Contact: Tom Swiss

(773) 485-9477
March 25, 2015

7th Ward: Holmes +16

Holmes likely to be retained in 7th
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, March 25, 2015
for 7th Ward Alderman with 398 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
Gregory Mitchell
Natashia Holmes

166
232

41.7%
58.3%

Margin of Error +/- 5.01% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
Alderman Natashia Holmes has a 16-point lead over life-long 7th Ward resident Greg Mitchell.
Incumbents in Chicago are very difficult to beat without a strong catalyst and much money so it appears
Holmes is likely to be retained in the 7th.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.

METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

185
213

46.5%
53.5%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

25
83
182
108

6.3%
20.9%
45.7%
27.1%

Respondents by Zipcode
60617 Count
60619 Count
60649 Count

201
5
192

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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