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Construction Price Information
Contents
Introduction Country profiles Australia Canada China Germany India Ireland Japan Malaysia Russia Singapore South Africa South Korea UAE UK US Vietnam Contributors 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 2
In this survey, trade, labour and material prices and prices per square metre are indicative, and should not be relied on. Costs are dependent on building design, inclusions, exclusions and site conditions. Cost comparisons between countries are subject to different interpretations, building methods, and standards for costing, measurement and construction. Costs may vary substantially between countries within regions. Professional advice should always be sought. Comparative values are based on average exchange rates for the calendar year 2011. Turner & Townsend plc 2012
Introduction
Welcome to the 2012 edition of our International construction cost survey. In this survey you can find and compare construction, materials and labour costs and market conditions across many of the countries in which we operate.
London Bridge Quarter, the Shard The focal point for a major commercial development in the heart of London, the Shard will be the tallest building in western Europe.
All the cost data presented here has come from our own professionals working in the commercial construction sector across the globe at the end of 2011. Our thanks go to them for their invaluable input. We welcome your feedback on ways we can improve it in future. If you have any comments on this survey or would like any further information, please contact: gary.emmett@turntown.com For further information on our services, please visit www.turnerandtownsend.com or contact your nearest office.
Construction costs in most regions are expected to stay moderate during 2012. Barring natural disasters and other surprises, 2012 offers a window of opportunity to build your project on time and perhaps under budget.
In Europe the problems that started in Ireland and Greece have spread to Portugal, Italy and Spain. Falling asset values, high unemployment and crippling government debt in several of the Euro member countries are likely to result in economic weakness in 2012. In the US and Europe, governments are running out of policy levers, be they monetary stimulus or austerity measures such as higher taxes and pay cuts. Politically difficult as austerity measures are, they also prolong and exacerbate the downturn, as demand and consumption falls. This sets the retail, property and construction sectors on a downwards spiral. Those countries which introduced stimulus measures to boost their economies and construction sectors have mostly spent their stimulus budgets and there are few remaining policy levers or alternative stimuli to help their economies achieve self-sustaining growth. But with time businesses restructure, reduce their cost base, recapitalise and prepare for the future. The US seems to be at this stage of recovery in many sectors including the construction sector. The US went into the GFC first and so logically it will emerge first. In 2012 the US construction data should start to improve. The effects of the continuing difficulties in the developed economies are being felt everywhere, even in the growth economies of Asia, South America and Africa, through reduced international trade, tightening credit markets, falling share markets, lower retirement fund balances and lower house prices. Public infrastructure budgets have been cut, public works projects delayed and consumers are saving more, paying off debt, consuming less, and exercising caution. These are all good
virtues after years of credit-fuelled growth, but demand is lower, and the construction sector struggles to find projects. However, worldwide there are many reasons to be optimistic. The Chinese, Indian, Vietnamese and African economies are on long-term growth paths that will improve living standards, creating jobs and opportunities for their people and the economies which supply them. There is still a long way to go so the demand for resources and skills will grow. The demand for energy and resources is driving the growth of many new projects in natural resources, gas, coal shale and renewable energies in countries as diverse as Australia, Kazakhstan, Mauritania, Brazil and the US, creating jobs, driving construction and wealth. South Africa is transforming its power sector with major investments in power stations. Australia has introduced a carbon tax that will eventually force the replacement of coal power stations with cleaner alternatives. Communications networks are being built, or upgraded as high-speed internet becomes global.
Siemens City, Vienna World-class, energy-efficient construction, delivered to meticulously engineered costs, certified to US Green Building Gold standard.
King Edward VII Memorial Hospital, Bermuda The first P3 (PPP) project in Bermuda is being delivered using local contractors for stakeholders in the US, Europe and Bermuda.
Materials prices are also competitive. Commodity prices increased alarmingly in early 2011 but have now fallen. Steel prices fell in late 2011. Lower coking coal and iron ore prices indicate that steel could be cheaper in 2012. Copper prices have also fallen by 20 percent since March 2011 which should mean cheaper costs for some electrical and plumbing materials in 2012. All of this bodes well for construction costs in 2012 with forecast cost increases in line with 2011. In other words, construction costs in most regions are expected to stay moderate during 2012. Barring natural disasters and other surprises, 2012 offers a window of opportunity to build your project on time and perhaps under budget.
Worldwide, these projects add up to a substantial portfolio of long-term construction work. It is a good time to build. Construction costs are generally benign as shown by our surveys. In most regions the markets are not overheated like they were in the last decade. That means projects are more likely to be built on time and budget. Contractors have retained their most skilled labour and many of the casuals employed when work is plentiful have left to pursue other opportunities. In many countries the construction sector is now very competitive and tendered prices often come in below budget. The surveys show that construction costs in half of the countries surveyed are still below 2008 levels. Most of our respondents indicated that labour rates were well under control.
Part of the reason why construction markets are so competitive is that housing and non-residential building construction is hardly increasing in most developed economies, because there is little, if any, price growth. Eventually, this cyclical downturn will end as the fundamentals of supply and demand reassert. Housing markets will recover, consumers will start to borrow and spend again. The cycle will turn, and when it does costs will increase again as building, resources and infrastructure projects compete for resources and skills.
Alstom Hydro, China Multiform energy-saving technologies are helping to make this 146,000 m2 hydropower manufacturing facility fully carbon neutral.
Moderate cost escalation is expected once again in 2012 following only moderate cost increases in most regions during 2011. The exceptions are India and South Africa where higher escalation is forecast by our teams on the ground. In Japan prices are forecast to fall slightly.
The above two charts show construction costs indexed to 2008=100 for each region in the survey (except Japan). The indices are based on nominal costs in $/m2 in the currency of the country. The indices show the increase or fall from year to year. The data indicates that in most regions construction costs have recovered to 2008 levels although China, Ireland, Singapore and the UAE are still substantially below. Between 2010 and 2011 India, Vietnam and Malaysia saw costs increase strongly. Conversely, the UAE has experienced quite strong price falls between 2010 and 2011.
The information from which this survey is compiled has been provided by Turner & Townsend professionals based in 16 countries and regions. Our respondents have also provided their views on current and anticipated market conditions.
Contractors margin has been squeezed in those countries where work volumes have fallen and contractors have to compete more vigorously. With fewer jobs contractors will often submit very competitive prices just to keep work flowing. Often sub-contractor prices may be equally competitive allowing head contractors to claw back some lost margin during the job.
Preliminaries include job set-up costs, such as scaffolding, approvals, insurances, power and water, cleaning and handover, and work supervision. Typically, higher cost countries have higher preliminaries. In many countries costs of power and water are increasing. Also regulatory compliance adds further preliminary costs.
Country profiles
Australia
The Australian construction market is lukewarm at best with weak consumer confidence and falling house prices deterring residential construction in most states. Commercial construction is also weak with some oversupply from the previous boom. Tendering is competitive for the limited number of new private construction projects coming to the market. However, construction of an unprecedented pipeline of resources and energy projects is ramping up. Gradually, this is expected to increase construction costs as shortages of trade skills, engineering and management worsen. Further adding to costs, a carbon tax was recently legislated and a mining profits tax is currently in the final stages of debate prior to passing into legislation.
Canada
At present the construction market in Canada is moderate to slow. Public investment in infrastructure and rail projects is the dominant construction type, whereas private sector development is quite weak. The housing construction market is slowing. Tendering is competitive and wage increases have remained moderate on a weaker outlook and concerns over Europe. Gradually, the economy will be boosted by strong mining investment helping to stimulate ancillary businesses and the resumption of stronger building construction levels.
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China
Construction demand in China fell by as much as ten percent over the last six months because of government measures introduced late last year to moderate growth to more sustainable levels, curb the sharp spike in property prices and reduce inflationary pressures. These included restrictions on pre-sales, restrictions on loans for purchases of third homes, higher minimum mortgage rates and tighter financing for second-home purchases. Property transactions in the key cities of Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzen have fallen strongly in response. Weaker demand for Chinese exports threatens to slow manufacturing growth in 2012, however the Chinese Government has strong reserves and policies to stimulate the economy if the global economy does deteriorate further.
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Germany
Construction orders grew at a moderate two percent year-on-year according to The German Construction Industry Federation. However, housing grew at a more robust 6.6 percent higher than 2010, based on positive income expectations and low interest rates. Maintenance and expansion projects have also injected some further positivity into the construction market with an increase in turnover of seven percent year-on-year. However, this year has seen demand for public construction decline with a decrease in orders of two percent. Despite the continuing European sovereign debt woes and the weakness in neighbouring trading partners, the German economy has shown considerable resilience. Construction levels in 2012 should remain positive, tendering competitive and escalation moderate.
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India
Construction growth is expected to accelerate during 2012. The government is focusing on infrastructure creation and this is having an impact on the industrial and infrastructure construction segments. This sector is forecast to grow by 21.5 percent in 2012. The high-rise construction sector is also strong with numerous mixed-use, high-rise buildings under construction and strong escalation experienced. The expanded presence of overseas contractors in this segment has increased costs by as much as 30 percent for high-rise construction in the past 1218 months. During 2012 construction costs are expected to grow by up to seven percent, one of the highest escalation rates globally.
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Ireland
Tender prices stabilised for the first time in four years by mid 2011. However, severe shortages of work in all sectors will cause tender prices to remain very competitive in 2012. A recent survey highlighted the dangerous situation where nearly half of all tenders are below realistic levels. Construction labour rates have not increased during 2011. Some material prices have risen slightly due to smaller levels of production volumes and less economies of scale. The pharmaceutical and hi-tech sectors continue to attract high levels of construction investment encouraged by the activities of the Irish Development Authority and the attractive corporate tax environment. Public sector investment is being concentrated in previously neglected education and health sectors. Further cuts in public-funded capital expenditure are likely to satisfy the requirements of the IMF/ECB/ESFS bail-out conditions.
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Japan
After nearly two decades of economic stagnation the construction industry displayed signs of recovery during late 2010 and 2011. However, the devastating earthquake and tsunami in March 2011 temporarily halted this improvement. More than 300,000 houses were destroyed in the disaster along with roads, ports and energy facilities. In April 2011 the government announced an aid package to assist with the reconstruction. Construction demand is forecast to grow by 2.6 percent in 2012 to 45.3tn Japanese yen, assisted substantially by the reconstruction package. The restoration projects are likely to cover infrastructure, residential construction and the restoration of various production facilities damaged in the disaster.
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Malaysia
The public sector construction market in Malaysia is expected to moderate with reduced government spending. However, several mega projects are announced including the Mass Rapid Transport programme, the Marina Island Pangkor 2nd International Resort and Entertainment Island, and various energy sector developments. There is increasing demand for space from SMEs in the industrial sector mainly in the automotive, energy, electrical and logistics sectors. The new 1Malaysia housing programme, an affordable housing development aimed at the middle-income group, should boost the residential market. Commercial office and retail construction should also benefit as a result of this activity.
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Russia
Russia has had a positive year in 2011 with overall GDP rising by 5.1 percent year-on-year by the third quarter 2011. The main reason for the increase is due to the continuing strong commodity prices in the oil and gas, and mining sectors. However, the construction market remains quite depressed relative to the years before the GFC. The main sectors showing renewed growth include industrial and infrastructure and the commercial retail and logistics sectors. These are predicted to grow significantly throughout 2012. Construction prices generally remain depressed and provide good value for money in the market. While some sectors in construction are growing, the overall spare capacity in the supply chain is projected to keep construction inflation below five percent in 2012.
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Singapore
The Singapore market has been quite moderate in 2011 and escalation has been minimal for most building types. Singapores internationally connected economy is experiencing both the opportunities of trading with East Asia and the general slowdown in the rest of the world. The economy is growing at below the trend of recent years, recording 4.9 percent growth in 2011. Housing and apartment construction is quite resilient based on low unemployment rates, confidence and wage growth, but the office, retail and hotel sectors appear to be easing. Singapores expertise in shipping and fabrication will benefit from the strong growth in energy and resources projects in Malaysia and Australia. In 2012 cost escalation of five percent is expected for construction projects, which is broadly in line with general inflation. Wage increases are moderate, but some building material prices (steel and concrete) have fluctuated. Singapore international building costs per m2 of internal area
2008 SGD Residential Detached house medium standard Detached house prestige Townhouse medium standard Apartments private medium density Apartments high rise Aged care/affordable units Commercial Offices business park CBD offices up to 20 floors medium CBD offices prestige Warehouses Warehouse/factory unit basic Large warehouse distribution centre High-tech factory/laboratory Retail Large shopping centre including mall Neighbourhood including supermarket Prestige car showroom Hotels Three-star travellers Five-star luxury Resort style Hospitals Day centre Regional hospital General hospital Schools Primary and secondary University Carparks Multistorey above ground Multistorey below ground Airports Airport terminal 1,200 2,000 900 1,600 1,200 1,600 1,200 1,700 953 1,351 1,500 2,500 1,500 2,500 1,500 2,500 1,500 2,700 1,192 2,145 2,000 3,500 3,500 1,800 3,000 3,000 1,750 3,000 3,000 1,800 3,100 3,100 1,430 2,463 2,463 3,300 4,800 3,200 2,700 4,000 2,600 3,100 4,150 3,000 3,200 4,200 3,000 2,542 3,337 2,384 3,000 2,400 3,500 2,500 2,000 3,300 3,000 2,000 3,300 3,200 2,100 3,300 2,542 1,669 2,622 1,400 1,600 3,000 1,200 1,500 2,800 1,200 1,700 2,800 1,200 1,800 3,000 953 1,430 2,384 2,300 3,000 3,200 2,000 2,500 2,800 2,000 2,500 2,800 2,000 2,500 2,900 1,589 1,986 2,304 4,000 4,900 3,400 3,000 3,400 1,500 3,500 4,400 2,800 2,000 2,500 1,350 3,850 4,400 2,800 2,000 2,700 1,450 4,000 4,600 2,800 2,100 2,700 1,500 3,178 3,655 2,225 1,669 2,145 1,192 2009 SGD 2010 SGD 2011 SGD 2011 USD
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South Africa
The deteriorating situation in Europe has had flow-on effects to South Africa, including weakening confidence, and depressing the Rand exchange rate, which has caused the cost of imported materials to increase. This together with strong wage increases (coming off a low base) is pushing construction costs ahead at up to eight percent per annum. Construction growth is moderate with the major local contractors forced to look abroad for much of their work. Civil construction, including mining project investments, is still the dominant sector in terms of value of work in progress (accounting for almost 62 percent of the total construction activity). The housing sectors are in a cyclical low, but the resources sectors show promising growth which will flow on to the rest of the economy.
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South Korea
South Korea is experiencing improvements in the private domestic construction sector as the economy experiences quite healthy growth and gradual cyclical recovery. However, the country has recently felt the impact of international economic conditions including tighter financing, higher input costs including oil, and interrupted trade with Japan since the earthquake. The private development sector has undergone a period of deregulation with less involvement by public institutions. This has increased demand for private development and should assist the private sector construction markets in 2012. Public sector construction continues to remain subdued with public works and large-scale project construction in a slowdown. Public sector construction is unlikely to be higher in 2012 than in 2011. The engineering, fabrication and shipbuilding sectors have healthy order books with Asian and Australian energy projects. Construction cost escalation should be modest in 2012. South Korea international building costs per m2 of internal area
2008 KRW Residential Detached house medium standard Detached house prestige Townhouse medium standard Apartments private medium density Apartments high rise Aged care/affordable units Commercial Offices business park CBD offices up to 20 floors medium CBD offices prestige Warehouses Warehouse/factory unit basic Large warehouse distribution centre High-tech factory/laboratory Retail Large shopping centre including mall Neighbourhood including supermarket Prestige car showroom Hotels Three-star travellers Five-star luxury Resort style Hospitals Day centre Regional hospital General hospital Schools Primary and secondary University Carparks Multistorey above ground Multistorey below ground Airports Airport terminal 2,500,000 2,600,000 2,550,000 2,550,000 2,302 558,277 812,040 552,750 804,000 550,000 800,000 550,000 800,000 497 722 1,015,050 1,370,317 1,005,000 1,356,750 1,000,000 1,350,000 1,000,000 1,360,000 903 1,228 1,116,555 1,624,080 1,725,585 1,105,500 1,608,000 1,708,500 1,100,000 1,600,000 1,700,000 1,100,000 1,600,000 1,700,000 993 1,445 1,535 1,522,575 3,045,150 1,827,090 1,507,500 3,015,000 1,809,000 1,500,000 3,000,000 1,800,000 1,500,000 3,200,000 2,050,000 1,354 2,889 1,851 1,725,585 954,450 1,898,144 1,708,500 945,000 1,879,350 1,700,000 900,000 1,870,000 1,700,000 950,000 1,870,000 1,535 858 1,688 954,450 761,287 2,639,130 945,000 753,750 2,613,000 900,000 750,000 2,600,000 900,000 700,000 2,600,000 813 632 2,348 1,116,555 1,370,317 1,725,585 1,105,500 1,356,750 1,708,500 1,100,000 1,350,000 1,700,000 1,100,000 1,350,000 1,700,000 993 1,219 1,535 1,167,307 1,725,585 1,380,468 1,116,555 1,421,070 1,220,000 1,155,750 1,708,500 1,366,800 1,105,500 1,407,000 1,200,000 1,150,000 1,700,000 1,360,000 1,100,000 1,400,000 1,180,000 1,150,000 1,700,000 1,360,000 1,100,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,038 1,535 1,228 993 1,264 1,083 2009 KRW 2010 KRW 2011 KRW 2011 USD
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UAE
The economies of Abu Dhabi and Dubai are strengthening, driven by high levels of investment in Abu Dhabi, strong tourism growth and the gradual emergence of the UAE as the financial hub for the region. However, oversupply in residential and commercial markets will continue to constrain construction growth in the UAE, with Dubai worse affected after growing strongest during 20068. It may take several years until healthy sales rates resume and price growth occurs. Construction costs have fallen substantially with prices in steady decline since 2008 and now up to 25 percent lower. Abu Dhabi has much less of an oversupply problem, a healthy backlog of projects and prospects for construction growth are better in 2012.
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UK
The UK market continues to be directly affected by economic uncertainties within Europe, as the eurozone represents the UKs largest trading partner. Consumer confidence within the UK is on the decline, and this economic ambiguity is having a negative effect on private sector activities in the face of dwindling public sector investment due to government austerity measures. This is making the industry increasingly dependent on long-term infrastructure projects and a rise in private sector investment to fill the void. Unemployment is rising as employers attempt to maintain current staffing levels leading to lower than inflation level wage increases. However, falling inflation rates should ease the pressure on wages throughout 2012.
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UK costs of materials
Concrete 30 mpa (m3) (1,500m3 job) Reinforcement bar 16mm (tonne) (120 tonne job) Concrete block (400 x 200) per 1,000 (>10,000 block job) Standard brick per 1,000 Structural steel beams (tonne) (>100 tonne job) Glass pane 6mm (m2) Softwood timber for framing 100mm x 50mm (m) Plasterboard 13mm (m2) Emulsion paint (litre) Copper pipe 15mm (m) (>1,000m job) Copper cable (m) (3C + E, 2.5mm PVC) (>100,000m job) 85 700 1,050 450 1,600 30 2 5 2 1 0.15 83 744 1,071 454 1,786 31 2 5 2 1 0.15 133 1,193 1,717 728 2,864 50 3 8 3 2 0.24
UK major projects
GBP Crossrail High Speed Railway 2 London 2012 Olympics London Tideway Improvements Forth Replacement Crossing 14.5bn 32.7bn 2bn 4bn 1bn
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US
The outlook for 201213 is for continued slow to moderate growth and a likely return to pre-recession economic activity by 2014, subject to the European financial system not causing further setbacks. New York, Texas and Massachusetts are experiencing stronger construction growth, while Arizona, Nevada and Florida are much weaker. Construction costs should increase moderately in 2012 with labour up by two to four percent and materials up by four to eight percent. Gypsum-based products such as plasterboard are set to spike upwards in 2012. Residential is unlikely to recover in 2012 with the market still somewhat oversupplied, but markets and companies are consolidating, rightsizing, and setting up for a resumption of growth. Multi-unit residential, education, health and energy projects should lead the way.
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US costs of materials
Concrete 30 mpa (m3) (1,500m3 job) Reinforcement bar 16mm (tonne) (120 tonne job) Concrete block (400 x 200) per 1,000 (>10,000 block job) Standard brick per 1,000 Structural steel beams (tonne) (>100 tonne job) Glass pane 6mm (m2) Softwood timber for framing 100mm x 50mm (m) Plasterboard 13mm (m2) Emulsion paint (litre) Copper pipe 15mm (m) (>1,000m job) Copper cable (m) (3C + E, 2.5mm PVC) (>100,000m job) 138 595 950 400 1,030 58 9 3 7 6 3 135 992 1,030 350 1,150 58 7 3 8 7 4
US cost variations
National average % 100
US major projects
USD California High-Speed Rail Bay Bridge East Span Replacement Fab 42 The Ohio River Bridges Interstate 69 Extension SIU #3 99bn 6.3bn 5bn 4.1bn 1.8bn
Charlotte, NC Houston, TX Seattle, WA Chicago, IL Los Angeles, CA San Francisco, CA New York Metro
Source: ENR
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Vietnam
Restrictions on bank lending for construction have been introduced to counter the 22 percent inflation and 20 percent interest rates. This credit squeeze has severely reduced local developers activity, but several foreign investors are entering the market targeting distressed projects with equity injection. Labour costs now compete very favourably with China due to recent increases in the Chinese minimum wage. This has created a strong incentive for Japanese manufacturers and Korean chaebols to set up investments in the country in manufacturing plants, infrastructure and land development projects. The government recognises the importance of foreign investment in promoting GDP growth and several pilot projects using PPP/BOT models are underway. Construction costs are increasing strongly off a low base, and this is likely to continue in 2012.
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Contributors
This survey has been compiled by Gary Emmett, Economist Turner & Townsend Level 3, 179 Turbot Street Brisbane, Queensland 4000 t: +61 (0) 7 3020 4759 e: gary.emmett@turntown.com
Australia Dave Todd e: dave.todd@turntown.com t: +61 (0)7 3020 4700 Canada Gerard McCabe e: gmccabe@ttcm2r.com t: +1 (416) 925 1424 China Ben Chaston e: ben.chaston@turntown.com t: +86 10 6474 5566 Germany Simon Lawler e: simon.lawler@turntown.com t: +49 (0) 69 795 3478 0 India Robert Hewitt e: robert.hewitt@turntown.com t: +91 22 4071 9800 Ireland Mark Kelly e: mark.kelly@hktt.ie t: +35 (0) 312 831 116 Japan Ben Chaston e: ben.chaston@turntown.com t: +86 10 6474 5566 Malaysia David Hancox e: david.hancox@turntown.com t: +60 3 2171 1100
Russia Paul Grace e: paul.grace@turntown.com t: +7 495 223 86 50 Singapore Soh May Yeng e: soh-may.yeng@turntown.com t: +65 6846 3790 South Africa Ian Donaldson e: ian.donaldson@turntown.com t: +27 (0) 11 214 1400 South Korea Yoonseong Cho e: yoonseong.cho@turntown.com t: +82 (0)70 7118 2800 UAE Alan Talabani e: alan.talabani@turntown.com t: +971 (0) 24437890 UK Nick Townsend e: nick.townsend@turntown.com t: +44 (0) 20 7544 4000 US Craig Blinston e: craig.blinston@turntown.com t: +1 415 489 1600 Vietnam David Lockwood e: david.lockwood@turntown.com t: +84 (8) 62 99 82 83
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