commonly occurring scenario.
• Power Downtrend
• A falling stock below a falling 20ma which is below the 200ma.
• Here rallies towards 20ma are no concern and can be used to accumulate large positions.
• Super Downtrend
• A falling stock below a falling 8ma which is above a falling 20ma.
• The most powerful trend. It signifies pure unadulterated selling power.
• Buy any rally towards 8ma.
Buy Setup
• TSL
• Employ either of TSL method.
• If origination is near 20, then observe behaviour near 8ma. If 8ma is respected or candles cross above 8ma, then TSL as per 8ma.
• If 8ma is not respected, then TSL as per 20ma.
• In case of trending move, if candles get far from 8ma as well, then use bar by bar TSL method.
• In case of move happening inside PDR, then skip 8ma/20ma method and instead deploy bar by bar method if there is place for
wiggle room above.
• Targets (Nothing specific. This is an art, not science)
• T1: 55% retracement level from the last higher high.
• T2: If T1 is crossed easily, then previous swing high is target.
• T3: If T2 is crossed easily, then a new high. By this time 8ma should start working and we can employ 8ma and bar-by-bar method is
required.
• Once T2 is achieved, then TSL is T1. Once T3 is achieved, then TSL is T2.
Buy Setup
Sell Setup
TSL
• Employ either of TSL method.
• If origin near 20, then observe behaviour near 8ma. If 8ma is respected or candles cross above 8ma, then TSL as per 8ma.
• If 8ma is not respected, then TSL as per 20ma.
• In case of trending move, if candles get far from 8ma as well, then use bar by bar TSL method.
• In case of move happening inside PDR, then skip 8ma/20ma method and instead deploy bar by bar method if there is place for
wiggle room above.
• Bottoming Tail
• Red bar retracing 55% or more of its
redness.
• The tail must represent more of the
bar than the colour.
• This is more powerful after a 3 to 5 bar
decline.
• If this occurs at any significant support
and/or away from 20ma, then its much
more powerful.
• Protective stop below the bar low. (1
bar loss)
Reversal Signs – Tail Bars
• Topping Tail
• Green bar retracing 55% or more of
its green-ness.
• The tail must represent more of the
bar than the colour.
• This is more powerful after a 3 to 5
bar rally.
• If this occurs at any significant
resistance and/or away from 20ma,
then its much more powerful
• Protective stop above the bar high. (1
bar loss)
Reversal Signs – Colour Change
• Bull 180
• A full body Green bar that follows a
red bar and covers it entirely.
• If this occurs at any significant
resistance and near 20ma, then its
much more powerful.
• Not much suitable if this occurs away
from 20.
• Protective stop below green bar low
(1 bar loss)
Reversal Signs – Colour Change
• Bull 180
• A full body Green bar that follows a
red bar and covers it entirely.
• If this occurs at any significant
resistance and near 20ma, then its
much more powerful.
• Not much suitable if this occurs away
from 20.
• Protective stop below green bar low.
(1 bar loss)
Reversal Signs – Colour Change
• Bear 180
• A full body red bar that follows a
green bar and covers it entirely.
• If this occurs at any significant
support and near 20ma, then its
much more powerful.
• Not much suitable if this occurs away
from 20.
• Protective stop below green bar high
(1 bar loss)
Reversal Signs – GBR and RBR
• Location: Near 20ma => continuation of the trend. Far from 20ma=> reversal
Reversal Signs - NRB
7 Buy Reversal Signs
• Rule: Any of the bottoming signs that occur near these support points have high odds of success. Limit all
your buys to some area of price support.
Support Points
MA Support Types
• Trending MA Support:
• This support occurs when an up-trending stock pulls back to or near the rising 20ma or 8ma and stabilizes (forms one of the
bottoming signs).
• Often it becomes stronger after the first successful rebound off the r20ma.
• Flat MA Support:
• This support occurs when there is a flat 200ma beneath the price. It is not often that a stock falling back to a flat 200ma fails to at
least stall for a period. The first move to a flat 200ma will usually result in some form of rebound, if only temporarily.
• Rule: Any of the four bottoming signs that occur near these MA support points have high odds of success.
Limit all your buys to some form of MA support.
Support Points
Support Points
Resistance Points
Resistance Points
Climactic Decline Buy
• Pattern Setup
• Remember 3,5,8
• 5 or more consecutive Lower Highs or 5 ore more red bars
• BT, GBR, NRB, NB, WRB (one or more reversal signs)
• Far below 20ma or prior support area(this is visual concept). Best if far below 8ma.
• Optional: Near any major support/resistance, then it becomes much more powerful.
• Ideally primary trend should be bullish. If the last 2-3 bars are very huge(200% or more than normal), in that case this trade can be
taken in bear phase as well.
• Buy Action
• Buy just above prior bar’s high or drop to next lower time frame if prior bar’s high is too faraway
• Place SL below entry bar’s low. No exceptions.
• Set minimum target at 20ma or the 50% retracement level.
• After 2 bars, place a TSL under each prior bar’s low until
• Price objective is met
• Major RBR has occurred.
Climactic Decline Buy
• As per Oliver, this setup should be bought when daily bar is green. However in Nifty and Banknifty, this setup
works best during a daily big red bar day, when very big candles take index far below 8ma.
• This is the pattern that we use to buy withing the context of a downtrend. While bucking the trend is normally a recipe for disaster,
there are moments when doing so is intelligent. The entry criteria needs to be followed very strictly.
• If we find ourselves doing this more than 10% of the time, we are likely doing something wrong.
• T1 is 50% retracement of the total down move
• T2 is overhead declining 20ma
• T3 is area above declining 20ma
• In this case, mostly boom or bust makes sense as any TSL method might make you stop out earlier just for the move to continue
again.
• Mostly, before the explosive down move, the bars are hugging 20ma during the earlier down move.
• If a climactic decline way below 20 is happening inside the daily green bar, then enter the long positions.
• If a climactic decline way below 20 is happening inside the daily red bar, then exit the short positions.
Climactic Advance Sell
• Pattern Setup
• Remember 3,5,8
• 5 or more consecutive Higher Lows or 5 or more green bars
• TT, RBR, NRB, NB, WRB (one or more reversal signs)
• Far above 20ma or prior resistance area(this is visual concept). Best if far above 8ma.
• Optional: Near any major support/resistance, then it becomes much more powerful.
• Ideally primary trend should be bearish. If the last 2-3 bars are very huge(200% or more than normal), in that case this trade can be
taken in bull phase as well.
• Buy Action
• Sell just below prior bar’s low or drop to next lower time frame if prior bar’s low is too faraway
• Place SL above entry bar’s high. No exceptions.
• Set minimum target at 20ma or the 50% retracement level.
• After 2 bars, place a TSL under each prior bar’s high until
• Price objective is met
• Major GBR has occurred.
Climactic Advance Sell
• As per Oliver, this setup should be taken when daily bar is red. However in Nifty and Banknifty, this setup
works best during a daily big green bar day, when very big candles take index far above 8ma.
• This is the pattern that we use to short within the context of an uptrend. While bucking the trend is normally a recipe for disaster,
there are moments when doing so is intelligent. The entry criteria needs to be followed very strictly.
• If we find ourselves doing this more than 10% of the time, we are likely doing something wrong.
• T1 is 50% retracement of the total up move
• T2 is the rising 20ma
• T3 is area below rising 20ma
• In this case, mostly boom or bust makes sense as any TSL method might make you stop out earlier just for the move to continue
again.
• Mostly, before the explosive up move, the bars are hugging 20ma.
• If a climactic rally way above 20 is happening inside the daily red bar, then enter the short positions.
• If a climactic rally way above 20 is happening inside the daily green bar, then exit the long positions.
Sideways Break Strategies
• So, what we need to learn is how to side-step the 72% that fail, we can catch the rest of 28%.
• We need to learn the characteristics of the rest 28%.
Traditional Breakout
• Breakout Play
• This will be second most frequently traded
event. On most days, it will be the only pattern
traded, as stocks tend to spend the majority of
their intra day time drifting sideways in bases.
• Bases that are tight and narrow with declining
volume, rising lows and a rising 8 or 20ma
produce highest odds of exploding on the
upside, once they clear over head resistance.
• These pauses are not negative, rather they are
pit stops before further up move can begin.
• Pattern Setup
• The sideways base can occur in an established uptrend or
after a downtrend.
• The base should be narrow and thin, not wide and whippy.
• The bars in the base should be small and narrow, no wide
range.
• The 8ma and or 20ma should be ideally rising during the
base’s formation.
• Buy Action
• Buy the bar that breaks above last 2/3rd of the base.
• Place stop below the breakout bar (entry bar).
• Project the length of the base upward for target, if there is
no prior reference point.
Break-Out Play BOP
• Important Points
• The best breakouts occur at or near point of contact with the rising 20ma/8ma.
• A buy setup at the bottom of a base can be an early buy opportunity for the watchful trader, if the breakout is occurring at or the
rising moving average.
• This setup can be taken on 2- and 5-mins charts when scalping
• A Pause(base) vs a Top – When a Base is a Top and not a Pause.
• Pauses are narrow, Tops are wide and whippy.
• Pauses have small bars, Tops have big wide range bars.
• Pauses have light volume, Tops have big volume.
• Pauses usually don’t cross the 20ma by much, Tops cross below it.
Break-Down Play BDP
• Pattern Setup
• The sideways base can occur in an established downtrend or
after an uptrend.
• The base should be narrow and thin, not wide an whippy.
• The bars in the base should be small and narrow, no wide
range.
• The 8ma and or 20ma should be ideally declining during the
base’s formation.
• Sell Action
• Sell the bar that breaks below last 2/3rd of the base.
• Place stop above the breakdown bar (entry bar).
• Project the length of the base downward for target, if there
is no prior reference point.
Break-Down Play BDP
• Breakdown Play
• This will be second most frequently traded event. On most
days, it will be the only pattern traded, as stocks tend to
spend the majority of their intra day time drifting sideways in
bases.
• BDP work better than BOP.
• Bases that are tight and narrow with declining volume,
declining lows and a declining 8 or 20ma produce highest
odds of exploding on the downside, once they clear over
head resistance.
• These pauses are not bullish, rather they are pit stops before
further down move can begin.
• Sell the bar that clears the last 2/3rd of the base. This helps
keep stop at minimum.
Narrow and Wide States of market
• [This slide is just for theory. In BN, I have noticed
that the its difficult to take trades based on this.
This really needs to be supplemented with other
fundamentals]
• Narrow State
• When 20ma is relatively flat or
parallel to 200, then it’s a flat state,
not when its approaching 200 from
far away.
• Neutral State
• When we have a slopping or rising
20
• Wide State
• When 20 is far away from 200
• Market always moves in cycles of these
states. Narrow to Neutral to Wide.
Bullish trade from Narrow State