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Motivation The structural and spatial transformations of an economy are intimately related. Successful industrialization goes hand-in-hand with a successful urbanization process. This was the case for today's developed countries to which industrialization came early and it has also been the case for more recent successful developers, such as South Korea. It is no coincidence that China has been rapidly urbanizing at the same time as it has been rapidly industrializing. It is also no coincidence that, as industrialization continues to elude much of the African continent, urban shares remain low in sub-Saharan Africa. An understanding of the urbanization process is therefore crucial to an understanding of how countries develop and transform economically. Unfortunately, for the countries which matter most, such an understanding is incomplete. Although theoretical and empirical advances over the last two decades have led to a renaissance of the field of urban economics, the resultant knowledge which has been accumulated relates almost exclusively to developed countries. Whilst empirical work on some, but by no means all, of the most important urban issues has taken place for the largest developing countries (namely, Brazil, China and India), hardly any rigorous work has been published on these issues for the rest of the developing world. Especially for sub-Saharan Africa, serious empirical and theoretical work in the arena of urban economics is noticeably absent. Yet, in the decades to come, it is in the African continent where urban shares are lowest, that urbanization can be expected to be most rapid and the challenges most difficult. Contents As a consequence of the knowledge gap which exists on urban issues, developing country policymakers lack adequate answers to the many questions and challenges surrounding the urbanization process which confront them. These questions and challenges include: are the agglomeration economies which are necessary for a beneficial urbanization process present? Or are they swamped by the diseconomies of concentration viz. crime, grime and congestion? What can be done in the way of, for example, urban infrastructure investment to tackle such diseconomies? 1. Why do cities grow? How do processes of agglomeration in developing countries the main drivers of the rural-urban transformation differ from those that have been historically experienced in industrialized countries? What are the dominant constraints (infrastructure? red-tape?) on urban agglomeration in Africa? 2. How do cities grow? What are the specific dynamics of urban land markets in African countries, and in the peri-urban areas as land is converted from rural to urban uses? What are the market failures associated with the functioning of land markets in African cities? 3. How do urban areas interact with rural ones? What do we know about general migration processes in Africa? Are such processes limited by regulations in land, labor and credit markets? A cross-cutting question for all of the research themes is: How does public policy support or hinder spatial and structural transformations? What are the implications of policies which relate to the above three questions for the dynamics of urbanization? And how do urban development policies affect (either positively or negatively) the structural transformations experienced by national economies? This Forum intends to open up a conversation surrounding these issues.
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Organizers: Ethiopia s Ministry of Urban Development and Construction, Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, & the World Bank Addis Ababa, June 24th 2011.
Time 8:00am-8:45am 8:45am-9:20am Program Breakfast & Registration Welcome and Opening Remarks Ato Mekuria Haile , Minister of Urban Development and Construction, Ethiopia Dr. Abraham Tekeste, State Minister of Finance & Economic Development, Ethiopia Greg Toulmin, Acting Country Director, Ethiopia, World Bank Overview of the day s schedule, and Introductions of all participants Greg Clark, Facilitator Introduction to the objectives of the Urbanization Knowledge Platform and Communities of Practice http://prezi.com/7r5fgxye3ll8/urbkp-addis/ Austin Kilroy, Urbanization Knowledge Platform focal point
9:20am-9:30am
9:30am-9:40am
Roundtable 1: Policies for Inclusive Urbanization A kickoff Presentation: Inclusive Urbanization: Examples from Asia Chorching Goh, Lead Economist, the World Bank Format for each Roundtable Session: y A 20-minute kickoff presentation of key issues y Discussion around the Roundtable moderated by Greg Clark y Open Floor Q&A Participants of each Roundtable comprise experts and East African policymakers
Coffee break Discussion Points: The structural and spatial transformations of an economy are intimately related. Successful industrialization goes hand-in-hand with a successful urbanization process. Urbanization is fastest at low income levels. In the decades to come, it is in the African continent, where urban shares are lowest, that urbanization can be expected to be most rapid. y How do governments with limited capacity and resources at that level of development lay the necessary foundation for an inclusive urbanization? y Well- functioning land market institutions are the bedrock for efficient urbanization. What challenges do governments face to ensure land market works well? y How will rural-urban transformations influence growth, welfare levels, and poverty outcomes across metropolis, cities, towns, and rural areas? Are the speed and nature of the transformations limited by regulations in land, labor and credit markets?
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Organizers: Ethiopia s Ministry of Urban Development and Construction, Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, & the World Bank Addis Ababa, June 24th 2011.
Noon - 1:30pm
Lunch
1:30pm-3:00pm
Roundtable 2: Land Market Institutions A kickoff Presentation: Building institutions and facilitating market mechanisms in land use transactions for urbanization and development Yu-Hung Hong, Visiting Professor, MIT, and Senior Fellow, the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy Discussion Points: How do cities grow? What are the specific dynamics of urban land markets in African countries, and specifically in the peri-urban areas as land is converted from rural to urban uses? What are the market failures associated with the functioning of land markets in African cities? What drives informality in housing markets, an all too frequent and visual companion of urbanization? And how best to deal with the division within cities that is the result of such informality? y Do the poor benefit or are they harmed by residential informality? How do land market policies and regulations support or hinder supplies of land? How is land valued by governments, and how can appropriate land valuation help raise revenue to finance infrastructure needs? What are key factors (viz property rights, regulatory framework .) for a well-functioning land market? How do infrastructure planning and land use planning influence each other in core and peri urban areas? How to integrate transport and land use planning
3:00pm-3:30pm
Coffee break
3:30 pm-5:30pm
Roundtable 3: Rural Urban Transformation A kickoff Presentation: How do urban-rural interactions facilitate growth and structural transformation? Uwe Deichmann, Senior Environmental Specialist, Europe and Central Asia, and Coordinator of Urban Research Work, the World Bank Discussion Points: Urban shares remain low in Africa. An understanding of the rural-urban transformation process is therefore crucial to an understanding of how countries develop and shift their economic structure. y Are the agglomeration economies which are necessary for a beneficial urbanization process present? Or are they swamped by the diseconomies
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Organizers: Ethiopia s Ministry of Urban Development and Construction, Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, & the World Bank Addis Ababa, June 24th 2011.
of agglomeration crime, grime and congestion? What can be done in the way of, for example, urban infrastructure investment to tackle such diseconomies? How can such infrastructure be financed? And should infrastructure in larger cities be prioritized over infrastructure in smaller towns? Does urban growth reduce rural poverty? And, if so, what does this imply for national poverty reduction strategies? What s the role of the rural non-farm sector in towns and small cities? What influences rural-urban migration decisions? What s the degree and nature of specialization in towns, secondary cities, capital cities at different stages of development?
y y
5:30pm
6:00pm
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