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Cheltenham Festival 2013 (12th - 15th March)

This is a preview at the Cheltenham Festival 2013; I have put it together for the average backer to have an insight into each race at the festival, with some hopeful pointers towards hopefully selecting a couple of winners. Every race has been highlighted from the first on Champion Day Tuesday until the last on Gold Cup Friday, and has been laid out with 5 sections per race, which are highlighted below and briefly explained: Race Information: This section will just give you a insight into the race itself, highlighting the distance the type of horse that will be entered and how the race may be ran. Race Winners: This section will highlight the winners of the race from the year 2000, unless the race wasnt introduced until after the Millennium. Each year will highlight:
Year, Horse, name, age, weight, [official rating before race], (jockey), owner, starting price.

(EXAMPLE: 2011 Al Ferof 6 11-7 [142] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 10/1). Race Form: As Cheltenham is the pinnacle of the National Hunt season, there is undoubtedly key races throughout the season which are identified as key races, trials or potential target races which act as a warm up leading up to the Festival. This section therefore highlights the horses that have performed or shown form in these races, and also identifies horses, which according to the betting market have claims of their own to be in the frame as contenders. Race Trends: This section highlights trends or patterns if you like that have become apparent over the years over the running of that race, which could give the punter some further information on selecting the right horse. Predictions: This section includes predictions from the breaking down of the form and integrating the trends of which horse is highly favourable to win in that race. This section also includes my fancies for each race. Enjoy, have a look, see what you think and I hope you get some winners, but dont hold me responsible if you dont!!!!

Tuesday 12th March 2012 -

Champion Day
1330: William Hill Supreme Novices Hurdle
Grade 1 (2m 1/2f)

Race Information: The Supreme Novices Hurdle is run at a fast and furious pace as tends to be the norm at this big National Hunt Race meeting. The race attracts a large number of entrants and therefore experience of competing in similar big fields before Cheltenham is often of paramount importance. Once again the main lesson to learn when punting on this race should be determined by the ground conditions. If the going is on the good side look for the flat-bred runners, as they will have the pace to take the race the reverse also holds if the ground is soft. The race is traditionally very competitive, boasting only four winning favourites in the past 20 years (No favourite won in 9 years (2004)) and an average SP of 14/1, including winners priced as big as 40/1 and 50/1. Recent Winners: 2012 Cinders and Ashes 5 11-7 [142] (JM Maguire) D McCain Jr 10/1 2011 Al Ferof 6 11-7 [142] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 10/1 2010 Menorah 5 11-7 [147] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 12/1 2009 Go Native 6 11-7 [164] (P Carberry) N Meade 12/1 2008 Captain Cee Bee 7 11-7 [152] (R Thornton) E Harty 15/2 2007 Ebaziyan 6 [?140] 11-7 (D Condon) W Mullins 40/1 2006 Noland 5 [143] 11-7 (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 6/1 2005 Arcalis 5 [?150] (G Lee) J Howard-Johnson 20/1 2004 Brave Inca 6 [unknown] (B Cash) CA Murphy 7/2fav 2003 Back in Front 6 11-8 [unknown] (N Williamson) EJ OGrady 3-1fav 2002 Like a Butterfly 8 11-3 [unknown] (CF Swan) C Roche 7-4fav 2000 Sausolito Bay 6 11-8 [unknown] (P Carberry) N Meade 14-1 Race Form:
Jezki, clearly has class, good on soft ground, not proven at Cheltenham and in big fields, what has he beat, other than a below par Champagne Fever? Form horse and likely favourite River Maigue, still unexposed, needed to find some from second at Cheltenham to Dodging Bullets, run at end of Jan will tell a lot more... what has he beat? Un Atout lightly raced and very much fancied to be in contention. Has won on every outing with conviction and minimal fuss. Not yet tested and remains very unexposed, chance Puffin Billy, another horse of some ability, still unexposed, impressive on bumper form, more impressive on last appearance, nothing to gage against. Interesting Dodging Bullets, most experienced out of the contenders. Not disgraced in both outings against his elders. Has the form over other contenders. Likely candidate, and in the mix, Melodic Rendezvous, another horse with ability, beaten on a couple of occasions giving form to Jezki. Impressive when beating a good horse in Pendra and then Puffin Billy latest, despite age still unexposed and improving My Tent or Yours, clearly able, seems to be a strong galloper; given a surprisingly poor ride by McCoy in Dec, bounced back in the Newbury Hurdle impressively, contender Rule The World, done nothing wrong so far, beaten some good and more experienced irish hurdlers on last two outings, lightly raced, very unexposed, possible dark horse

Cause of Causes, has won in listed company (big field), and beat an honest horse a short head last time out. Found the pace of the Newbury Hurdle too much where convincingly beat. May have a bit to find against the principles, entered into the Neptune and the Champion Hurdle too. Pique Sous, beaten on maiden hurdle when making many jumping errors, won next time out against a relatively weak field, not seen since October, another surprise if in places. Rock Critic, flat based horse, who has experience and undefeated over hurdles, but against a weak Galway field. Would revel in firm ground, but a lot to find and prove, unlikely Champagne Fever last years bumper winner has been the biggest disappointment this season after such early promise. Excuses given by trainer for his two losses and his last win wasnt overly convincing. Has other entries but likely to compete in this Mozoltov entered into all three novice hurdles, and despite his age is still relatively lightly raced; beat Don Cossack on latest outing and on the strength of this holds some respect, however will require to lift game against the market principles Cheltenian this Hobbs star made his comeback after two years away recently and left a good impression; was fantastic when winning at the festival two years ago and has to be respected Ostentation being chucked in the deep end here and his form is weak in comparison to his peers his and cannot be liked here Ifandbutwhynot some decent form in lower level races, was found out when stepped up in class being beaten and realistically cannot be counted here Fire King another with no real form to back up his support here; has been given plenty opportunity to shine and falled; others preferred Flying Cross this Pipe horse hasnt been seen for over two and a half years and realistically hasnt got great form to boost his credentails, others preferred I Shot the Sheriff one of many entries here at the festival and this race shouldnt be the one he is given as its unlikely being away so long he will ocmpete with the market leaders

Key Recent Trends: A number of trends have become prevalent in the Supreme Novices Hurdle:

The Irish Runners have a strong record in the race with 10 winners in the past 18 runnings. Its a definite plus if the horse has ran in the last 45 days
Ran in the Royal Bond, Deloitte or last seasons Champion Bumper

Favourites have a poor record in the Supreme Novices Hurdle with only 2 market leaders getting home to win in the past 18 runnings of the race. 13 from 18 had won last time out. Don't be put off if the horse is making its Cheltenham debut, 12 winners from the past 18 had never run at Prestbury before. It's definitely a positive for a horse to have run in a big field prior to the festival. It doesnt bode well if the horse was beaten last time out.

Predictions:
Favourites 1. My Tent or Yours 2. Jezki 3. Un Atout Stewarts Fancies: 1. Dodging Bullets 2. My Tent or Yours 3. Un Atout

1405: Arkle Challenge Trophy Steeple Chase Grade 1 (2m)


Race information: The second race of the Cheltenham Festival is named after one of its most famous competitors, Arkle. Run over exactly two miles of the Cheltenham Racecourse the Arkle requires both speed and good jumping technique. The Arkle is run at a furious pace and the emphasis is very much on

fluent jumping. Analysis of recent Arkle winners points towards entrants coming to Cheltenham on the back of an impressive season. Shocks in the Arkle are few and far between and the Cheltenham betting market favourites usually perform well. However until last year it was nine years previously since a favourite won the Arkle until sprinter Sacre broke this trend. Recent Winners: 2012 Sprinter Sacre 6 11-7 [161] (BJ Geraghty) NJ Henderson 8/11fav 2011 Captain Chris 7 11-7 [153] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 6/1 2010 Sizing Europe 8 11-7 [157] (A Lynch) H de Bromhead 6/1 2009 Forpadydeplasterer 7 11-7 [152] (B Geraghty) T Cooper 8/1 2008 Tidal Bay 7 11-7 [154] (DF ORegan) J Howard-Johnson 6/1 2007 My Way de Solzen 7 11-7 [161] (R Thornton) A King 7/2 2006 Voy Por Ustedes 5 11-2 [162] (R Thornton) A King 15/2 2005 Contraband 7 11-7 [148) (T Murphy) M Pipe 7/1 2004 Well Chief 5 11-3 [unknown] (AP McCoy) M Pipe 9/1 2003 Azertyuiop 6 11-8 [unknown] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 5/4fav 2002 Moscow Flyer 8 11-8 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) Mrs J Harrington 11/2 2000 Tiutchev 7 11-8 [ unknown] (MA Fitzgerald) N Henderson 8/1 Race Form:
Simonsig, impeccable form, arguably the best novice chaser in training, only ever defeat to Fingal Bay over hurdles. Ticks every box, and very much the one to beat, will be fav; 9.5/10 Overturn, last years runner up in the Champion Hurdle thrives on the big stage. Undefeated over the bigger obstacles and will undoubtedly have his say on the day. Contender 8.5/10 Arvika Ligionniere, has decent hurdle form, but has been a revelation over jumps. Undefeated so far over beating anything thrown at him unlucky with fall latest, and likely to be the leading Irish threat, 8/10 Captain Conan, another decent hurdler, who has taken to chasing, and impressed with two enticing victories at this distance and with the above; has to make the shortlist 8/10 Benefficient has an World Hurdle entry also, and brings some solid form to the throne with an emphatic Group 1 victory latest; a repeat of this would make him a consideration Majala in this and the Jonny Henderson race; unbeaten thus far this season; and seems to be progressing; would require to step up to contend here and if he does will be in the mix Bailly Green in this and the Jonny Henderson race; unbeaten thus far this season; and seems to be progressing; has been beaten by some of the market principlals but not by much and therefore may be outpaced here His Excellency has had a busy season with some creditable runs; but when competing against class was undoubtedly found out; other preferred Viva Colonia two outings this term and two victories albeit at a lower class; has performed in better races previous to which he didnt make the cut; others preferred Tap Night 3 solid efforts from 4 runs this term; found out when stepped up in class but still retains some decent form; holds an Arkle entry but against some of the market prinicpals in either will need to step up to compete Aupcharlie holds an RSA and a Jewson entry and merits respect in this sphere despite being beaten by two of the market principals this term. Would have to run a personal best to compete and if so will make the shortlist 7/10 Marito a Willie Mullins horse who was nipped on the line by Texas Jack on his last outing, and therefore warrants respect; a slight improvement will put him on the shortlist; also holds entries for the RSA and Jewson 7/10

Key Race Trends: A number of trends have become prevalent in the Arkle: Last 11 winners had raced no more than five times over fences
Eleven of last twelve winners were aged between 5 and 7 years of age Over 80% of winners in the past ten renewals finished first or second last time out. 11 of last 12 winners had won a grade 1 or grade 2 event over fences. Six of the last 11 winners were the highest-rated hurdler in the field The Irish have won 3 of the last 14 renewals The Second, Third and Fourth favourites are to be considered

Predictions:
Favourites 1. Simonsig 2. Overturn 3. Arvika Ligionniere Stewarts Fancies: 1. Simonsig 2. Arvika Ligionniere 3. Overturn

1440: JLT Speciality Steeple Chase (A handicap) Grade 3


(3m 1/2f)

Race Information: The third race on the first day of the Cheltenham Festival is the Festival Handicap Chase, which was sponsored by the Stewart Family in 2011. It was formerly known as the William Hill Trophy and is the first big handicap of the Festival for punters to get their teeth into. Horses that run in the Festival Handicap Chase are often considered Grand National horses of the future and it can often be used to test a horse's stamina and jumping with Aintree in mind. The race itself is run over 3 miles at Cheltenham and there are 19

fences for the field to jump around the old course at Prestbury Park. Like all the big Handicap races at the Cheltenham Festival, the Festival Handicap Chase is a tough one for punters to guess correctly. These are the races in particular where punters should take note of the race trends before having a bet and they are available throughout the season. The Festival Handicap betting goes through many changes in the run up to the race with the most significant day being when the handicapper announces the weights. Punters will be looking for those horses that have the stamina and the class to come out on top in what is always a high quality Cheltenham race. Recent Winners: 2012 Alfie Sherrin 9 10-0 [128] (RP McLernon) J ONeill 14/1 2011 Bensalem 8 11-2 [143] (R Thornton) A King 5/1 2010 Chief Dan George 10-10 10 [142] (P Aspell) J Moffatt 33/1 2009 Wichita Lineman 8 10-9 [142] (AP McCoy) J ONeill 5/1fav 2008 An Accordion 7 10-12 [143] (T Scudamore) D Pipe 7/1 2007 Joes Edge 10 10-6 [130] (D Russell) F Murphy 50/1 2006 Dun Doire 7 10-9 [129] (R Walsh) AJ Martin 7/1 2005 Kelami 7 10-2 [unknown] (R Thornton) F Doumen 8/1 2004 Fork Lightning 8 10-5 [unknown] (R Thornton) A King 7/1 2003 Youlneverwalkalone 9 10-11 [unknown] (B Geraghty) C Roche 7/1 2002 Frenchmans Creek 8 10-5 [unknown] (P Carberry) H Morrison 8/1 2000 Marlborough 8 10-3 [unknown] (MA Fitzgerald) N Henderson 11/2 Race Form: No race form available
Cantlow holds five entries for the festival and therefore difficult to presume which race will be taken; has solid with 2/4 victories and two seconds to good soerts suggests this is going to be a realistic option where he could prevail th Ballynagour has 6 entries in the festival and is still heavily unexposed; has a run on the 27 Feb which wil shed further light on his credentials; was impressive on his solo run and cannot be ignored Opening Batsmen in exceptional form this season and his latest victory suggests he has to be in the frame in whichever contest he will compete in; definitely shortlisted Rolling Aces in fantastic form having beat Opening Batsmsan earlier this season was just beaten when they met latest; is in the same category and cannot be ignored Bensalem not in fantastic form having only had the one run in two years; entitled to progress from that and with a victory in this event 2011 cannot be discounted but needs to step up again Alfie Sherrin, winner of this race last year, and likely to race at Cheltenham but long-term sights on the Handicap hurdle at Aintree. Consistent form, and sure to be in the mix 7.5/10 Colbert Station, long term sights set on the Grand National and if the case will miss the Festival, but two runs in February will shed more light. If he runs hes been in stealth form and wont be too far away come the finishing line 7.5/10 Pete The Feat, the most progressive chaser this season; a horse who has shown a love for jumping and out running his opponents; however his last step up in class was perhaps one too far, respected 7/10 The Package, consistent sort who again has his sights set on the Grand National, but if was to run in this race would have as good a chance as any other, always in the mix, loves Cheltenham, respected 7.5/10 Super Duty some decent outings this term but only one victory; however many seconds here over different terrains; makes him a contender in this company if some improvement prevails Sweeney Tunes holds six entries at the festival thanks to his Group 2 victory latest suggesting

he maybe one to consider here; a contender Toner Doudairies holds 8 entries here at the festival and realistically on this years form would have to dramatically improve to enter the fray here Our Mick has had this in his sights all season and despite injury keeping his season to one race where he unseated the rider; due to this may not be as race fit as others and therefore others preferred Wyck Hill bought by JP McManus with the intention of the Grand National recently; and disappointed on most recent run; earmarked for the Gold Cup too; must be worth considering Bob Lingo, possibly could be bypassed at the festival in favour of Aintree; but has decent form over the years to suggest he could possibly make the frame Frisco Depot hasnt had a good season and his latest shows form for others in the market; holds others entries and possibly others too good here Hold on Julio hasnt had the most convincing of seasons and will need to rediscover some of his form here to compete; however has come down in the weights to close to his last winning mark and therefore if in form may be worth considering Junior won well in a handciap at the festival in 2011, however since has only one victory to his name which came in December; has been competing in better company and is still high in the weights and therefore will have to run a massive race to compete Merry King hasnt disgraced this season without covering himself in glory either; a lot of placed efforts leaving him well handicapped but not seen since December will have to run a great race to get in the mix Quantitativeeasing hasnt performed well at all this season and because of this has fallen in the weights to the level of his last victory; but needs to perform a lot better than this; others preferred Questions Answeed another who hasnt quite made the next step by performing ok in handicaps but not showing enough to get in front; needs to make that next step and therefore others preferred The Knox only the one run this season where he fell; no definite plans for the festival but a run early in March may set the precedent; not enough form to assess credentials Alfie Spinner another horse who has shown potential prior to this season but this year hasnt performed; needs to rediscover some his older form; is back down in the weights to a winning level and therefore cannot be ignored but more required Bold Sir Brian has been progressing well this year and amassed some solid victories; further progression here may signal some more success but up in the weights and therefore may have is work cut out but cannot be ruled out Cloudy Too has performed very creditably this term notching up some good victofries; when stepped up did find one or two too hot, but in handicap company maybe one with outside chance here Lambro one of many entries here; and the only outing thus far this year was fruitless; has an entry before the festival which may shed further light but currently cannot be one for the mix No Secrets two solid victories most recent make this horse a serious contender for whichever race he contends depending on whether he handles the step up in class; others preferred Big Fella Thanks more of an aintree specialist and holds an entry for the Grand National; bt latest was impressive in victory; perhaps this distance is too short for him bt if the ground is soft may enter the frey. Carruthers two solid victories this season, but well up in the weights because of this; due to his record can never be discounted but will have to pull out a great performance here to compete Duke of Lucca relatively consistent, but not looked like getting his head in front; slightly down in the weights but will need to run impressively to be in the frame Fruity ORooney another who is slightly down in the weights and has some placed efforts this season although distance placed efforts; will need to run a great race to compete; others preferred Hey Big Spender poor outings this year, likely to go for the cross country race and realistically that would be a more achievable target; however down in the weights but will require to step up to compete Michel Le Bon not guarenteed to run at the festival but his run at the start of March may lead to an entry; his last two runs have been a major disappointment after some early promise; others

preferred Planet of Sound has kept some decent company this term and not managed to get near the winners; has this as his main target for the season and will need to step to the forefront to get his head in front Quartz de Thaix some early performances this season warratned early tips for favouriotism at the festival but subsequent efforts have halted such thiughts; up in the wieights wont help matters, will need to lift his performance to compete Triolo Dalene not quite lived up to his billing based on last years novice season; out of three races has been well beaten; therefore unilkely to compete here Bradley not disgraced in early runs this season narrowly losing out on a couple of occasions; subsequent runs were not as promising; blamed on the soft ground; will need to replicste earlier outings to stand a chance here Calgary Bay two poor efforts this year suggest the handicapper has really got hold of this horse, needs to stepup here to contend, others preferred Roberto Goldback heavy defeats this season means he has come down in the weights, which resulted in a better performance latest; still some to find on the market prinicpals Romanesco some early promising runs with two victories have been followed up by some poor displays; is contesting here in a higher grade to which he holds some form which he will need to replicate to hold any chance Tartak 4 outings 4 heavy defeats and even though has come down in the weights hasnt seemed to step up to the mark therefore others preferred The Rainbow Hunter one early victory this season suggested some promise which hasnt been followed up thus far with two subsequent defeats; others preferred Lost Glory found some form in his last two outings and seems to be progressing quite nicely; will have also gone up in the weights too; a heavy early season has been followed with a quiter second half with the festival in mind; possibilities here Chartreux one of four entries at the festival and this gelding has some decent from for handicaps; 2/3 this time with his only defeat a narrow second; possibly could contend here Carlito Brigante a horse with some experience and is likely to take his chance in Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir; been convincingly beaten when against some of the bigger guns of the festival, if he can rekindle his hurdling form can play a part White Star Line some placed efforts this term but most a large distanced second to better horses; difficult to position in the scheme of the festival but realistically will require some considerable improvement to win here On Trend a horse that has been progressing as the season has gone on; and if this continues has to be a consideration here; some of his later form has been backed up; if finds a little more cold be a surprise entry Johns Spirit some mixed form this season with one good victory and a decent second following two large distance poor efforts; another who will have to lift their game to hold any chance Prince of Pirates same boat as On Trend has progressed with every race so far this season and a solid victory latest aith AP on board; a reproduction of this race would certainly put him in the frame Problema Tic some disappointing efforts this seasn after some promise late last term; favoured in the Pipe yard and perhaps will bounce back for coming down in the weights but will need to step up here Tarquinius has ran an incredible amount of races this season and fared well in all but one; has been near to the winners post if not winning in most of his races; cannot be discounted Time For Spring one good victory from four with some decent perfomrances there also; went up in the weights for the victory and struggled next; maybe well held by the handicapper; others preferred Riguez Dancer his form is poor this season and therefore cannot be a realistic fancy and is therefore not considered

Race Trends: A number of trends have become prevalent in the festival's first handicap chase:

Favourites have a very poor record in this race, with only two favourites able to win in the past 19 runnings. Only four of the past 19 winners have managed to carry more than 11 stone to victory. 15 winners from the past 19 had an official rating of 130 or better. British runners have a good record, taking 14 of the last 19 runnings. Course form is important, 14 of the past 19 winners had previous place form around Cheltenham. Place form last time out is important, with 14 of the past 19 winners of this race featuring in the places in the race prior to heading to Cheltenham.

Predictions:
Favourites 1. Our Mick 2. Cantlow 3. Fruity ORooney Stewarts Fancies: 1. Cantlow 2. Opening Batsmen 3. Alfie Sherrin

1520: Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy


Grade 1 (2m 1/2f)

Race information: The feature race on the first day of the Cheltenham Festival is undoubtedly the Champion Hurdle, a grade one event run over two miles and a half a furlong. When looking at results over the last 10 years it is impossible to ignore the fact that the Irish have had a stranglehold on the race they have won it seven times since 1998 and that includes the three times champion of Aiden O'Brien who trained Istabraq. The Champion Hurdle is many punters favourite race of the season on the first day of the Cheltenham Festival and the tips section is always worth keeping an eye on. The Champion Hurdle trends make for essential reading before having a bet on the race. All eyes will be on Hurricane Fly this season after he tries to win back his crown. Recent Winners: 2012 Rock On Ruby 7 11-10 [165] (N Fehily) PF Nicholls 11/1 2011 Hurricane Fly 7 11-10 [167] (R Walsh) W Mullins 11/4fav 2010 Binocular 6 11-10 [163] (AP McCoy) N Henderson 9/1 2009 Punjabi 6 11-10 [166] (B Geraghty) N Henderson 22/1

2008 Katchit 5 11-10 [159] (R Thornton) A King 10/1 2007 Sublimity 5 11-10 [148] (P Carberry) JG Carr 16/1 2006 Brave Inca 8 11-10 [167] (AP McCoy) CA Murphy 7/4fav 2005 Hardy Eustace 8 11-10 (C O'Dwyer) DT Hughes7/1fav 2004 Hardy Eustace 7 11-10 (C O'Dwyer) DT Hughes 33/1 2003 Rooster Booster 9 12-0 (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 9/2 2002 Hors La Loi III 7 12-0 (D Gallacher) JR Fanshawe 10/1 2000 Istabraq 8 12-0 (CF Swan) AP OBrien 8-15fav Race Form: No race form available
Hurricane Fly, arguably one of the best speed hurdlers weve seen this century, and despite last rd years 3 , has bounced back this year to his impeccable best, beating everything in Ireland. Likely favourite, and sure to be there at the line 9.5/10 Grandouet, great display last time out seeing as though he was off for over a year, running Zarkandar close. Injury hit in his earlier career, now must step up to the plate, in the mix 9/10 th Zarkandar, last years 5 in the champion hurdle prompted a problem, which he seems to have bounced back from this season with abundance, a horse that seems to keep finding, another contender 9/10 Rock on Ruby, last years winner was a surprise in most peoples books, and this season has been firmly beaten on two occasions, but his form was similar this time last year so has to be respected 8/10 Cinders and Ashes, last years novice hurdle champion has found it a little tougher against his elders and more experienced hurdlers, beaten twice in last two outings, will need to step up 7.5/10 Countrywide Flame, interesting performer who on his day has the ability to compete with the best on the flat, will need the firmer ground, as was off the bridle early against Darlan and co on Boxing Day, January race will tell more 7.5/10 Binocular, disappointed after a log lay off at Leopardstown when beaten a comfortable 5 lengths by the Hurricane; but may improve slightly, although beaten by the above on several occasions still merits respects 7.5/10 Cotton Mill, interesting horse, was going strong when unseated in a novice hurdle last year, some solid form, and his second to My Tent or Yours is likable, possible dark horse 8/10 Balder Succes, decent start to the season, however comprehensively beaten on the last two outings, again another who realistically has to run the race of his life to compete, little chance 5.5/10 Khyber Kim, looking to relive the older days that surely have passed, and although the form at Cheltenham is encourageable being off the track for such a length of time doesnt bode well 6/10

Race Trends: A number of trends have become prevalent in the Champion Hurdle: Only 6 winning favourites from the past 19 runnings
14 winners from the past 17 had won at least twice over Hurdles. Cheltenham experience is important, with 16 of the past 18 winners have run at Prestbury . 16 of the past 23 winners had previous winning form at Cheltenham. A reasonably even split of Irish (8 winners) v British (10 winners) winners in recent years. 24 of the last 28 winners won last time out top three of the betting Only three winners older than eight since 1951

Predictions:
Favourites Stewarts Fancies:

1. Hurricane Fly 2. Zarkandar 3. Rock on Ruby

1. Hurricane Fly 2. Grandouet 3. Cotton Mill

1600: Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Steeple Chase


Class 2 (3m 7f)

Race Information: Now for the Enda Bolger benefit race that is what it should be called as his success in this race since its inception has been nothing but spectacular. Enda Has won the race 4 out of the 7 times it has been run with Spot the Difference in 2005, Heads On The ground in 2007 and Garde Champetre in 2008 and 2009. He was well tipped for another win with Garde Champetre in 2010 but there was an upset as 25/1 shot A New Story bolted up for the victory. Cross Country events at Cheltenham have proved to be very successful both from a competitive and a spectator point of view. This race adds a new dimension to the Festival and it has become as important to the meeting as the equivalent races over the cross country banks at Punchestown Festival just outside Dublin. A really popular race amongst punters since being introduced to the Festival in 2005. Four of the five previous runnings of the race have been won by a horse in the top three of the betting so punters should be turning their attention to the top of the market in 2013. Race Winners: 2012 Balthazar King 8 10-9 [139] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 11/2 2011 Sizing Australia 9 10-9 [140] (A Lynch) H de Bromhead 13/2 2010 A New Story 12 9-7 [131] (A P Heskin) M Hourigan 25/1 2009 Garde Champetre 10 11-12 [150] (N Carberry) E Bolger 7/2fav

2008 Garde Champetre 9 10-13 [129] (N Carberry) E Bolger 4/1 2007 Heads On the Ground 10 10-2 [126] (N Carberry) E Bolger 5/2fav 2006 Native Jack 12 10-8 [126] (DN Russell) PJ Rothwell 7/2JF 2005 Spot The difference 12 11-12 [unknown] (JT McNamara) E Bolger 4/1 Race Form:
Outlaw Pete, holds an entry for the Grand National, but will possibly take a chance in this event, and if he does has a solid record around Prestbury Park over the cross country course so cannot be discounted Balthazar King, also holds a Grand National entry and is likely attempt to repeat last years feat here. Has an exceptional record here and could be classed as a cross country expert, has to be considered. Uncle Junior, another specialist in this sphere who alongside the two above has been successful around Cheltenham before. Will most certainly be in the top of the betting and has to be considered. Arabella Boy, a horse that has form in distance events, and has lots of experience of Punchestowns cross-country event where he has had success. Will be at the top end of the market, and must make the shortlist Bostons Angel, another with a Grand National entry, who also loves cross country and is never too far away come the finish line. Wont be too far away, and has to gain be considered Chicago Grey, another with a Grand National entry, who has raced in higher grades and has found success at the festival in 2011. Merits respect on previous victory here Sizing Australia, promised so much with early successes in this sphere, but hasnt won since taking this 2011 and perhaps age is catching up on him; will need to recapture his best form to compete Big Shu not performed too badly when competing in cross country events a latest second at a high performance; will require to build on this and if so will perhaps make a bold outside attempt Poker de Sivola two outings in handicap company where he has been well beaten despite his finishing position maybe not suggesting so; has proven he can compete in this sphere and therefore cannot be discounted Reste Demohaison an interesting French runner in this race who is unexposed and on that really cannot be discounted as unknown commodity Saddlers Storm two disappointing outings thus far this season; has got form amongst these market prinicplas but will need to find something extra here Sanjaka de Thaix another interesting French contender, who is really unexposed; won on his last outing over this distance and due to being an unknown commodity here cannot be ignored Shalimar Fromentro this Nick Williams charge hasnt performed with great certainty this year has come down in the weights for his efforts but will need to take to the fore if to challenge here Any Currency won on his opening run this season and since has been slightly outpaced over the distance finishing just outsdie the places; will need to step up here to compete Backstage not seen for over a year after a disappointing term then; has dropped down in the weights but having not been seen since last year has to be discounted from the mix Nedzers Return another who hasnt been seen for over a year and on form prior to that cannot be called intot he mix here Sacree Tiepy another French recruit to the race who has arguably the best form coming into the race; realtively unexposed and unknown at the distance; an interesting entry A New Story had a few outings this term with no success; will need to step up in this race if to compete with the market leaders Hey Big Spender likely to take this race over the JLT handicap and will require to improve form this seasons poor showing so far; others preferred Long Strand not won since March 2011 (only win over jumps) and really is clutching at straws here; did grab a third to Arabella Boy but by nearly ten lengths; will have to find this and more to win here Triggerman three under par efforts from three outings this year; has to find some form to compete here; others preferred

Wedger Pardy has competed in this sphere on several occasions with no success; will have to step up here if to be counted in the mix Maljimar, has been in the mix on every outing in the cross country and competing with the best, but invariably finds one, two and perhaps three too good. Not getting any younger will have to run a career best to hsve any claims Cool Operator two outings two victories albeit in lower class events; cannot be discounted due to the fact he hasnt done anything wrong as yet; this will be an interesting test Shakervilz, has better success over the shorter distances; and since being tested over the longer distances hasnt found much success. Will have to over perform to stand a chance of competing rd Leac An Scail, has won over the distance, finished 3 in this event in December, but realistically would have to run a personal best at the festival to reach this heights. Others preferred Wedger Pardy, finished third here last year, but couldnt live up to that on his last attempt around the cross-country course. Has moderate form overall in this sphere and has to dismissed th Double Dizzy, finished 4 last year and with others last year perhaps this was slightly flattering. Does have success over the distance but realistically doesnt make the shortlist Another Jewel, another who has success at the distance, but over the cross-country course hasnt been anywhere near making the frame. Cannot be considered a huge contender

Race Trends: A number of trends have become prevalent in the Cross Country Handicap Chase:
7 wins out of 7 runnings for the Irish. Enda Bolger looking for his fifth win since 2005. 4 from 7 winners had won last time out. 6 from 7 winners had been placed previously at Cheltenham. 6 from 7 winners had won over at least 3 miles.

Predictions:
Favourites: 1. Arabella Boy 2. Balthazar King 3. Outlaw Pete Stewarts Fancies: 1. Arabella Boy 2. Balthazar King 3. Uncle Junior

1640: OLBG Mares' Hurdle Race Grade 2 (2m 4f)


Race Information: The David Nicholson Mares race was introduced for the 2008 Cheltenham festival. This Mares race is for 4 year olds plus and the first two winners of it were 5 years of age. This races looks a good addition to the festival allowing Mares an opportunity to run against their own gender. Quevega has won the race in some style for the past four years and it is looking likely that connections will go for number five in 2013. The brilliant Quevega has dominated the Mares race at Cheltenham over the past few years and she will once again be the one to beat in 2013. It is no surprise to see the Willie Mullins horse at the top of the betting at the moment as she bids for a brilliant fourth consecutive win in the race. Race Winners: 2012 Quevega 8 11-5 [158] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 4/7fav 2011 Quevega 7 11-5 [158] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 5/6fav 2010 Quevega 6 11-5 [156] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 6/4fav 2009 Quevega 5 11-3 [155] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 2/1fav 2008 Whiteoak 5 11-0 [129] (J Maguire) D McCain Jr 20/1 Race Form:
Quevega, is searching for the five timer and realistically if she gets a clear trip should be very much capable of sealing it. Most certainly makes the frame. Unaccompanied, has to be the horse who can realistically challenge Quevega as her form is definitely solid. With ticks in the grade and form boxes more or less a cert for the places. Une Artiste, a winner on Prestbury Park on two occasions last season, once at the festival in the Fred Winter. Solid form this season with two wins and should make a race of it with the principals Kentford Grey Lady, another mare with solid form, and merits respect on achievements to date. Will have to run a lifetime best to compete with Quevega, but if she does will be there abouts Zuzka, Willie Mullins second string in this race, who brings in some varied form. Beaten well on last outing, and will have to perform to the best of ability to compete with the market principals

She Ranks Me, will be making her Cheltenham debut, bringing in some solid form where she has hasnt finished outside the first three this season, with 4 wins. Will have to run to the best of ability to compete Mischievous Milly, lightly raced mare, who has never finished outside the top two, being 2 from 3 this season. Her form holds some strength and place merits cannot be ignored Ma Filleule, her debut season on British soil makes her 2 from 4 and never been outside the top two. Still lightly raced and will be in the category of having to perform to her best to be in the places Alasi has ran with credit this term; some solid victories and replicas of this may have her at the forefront to challenge Swing Bowler, has made an impressive start to her career, and went 5/5 before finding the exciting My Tent Or Yours to good in The Newbury Hurdle. May have further scope for improvement and also found in other races. Maybe a player in this sphere Tarla, despite falling on his previous two outings brings some solid form to play including a comfortable Grade 3 victory. Has to step up as realistically hasnt faced any real competition, but on strength of form cannot be ruled out Golden Sunbird, seasoned mare who has 20 outings to her credit over jumps. Third here last year merits respect but some poor efforts this year suggests others must be considered ahead of her Violin Davis, has had success in lower class events where she has expressed some dominance; however once stepped up in class has not quite matched to her contemporaries and therefore others must be considered Knockfierna, not seen since November where she won, having been beat convincingly in her previous outing. The long absence is a worry and despite having two Grade 3 victories to her credit others are likely to have the scope of her Dancingtilmidnight, very lightly raced mare (3), who gained two easy successes early this season, but when stepped up in class was found out. Others preferable Forever Present, despite yielding from a top stable her only outing this year was in November in lowly grade affair where she was well beaten, not much scope Kells Belle, another seasoned performer who boasts 3/13, but has been comprehensively beaten by the majority of this market, and has little realistic chance

Race Trends: due the races relatively short history its difficult to pick trends; but its hard to ignore the success of Quevega, who boasts 4 in 4 in this race, giving the rest of the field a huge mountain to climb. but don't ignore the other market movers on the day. Predictions:
Favourites: 1. Quevega 2. Une Artiste 3. Kentford Grey Lady Stewarts Fancies: 1. Quevega 2. Swing Bowler 3. Une Artiste

1715: Pulteney Land Investment Novices Handicap Chase (Listed) Class 1 (2m 4 1/2f)
Race Information: Formerly the Jewson Novices Handicap, this race attracts horses that find 2 miles too sharp and an extended 3 miles too far. There will be the additional benefit of encouraging Novice horses away from the Grand Annual and Mildmay of Flete Handicaps. This race, which is the pinnacle of the season for seasoned handicappers and is often won by unexposed Novices who utilise their ratings to the full. In the six years since this race was introduced (as the Jewson Novices Handicap) at the Festival, only one favourite has won and that was Reveillez in 2006. However, the average SP is not particularly big so the top end of the betting market tends to be the place to keep an eye on in the Centenary Chase. Race Winners: 2012 Hunt Ball 12-0 [142] (N Scholfield) K Burke 13/2 2011 Divers 7 11-4 [132] (G Lee) F Murphy 10/1 2010 Copper Bleu 8 11-1 [139] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 12/1 2009 Chapoturgeon 5 10-11 [134] (T J Murphy) PF Nicholls 8-1 2008 Finger On the Pulse 7 10-12 [135] (BJ Geraghty) TJ Taffe 9/1 2007 LAntartique 7 10-11 [133] (G Lee) F Murphy 20/1 2006 Reveillez 7 10-11 [133] (AP McCoy) JR Fanshawe 9/2fav 2005 King Harald 7 10-4 [unknown] (M Batchelor) M Bradstock 9/1 Race Form:
Colour Squadron, has an entry for the Jewson, but on early evidence may take this opportunity as his jumping has lacked distinction. Has had one or two unlucky stories but has obvious ability. Likely to be at the top of the market Carlito Brigante likely to run in the John Oaksey on the Wednesday of the Festival, however if he was to take his chance in this would have strong claims if he could rekindle the form of 2011, however this seasons form isnt as convincing but may have comedown the weights enough to contend, chance Attaglance has been competing with decent company all season in Novice Chases and not fared fantastically; did imorove latest but more required here to get in front, a possible at best Chartreux one of four entries at the festival and this gelding has some decent from for handicaps; 2/3 this time with his only defeat a narrow second; possibly could contend here

Russian War not been seen for best part of 9 months, where prior had been running well; its hard to take to a horse that hasnt had a run for such a length of time; but if runs well fresh may have a say Johns Spirit a horse that has been progressing as the season has gone on; and if this continues has to be a consideration here; some of his later form has been backed up; if finds a little more cold be a surprise entry Nuts N Bolts has progressed well this season culminating in two decent victories latest; hasnt made a step up in class yet though and now up in the weights may find all this a little too much The Druids Nephew has made a solid switch to chasing and scoring convincingly last time out. Is still relatively treated, and is another who should make the frame Gulinbursti no win since November 2011, but has been keeping decent company since trying to build on this and has got close on a couple of occasions. If he runs to his potential could make the shortlist Spirit River hasnt had success since winning here at the festival in 2010 and since hasnt been able to replicate his early promise. He requires to find some of his early spark to compete. Others likely to oblige Vino Griego has some ok form in handicap hurdles and won last time here at Cheltenham all be it at 25/1. Kept slightly better company in his earlier years but always seems to be not too far away at Prestbury Park, winner last time out Merrion Square lightly raced gelding from the Nicholls yard, that is 2/5 from lower class affairs, Not seen since October 2012 where he disappointed when stepped up in class. Still an unknown commodity, but likely to need to over-perform but you can be sure the trainer will have all his horses ready for the festival Tiger Otoole has some success in lower class chases, but when stepped up generally finds the task a little too much. Will have to over-perform just to compete. Maybe others preferred Rebel Rebellion another with some relative success in lower class events, and has faced some decent opponents at Cheltenham this season and not faired too badly. Another that hails form the Nicholls yard who will have him prepared for the festival Bold Henry lightly raced who has had limited success over hurdles and not managed to cross the line in front as a chaser. Would need to run to all his potential if he was compete Arthurian Legend perhaps a Chepstow specialist where he has ran well over hurdles and fences. Since moving to fences hasnt had any success and found one too good on too many occasions. Others likely to prevail. Avoca Promise some initial promise in bumpers, but since tackling obstacles has only the one win to his name over hurdles at lower class. No victories over the bigger obstacles and as yet not even stepped up in class Hazy Tom sparkling early career over hurdles, and seems to have taken quite well to chasing, still maybe abit lower in the weights than his hurdles achievements suggest; another for the shortlist Minella Class mixed with some decent company over hurdles and had some success. A different story over the larger obstacles hasnt had as much success, but coming down the weights significantly perhaps may be another to consider First Fandago another with some decent hurdles form, but since moving to fences has only the one success to his name despite coming close on a number of occasions; another with lbs in hand at the weights Our Girl Salley has competed in 4 chases since reverting form hurdles (where he had solid form) and has finished second on each occasion. Has dropped significantly in the weights too, so cannot be discounted Theres No Panic another Nicholls horse who made a positive switch to chasing, and contested in some graded events where he was found lacking by good sorts, maybe a little high in the weights?? But you can sue the trainer will have all his horses ready Tenor Nivernais has the one success over fences, after a decent hurdling career. Was found short when stepped up in class and maybe at the top of the weights. Will have to pull out all the stops to win here today

Race Trends: due the races relatively short history its difficult to pick trends, however:
One of the new races when the festival went to 4 days in 2005 Only 1 favourite has won this race in 7 runnings that was Reveillez in 2006. The average SP is not high, so it bodes to concentrate on the top of the betting market Mark Bradstock gained his first Festival win in the first running of this race in 2005 with King Harald, giving food for thought for training newcomers!

Predictions:
Favourites: 1. Carlito Brigante 2. Colour Squadron 3. Attaglance Stewarts Fancies: 1. Carlito Brigante 2. The Druids Nephew 3. Colour Squadron

Wednesday 13th March 2012 Ladies Day


1330: John Oaksey National Hunt Chase (Amateurs Riders' Novices Chase) Class 2 (4m)
Race Information: The National Hunt Steeple Chase is for the out and out
staying novice chasers of 5 years and older and what makes this one of the unique races at the Cheltenham Festival is that all the National Hunt Steeple Chase Runners are ridden by amateur jockeys. In 2012 the race will be named the Diamond Jubilee National Hunt chase in honour of the Queens Diamond Jubilee celebrations this year, and this year has been renamed after the Great Lord John Oaksey. When assess past National Hunt Steeple Chase for there are a few interesting points that should be noted. Jonjo O'Neill has a very good record in this race with 4 winners in the 2000's. Also, horses younger than seven years of age tend not to do well as they still do not have the stamina traits to win this race, there was an exception in 2009 when Tricky Trickster won but generally punters should be looking for the slightly older horses. The National Hunt Chase has grown into a fascinating race at the Festival and when we know the final list of runners we will be placing out extra special tip for punters to study. Favourites do not have a good record in this race so it is always one that punters find tough.

Race Winners:
2012 Teaforthree 8 11-6 [146] (JT McNamara) Rebecca Curtis 5/1fav 2011 Chicago Grey 8 11-6 [147] (D O'Conner) G Elliott 5/1fav 2010 Poker De Sivola 7 11-6 [138] (Miss K Walsh) F Murphy 14/1 2009 Tricky Trickster 6 11-11 [149] (S Waley-Cohen) NA Twiston Davies 11/1 2008 Old Benny 7 11-7 [141] (C Huxley) A King 9/1 2007 Butlers Cabin 7 12-0 [123] (AJ Berry) J ONeill 33/1 2006 Hot Weld 7 11-11 [127] (R O'Harding) F Murphy 33/1 2005 Another Rum 7 11-7 [unknown] (MJ OHare) IA Duncan 40/1 2004 Native Emperor 8 11-11 [unknown] (R Widger) J ONeill 5/1JF, 2003 Sudden Shock 8 11-7 [unknown] (DW Cullen) J ONeill 25/1,

2002 Rith Dubh 10 11-11 [unknown] (JT McNamara) J ONeill 10/1 2000 Relaxation 8 12-0 [unknown] (M Bradbourne) HD Daly 8/1.

Race Form:
Boston Bob has an Arkle, RSA and Jewson entry, and more likely to take the Arkle route but if he was to take this option would hold very strong claims, having battled hard to snatch a Group 1 by a nose on his last outing, surely to be at the head of the market and a major player Vesper Bell a Willie Mullins gelding whio is held in high regard but who has let his backers down too often. Undoubtedly talented and has success over fences but a horse who will need to improve if to compete with adversaries Rival DEstruval a horse who has sound progression and seems to be still improving, has not been outside the first two in his races. Never raced at Cheltenham but cannot be discounted Back in Focus a horse that has done no wrong but maybe deemed Willie Mullins second string if Boston Bob is to race in this. 3/3 over chases including a grade 1 at Leopardstown at the Christmas festival. Another sure contender Hawkes Point another Nicholls charge who has solid enough form, but beaten into second 2/3 outings over fences, and convincingly last time out by another in the field suggesting his work looks cut out here Merry King another Jonjo ONeill gelding who has shown solid form since converting to fences and two seconds by a nose; perhaps the trainers best hope in this field, cannot be discounted but will have to show further improvement Real Milan lightly raced horse, who also has an RSA entry and 2/2 over fences albeit in lower grades. Has obvious ability and more will know more about him having had his February run. One to consider Tofino Bay Dessie Hughes gelding who also holds an RSA entry is a solid type who has amassed a couple of lucrative victories over fences in Ireland; has some valuable experience and is likely to make the shortlist Buddy Bolero the lightly raced David Pipe horse has two victories from two outings this term and is most certainly a progressive type. Therefore cannot be discounted and makes the shortlist Godsmejudge has some average form over fences seldom finds one too good, but did beat Keppols Hill last time out, and has another race prior to the festival which could shed more light, perhaps others preferred Highland Lodge has an RSA entry has won once since changing to the larger obstacles, but has been convincingly beaten on his last two outings and will have ti up his game if he is to compete Court By Surprise perhaps lacking when considering his form but did get his first victory last time out and his next run in February will tell more Sea of Thunder some encouraging form to start his novice chasing season this term which was followed up at Cheltenham in October, however not seen since November where he was convincingly beaten again at Cheltenham suggests a lot more will be required here Tour Des Champs has patchy form so far this season; interestingly has two race entries prior to the festival and an RSA entry. Is competent over the distance which is a plus but may need to lift his performance level to compete here Lyreen Legend holds entries for this the RSA and the Jewson, and perhaps o0n his last outing showed has a little to find finishing a good distance behing the front three, needs to improve Hunters Lodge won at Cheltenham in a lower class affair at the start of the season but since hasnt managed to get his head in front but has still performed relatively well; more needed but could be an interesting outsider Benheir has had a heavy schedule this year and has gothis head I fron t twice; on the other occasions was heavily beaten and therefore its hard to make a strong case for him Drawn n Drank hasnt disgraced himself this year; two victories from four, only one poor outing; more needed here though, but not totally discounted Emperors Choice this horse has to be given credit ans two seconds to atart the season have been followed up by three hard fought victories which makes him very well respected here

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete there are a number of
fields prevalent in the National Hunt Steeple Chase Challenge:
Favourites have a poor record, only two favourite has won the race in the last 18 runnings. British horses have a strong record in recent years winning 13 from the last 18 Jonjo O'Neil has an excellent strike rate in this race, winning 5 of the last 18. Look for horses that have finished in the top two last time out, 12 of the past 18 winners came into this race having been placed on their last outing.

Favourites: 1. Boston Bob 2. Back in Focus 3. Rival DEstruval

Stewart's Fancies 1. Back in Focus 2. Hawkes Point 3. Boston Bob

1405: Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle


Grade 1 (2m 5f)

Race Information: The Neptune Investment formally the Ballymore Novices


Hurdle and it also used to be the Royal & Sun Alliance is for 4 year olds plus and a Neptune Novices Hurdle tip is that as this race six year olds have done very well. The two mile five furlong distance means stayers and potential Ladbroke World Hurdlers or long distance chasers of the future and as such suits slightly older horse who are fully matured. After a spate of favourites winning this race between the years of 1997 and 2000 no favourite had gone on to win this race until 2009 when Mikael d'Haguenet came home in front the 5/2 favourite. The Neptune Hurdle is somewhat unique as it is run over the middle distance between 2 and 3 miles and as such it is for the stayers amongst the Novice Hurdle brigade. One race that will feature in our review is the Ballymore Cheltenham Festival trial run at the January meeting as this is one of the best trials of the season.

Race Winners:
2012 Simonsig 6 11-7 [148] (BJ Geraghty) N Henderson 2/1fav 2011 First Lieutenant 6 11-7 [approx. 140] (DN Russell) Mouse Morris 7/1 2010 Peddlers Cross 5 11-7 [148] (JM Magiure) D McCain Jr 7/1 2009 Mikael D'haguenet 6 11-7 [155] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 5/2fav 2008 Fiveforthree 6 11-7 [147] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 7/1 2007 Massini's Maguire 6 11-7 [138] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 20/1 2006 Nicanor 5 11-7 [approx. 145] (P Carberry) N Meade 17/2 2005 No Refuge 5 11-7 [unknown] (DF O'Regan) J Howard-Johnson 17/2 2004 Fundamentalist 6 11-7 [unknown] (C Llewellyn) NA Twiston Davies 12/1 2003 Hardy Eustace 6 11-7 [unknown] (KA Kelly) DT Hughes 6/1 2002 Galileo 6 11-7 [unknown] (JM Maguire) TR George 12/1 2000 Monsignor 4 11-7 [unknown] (JM Maguire) M Pitman 5/4fav.

Race Form:
Pont Alexandre keeping his options open with an entry in the Albert Bartlett, but his scintillating for so far suggests this would be an ideal race for him. One of Willie Mullins great hopes for the festival and will be in the mix The New One also entered in the Supreme Novice Hurdle and is undoubtedly the Twiston-Davies trump card for the festival with undoubted ability, lost his unbeaten record by a narrow margin to another festival favourite, definitely makes the shortlist Puffin Billy another with a Supreme Novice Hurdle entry, but may find that too sharp and perhaps more suited to this; has been imperious until latest outing where he was comprehensively beaten (excuses made), if recapturing early form is another to consider Taquin Du Seuil holds an Albert Bartlett entry also and perhaps may take that option, however has undoubted ability and has showcased this throughout the season being 3/4 and his only loss was in a battle with the super talented My Tent Or Yours. Another for the shortlist Rule The World holds entries for all three novice hurdles and if he takes this option will be

another Irish contender, 3/4 this season and only defeat was a short head; clinical on last outing making him a worthy contender Champagne Fever last years bumper winner has been the biggest disappointment this season after such early promise. Excuses given by trainer for his two losses and his last win wasnt overly convincing. Has other entries and likely to head for the Supreme Un Atout lightly raced and very much fancied to be in contention. Has won on every outing with conviction and minimal fuss. Not yet tested and remains very unexposed, chance 8/10 Melodic Rendezvous, another horse with ability, beaten on a couple of occasions giving form to Jezki. Impressive when beating a good horse in Pendra and then Puffin Billy latest, despite age still unexposed and improving 8/10 Chatterbox the form horse having beat My Tent Or Yours by 4 lengths, and two other wins making him 3/3. Still unexposed with entries for this and the Supreme is most certainly a contender Minsk still only young but has been beat on all except one outing this term and this form suggests some improvement necessary; hold an entry here and in the Supreme Novice; more needed Cause of Causes, has won in listed company (big field), and beat an honest horse a short head last time out. Found the pace of the Newbury Hurdle too much where convincingly beat. May have a bit to find against the principles, entered into the Supreme and the Champion Hurdle too. Mozoltov entered into all three novice hurdles, and despite his age is still relatively lightly raced; beat Don Cossack on latest outing and on the strength of this holds some respect, however will require to lift game against the market principles Minsk also holds a Supreme entry, and although has been pitching with the market principles, has seemed to find one better. Will have to lift his game considerably if to contend and therefore others preferred Caid Du Berlais holds several entries at the festival and may take his chance here; this Nicholls th gelding was a fortunate second on his first race and then only managed 9 in the Newbury Hurdle; a lot more required here Sizing Gold has been keeping the better Irish novice company; and has had to settle for second on three occasions; has won once but his defeats one of which to Pont Alexandre ook hard to be reversed I Shot The Sheriff one of many entries here at the festival and this race shouldnt be the one he is given as its unlikely being away so long he will ocmpete with the market leaders Ifandbutwhynot some decent form in lower level races, was found out when stepped up in class being beaten and realistically cannot be counted here Le Reve this his only outing a the festival and although he did well to get in fornt on his lates outing, was beaten a big distance by Melodic Rendezvous and its unlikely that form will be reveresed Sir Pitt his only outing this year was disappointing where he was beaten by a significant distance, entitled to have come on for that but not enough to compete Two Rockers three career outings and three victories and has stepped up on each occasion and won comfortably; more is needed here and a lot ot ask, but this horse is not discounted

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete there are a number of
fields prevalent in the Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle:
Favourites had a strong record in this race up until the year 2000, with 5 from 8 runnings. However, only two favourites has won this race since Monsignor in 2000. Since 1992 all the winners of this race have been aged 5 or 6. Only one 7 year old has won in that time. 12 of the past 17 winners won last time out. All of the past 17 winners finished in the top 3 last time out. 8 of the last 16 winners were trained in Ireland, four of those have come in the past five years. 18 of the last 19 winners were aged five or six Nicky Henderson is 0-22 in the Neptune, none of his runners have finished higher than 5th Only 1 winner older than six since 1974

Predictions: 1. Pont Alexandre 2. The New One 3. Taquin Du Seuil

Stewart's Fancies 1. The New One 2. Taquin Du Seuil 3. Pont Alexandre

1440: RSA Steeple Chase Grade 1

(3m 1/2f)

Race Information: The RSA Chase is run with its current title for just the

second year in 2011 although is backed by one of Cheltenhams longest-running sponsors. It was run as the Royal & Sun Alliance Chase up to 2009 and as the Royal Sun Alliance Chase in 1997. The RSA Chase is run over three miles in length it is not an easy trip for the novices and shocks can be a feature of this event, however up to two years ago only one favourite won this race in the previous seven years. However in 2007 and 2008 and in 2009 the punters got their revenge on the bookies with the now infamous Denman won it in 2007 and Albertas Run also a favourite won it in 2008 and Cooldine in 2009. The favourite has won this race for three of the last five years so the top of the market is generally where punters should be looking for the winner of the RSA Chase, that was not true two years ago though as Bostons Angel came in at 16/1 to the surprise of many. The betting for the RSA Chase is always fascinating and this season is no different with a number of horses being backed for the big race at the Festival. The David Pipe trained Dynaste currently holds favouritism for the RSA Chase after a number of impressive displays over fences. He was a top class hurdler last season and looks just as good over fences and while he could still go to the Gold Cup he looks more likely to stick with the novice route.

Race Winners:
2012 Bobs Worth 7 11-4 [151] (BJ Geraghty) N Henderson 9/2 2011 Bostons Angel 7 11-4 [146] (R Power) Jessica Harrington 16/1 2010 Weapons Amnesty 7 11-4 [approx. 138] (D N Russell) C Byrnes 10/1 2009 Cooldine 7 11-4 [155] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 9/4fav 2008 Albertas Run 7 11-4 [149] (A P McCoy) J ONeill 4/1fav 2007 Denman 7 11-4 [161] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 6/5fav 2006 Star De Mohaison 5 10-8 [153] (B J Geraghty) PF Nicholls 14/1 2005 Trabolgan 7 11-4 [ approx. 142] (M A Fitzgerald) N Henderson 5/1 2004 Rule Supreme 8 11-4 [unknown] (D J Casey) WP Mullins 25/1 2003 One Knight 7 [unknown] 11-4 (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 15/2 2002 Hussard Collonges 7 11-4 [unknown] (R Garrity) P Beaumont 33/1 2000 Lord Noelie 7 11-4 [unknown] (J Culloty) Henrietta Knight 9/2

Race Form:
Dynaste has a Jewson and a World Hurdle entry, but looks good for this race and his form this term makes him one of the festival bankers for most punters. Will have to perform to his best and if thats the case will take some beating Boston Bob has an Arkle, John Oaksey and Jewson entry, and more likely to take the Arkle route but if he was to take this option would hold very strong claims, having battled hard to snatch a Group 1 by a nose on his last outing, surely to be at the head of the market and a major player Unioniste has a Jewson and Ryanair entry, and his form is solid however was beaten over 8 lengths by Dynaste earlier in the season, and will have to make inroads on that to compete; other options may sway him away Back in Focus holds John Oaksey and World Hurdle entry and this term the Willie Mullins charge has done nothing wrong with three victories and the last being a slog over three miles; ticks a lot of the boxes and has to be considered Tofino Bay Dessie Hughes gelding who also holds an John Oaksey entry is a solid type who has amassed a couple of lucrative victories over fences in Ireland; has some valuable experience and is likely to make the shortlist Hadrians Approach also holds a Jewson and so far has followed a similar pattern to Unioniste,

where Dynaste has beaten him by 8 lengths already this term and would have to reverse this to hold any chance Super Duty also has a Jewson Entry and this year is 1/4 having found one too good on the other outings; will have to considerably improve if he is to compete, thought of highly by the yard and therefore worthy of some consideration Dedigout has this as his sole aim to work towards this season and despite his latest disappointing run has had a decent season, has a run at Navan penciled in for February and that would shed further light on his credentials Houblon Des Obeaux taken well to chasing after a moderate career hurdling; and won 2 races early in the season including a Grade 2. This was when the stable was in good form, and if Vanessa Williams could rediscover the stable form earlier in the season will be in the mix; also holds a John Oaksey entry Goulanes a totally unexposed gelding who is 3/3 of fences notching up a listed event and Grade 2. Cannot be discounted here and another for the mix Lord Windermere holds an Arkle entry and a Jewson also and merits similar respect as Texas Jack who he has narrowly lost too on two occasions this term if reversed could be in the mix Lyreen Legend holds entries for this the John Oaksey and the Jewson, and perhaps o0n his last outing showed has a little to find finishing a good distance behing the front three, needs to improve Marito a Willie Mullins horse who was nipped on the line by Texas Jack on his last outing, and therefore warrants respect; a slight improvement will put him on the shortlist; also holds entries for the Arkle and Jewson Real Milan lightly raced horse, who also has a John Oaksey entry and 2/2 over fences albeit in lower grades. Has obvious ability and more will know more about him having had his February run. One to consider Fourjacks Sire Collonges has proved to be a better chaser than hurdler, and only the one defeat when last seen his only blip this term; however his route suggests other races will be his target Argocat winner of a couple of chases this term including a grade 2, entered in the RSA and the Arkle also; slightly an unknown commodity on the strength that he hasnt beaten much in competition; likely improvement required

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete there are a number of
fields prevalent in the RSA Chase:
The Irish have had 16 Winners in this race the last was Bostons Angel in 2011 Arkle won this race in 1963 and went off the shortest priced winner at 4/9 with the longestpriced winner the following year Hussard Collonges and Canny Danny both at 33/1. Willie Mullins is the current trainer with most winners in the race with 3 winners Rule Supreme (2004), Florida Pearl (1998) and Cooldine (2009) There have been 7 horses that have won this race and gone on to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup Seven year olds have won 10 of the last 12 races, including the last five 23 of the last 24 winners won or finished second last time out All 17 Feltham winners have been beaten in the RSA Chase

Favourites: 1. Dynaste 2. Boston Bob 3. Unioniste

Stewart's Fancies 1. Dynaste 2. Unioniste 3. Back in Focus

1520: Sportingbet.com Queen Mother Champion Steeple Chase Grade 1 (2m)


Race Information: The feature race on the second day of Cheltenham
Festival 2012 is the Queen Mother Champion Chase. Traditionally the race has fewer entrants than the other grade one Cheltenham events but that doesn't mean the quality of the racing suffers in anyway shape or form. In recent years the Cheltenham Queen Mother Chase Betting market leaders have performed well and winners at big prices are uncommon. Despite two of the three previous

winners coming in at decent prices (10-1), tradition suggests backing horses at the top of the market should prove beneficial with the exception of Newmill in 2006 who won at the odds of 16-1; where eight of the previous eleven winners romped home at odds of 5-1 or better. But its difficult to oppose Sprinter Sacre who is arguably the best horse in training at the minute. The Queen Mother Champion Chase Betting is one of the highlights of the entire Cheltenham Festival and at the moment the ante-post odds for the 2012 renewal look mouthwatering.

Race Winners:
2012 Finians Rainbow 11-10 [164] (BJ Geraghty) N Henderson 4/1 2011 Sizing Europe 9 11-10 [160] (AE Lynch) H de Bromhead 10/1 2010 Big Zeb 9 11-10 [165] (BJ Geraghty) CA Murphy 10/1 2009 Master Minded 6 11-10 [186] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 4/11fav 2008 Master Minded 5 11-10 [170] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 3/1 2007 Voy Por Ustedes 6 11-10 [167] (R Thornton) A King 5/1 2006 Newmill 8 11-10 [171] (AJ McNamara) JJ Murphy 16/1 2005 Moscow Flyer 11 11-10 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) Jessica Harrington 6/4fav 2004 Azertyuiop 7 11-10 [unknown] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 15/8 2003 Moscow Flyer 9 12-0 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) Jessica Harrington 7/4fav 2002 Flagship Uberalles 8 12-0 [unknown] (R Johhnson) PJ Hobbs 7/4fav 2000 Edredon Bleu 8 12-0 [unknown] (AP McCoy) Henrietta Knight 7/2

Race Form:
Sprinter Sacre is labeled the best horse in training right now and its record speaks for itself; if he can muster a clean round he will win Sizing Europe a seasoned professional who conjures up wins year after year and narrowly lost this race last year (controversially), and this year will be competing for the minor honours where he stands a very good shout Finians Rainbow last years winner hasnt had much impact on any race since. The trainer has a knack of getting his top horses in order for the festival, and will require to find some with him Sanctuaire has attempted to try and beat Sprinter Sacre twice and failed this term, will have to conjure up a new strategy, but will be in for the minor honours Cue Card also holds a Ryanair entry and it would make sense for him to aim for this, however is the nearest to Sprinter Sacre this year when in direct competiotn and if he goes here will definitely be on the list for minor honours Rubi Light another with a Ryanair entry who has not been in spectacular form this time around, found some of the market principles too good this year, needs to step up in this sphere Somersby same boat as Rubi Light holds an entry for the Ryanair and has been beaten comprehensively by some of the competition and to conted needs to find rather alot Realt Dubh another with a Ryanair entry and has very much follows the trend having been beat and comprehensively so this term and should consider other races Wishfull Thinking a very difficult horse to follow as slightly unpredictable; at his best is a match for most, with an entry in the Ryanair more likely would have to have a good day to go for placings Tataniano a Grade2 success earlier on in the season has been followed up by disappointment in his last two outings and realistically has to run above his personal best to get anywhere near Mail De Bievre

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete there are a number of
trends prevalent in the Queen Mother Champion Chase:
The Irish have a good record in the race winning it 21 out of the 52 runnings. Paul Nicholls has win the race 3 times in the naughties The Queen Mother is all about quality not quantity as the largest field was in 1999 with 13 runners Master Minded is the youngest winner of the race in 2008 at the age of 5 These horses have won the Arkle before going onto win the Queen Mother; Sizing Europe (2011) Voy Por Ustedes (2007), Azertyuiop (2004), Moscow Flyer (2003 and 2005), Flagship Uberalles (2002), Klairon Davis (1996) and Remittance Man (1992) 13 of the last 19 winners have won at the Festival before 10 of the last 13 winners started 5/1 or shorter.

Favourites: 1. Sprinter Sacre 2. Sizing Europe 3. Finians Rainbow

Stewart's Fancies 1. Sprinter Sacre 2. Sizing Europe 3. Mail De Bievre

1600: Coral Cup (Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle)

Class 1 (2m 5f)

Race Information: The Coral Cup is a handicap and there is always a very
large field that go to post. The Coral Cup results highlight how difficult a race this for favourites with only one favourite coming home in front in the last 16 years. The Coral Cup is run over 2 miles 5 furlongs the same distance as the Neptune Investment Hurdle earlier in the afternoon. A reason why this is such a difficult race to win is that there are very few trends that really shout out and that is why reading the Coral Cup Form is tough for the horse racing anoraks as horses of all ages win. A hugely competitive race looks to be on the cards and with attractive odds about all the runners this is always a popular race amongst punters. Several big price winners down the years points towards looking at some each way prospects further down the list in such a competitive race. We had 28

runners in the race in 2010 so it can often be a tough one for punters, the winner was Spirit River for Nicky Henderson at 14/1 so there is most definitely some value her for the shrewd punters.

Race Winners:
2012 Son of Flicka 8 10-6 [135] (JM Maguire) DM McCain 16/1 2011 Carlito Brigante 5 11-2 [140] (DN Russell) G Elliott 16/1 2010 Spirit River 5 11-2 [141] (BJ Geraghty) N Henderson 14/1 2009 Ninetienth Minute 7 10-3 [140] (P W Flood) TJ Taffe 14-1 2008 Naiad Du Misselot 8 10-13 [130] (DN Russell) F Murphy 7/1 2007 Burntoakboy 9 9-12 [128] (SP Jones) RP Newland10/1 2006 Sky's The Limit 5 11-12 [144] (BJ Geraghty) EJ OGrady 11/1 2005 Idole First 6 10-10 [unknown] (A O'Keefe) Venetia Williams 33/1 2004 Monkerhostin 7 10-8 [unknown] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 13/2 2003 Xenophon 7 11-0 [unknown] (MA Fitzgerald) AJ Martin 4/1fav 2002 llnamar 6 10-5 [unknown] (R Greene) M Pipe 25/1 2000 Whats Up Boys 6 10-3 [unknown] (P Flynn) PJ Hobbs 33/1.

Race Form:
Wonderful Charm has an entry in the World Hurdle, and this Nicholls lightly raced horse is sighted to have a bright future over jumps. Two easy victory have him very much fancied and of to take this opportunity is sure to be at the head of the market Gevrey Chambertin has his sights set on bigger races in the festival but if for some reason he was to take his opportunity here; this seasons form will have somewhere near the top of the market Swing Bowler this David Pipe mare has been in scintillating form this term, and her third to My Tent or Yours in the Newbury Hurdle was a solid benchmark, is another likely to head for other race, but if she races here will be there or about come the end Ted Veale another likely to run else where, and the form he has displayed this term is no too bad. Has been beaten by some decent horses and should possibly take this option where he could figure come the end Inish Island has an Albert Bartlett entry; only defeat this term was to At Fishers Cross, which stands as pretty solid form; if he was to take this opportunity must be another in the mix Cause of Causes holds other entries and realistically is unlikely to run in this; however his form is pretty solid this season excluding his latest outing where he disappointed; must improve for other entries but could be a player here Pendra has ran exceptionally well this year, and looks an exciting prospect; his only loss to Melondic Rendezvous continues to proving quite solid and with respect of that is a player here Oscara Dara holds a World Hurdle entry, however if he was to run here would have a more realistic chance of success. Holds steady form this term with a Listed victory in there, but can be a tricky horse, but if the right one appears at Cheltenham merits respect Close House has been running in top company this term and is 2/4 and merits respect but will have to run to his best to get near with the market principles. Get Me Out of Here holds an entry for the World Hurdle and after his only win this coming on earlier in the season has been convincingly beaten when amongst some top company after. Will fare better in this type of company, cannot be discounted Abbey Lane on two outings this year has ran exceptionally in contrast to last season, and on that form has to be considered in the event he runs here. So Young beaten by some good types in his earlier races this season but bounced back latest taking the scalp of Zaidpour; this could be a worthy consideration Olofi won on his opening run this season in a grade 3, but then disappointed next in December;

not seen since, and therefore would have to step up in performance to play a part here Prospect Wells second to Zarkandar by a nose in his opening race this year is a benchmark, which has not been lived up too in his subsequent races; if can find initial form maybe worth considering Its a Gimme another with a decent start to the season where he finished alength behind Raya Star, but since not excelled, and would have to pull out the stops here Tennis Cap has progressed with each run this season, has won twice in big fields and if canmake the step up in class would be an interesting contender here African Gold holds an Albert Bartlett entry and realistically is likely to take that option, however his form this year has been excellent albeit at lower class level; hes unbeaten thus far relatively exposed, young and could be one for the reckoning if he can make the step up in class Bondage two early season solid wins earned the gelding a step in class, where didnt disgrace; has a Neptune and a Albert Bartlett entry and perhaps will take these options, but in this field would be interesting Drive Time has had some decent runs this year but also some disappointed on a couple of occasions; on a good day can be a consideration but needs a prominent ride Medinas has had a couple of outings at Cheltenham this term and found some decent horses too much, nevertheless a winner when last out signals some decent form and therefore a continuation would make him another consideration Salubrious similar form to Salubrious given the fact that earlier on in the season he didnt cpntend, but his latest victory was a marked improvement and is this continues is gonna be there come the end Master of The Sea scintillating form this term and has gone from strength to strength, unbeaten and has to be a contender wherever he runs at the festival Imperial Leader started off the season with a decent victory but subsequently has found one or two too good in his following races; will have to pull out all the stops to compete here Simenon has had a heavy schedule with out a mid season break over the summer which wasnt overly fruitful (no victories), not seen since December and unlikely to feature Bears Affair some decent form in lower class events this term however when stepped up in class found a few too good with really disappointing; likely will need to improve here to compete Black Thunder his three outings this year have been fruitless and finding a couple in this field too good on last outing will require to step up to be in the mix Barbatos holds a Jewson entry and quite possibly will go down that route; this term has been solid until latest when he found a strong field a little too hot to handle and this option may be a more realistic option Double Ross solid start to the season but the following three races were disappointing and would need to rekindle that early season form to stand a chance Lamb or Cod similar form as Double Ross where both races after an early season victory have disappointed and will need a stalwart effort to compete Balder Success not disgraced earlier in the season with a good win and third to the talented Zarkandar set a decent standard but subsequent disappointments will require a change in form to look anywhere near Cash and Go not been disgraced in any of his races this term without actually winning, and the Nicky Henderson charge may well take his chance in this and slight improvement will make him a contender Midnight Game very solid form, almost got the hat trick for the season when denied by a short head; has run very well and if this continues could possibly cause an upset but more realistically be a contender Pearl Swan not much luck so far this season however very disappointing last in the Newbury hurdle, and would need to step up to contend Black Thunder another horse who hasnt disgraced himself without sparkling this season; Mainly running in handicap hurdles has found one por two too good, perhaps others preferred Bakbenscher has had a better second half to the season after not impressing on his first two outings; his last three outings are 1/3, with two fine placed efforts. Will have to find abit more if hes to compete Fox Appeal not seen in 2013 where he finished 11 lengtsh third behing Big Bucks, prior to that a

good and a poor run; if the good Fox Appeal turns up, will run ok if not forget about it Loose Chips had a couple of decent handicap hurdles in the middle of the season, but when stepped uo in class latest could not handle it; a lot of improvement required and therefore others preferred Hollow Tree has had a busy season with little success. Has an entry for the World Hurdle, and in any race has to dramatically improve. Would stand a greater chance here but still others preferred Any Given Day won on his opening race this season, but since has been pitching with bigger company and just found it too difficult to handle, another with a World Hurdle entry and would need to step up in performance level if to compete Princely Player not so good this year after showing some form on lower class races last term; still relatively lightly raced but has to step up here if to compete Son of Flicka last years surprise victor in this race, who since has lost every race without getting competitive; its not uncommon for horses to repeat a dramatic feat at Cheltenham but realistically has a lot to do here. Beef to the Heels has progressed well this season and moved up the handicap, who may have him caught now as his last effort was below par and not perhaps good enough for this

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete, and the history of this
race for punters being somewhat of an enigma there are one or two trends that could prove to be beneficial: Only 2 favourites have won this race at 4/1 Olympian (1993) and Xenophon (2003) in the last 20 years. All of the last ten had won at least twice that season. All 10 of the last 10 winners had won over 2m2f or further.
Favourites: 1. Wonderful Charm 2. Edeymi 3. Pendra
Grade 3 Class 1 (2m 110y)

Stewart's Fancies 1. Pendra 2. Wonderful Charm 3. Cotton Mill

1640: Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle


Race Information: The Fred Winter is a handicap for juveniles of four years
of age. This race is all about horses that are improving for each run as they are just novices at the smaller obstacles and it takes time before they mature and become efficient at their jumps. This is a very tough race for horse racing punters as their are generally over 20 runners and it is a handicap. When looking to narrow down your selection it is useful to look at horses that have won their preceding race before the Cheltenham showdown. A good Fred Winter Hurdle Tip is to assess the winner of the Supreme the previous day, if it is won by a flat bred horse then the ground is probably on the good side and in all probability the Juvenile winner will have a similar profile. Whereas if the ground is slow you should be looking a National Hunt bread horse. With the winner of this race boasting an average SP of 18/1 from its five runnings, it may prove to look at a the chances of several runners. Horses who won last time out have won the last five and we had another favourite in Sanctuaire claim the win in 2010 for Paul Nicholls and Ruby Walsh. There is always a decent size field for this one, which

means that there is always some great each/way value on offer for punters making an excellent betting heat.

Race Winners:
2012 Une Artiste 4 10-8 [127] (Jeremiah Maguire) N Henderson 40/1 2011 What A Charm 4 10-6 [125] (P Townend) A Moore 9/1 2010 Sanctuaire 4 11-2 [127] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 4/1fav 2009 Silk Affair 4 10-4 [125] (TJ O'Brien) MG Quinlan 11/1 2008 Crack Away Jack 4 11-10 [133] (P Carberry) Emma Lavelle 14/1 2007 Gaspara 4 10-11 [121] (AP McCoy) D Pipe 9/2JF 2006 Shamayoun 4 10-3 [124] (P Brennan) CR Egerton 40/1 2005 Dabiroun 4 10-4 [unknown] (Nina Carberry) P Nolan 20/1

Race Form:
South South West has some creditable form this season, has beeen racing with some of Irelands leading threats in the bigger races; was a winner of two lower grade races at the start fo the season and cannot be discounted in this sphere Diplomat holds a Triumph Hurdle entry and has credible flat form at the back of last year; only the one run over jumps this season and was a creditable third; waiting for better ground, an unknown commodity LUnmique two solid outings to start this season suggesting some promise however an 8 length third to Irish Saint suggests more would be needed here to compete; holds a Triumph entry too but if he takes this route could be in the mix Stocktons Wing has some very good flat form before converting to jumps, where he has pitched in with some good horses already this season. His second to Blood Cotil stsnds out as solid and despite having a Triumph Hurdle entry looks soild to be in the mix here Vasco Du Ronceray another with a Triumph entry and hasnt built on his impressive debut with subsequent second and third; however hails from the powerhouse Henderson yard who will have all his horses fired up for the festival; if runs here may be in the mix Dogora held in high regard by by the Mullins yard but a recent defeat to Stocktons Wings suggests his earlier wins may not be as strong form as earlier suggested; also in the Triumph but this would be a more realistic option Fatcatinahat has a Supreme and a Truimph entry and unlikely to take this option; however if so has creditable flat from and since converting has a number of decent victories to his name, cannot be dscounted Suraj has not got his head in front this season and would have to build on this if to compete here; but form the Jonjo ONeill yard may have a good chance come the festival Handazan held in high regard by trainer and not quite lived up to the billing; beaten into a lengthy second twice by Far West, suggests this race would be a more suited race for him to compete, not out of reckoning Ruacana a good opening race to start the season winning rather comfortably was followed by a fortunate victory through Swnymor falling; found Our Conor far too good latest perhaps this race is more in his scope over the Triumph Counsel holds a Triumph entry, and likely to go down that route, but has perhaps not exceeded himself this term seldom finding too many too good and therefore this would be a more realistic alternative but needs to find some more Tidal Way another with a Triumph entry and realistically this event would be more suited, some lower class victories early in the season but when stepped found it more difficult to compete, respected but perhaps others preferred Viconte Du Noyer set to make his debut at Cheltenham and therefore an unknown commodity; only a three year old but would not be considered if Willie mullins didnt think he was up for it Saphir Du Rheu lightly raced and not disgraced; a comfortably winner latest in a lower class

event. And due to unexposed nature and hailing form the Nicholls empire has to be in the mix Calculated Risk another with a Triumph Hurdle entry, and efforts this year havent been disgraceful with good efforts at lower level; also has some solid flat form to his credit, and if at his best may come intoi the reckoning Pistol has been running in lower class events but impressing nevertheless; two victories from three makes him a potential contender but requires to step up in class to do so Call Me Bubbles an unexposed commodity as only raced once over jumps where he didnt fare brilliantly, however has some fine flat form and cannot be discounted Sametegal unlikely to take his chance here as holds entries in the Supreme as well as the Triumph, realistically if the unexposed Nicholls horse was to go here his form suggests him to be in the mix Megalypsos just the one outing this year which was an ok third; entitled to improve for that run but a lot asked here to compete Caid Du Berlais holds several entries at the festival and may take his chance here; this Nicholls th gelding was a fortunate second on his first race and then only managed 9 in the Newbury Hurdle; a lot more required here Dalasiri another with a Triumph entry and his form this year perhaps this race is the more realistic option. However his form has been solid; was stepped up intoi Group 1 latest and found it too tough, but here is another who cannot be discounted Calculated Risk one solid victory followed by subsequent placed efforts suggests the Triumph may be a little too much to take on; wasnt the strongest flat horse and perhaps this entrance holds more weight Djakadam from two outings he has one victory and an unseated rider; with his victory was impressive and cannot be discounted; a good outsider perhaps Hartside Noel Meades entrant has been in decent form this year and has fine flat form to boot; must take a big step forward here if to compete Moidore solid flat performer, and sonce converting to fences hasnt got his head in front but hasnt been too far away on a couple of occasions. Needs to find more here to compete Roc Dapsis another with a Triumph entry and this lightly raced horse with only three outings hasnt quite managed to get his head in front and despite placing was well beaten; needs to take a step forward to compete here Bordoni has been running well all season wining 3/4 races and being ran out when in control in the other race; has only been competing in lower class affairs will need to make quite a big step to compete and perhaps should concentrate on the fred Winter Mcvicar another with solid form on the flat and made a progressive beginning to his jumping campaign; however when stepped up in class couldnt handle the heat, and therefore others prefered Dovils Date not too bad on the flat, and after his initial win over hurdles has been well beaten in subsequent races; will require to step up if to contend here therefore others preferred Fisher has a Triumph entry and also has a decent flat record, since converting to hurdles hasnt disgraced hiself with a decent victory and being placed in his other two; will require to progress further to be in contention Kalmann a Willie Mullins recruit who is yet to race on British soil and has a Triumph entry and is an unknown commodity; cnnot be dicounted Ibsen another Triumph hurdle entrant who has some patchy form on the flat and has ran three seconds over his first three hurdles events and not disgraced in each event; will undoubtedly get his head in front at some point; will it be here? Will have to excel to do so Last Shadow another with a Triumph entry, and although he has some decent flat form hasnt had any success since converting to hurdles; if he takes this opportunity realistically has a better chance however from the Jonjo ONeill training prowess could change this horses fortune Halogen not seen since October, where he didnt cover himself in glory when stepped up in class after a couple of decent victories. Requires some improvement and therefore others preferred Captain Cardington performed well on the flat and made a good start over fences, subsequently hasnt made over the finishing line in front; needs to improve if to be considered and therefore others improved Aazif two lower class runs havent yielded a victory despite a close second suggests this maybe

too much for this to tackle; others preferred Docs Legacy not got in front but has been in the mix and when stepped up in class only found one too good; others likely to be at the head of the pecking order come the festival

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete, and the history of this
race for punters being somewhat of an enigma there are one or two trends that could prove to be beneficial: All of the last six winners were sired by a Group 1 Flat winner 5 of the last 6 winners won last time out All six winners were officially rated at least 121.
Favourites: 1. Saphir Du Rheu 2. Ptit Zig 3. Fatcatinthehat Stewart's Fancies 1. Saphir Du Rheu 2. Stocktons Wing 3. Fatcatinahat

17:15 Weatherby's Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) Grade 1 Class 1 (2m 110y)
Race Information: The Weatherby's Champion Bumper is the only
Cheltenham Festival Race without hurdles. The Bumper is essentially a flat race run under National Hunt racing rules, over a distance just over two miles. Despite the Champion Bumper only having a brief history the Irish Trainer Willie Mullins already possesses a fine record in this race with a total of 6 winners and the very first Cheltenham Champion Bumper tip is that is well be worth looking at his entries in this race. Not only is Willie Mullins to be feared but all the Irish trainers as the Champion Bumper is one of the races that the Irish give major importance to in their National Hunt season. The Champion Bumper form is so important for shaping the Supreme Novices Hurdle betting for the following year as the leading players in the Bumper are the initial favourites for the following years Cheltenham Novice Hurdler. Recent trends point towards concentrating on the top runners in the odds with eight of the last eleven winners coming from the top six in the betting. It was not the case in 2010 though when Cue Card came home in fine style to win the Bumper for the Tizzard's, he was hugely impressive at a big price so there can often be some great value here for punters. .

Race Winners:
2012 Champagne Fever 5 11-5 (PW Mullins) WP Mullins 16/1 2011 Cheltenian 5 11-5 (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 14/1 2010 Cue Card 4 10-12 (J Tizzard) CL Tizzard 40/1

2009 Dunguib 5 11-5 (BT O'Connell) P Fenton 9/2 2008 Cousin Vinny 5 11-5 (PW Mullins) WP Mullins 12/1 2007 Cork All Star 5 11-5 (BJ Geraghty) Jessica Harrington 11/2 2006 Hairy Molly 6 11-5 (P Carberry) J Crowley 33/1 2005 Missed That 6 11-5 (R Walsh) WP Mullins 7/2fav 2004 Total Enjoyment 5 10-12 (J Culloty) T Cooper 7/1 2003 Liberman 5 11-6 (AP McCoy) MC Pipe 2/1fav 2002 Pizarro 5 11-6 (JP Spencer) EJ OGrady 14/1 2000 Joe Cullen 5 11-6 (CF Swan) WP Mullins 14/1

Race Form
Golantilla one run, one impressive victory; other than this very unexposed and if repeats that performance is in with a very good shout Union Dues two from two and the Willie Mullins gelding was impressive on both occasions, another who is unexposed and definitely one for the mix Clondaw Court another Willie Mullins horse is undefeated from a solitary victory and was emphatic in doing so; another in the mix Empiracle not seen since Nonember, where he was emphatic in easing past his opponents, 1/1 in good style, another for the mix Le Vent Dantan another Irish raider who has made an impressive National Hunt debut with an impressive victory; another for the mix Red Sherlock hugely impressive on debut where he pulled effortless clear from the pack to win, and showed a turn of pace to win from off the pace latest; in the mix Owen Mc similarly to Red Sherlock has won in two different styles; once impressively when pulling clear, and secondly proving his turn of foot from off the pace to get in frot getting towards the line, another contender Captain Cutter sound performance on debut beating a nice Pipe horse; when seen latest cuouldnt live with Red Sherlock, will have to improve to win here Moyle Park won a solid Leopardstown bumper on Boxing Day where he stayed on impressively, will need to further assert himself here and if he does will be in the mix Champagne James similar position as Captain Cutter as won well on debut, but found Union Dues to good when last seen; will need to be able to reverse this to make an impact here Regal Encore two from two and won easily when last out; not seen since October but a repeat of last run will put him in the mix Doctor Harper gutsy ride when winning his only outing, to his credit when asked for some pressure did stay on well; will need to have progressed from that, second outing in February will tell more, respected Gone Too Far stayed on well on only outing, but only a second to his name; will require further improvement to compete here Sizing Tennessee another Willie Mullins horse who so far this season is undefeated, and asserted well on both occasions another one who could be in the mix Sgt Reckless has won bith his runs thus far initially in a bumper was impressive; due to poor weather had his second outing on the all weather, where perhaps not as impressive but nevertheless has got the jkob done Pure Science an easy victor in his opening race, but found a few too good when pitched against stronger opposition; cannot be ruled out but will need to step up on his game Oscar Rock 2 from 3, with a decent secnd on debut his only defeat; two easy victories subsequently and perhaps could make the frame Lurcher only the one run on all weather thus far and too his credit held on well to win; untested in competition on turf and therefore an unknown commodity so cannot be ruled out Blackmail solid form despite only winning on his last outing; two seconds before that to other horses in the field; will need to progress to compete Vinstar similar credentials to Blackmail, 1 from 3 with two seconds; if to be in woth a shout here

will need to step up if to compete Your Tepee of Mine a nice victory to open his account; didnt fire on second outing coming last but excuses were made; Februarys outing will shed more light on his credentials Pepelina 1 race one easy win albeit on the all weather. Similar position as Lurcher where the turf is an unknown and therefore could possibly male the frame Briar Hill one race one victory for this Willie Mullins charge, was ridden to win but stayed on for pressure, cannot be discounted Sizing Chile another Willie Mullins gelding who was narrowly beaten into second on his only run, will need to improve to compete here Vago Collonges eight lengths off the winner in his only outing so far; if he has progressed for the run could figure due to being from the Nicholls yard The Mobb another Nicholls horse who has not figured on his two outings so far and will need to vastly improve to be considered

Race Trends: The Champion Bumper is always one of the best races at the
Festival as we look out for some stars of the future. Recent winners of this race include Dunguib and Cue Card, with the top of the market having a sizeable say on the outcome of this great race. Some beneficial pointers should include:
The Irish have won 14 of the 19 renewals All of the last ten winners had previously won in a bumper All of the last ten winners had won in a Bumper with a field size of 13 or more horses. 9 of last ten runners had won on a left handed track (like Cheltenham) 17 of the 19 winners won last time out Favourites have won just 3 of the 19 renewals Willie Mullins has won 6 of the last 15 renewals

Favourites: 1. Empiracle 2.Golantila 3. Le Vent Dantan

Stewart's Fancies 1. Golantila 2. Union Dues 3. Le Vent Dantan

Thursday 14th March 2012 - St Patrick's Thursday


1330: Jewson Novices' Steeple Chase (Registered As The Golden Miller Novices' Chase) Grade 2 Class 1 (2m 5f)
Race Information: The Jewson Novice Chase is a brand new edition to the
Cheltenham Festival in 2011 and it will be run over the 2 miles 4 furlongs distance and is Grade 2 listed. It is an excellent new race to the week at Cheltenham and it will attract plenty of class horses as it falls between the 2 mile Arkle Challenge trip and the 3 mile RSA Chase distance. This will ensure a high quality field with plenty of horses falling in between those trips whilst it should also maintain the quality of both the Arkle and RSA Chase fields. The betting for the new Jewson Novice Chase is already hotting up as connections weight up their options ahead of the Festival, the 2 mile 4 furlong trip is an interesting one and we have a tight looking betting market for the first race on day 3 of the upcoming Festival. Many trainers will wait to the final minute before deciding if their horses will take in the Jewson or step up in trip to the RSA Chase or even step down to the Arkle so it is always going to be a difficult ante-post market. .

Race Winners:
2012 Sir Des Champs 6 11-4 [144] (DN Russell) WP Mullins 3/1 2011 Noble Prince 7 11-4 [144] (AP McCoy) P Nolan 4/1

Race Form:
Dynaste is likely to take his RSA entry, but nevertheless if he runs in this has shown imperious form over this distance; will bew favourite and rightly so; the one to beat

Captain Conan holds an Arkle entry and does have the pace to contend there, however his latest outing was over the longer distanced which he only just got up; nevertheless undefeated and would be in the mix Aupcharlie has an entry in the Arkle and the RSA and has competed over these distances this season; boasting some decent form with his defeats being by a narrow margin; merits respect here but will have to lift his performance to compete Boston Bob a narrow defeat to Brindisi Breeze last year, proves his solid hurdle form; not lost over two outings over fences just got his nose in fornt latest; will contend in which ever of his four entries he takes Arvika Ligeonnaire until his fall when last seen had an impeccable record over jumps with very good hurdles form preceeding that. Will be in the mix in whichever race is preferred Oscars Well also holds an Arkle run which his preparaton suggests he will take, however his best when he was narrowly beaten by Arvika Ligeonnaire, a slight progression on this would put him in the mix Unioniste only defeat was to the classy Dynaste this season and has continued to impress with four victories in total; will need to progress but at only 5 has undoubted class; in the mix Third intention also holds an RSA entry and although is in contention in majority of his races always seems to find one better; merits a victory at some point but I dont think it will be here; others preferred Benefficient has an Arkle entry also, and brings some solid form to the throne with an emphatic Group 1 victory latest; a repeat of this would make him a consideration Module an interesting contender who as yet despite a fall on his opening race this term has been impressive with two subsequent voctories; another with an Arkle entry but an interesting contender here Tap Night 3 solid efforts from 4 runs this term; found out when stepped up in class but still retains some decent form; holds an Arkle entry but against some of the market prinicpals in either will need to step up to compete Argocat winner of a couple of chases this term including a grade 2, entered in the RSA and the Arkle also; slightly an unknown commodity on the strength that he hasnt beaten much in competition; likely improvement required Lyreen Legend holds other entries and although may prefer other alternatives found his last outing in a grade 1 a little too much, nd therefore would need to step up here to copmete Rajdhani Express has had this as his long term target; has had real mixed fortunes so far this term with just the one solitary victory; but when last seen didnt impress at all; will need to pull out of the stops here to ocmpete Texas Jack another who has had this in his sights all season, and has had a nearly season where he has bumped into one too good with the exception of his two victories; most notable form was latest when narrowly losing out to Boston Bob in Grade 1 company Tofino Bay holds many entries at the festival and this could possibly be the choice for his trainer; 3 victories from 6 with a Group 2 victory; in Group 1 company ws not good enough will need to step up after his last effort Twinlight hasnt disgraced this year with three victories and a closely fought second to Buckers Bridge latest; holds an Arkle entry with his preparation suggesting hell edge towards that route, however has to be respected here Make a Track has an John Oaksey entry and would stand more realistic chance there as his form is stronger; however his latest outing at Naas will show his credentials for this event; others likely to oblige Lord Windermere holds other entries and will not disclose until the final week; and has some creditable performances and despite only the one solitary win has only lost put by small margins in every other outing; respected Mikael Dhaguenet gonna take his chance in either this or the RSA and despite some blips last term seems to have found a level to perform to and achieve some success; would need to run to his best to be in with a shout and therefore others presferred Molotof this has been his long term target and although two victories have welcomed hime this year a wide margin defeat to Dynaste suggests a lot of improvement is required Rupert Lamb is for this or the Arkle with his form this term being 1/3, has shown some

progression but realistically hasnt been fully tested and therefore others have to be preferred Super Duty in this and the RSA, and this season despite only getting in front once has three other seconds this season which werenty disgraceful; will need to step up though if to contend here Buckers Bridge has had this in his sights since the onset and apart from one terrible appearance has succeeded in his other four outings, progressing with each to point where he may feature at the festival Buddy Bolero has ran well in lower grade events and notched up 3/5 victories and quite successfully too; would need to continue his progression to compete at this higher level Changing Times succeeded in lower class events and respected there but when stepped up in class was outclassed and therefore others preferred Desert Cry some decent form this term in lower level affairs; has progressed through each race and even though this has been the longsight will need to step up in performance to compete here Sire Collonges has proved to be a better chaser than hurdler, and only the one defeat when last seen his only blip this term; however his route suggests other races will be his target Terminal another thats taken to chasing over hurdles and has won well on last two outings; has several options and its unlikely well know which route will be taken until closer to the festival, perhaps a potential outsider Mount Benbulben has won some ower level events, but when stepped up in class was found wanting and its unlikely he will be there come the finishing line Marito this the likely option out of the three entries; where he has won two lower level events but when stepped up in class didnt quite meet the expectation and therefore others preferred

Race Trends: The Jewson Novice Chase is of course a brand new race so
there are no race trends for punters to follow at this stage. Last season we had a top class winner in Noble Prince and we are likely to see another one of that caliber score in the 2012 race.
Predictions: 1. Dynaste 2. Captain Conan 3. Aupcharlie Stewart's Fancies 1. Dynaste 2. Captain Conan 3. Aupcharlie

1405: Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle)

(3m)

Race Information: The Pertemps Final is made up of horses who have run
in the various qualifiers during the season and by winning this race or coming in the placings have qualified to participate in the final at the Cheltenham Festival. Even though this race has a very clear trials path it throws up many outsiders and therefore when one is looking at the form you should be a little careful. Generally there is an Irish horse gambled on this race so pay close attention to the Pertemps Hurdle odds as race day nears. The Pertemps is run over three miles exactly on the new Cheltenham Course. This race has produced several big priced winners in recent years with the average SP of around 20/1 since the year 2000, during which time only one favourite has won making this an ideal opportunity for each way punters to search for value. There has been no single figured winner of the Pertemps Final since 2003, it's definitely one that the bookmakers have enjoyed in recent years and they will be hoping for more of the same in 2012.

Race Winners:
2012 Cape Tribulation 8 10-11 [142] (DF ORegan) JM Jefferson 14/1 2011 Buena Vista 10 10-3 [138] (Conor O'Farrell (5)) M Pipe 20/1 2010 Buena Vista 9 10-1 [133] (H Frost) M Pipe 16/1 2009 Kayf Aramis 7 10-5 [129] (Aidan Coleman) Venetia Williams 16-1 2008 Ballyfitz 8 10-8 [132] (PJ Brennan) NA Twiston Davies 18/1 2007 Oscar Park 8 10-9 [140] (T Doyle) D Arbuthnot 14/1 2006 Kadoun 9 11-7 [142] (TGM Ryan(3)) MJP OBrien 50/1 2005 Oulart 6 10-2 [unknown] (P Carberry) DT Hughes 10/1 2004 Creon 9 10-0 [unknown] (TJ Murphy) J ONeill 50/1 2003 Inching Closer 6 11-2 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) J ONeill 6/1fav 2002 Freetown 6 11-2 [unknown] (A Dobbin) L Lungo 20/1 2000 Rubhahunish 9 11-2 (C Llewellyn) NA Twiston Davies 8/1

Race Form:
Sam Winner not displayed much this term due to two falls on his first outings, but a promoising th 5 followed by a surprise victory over Peddlers Cross on the all weather; will need to build ont hat but you can be sure Paul Nicholls will have him ready At Fishers Cross holds other more likely entries after a really enterprising year so far; if he runs here will most certainly take the beating Irish Island vastly improved this season and has some solid form with the only defeat to At Fishers Cross by a length, is another serious contender

Close House two runs this term and two very solid efforts with a first and second thus far, if he fires on the day will certainly make the shortlist Ely Brown decent form this year in moderate races notching up two victories from 3 races. Has progressed each time and could well figure here; respected Goulanes his formthis season suggests he would take other options at the festival; however if he was to run here then for sure will be there and abouts come the finishing line Fair Along notched up a victory when last seen at this level, when tried at a better level faile to keep up with the pace; more suited here and would have to run exceptionally well to compete Araldur won his opening race this season and quite impressively subsequently the two races th later he only managed 4 when in better company; needs to step up here to compete; still respected Son of Flicka won at the festival last year and since hasnt made the reckoning; no excuses have been made and would need to rekindle last years efforts to be in woth a chance; therefore others poreferred Darroun not set the world alight this year after having some promise to his races last term; would require to step up here and on recent form is unlikely to step up, but from the Willie Mullins yard and could be rekindled Fahamore unbeaten this term and two nice handicap victories to boot; would have to progress further snd if this is the case then cannot be discounted here th Lovcen highly thought of by yard and had high prospects last year at the festival finishing 5 ; but this term has been heavily beaten on every outing and with this in mind would require a massive improvement Themilanhorse another horse who hasnt lived up to last terms billings; and two heavy losses suggests he would have to run a blinder here just tom compete; but from the Nicholls yard cannot be ruled out all together Holywell 3 outings this term and three seconds and not beaten far in any; an interesting contender in this sphere and could be in the running Black Thunder another in a similar boat to Holywell where not disgraced in defeat so far this term; progression required but lightly raced this term and the Nicholls charge could come into the fray Fox Appeal two outings this term and a solid victory; third by a distance to Big Bucks when last seen in December; interesting at this level and perhaps could make the frame it runs to potential Rangitoto out of the four outings this term only one decent second to his credit; the others disappointing and therefore requires to step up here to contend Hada Men one solid run this season followed by several mediocre efforts; will need to step up dramatically here; others preferred Ballybough Pat is in the Albert Bartlett and likely to run there; however if he was to this option his recored in handicap hurdle this season is deplorable and cannot be discounted here; in the mix African Gold in scintillating form this year, not lost yet in handicap company and seems to be progressing; possibly more to come, and therefore considered Kasbadali only the two runs this term and the first being a disappointment was followed up by a lot better run next time; perhaps a little more required here though Amigo has a victory in handicap company and remains relatively low in the weights; other runs this season have been decent but still abit to find to compete Medinas hasnt disgraced at all this time and a solid victory in a good race latest leaves him primed to contend here; some further progression could leave him in the hunt Whodoyouthink hasnt covered himself in glory this term with only one glorius effort to show for his efforts; has come down the weights slightly but will have to up his efforts to compete here The Package consistent sort who again has his sights set on the Grand National, but if was to run in this race would have as good a chance as any other, always in the mix, loves Cheltenham, respected Cucumber Run one from three decent runs this term and higher up in the weights suggests this gelding would need to run a corker here to compete and therefore others preferred Counting House a couple of decent runs this term but nothing star studded and despite not going up in the weights too far; will need to step up to compete here

Catch Me two disappointing runs so far this term mean theres a lot more required here despite getting nearer in the weights to his second at the festival last year; a lot to prove Prince Rudi has a couple of other alternatives at the festival and depending on which race he takes will hold some chance on his last two outings, perhaps one to consider Stars Du Grantis two very solid runs from three outings this year beating some decent horses in the process; would remain relatively low in the weights and could well spring a surprise here continues this progressive form Stonemaster had a hectic early part to the season and not seen since December when finishing rd 3 in a big field, will be up in the weights for this and will have to show some improvement to be in the mix here Bouggler from his three outings his latest run was by far the best showing he retains some ability as prior to this was poor on two other occasions; realistically is high in the weights and would need to run a worldy here and therefore others preferred Action Master has two other entries at the festival; started off the season at Cheltenham in fine fetal winning the handicap hurdle event on opening day but two subsequent outings have been poor and would need to to find some more to compete here Royal Reveille some very pleasing and eye catching form until latest when was very poor; has gone up in the weights with early form and would have to step it up to compete here Novarov cracking season last time and continued that on opening race of season with a fine th victory; put up in the weights since and not competed until latest when a respectable 4 ; may need some more assistance to compete here Knock A Hand poor form all season until latest where he had come down in the weights and scored a good second in a handicap; its likely a lot more will be required here to score Powerstation this veteran hasnt had a great time of it this season and not effectively challenged in any of his runs; a lot more required to get tin the mix here According to Trev four outings this year has only brought the one early success, with three subsequent disappointing efforts, unlikely to figure here

Race Trends: Despite the field not yet being complete there are a number of
trends prevalent in the Queen Mother Champion Chase:
Only 1 favourite in the last 11 years which was Inching Closer for Jonjo ONeill at odds of 6/1. Jonjo O'Neill has won this race twice in the last 10 years with Inching Closer in 2003 and Creon in 2004. There have been 2 winners at odds of 50/1 in the last seven years, Creon in 2004 and Kadoun in 2006. Forgive N Forget (1981) is the only horse to have won this race and go onto win the Gold Cup in (1983).

Predictions: 1. Sam Winner 2. Shutthefrontdoor 3. Close House

Stewart's Fancies 1. Sam Winner 2. Close House 3. Ely Brown

1440: Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy Chase) Grade 1 Class 1 (2m 5f)
Race information: The Ryanair is run over 2 miles 5 furlongs and is for five
year olds and above. The Ryanair is meant for horses that find 3 miles just beyond their stamina capabilities and just below Cheltenham Gold Cup standard. The 2008 Ryanair winner Our Vic highlighted both these points as he looked as if he would be a Gold Cup horse in his younger days but it became clear that he fell in a hole beyond the two and a half mile distance and he just never managed to reach the very top of the game. Since it was introduced to the Cheltenham Festival in 2005, six winners of the seven runnings of the Ryanair Chase have all come from the top three in the betting. Four of those Six were second favourites and only one the favourite, so in general the best place to find the winner of the race is at the top of the betting market.

Race Winners:
2012 Riverside Theatre 8 11-10 [168] (BJ Geraghty) NJ Henderson 7-2fav 2011 Albertas Run 10 11-10 [166] (AP McCoy) J ONeill 6/1 2010 Albertas Run 9 11-10 [162] (AP McCoy) J ONeill 14/1 2009 Imperial Commander 8 11-10 [156] (PJ Brennan) NA Twiston Davies 6-1 2008 Our Vic 10 11-10 [165] (TJ Murphy) M Pipe 4/1 2007 Taranis 6 11-0 [135] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 9/2 2006 Fondmort 10 11-0 [157] (MA Fitzgerald) NJ Henderson 100/30JF 2005 Thisthatandtother 9 11-3 [unknown] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 9/2

Race Form:
Cue Card excellent season this term only one below par effort in he King George; most impressive win latest and if he takes this option (opposed to World Hurdle) will be a major player First Lieutenant hasnt done a lot wrong this term despite not getting his head in front; will need to be firing to compete here and the fact that he is winless this term is a worry Sizing Europe perfect display all season 4/4 victories also has a Queen Mother entry; purely due to the Sprinter Sacre factor this has to be the more appealing and would certainly be in the mix Riverside Theatre after the fantastic display here last year he has really disappointed this term and must rekindle some of the magic to be in contention here; perhaps others respected Finians Rainbow another Henderson horse whos heroics last year were amazing, but this year stone last by a distance in both outings; obvious talemt but not looking his old self Menorah this horse has been tried at various distances to try and initiate which is his best distance; this is likely it and although not had a fantastic year can potentially cause an upset if on song here Champion Court not yet got his head in front this term; and when dropped in class latest still only managed second; others likely to oblige Rubi Light another horse who hasnt had a great year, and despite the trainers efforts to get a raise in performance he just hasnt taken; others preferred Grands Crus relatively succesful season last year and the yards high hopes for this season where he has majorly disappointed; excuses made for each run, and will need to revive his form to get near here

For Non Stop very impressive on his opening run of the season where he rompred up, and decent second since but disappointed latest; not seen since December but does proved already that can run well when fresh, another for the reckoning Wishfull Thinking can prove to be a tricky ride and holds three other entries at the festival; a very tough faught out victory latest and will need to rekindle his best form to compete here China Rock only the one outing this term where he found it too tough in the Lexus; did get his head in front in a Grade 1 in April; has a Gold Cup entry so unlikely to go here but may hold an outside chance if he takes this route Albertas Run not yet seen this season which has been the tactics in the past; however last year found the pace ok narrowly losing out to Finians Rainbow; a difficult proposition to call and if runs will certainly be interesting Somersby in the Queen Mother too, but realistically in either sphere is likely to find the market principals too much; battled hard all year and always gives an honest display; for me others preferred Hidden Cyclone two solid victories in lower class events at the start of the season; but when stepped up into graded company perhaps found the step up too much; another possibility os the ground and may bounce back on better ground; however others preferred Quel Esprit only the one outing this season which was the Irish Hennessey where it was too much to ask for him to compete; will have come on for that run, but will need to find a lot more to compete against the market leaders here Roi Du Mee has performed with exceptional merit this term; running up four victories and then a hard fought second when last seen; merits respect and has a fondness for the softer ground Call The Police has two other options at the festival, and this years relatively impressive form may well be a possible outsider?? Would require some further improvement Prince De Beauchene holds three festival runs but ultimately his aim will be the National again; retains a lot of ability perhaps better over longer distances, and therefore in this may find the pace too much Walkon three entries at the festival and two sild seconds here already this season suggests he loves Cheltenham; a disappointing effort latest though means a step up in perfomrance would be required to compete here Ghizao has ran wit some credit this term without getting his head in front; three races and 5-8 length defeats suggest others may hold a better chance here Little Josh won a lower class event to kick off is campaign but since has fallena dn been pulled up which suggests the step up may be too much Mail De Bievre found his first outing on British soil too much after some success over chases in France; may well come on for that run but nevertheless will need to step up here Zaynar relatively unknown commodity this time as not seen since last years festival where he didnt cover himself in glory; on the strength of this others preferred Tataniano holds two other festival entries; and based on his preparation may choose other options; however not seen since December where disappointed; others preferred My Gardner first outing in January for two years where didnt disgrace but finished a distanced th 4 and although may come on for this run will need to run a worldy to compete

Race Trends: Although the full field has not been announced, trends have
become largely apparent since this races' introduction to the festival:
2009 winner Imperial Commander may have set an interesting guide for future Ryanair Chasers having won the Paddy Power Chase at The Open in November, 2008. Previous course form is very important with such winners of the race like Fondmort was winning his fourth race at Cheltenham when victorious in 2006. Our Vic, successful in 2008, was winning for the third time at the course. In the 6 runnings of the race the biggest priced winner has been 14/1, Albertas Run came home at that price in 2010. 6 of the 7 winners started 6/1 or shorter 4 of the 7 winners ran in the Paddy Power Gold Cup Only one favourite has won the Ryanair Chase.

Predictions: 1. First lieutenant 2. Cue Card 3. Riverside Theatre

Stewart's Fancies 1. Cue Card 2. Sizing Europe 3. Albertas Run

1520: Ladbrokes World Hurdle Grade 1 Class1 (3m)


Race information: The Ladbrokes World Hurdle is the feature race on day 3
of the 2012 Cheltenham Festival. The World Hurdle is for the stayers as the

distance is the only 3 mile hurdle race and this is very much a specialist race for the staying hurdlers. The Ladbrokes World Hurdle is hurdlers version of the Chasers Cheltenham Gold Cup. The betting for the 2013 World Hurdle is really starting to hot up due to there being no clear favourite, Big Buck's has won the race for the last four years and is going to miss out through injuruy this year. With Big bucks this opens the door for many challengers who have tried and failed to beat Big Bucks in the past, and there are newcomers fancying to take the legends crown; arguably the most anticipated race this year.

Race Winners:
2012 Big Buck's 8 11-10 [174] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 5/6fav 2011 Big Buck's 8 11-10 [174] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 10/11fav 2010 Big Buck's 7 11-10 [174] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 5/6fav 2009 Big Buck's 6 11-10 [170] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 6-1 2008 Inglis Drever 9 11-10 [172] (DF O'Regan) JH Johnson 11/8fav 2007 Inglis Drever 8 11-10 [163] (PJ Brennan) JH Johnson 5/1 2006 My Way De Solzen 6 11-10 [163] (R Thornton) A King 8/1 2005 Inglis Drever 6 11-10 [unknown] (G Lee) JH Johnson 5/1 2004 Iriss Gift 7 11-10 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) J ONeill 9/2 2003 Baracouda 8 11-10 [unknown] (T Doumen) F Doumen 9/4JF 2002 Baracouda 7 11-10 [unknown] (T Doumen) F Doumen 13/8fav 2000 Bacchanal 6 11-10 [unknown] (MA Fitzgerald) NJ Henderson 11/2

Race Form:
Reve De Sivola nailed his credentials with a narrow victory over Oscar Whisky at Celtenham latest and on that form is definitely a contender Oscar Whisky has been a stalwart in this sphere and perhaps second to the great Big Bucks over this distance in recent years; solid form this year and only a narrow defeat to Reve De Sivola latest a blip; great chance Monksland impressive aswell as progressive over the last two seasons and despite a below par outing when finishing second to Zaidpour as had another faultless preparation for Cheltenham; has to be another consideration Tidal Bay picked up an injury leading upto the festival unlikely to run here, as his National entry is also in jeopardy; however been a revelation this year and if it becomes a slog will be in with a shout Bog Warrior been in scintilating form this term and not failed at being favourite on each outing; ran with steely determination; loves softer ground and if thats the case on the day would be in the running Peddlers Cross didnt turn up last year in the Jewson when heavily beaten; reverted back to hurdles this year and not dazzled in performance will need to rekindle his old fire to get in the mix here Solwhit on his comeback year havung had almost two years out through injury; tussled with Hurricane Fly so many times and seems to have taken to the step up in distance; could be one to watch here Rite of Passage has creditable form on the flat and when over hurdles hasnt been phased; has won over 2m5f but never attempted 3m; if the ground suits then could make an interesting case Grands Crus relatively succesful season last year and the yards high hopes for this season where he has majorly disappointed; excuses made for each run, and will need to revive his form to get near here Get Me Out of Here one decent run to start the season off, but since has put in two poor

showings to suggest that this maybe a little too tough for him; others respected Zaidpour a good run before Christmas; but since has managed three seconds without disgracing himself; will have to step up to the plate if to contend here Smad Place not won for over a year and since has been playing the support act; beaten convincingly by others at the top of the market and realistically will have to run some way past his personal best to compete Thousand Stars supposed to be in good nick according to Willie Mullins however been playing a massive support roll to Hurricane Fly and when given his chance was massively disappointing; needs to find some form and quick Oscara Dara patchy form so far this season, with some solid victories being followed up with terrible outings; very unpredictable but if the good horse terms up may make it into contention So Young three entries at the festival and depending on which race he goes for will make an interesting contender; progressive on each outing, and if the progression continues will be in with a shout Wonderful Charm two entries at the festival and this the unlikely race for him as hes the favourite for the Coral Handicap but there is a lot to like about the solo performance of this Nicholls French gelding import; still heavily unexposed and likely to compete wherever Trustan Times 2/4 this season and only one poor outing beaten a 20 length third to Reve De Sivola; but that ths the benchmark here and realistically needs to reverse that from to compete so others preferred Prospect Wells has three entries for the festival and his latest victory makes good appeal beating some decent types relatively easy; some modest outings prior to that but a replica of the latest makes him an interesting prospect Back in Focus three entries at the festival and thus far undefeated this term the latest being a Grade 1; all entries are over a distance; and his form does stand up and therefore cannot be ignored, maybe a contender Kentford Grey Lady decent form this season without actually getting his head in front; this on its own stands out as realistically suggesting others preferred; would need to step up here but may have more chance in the mares hurdle Crack Away Jack three Grade 2 outings, two seconds and a fifth so far this season, suggests this form may not be strong enough to contend here; has been competing against the market prinicpals and finding them too much to handle; others preferred Fiveforthree not seen since the festival 2011 and since hasnt hinted at making a return; holds another festival entry but realistically cannot be considered purely down to his lack of runs prior to the festival Kauto Stone despite a very good outing on his first run this season has subsequently failed to impress with last two outings; latest a distance seventh to market leaders; other preferred th Celestial Halo only the outing this term which was a below par effort 4 behind Zarkandar and entitled to come on from this its likely others may just have the beating of him Champion Court two othe festival entries; and omn this terms three outings his form suggests he has a lot to find to cope with the market principals; will have to progress substantially to compete here Prince De Beauchene two other festival entries and a Grand National entry; has been relatively impressive this term and despite being beaten on his latest outing would love a slog out on heavier ground; however its likely others will have the upper hand here Whispering Gallery holds foor entries at the festival and so far this season is undefeated in two lower class outings; however did show class in destroying both fields; but likely will require to need to progress further here to compete

Race Trends: The Ladbrokes World Hurdle is one of the highlights of the
Cheltenham Festival along with the three other 'Championship races'. In 2012, Big Bucks is bidding to win his fourth consecutive World Hurdle and continue his remarkable run over the hurdles for Paul Nicholls. There have been a number of top class winners of the race over the past decade with Baracouda and Inglis

Drever two of the biggest names alongside the great Big Buck's, this shows it is always a great race to follow and have a bet on. Race Trends include:
The Irish have not won this race since 1995. Inglis Drever and Big Buck's have each won the race three times, Big Bucks will be going for a fourth consecutive win in 2012 Only 13 favourites have won this race since 1972. There is no horse that has won the Champion Hurdle and the Ladbrokes World Hurdle. No five year old has ever won the race The last 11 winners started 8/1 or shorter

Predictions: 1. Reve De sivola 2. Oscar Whisky 3. Peddlers Cross

Stewart's Fancies 1. Oscar Whisky 2. Solwhit 3. Reve De Sivola

1600: Byrne Group Plate Handicap Steeple Chase


Grade 3 Class 1 (2m 5f)

Race Information: The Byrne Group Plate Handicap Steeple Chase


(formerly Festival Plate) is a handicap run over two mile four furlongs for chasers who are five years old and older. There is always a large field which goes to post and this tends to be a tough race for punters to work out as proved in 2009 when Something Wells caused the upset of the festival winning at the massive odds of 33/1 and again in 2008 with a 66/1 winner. This is further emphasised by the fact that there has only been 2 winning favourite in the last 29 years With one winning favourite and an average SP of 25/1 since the turn of the century, the Byrne

Group Plate certainly looks like the kind of race for an each way bet. Only one winner since 1951 was trained in Ireland is also a fact worth noting before making a bet in this one. The average winning price for this race over the years exceeds 18-1.

Race Winners:
2012 Salut Flo 7 10-10 [137] (T Scudamore) D Pipe 9/2fav 2011 Holmwood Legend 10 10-10 [130] (K Burke (3)) P Rodford 25/1 2010 Great Endeavour 6 10-1 [135] (D Cook (3)) D Pipe 18/1 2009 Something Wells 8 10-7 [139] (W Biddick (5)) Venetia Williams 33-1 2008 Mister McGoldrick 11 11-7 [145] (D Elsworth) Sue Smith 66/1 2007 Idole First 8 10-7 [136] (A O'Keefe) Venetia Williams 12/1 2006 Non So 8 11-3 [137] (MA Fitzgerald) NJ Henderson 14/1 2005 Liberthine 6 10-1 [unknown] (S Waley-Cohen(7)) NJ Henderson 25/1 2004 Tikram 7 10-0 [unknown] (TJ Murphy) GL Moore 12/1 2003 Young Spartacus 10 10-9 [unknown] (R Johnson) HD Daly 16/1 2002 Blowing Wind 9 10-9 [unknown] (R Walsh) MC Pipe 25/1 2000 Dark Stranger 9 10-3 [unknown] (R Johnson) MC Pipe 14/1

Race Form:.
Hunt Ball had higher hopes this season after last years meteoric rise to stardom; unfortunately failed to live up to expectation this term and this was the choice of the owner to recooperate some money, therefore maybe just too classy in this sphere Cantlow holds five entries for the festival and therefore difficult to presume which race will be taken; has solid with 2/4 victories and two seconds to good soerts suggests this is going to be a realistic option where he could prevail Colour Squadron has disappointed thus far on some promising flat form; suggested to have come on for his three seconds this term but needs to find some winning form; cannot be discounted th Ballynagour has 6 entries in the festival and is still heavily unexposed; has a run on the 27 Feb which wil shed further light on his credentials; was impressive on his solo run and cannot be ignored Walkon holds three entries at the festival and although not managed to get his head in front this year has managed some some creditable seconds; all runs are at Cheltenham this term and his latest run where he was pulled up suggests this type of race maybe more to his level, respected Salut Flo was a favourite last year in this and was a game victor; hasnt been seen since and although the festival has means of repeat winners its likely the fact that no run since last year suggests others maybe more race fit Nadiya De La Vega a real solid victory in his opening race this season and since apart from an unseated rider has followed up with two other thirds; all his runs have been at Cheltenham and therefore this form could work out Opening Batsmen in exceptional form this season and his latest victory suggests he has to be in the frame in whichever contest he will compete in; definitely shortlisted Kapga De Cerisy has progressed impressively this season; two wins latest were solid despite Fago not turning up in the latter; further improvement will makle him an interesting contender Divers a winner at the festival two years ago, and since has contested higher level events with little success; has dropped considerably in the weights and with form here at Cheltenham makes him a contender Call The Police bigger entries however this is the realistic easier option for which if he takes could possibly make the frame as his form stands out Carrickboy some unpredictable form this year in handicap company with just the one victory; has

set this as his sole festival entry and therefore at his best could possibly make the frame Rajdhani Express has performed exceptionally well this season with just a blip latest; excuses made and if can rekindle his earlier form may make an interesting contender The Knoxs no definite entries at the festival as yet but depending on his outing in early March will suggest his future; some decent performances this term and another that could possiblymake the frame Glam Gerry one of two entires at the festival and has been running in handicap company this year and often found too many too good, therefore others preferred Finger Onthe Pulse had a heavy start to the season and had some encouragable runs; however has often found too many too good; will need to seriously improve to contend; others preferred Easter Meteor has excelled in lower class events and performed well; when stepped up in class hasnt disgraced without getting his head in front; more required Havingotascooby two disappointing outings this year after a year of almosts prior to that; this form suggests this crowd may hold too much ability; others preferred Bless The Wings has ran creditably in handicap company this season, notching up two victories; however when stepped up in class found the too many too good; despite excuses will have to step up to compete Little Josh won a lower class event to kick off is campaign but since has fallena dn been pulled up which suggests the step up may be too much Matuhi hasnt been in the most sparkling of form this year with two heavy defeats; and not seen since November suggests others maybe more race fit than him Consigliere no confirmed entries this year at he festival but his form has been not too bad for the level he has been competing in; will require to step up in class and performance to hold any chance; others preferred Tartak well beaten in four outings this term; not looked like getting involved; has come down the weights considerable as a consequence; lots more needed Big Fella Thanks some decent form this time, and although he has retained some ability but realstically would need to step up here and arguably rightfully near the foot of the market Poquelin obviously has incredible ability and will make another bid at the National; has come down in the weights for his poor showings this year; will need everything to go his way here and others preferred Takeroc another who has not had the best of seasons and has fallen down the weights; but another who realistically cannot be counted as a contender Romanesco some early promising runs with two victories have been followed up by some poor displays; is contesting here in a higher grade to which he holds some form which he will ned ed to replicate to hold any chance Lost Glory found some form in his last two outings and seems to be progressing quite nicely; will have also gone up in the weights too; a heavy early season has been followed with a quiter second half with the festival in mind; possibilities here Problema Tic some disappointing efforts this seasn after some promise late last term; favoured in the Pipe yard and perhaps will bounce back for coming down in the weights but will need to step up here Mister Hyde three solid runs earlier in the seaon returning two wins; but since has not impressed; perhaps the handicapper has hold of him too; a lot more required Johns Spirit some mixed form this season with one good victory and a decent second following two large distance poor efforts; another who will have to lift their game to hold any chance Quincy Des Pictons threeruns this term and despite being placed in his opening run hasnt performed subsequently therefore others preferred here Sarteano another who isnt in form; two runs this year and both recent have resulted in a lengthy defeat in both needs to pull more out here just to compete

Race Trends: This is the one would love to tip up the winner as if able to find
it will be quids in for the rest of the festival as big priced winners rule in this contest and it has tended to be a bookies benefit. However one or two trends are prevalent from recent years:

A race for big priced winners with a 66/1, 50/1 and two 25/1 winners in the last 10 years. Have a look at Venetia Williams and Nicky Henderson entries as they have both won this race twice each in the last decade. Have a look at horses aged 8 years or more as they have a good record in the race, winning 7 of the last 10 runnings of this race. All the past 10 winners had run at Cheltenham before. All of the last 10 winners had won over 2m3f.

Predictions: 1. Ballynagour 2. Hunt Ball 3. Colour Squadron

Stewart's Fancies 1. Hunt Ball 2. Cantlow 3. Ballynagour

1640: Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Amateur Riders) Class 2 (3m 1
1/2f)

Race information: The Kim Muir is one of the hardest races to predict at the
Cheltenham Festival. The race is run over three mile one furlong and is for amateur jockeys only, which is what makes this such a really interesting race. Jockeys that are linked to top yards should be considered for this race as the leading trainers have an excellent record in the race. Irish horses are on the back of a 28 year losing streak in this race and it could pay to look at the British runners based on that stat. Whilst favourites have won two of the last eleven runnings, so there can be some worth having a look at backing the favourites here. Jonjo ONeill was the successful traier here last year and he has a good horse in Cantlow if this is his decided intention for the festival.

Race Winners:
2012 Sunnyhillboy 9 11-11 [142] (AJ Berry (3)) J ONeill 13/2fav

2011 Junior 8 11-6 [134] (JJ Codd) D Pipe 100/30fav 2010 Ballabriggs 9 11-12 [140] (RO Harding) D McCain Jr 9/1 2009 Character Building 9 11-12 [139] (JJ Codd) JJ Quinn 16/1 2008 High Chimes 9 10-10 [127] (JE Tudor) E Williams 14/1 2007 Cloudy Lane 7 10-11 [124] (R Burton) D McCain Jr 15/2fav 2006 You're Special 9 10-12 [125] (RO Harding) F Murphy 33/1 2005 Juveigneur 8 11-7 [unknown] (R Burton) NJ Henderson 12/1 2004 Maximise 10 10-6 [unknown] (D Edwards) MC Pipe 40/1 2003 Royal Predica 9 10-3 [unknown] (S McHugh) MC Pipe 33/1 2002 The Bushkeeper 8 11-2 [unknown] (D Crosse) NJ Henderson 9/2fav 2000 Honey Mount 9 9-12 [unknown] (R Walford) RH Alner 8/1

Race Form:.
Cantlow holds five entries for the festival and therefore difficult to presume which race will be taken; has solid with 2/4 victories and two seconds to good soerts suggests this is going to be a realistic option where he could prevail Opening Batsmen in exceptional form this season and his latest victory suggests he has to be in the frame in whichever contest he will compete in; definitely shortlisted Super Duty also has a Jewson Entry and this year is 1/4 having found one too good on the other outings; will have to considerably improve if he is to compete, thought of highly by the yard and therefore worthy of some consideration Romanesco some early promising runs with two victories have been followed up by some poor displays; is contesting here in a higher grade to which he holds some form which he will need to replicate to hold any chance Bensalem not in fantastic form having only had the one run in two years; entitled to progress from that and with a victory at the festival (JLT) in 2011 cannot be discounted but needs to step up again Alfie Sherrin another recent festival winner, and likely to race at Cheltenham but long-term sights on the Handicap hurdle at Aintree. Consistent form, and sure to be in the mix Lost Glory found some form in his last two outings and seems to be progressing quite nicely; will have also gone up in the weights too; a heavy early season has been followed with a quiter second half with the festival in mind; possibilities here Merry King hasnt disgraced this season without covering himself in glory either; a lot of placed efforts leaving him well handicapped but not seen since December will have to run a great race to get in the mix Carlito Brigante a horse with some experience and is likely to take his chance in this event; been convincingly beaten when against some of the bigger guns of the festival, if he can rekindle his hurdling form can play a part Chartreux one of four entries at the festival and this gelding has some decent from for handicaps; 2/3 this time with his only defeat a narrow second; possibly could contend here Frisco Depot hasnt had a good season and his latest shows form for others in the market; holds others entries and possibly others too good here Magnanimity performedamicably without being able to get his head in front; four seconds and a below par effort makes him a contender in this sphere purley on the fact he has been coppeting with better horses No Secrets two solid victories most recent make this horse a serious contender for whichever race he contends depending on whether he handles the step up in class; others preferred Sea of Thunder some encouraging form to start his novice chasing season this term which was followed up at Cheltenham in October, however not seen since November where he was convincingly beaten again at Cheltenham suggests a lot more will be required here Sweeney Tunes holds six entries at the festival thanks to his Group 2 victory latest suggesting he maybe one to consider here; a contender Toner Doudairies holds 8 entries here at the festival and realistically on this years form would

have to dramatically improve to enter the fray here White Star Line some placed efforts this term but most a large distanced second to better horses; difficult to position in the scheme of the festival but realistically will require some considerable improvement to win here Court By Surprise perhaps lacking when considering his form but did get his first victory last time out and his next run in February will tell more Lambro one of many entries here; and the only outing thus far this year was fruitless; has an entry before the festival which may shed further light but currently cannot be one for the mix On Trend a horse that has been progressing as the season has gone on; and if this continues has to be a consideration here; some of his later form has been backed up; if finds a little more cold be a surprise entry Prince of Pirates same boat as On Trend has progressed with every race so far this season and a solid victory latest aith AP on board; a reproduction of this race would certainly put him in the frame Problema Tic some disappointing efforts this seasn after some promise late last term; favoured in the Pipe yard and perhaps will bounce back for coming down in the weights but will need to step up here Same Difference hails form the Twiston-Davies yard and also has an RSA entry, but with only the one win to his name this season over fences suggests more is required, a further run in February will confirm credentials State Benefit this Henderson horse started with a victory this season but subsequent races havemt been as fruitful; possibly not loiking the wet ground; but will require to step up here Tarquinius has ran an incredible amount of races this season and fared well in all but one; has been near to the winners post if not winning in most of his races; cannot be discounted Tartak well beaten in four outings this term; not looked like getting involved; has come down the weights considerable as a consequence; lots more needed Harry The Viking not overly impressive this term, has had excuses and perhaps using this a step towards the Grand National; will need to show something more positive here to be in the mix Time For Spring one good victory from four with some decent perfomrances there also; went up in the weights for the victory and struggled next; maybe well held by the handicapper; others preferred Mister Hyde three solid runs earlier in the seaon returning two wins; but since has not impressed; perhaps the handicapper has hold of him too; a lot more required Galaxy Rock out of his outings this term has only the one good race to shout about which came at Cheltenham in a similar race to this when he finished second; therefore has the course form which will need to be replicated to stand any chance Barlow another horse whos season has improved with every run; still yet to get his head in front and not altered enough in the handicap to hold a clear advantage; therefore others improved Glam Gerry one of two entires at the festival and has been running in handicap company this year and often found too many too good, therefore others preferred Goonyella lightly raced and hasnt disappointed in all of this geldings races so far; some solid victories to his name and therefore relatively unknown; if he steps up here will possiblt make the frame Relax has raced well in lower level events this year and although up in the handica for a decent victory may still have a little in hand; will need to step up in class and cannot be dicounted Russian War not been seen for best part of 9 months, where prior had been running well; its hard to take to a horse that hasnt had a run for such a length of time; but if runs well fresh may have a say Saint Are hasnt managed to be a contender as yet this term from his three outings; will need to improve which may come with the better ground but if not others preferred Becauseicouldntsee hasnt performed well at all this year; and again the ground could be used as an excuse; will come down the handicap for this but cannot be fancied on the form Johns Spirit some mixed form this season with one good victory and a decent second following two large distance poor efforts; another who will have to lift their game to hold any chance Swing Bill this veteran has an excellent record full stop; will run hard and gutsy all day long; seldomyl outclassed and outpaced but has the stamina; maybe just getting a little too old for this

tyoe of pace; others preferred Deal Done one decent victory from him this season but nothing else really to shout about; up in the handicap and maybe well held now; requires to step up here to be included Camden another with inconsistency labeled over him as in running in lower class events this year has been either good or bad; this step up in class is an issue however and therefore other preferred Cool Operator two outings two victories albeit in lower class events; cannot be discounted due to the fact he hasnt done anything wrong as yet; this will be an interesting test Howards Legacy another horse who has improved with every race this term; needs to continue to improve and if can manage the step up in class holds one of many outside chances Panther Claw this relatively lightly raced gelding hasnt been too far away on each outing; has performed amicably at this level and repeating efforts so far makes him an outside chance Questions Answered 4 outings thus far this season with no success; has been placed once but has been no where near competing with th e winners needs to pick up to contend here Rajdhani Express has performed exceptionally well this season with just a blip latest; excuses made and if can rekindle his earlier form may make an interesting contender Requin from three outings this season this gelding hasnt performed at all; has dropped in the weights but still is not a likely cotender Richards Sundance four outings this season and two solid victories to boot, the latest most noticeable; a replication of this makes hiom an interesting contender Rose of the Moon two solid victories this season which were followed up by a step up in class and less convincing performance; more required here to be in the mix Sole Witness three outings this season where he has improved with every race; one notable victory was followed by a step up in class where he finished a creditable fourth; a continuation of this will make him an interesting outsider Summery Justice two outings this season have been relative unimpressive; did win well on his last outing last season; needs to improve here to ocntend Sunny Ledgend some solid form this year albeit a t a lower class; a notable victory to boot; will need to step up here if to compete The Rainbow Hunter one early victory this season suggested some promise, which hasnt been followed up thus far with two subsequent defeats; others preferred Thegreatjohnbrowne a couple of entries here at the festival; has had two outings this year after having 2 years away from the track; due to poor dis;lay cannot be considered Triggerman three outings this year with a notable third to Monbeg Dude in the Coral Welsh National; which does stand up and if the conditions are soft merits respect Marufo two races and two decent performances albeit in lower class; yielding a victory and a solid second; the step up is a big ask but cannot be discounted Any Currency 4 outings this year that have been relatively encouraging; with one victory and a th solid 4 in the Welsh National is decent form; will require further progression to contend Action Master one solid run from four outings this term which actually came at Prestbury Park; has found his subsequent outings too much and therefore possibly others should be considered Bahrain Storm has had no success this term and has been raced particularly hard all year; theres nothing to suggest anything will change for this race and therefore others preferred Ballyoliver has had a fairly good season so far notching up two victories; two below par efforts followed by a recent victory; further progression required but could be an interesting outsider Ballypatrick has been competing in lower class events and performing quite well; improved with every race aswell as dropping in the weights; more required here if to contend Billie Magern three outings and three relatively poor showings so far this year; a lot more on his plate here and realistically will have to put on a bold show despite dropping in the weights considerably this year Brackloon High some bold displays earlier on this season which has seen him go up in the weights; his performances have deteriorated since and perhaps the handicapper has hold of him now; a big run needed and therefore others preferred Clouded Thoughts not been impressive at all this season; had a heavy summer schedule followed by some under par efforts this term; a lot needed despite down in the weights Cross Appeal his performances this season havent been great and therefore his hard to make a

case for him; its likely the handicapper may have a good hold and therefore others preferred Fine Parchment has been competing in lower class affairs; not managed to get his head in front with two decent seconds; a lot more required here and therefore others have better chance Hey Big Spender likely to take the cross country race over this and the JLT handicap and will require to improve form this seasons poor showing so far; others preferred Hunters Lodge won at Cheltenham in a lower class affair at the start of the season but since hasnt managed to get his head in front but has still performed relatively well; more needed but could be an interesting outsider Klepht interesting season where he has competed with horses above this level and not disgraced himself; an early season victory has been followed up by some decent efforts; merits respect and cannot be discounted Neptune Equester only two outings this term with a victory in alower class affair and when stepped up in class was found lacking inad perhaps the same could be said for this race; hard to rate his chances Nuts N Bolts has progressed well this season culminating in two decent victories latest; hasnt made a step up in class yet though and now up in the weights may find all this a little too much One in a Milan one decent victory in three outings, run in lower class affairs but against some decent protaganists in this market; a lot more required here though Palace Jester not seen for over a year where he didnt fare to well; has a run a week before the festival which will shed some light on his credentials but other than that there isnt a lot to write about his form Pearlysteps just the one run so far this term which was a poor effort; entitled to ocme on from that run, but its likely more is needed here to compete and therefore cannot be fancied Pentific one great victory this term sits in a season of poor runs otherwise which have seen him rise in the weights; needs to run a personal best to compete here Plein Pouvoir one solid victory in the middle of a poor season where otherwise has performed under par since despite a couple of second place runs; more needed here Poole Master not got his head in front this season when only running in lower class races; is well up in he weights and therefore cannot be counted in the mix Powerstation this veteran hasnt had a great time of it this season and not effectively challenged in any of his runs; a lot more required to get tin the mix here Quincy Des Pictons threeruns this term and despite being placed in his opening run hasnt performed subsequently therefore others preferred here Riguez Dancer his form is poor this season and therefore cannot be a realistic fancy and is therefore not considered Sarteano another who isnt in form; two runs this year and both recent have resulted in a lengthy defeat in both needs to pull more out here just to compete Sizing Santiago one solid victory thus far this year and a decent placed effort is in the mix with other poor runs and would need to lift his performance here to compete and therefore others preferred Swincombe Rock not seen since November where his second out of the season was a massive improvement on his first run; a lot not on his favour here where a great run may not even be ebough Vintage Star two other entries; but not too bad a form this season with four outings resulting in one victory and thre seconds in lower class company, would need to step up in class well to compete though Zitenka a heavy season with many outings wit not one race to call as being decent; not much to like and therefore others cinsidered

Race Trends: As and when the full list of runners are released we will be
making a tip for the big race, that will happen in the week of the Festival but in the mean time the race trends are worth taking note of:
A horse called Cool Ground is the only horse to have won this race and gone onto win the Gold Cup. These are some of the Jockeys that have won this race as amateurs Gay Kindersley, John

Oaksey, Nick Gaselee, Roger Charlton, Michael Dickinson, Ridley Lamb, Ted Walsh, Jim Wilson, Simon Sherwood, Gee and Marcus Armitage, Robert Thornton, Adrian Maguire, Seamus Durack, Ken Whelan, David Crosse and Robert Walford. Only 3 favourites have won the race in the last 12 years. A 40/1 winner and two 33/1 winners of this race in the last 10 years. Of current trainers only Nicky Henderson has won this race twice in the last 9 years.

Predictions: 1. Super Duty 2. Cantlow 3. Alfie Sherrin

Stewart's Fancies 1. Cantlow 2. Romanesco 3. Super Duty

1715: St. Patrick's Derby (Charity Race) (1m 5f) If you're going to have a look at this race back the favourite!!!!

Friday 15th March 2012 Cheltenham Gold Cup Day


1330: JCB Triumph Hurdle
Grade 1 (2m 1f)

Race Information: The final day of the 2012 Cheltenham Festival gets
underway with the grade one Triumph Hurdle. In recent years the field size has been reduced as this race traditionally has a field of 28 going to post. In addition to that we have seen some real top class winners of this race in recent years, the likes of Celestial Halo, Katchit and Zaynar have won this one before going onto bigger and better things at Cheltenham. Since the introduction of the alternative handicap for juveniles in the form of the Fred Winter Hurdle has resulted in the field size. In 2009 and 2006 the field size has been in the mid teens and this has led to a better quality of horses lining up. The last six winners of the Triumph Hurdle have come from the top four in the betting so may pay dividends to concentrate on the market leaders in Friday's opener. In addition, Barry Geraghty, Richard Johnson and Robert Thornton have won this seven times in nine years between them so their mounts should be watched closely. We have not had a winner at bigger than 6/1 in this race since 2004 so punters in general should be looking at the well backed horses in this one.

Race Winners:
2012 Countrywide Flame 4 11-0 [140] (DC Costello) JJ Quinn 33/1 2011 Zarkandar 4 11-0 [given 154 after race] (DA Jacob) PF Nicholls 13/2 2010 Soldatino 4 11-0 [148] (BJ Geraghty) NJ Henderson 6/1

2009 Zaynar 4 11-0 [150] (BJ Geraghty) NJ Henderson 11-2 2008 Celestial Halo 4 11-0 [168] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 5/1 2007 Katchit 4 11-0 [144] (R Thornton) A King 11/2 2006 Detroit City 4 11-0 [167] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 7/2fav 2005 Penzance 4 11-0 [unknown] (R Thornton) A King 9/1 2004 Made In Japan 4 11-0 [unknown] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 20/1 2003 Spectroscope 4 11-0 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) J ONeill 20/1 2002 Scolardy 4 11-0 [unknown] (CF Swan) WP Mullins 16/1 2000 Snow Drop 4 10-9 [unknown] (T Doumen) F Doumen 7/1

Race Form:
Rolling Star one outing for this Henderson French recruit, which was very positive; a comfortable run, and one Henderson has high hopes for; a definite consideration Far West floorless season with 4 victories from 4 outings and is Nicholls chief protaganist in this race; has easily beaten some good horses en route to this, a major player here Diakali two victories from three outings andinitially shaped with some promise; found Our Conor a little too good on his last outing suggesting more is needed here; may and will need to improve for the better ground to compete here Blood Cotil hails from the same yard as Diakali, and this Mullins charge has had the same fate th as Blood Cotil, with two solid early victories followed by a poor 4 to Our Conor in the same race as Diakali; a lot more required Kashmir Peak two victories and an unseated rider in a race he looked solid in is the only blip in this geldings progress this season; progression from this makes him an interesting contender Our Conor has improved with every run this season and has to be Irelands strongest hope here; two initial placed efforts have been followed up by three great victories with the latest being the most noticeable; another on the shortlist Swynmor hails to jumps from some relatively solid flat form; and has been an interesting recruit; impressed on his jumps debut and was storming to victory when he fell at the next on his second outing; disappointed latest perhaps one to watch if its wet at the festival Irish Saint three outings brings two victories for this French recruit of Paul Nicholls who will have to reverse his result against Rolling Aces here to gain the upper hand; but has remained sharp in subsequent races and cannot be written off Lac Fontana another Nicholls French import who holds some promise according to the trainerbut two outings on British soil and yet to get his head in front suggests there is a lot more needed here Lunique two solid outings to start this season suggesting some promise however an 8 length third to Irish Saint suggests more would be needed here to compete; holds a Fred Winter entry too Caid Du Berlais holds several entries at the festival and may take his chance here; this Nicholls th gelding was a fortunate second on his first race and then only managed 9 in the Newbury Hurdle; a lot more required here Ruacana a good opening race to start the season winning rather comfortably was followed by a fortunate victory through Swnymor falling; found Our Conor far too good latest and more required here Hidden Justice two outings has yielded two victories and although he has only ran in lower class events has excelled and easily disposed of his rivals; will need to step up in class here and could possibly be an interesting outsider Dogora held in high regard by by the Mullins yard but a recent defeat to Stocktons Wings suggests his earlier wins may not be as strong form as earlier suggested; also in the Fred Winter which would be a more realistic option Fatcatinahat has a Supreme entry; however if so has creditable flat from and since converting has a number of decent victories to his name, would need to step up to take this scalp Viconte Du Noyer set to make his debut at Cheltenham and therefore an unknown commodity;

only a three year old but would not be considered if Willie mullins didnt think he was up for it Vasco Du Ronceray has a Fred Winter entry and hasnt built on his impressive debut with subsequent second and third; however hails from the powerhouse Henderson yard who will have all his horses fired up for the festival; if runs here may be in the mix Sametegal Possibly take his chance here as holds entries in the Supreme as well as the Fred Winter, realistically if the unexposed Nicholls horse was to go here his form suggests he would have to run well to compete Roc Dapsis another with a Triumph entry and this lightly raced horse with only three outings hasnt quite managed to get his head in front and despite placing was well beaten; needs to take a step forward to compete here Pistol has been running in lower class events but impressing nevertheless; two victories from three makes him a potential contender but requires to step up in class to do so Megalypsos just the one outing this year which was an ok third; entitled to improve for that run but a lot asked here to compete Alexandre Six another entrant who has yet to run and is set to make his debut here; if Nicky Henderson believes this is a good opportunity for him to make his debut who can argue with him Calculated Risk one solid victory followed by subsequent placed efforts suggests this may be a little too much to take on; wasnt the strongest flat horse and perhaps his Fred Winter entrance holds more weight Dalasiri another with a Fred Winter entry and his form this year perhaps this race is the more realistic option. However his form has been solid; was stepped up intoi Group 1 latest and found it too tough, therefore perhaps others preferred Bordoni has been running well all season wining 3/4 races and being ran out when in control in the other race; has only been competing in lower class affairs will need to make quite a big step to compete and perhaps should concentrate on the fred Winter Brinestine only the one outing over fences and wasnt very fluent before falling, entitled to come on for the run, but realistically has too much on his plate here Courtesy Call another with only the one run which wasnt fruitful another who is entitled to come on for the run be again against the market rival cannot be considered; another run prior to the festival may shed more light on his credentials Diplomat not impressive on most recent run when last of 6 followed a decent third on debut; Dermot Weld is never to be discounted however its likely others will make a stroner case Kalmann a Willie Mullins recruit who is yet to race on British soil and has a Fred Winter entry and is an unknown commodity; cnnot be dicounted Last Shadow three outings this year which havent covered him in glory where he hasnt made the placings; others preferred Counsel holds a Fred Winter entry, and likely to go down that route, but has perhaps not exceeded himself this term seldom finding too many too good and therefore the Fred Winter would be a more realistic alternative but needs to find some more Djakadam from two outings he has one victory and an unseated rider; with his victory was impressive and cannot be discounted; a good outsider perhaps Seventh Sign one close victory followed by a disappointing run next suggests this hrse will not danger any of the market principals; other preferred Stocktons Wing has some very good flat form before converting to jumps, where he has pitched in with some good horses already this season. His second to Blood Cotil stsnds out as solid and despite having a Fred Winter entry looks soild may prove an interesting player here Aazif two lower class runs havent yielded a victory despite a close second suggests this maybe too much for this to tackle; others preferred Baltimore Rock as yet not jumped a fence, but made some good impressions over two Bumper performances; still unknown over jumps and therefore hard to make a strong case for him

Race Trends: This race is always a competitive encounter, and from previous
years a number trends have become apparent:
Only one favourite has won this race since the year 2000, that was Detroit City in 2006 There has been no winner above 9/1 since Made In Japan won at 20/1 in 2004

Alan King and Philip Hobbs have each won this race twice and Nicky Henderson three times, in the last seven renewals 16 of the last 18 winners won last time out Since 1994, 6 Adonis Hurdle winners have gone onto win the Triumph Hurdle in the same season.

Predictions: 1. Our Conor 2. Far West 3. Rolling Star

Stewart's Fancies 1. Rolling Star 2. Our Conor 3. Far West

1405: Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle


Grade 3 Class 1 (2m 1f)

Race Information: The County Hurdle is one of the most difficult races to
back a winner at the Cheltenham National Hunt Racing Festival. It is fitting that this race is named after a horse racing legend Vincent O'Brien. The County Handicap Hurdle usually contains a huge and varied field of handicappers. One Cheltenham tip for those needing to recoup losses at the end of four days of action, "Remember there is always Next Year". A race which has thrown up several big price winners down the years, so don't be surprised to see a double figure winner in this one. Paul Nicholls' has saddled four of the last nine winners so expect him to have a good chance in 2013. As and when the odds for the race are released we will have them available for punters to study before making a bet on one of the most intriguing races of the entire week at Cheltenham.

Race Winners:
2012 Alderwood 8 11-1 [139] (AP McCoy) T Mullins 20/1 2011 Final Approach 5 10-11 [139] (R Walsh) WP Mullins 10/1 2010 Thousand Stars 6 10-5 [134] (K Walsh (3)) WP Mullins 20/1 2009 American Trilogy 5 11-0 [135] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 20/1 2008 Silver Jaro 5 10-13 [132] (N Fehily) T Hogan 50/1 2007 Pedrobob 9 10-0 [135] (P Carberry) A Mullins 12/1 2006 Desert Quest 6 10-10 [131] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 4/1JF 2005 Fontanesi 5 10-0 [unknown] (TJ Murphy) MC Pipe 16/1 2004 Sporazene 5 10-13 [unknown] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 7/1JF 2003 Spirit Leader 7 11-7 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) Jessica Harrington 10/1 2002 Rooster Booster 8 11-1 [unknown] (R Johnson) PJ Hobbs 8/1 2000 Master Tern 5 10-3 [unknown] (A Dobbin) MC Pipe 9/2fav

Race Form:
Mr Mole two very solid victories early on this season with a under par second in the middle when odds on favourites; a run the weekend before the festival will cement his claims Cotton Mill interesting horse, was going strong when unseated in a novice hurdle last year, some solid form, and his second to My Tent or Yours is likable, possible dark horse Court Minstrel has a Supreme entry where has pitched with the big guns in that field all season after his initial Cheltenham win; and he has found them too strong, despite being placed on a

couple of occasions, but here could be in the mix Prospect Wells second to Zarkandar by a nose in his opening race this year is a benchmark, which has not been lived up too in his subsequent races; if can find initial form maybe worth considering Mr Watson highlighted as one to watch this season, who has got back on track after two initial disappointing outings, two solid victories have followed and will need to build on these to compete, holds a Neptune and a Supreme entry also Cause of Causes has won in listed company (big field), and beat an honest horse a short head last time out. Found the pace of the Newbury Hurdle too much where convincingly beat. May have a bit to find against the principles, entered into the Supreme, Neptune and the Champion Hurdle too Abbey Lane on two outings this year has ran exceptionally in contrast to last season, and on that form has to be considered in the event he runs here Tennis Cap has progressed with each run this season, has won twice in big fields and if canmake the step up in class would be an interesting contender here Forgotten Voice three solid voctories this season and an under par effort; excuses made due to the soft ground will have it better at the festival; this option is definitely a more realistic option than the Supreme Tominator holds a few entries at the festival and has the respect of his decent flat record but since tackling hurdles doesnt seem to have floundered, his outing in February was a lot better and if can replicate this may make the frame th Ballynagour has 6 entries in the festival and is still heavily unexposed; has a run on the 27 Feb which wil shed further light on his credentials; was impressive on his solo run and cannot be ignored Pendra has ran exceptionally well this year, and looks an exciting prospect; his only loss to Melondic Rendezvous continues to proving quite solid and with respect of that is a player here Ted Veale not been overly impressive this season with nothing too flashy to write home too; his third to Abbey Lane latest his best form, will have to improve to compete here Lyvius one victory this season and subsequent races not good at all; it would appear this horse has lot to do to compete here, has a run a week before the festival which may shed further light Swing Bowler likely to take the mares race but if she does go here has to be a serious contender purely based on her form this year, one for the mix Its a Gimme one good one poor outing this season; not yet got his head in front and realistically a little too much to find in this company, others preferred Cash and Go repected on his merits this year without getting his head in front; did find My Tent or Yours too good at Newbury and maybe this contest is within his scope Claret Cloak this his only entry at the festival and has a run the weekend before as a prep; interesting to see how he goes there; form thus far is amicable; a maybe Lord of House two impressive runs and three poor efforts suggests this gelding has a lot on his plate if to compete here; needs to improve and therefore others preferred Midnight Game very solid form, almost got the hat trick for the season when denied by a short head; has run very well and if this continues could possibly cause an upset but more realistically be a contender Shrapnel two decent early victory wins followed by a defeat; was then stepped up in class and perhaps found it too much; not totally discounted but more required here Sailors Warn not performed well at all this year has been heavily beaten in each of his outings; has had this as his target sll season will need a dramatic improvement to compete Ifandbutwhynot won a couple of lower level events and looked good prospect but found out when up in class, a lot to prove here Beef To The Heels has progressed well this season and moved up the handicap, who may have him caught now as his last effort was below par and not perhaps good enough for this Olofi two outings this season one excellent effort and a vo=citory at Cheltenham, his last outing not so impressive; a replication of his earlier run makes him interesting Edgardo Sol has been competing with decent company all year and not got his head in front; two really good efforts followed by two under par efforts; if he turns up could make the shortlist Hisaabaat out of his three outings this year only his run in lower class affair saw him close to

winning, in the others when up in class not good enough; a lot to find on some of the above Khyber Kim looking to relive the older days that surely have passed, and although the form at Cheltenham is encourageable being off the track for such a length of time doesnt bode well King of Queens two good victories out of five outings so far this year with another decent second to boot; the other two outings were poor, a lot to find here So Young So Young beaten by some good types in his earlier races this season but bounced back latest beating Zaidpour, has other entires but could be a player amongst these Tanerko Emery has not dome a lot wrong this year if he hasnt won then he hasnt been far away come the finishing line; needs to come on again and could be considered Hinterland five outings which include one victory and four seconds; not ideal preparation on the all weather and was a big name last year in the Nicholls yard but hasnt delivered; will need to do some more here Snap Tie only one outing this year so far, where he didnt perform to his best; entitled to come on for his run and willneed to, if hes to compete in this sphere Cry of Freedom two outings this year, which have both been recent; where has not managed to get his head in front but not been too far away; more required Grumeti not seen since last season where in his novice year was contending for victory in the big events and winning; holds and Champion Hurdle entry and may well go there; but if he goes here it wouldnt be a surprise if he goes close Inis Meain one win this year albeit in lower class; since hasnt managed to get his head in front but not bean beaten by far, but is up oin class here and therefore others preferred Meganisi hasnt been brilliant this year until latest run where he was quite impressive still lower than at the start of the season in the handicap and therefore could be one to consider Balder Success another with a Champion Hurdle entry but realistically has a more fruitful option here; highly thought of in the yard but needs to rekindle some form to compete Court Minstrel has a Supreme entry and pitched in the Market leaders for that company all season after his initial Cheltenham win; and he has found them too strong, despite being placed on a couple of occasions, but here may prove a worthy outsider Arnaud has been fighting it out with some of the better Irish hurdlers this season but not managed to get near; has a better chance here but will need to step up to compete Petit Robin four outings two good wins and then two solid efforts when pitched against bigger company; if he turns up here could be another worthy outsider Ranjaan has been in decent form in lower class events but when pitched in with better company found it a little too much; could be the same here Dildar only two outings this year and hasnt yet been successful but hasnt been too far away either; needs to come on for the two runs and Paul Nicholls may have him fit to compete; a possible outsider Ronaldo Des Mottes has an Arkle entry but realistically holds more hope here; not covered himself in glory though so its hard to make a case for him here Pine Creek several outings at the festival on the cards for this horse who has been competing in the lowest class affairs and doing good; a big step up here required and therefore others preferred The Bear Trap three outings this year which intitailly after his first two were filled with promise; disappointing latest and has to pull out the stops to get in contention here

Race Trends: A competitive betting heat is always assured in the County


Hurdle and as punters look to find the winner, it is one race where tips are more than welcome:
Only 3 favourites have won this race in the last 11 years. The Irish have only won this race 11 times since 1953. Ten of the last eleven winners had run at least four times in the season before Cheltenham. All but two of the last eleven winners had run in either February or March prior to Cheltenham. 8 of last Eleven winners were aged five or six years old.

Predictions: 1. Cotton Mill 2. Mr Mole 3. Court Minstrel

Stewart's Fancies 1. Cotton Mill 2. Court Minstrel 3.Mr Mole


Grade 1 (3m)

1440: Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

Race Information: The Brit Insurance is for Novices who are just below
Ladbroke World Hurdle standard. It is run over the three mile Cheltenham course. Previously run at Sandown the new venue has ensured an excellent field and can highlight potential long distance chasers for the future. The Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle was added to The Festival in 2005 and provides a valuable opportunity for staying novice hurdlers as it is run over three miles. Initially sponsored by Brit Insurance, it was backed by Albert Bartlett for the first time in 2009, coinciding with its upgrade to Grade One status. We have had two favourites winning this race since its inception in 2005 so of course the top end of the betting market should be watched closely, having said that in 2010 we had a 33/1 winner in Berties Dream claiming the win for Ireland. So there can be some value here for the shrewd punters, in general though that is not the case with every other winner of the race coming in under 9/1 or shorter.

Race Winners:
2012 Brindisi Breeze 6 11-7 [148] (CI Gillies) Lucinda Russell 7/1 2011 Bobs Worth 6 11-7 [150] (Barry Geraghty) NJ Henderson 15-8 fav 2010 Berties Dream 7 11-7 [133] (AE Lynch) PJ Gilligan 33/1 2009 Weapon's Amnesty 6 11-7 [139] (DN Russell) C Byrne 8-1 2008 Nenuphar Collonges 7 11-7 [135] (R Thornton) A King 9/1 2007 Wichita Lineman 6 11-7 [148] (AP McCoy) J ONeill 11/8fav 2006 Black Jack Ketchum 7 11-7 [150] (AP McCoy) J ONeill Evens fav 2005 Moulin Riche 5 11-7 [unknown] (R Thornton) F Doumen 9/1

Race Form:
Pont Alexandre keeping his options open with an entry in the Neptune, but his scintillating for so far suggests this would be an ideal race for him. One of Willie Mullins great hopes for the festival and will be in the mix At Fishers Cross perfect start to the season and when beating The New One cemented his credentials, added bonus of two wins at Cheltenham already this season, likely to take the route of the Albert Bartlett; however if not another for the shortlist Ballycasey another Willie Mullins gelding who has not put a step wrong as of yet being 3/3, progressive and still hugely unexposed; holds entries for this and the Neptune and will be a threat to all in both Taquin Du Seuil holds an Neptune entry also and perhaps may take that option, however has undoubted ability and has showcased this throughout the season being 3/4 and his only loss was in a battle with the super talented My Tent Or Yours. Another for the shortlist Coneygree is another interesting contender who also holds an Neptune entry, but has a solid track record at Cheltenham where he is 2/3, beaten last time out however and will require further progression if he is to compete here Rule The World, done nothing wrong so far, beaten some good and more experienced irish hurdlers on last two outings, lightly raced, very unexposed, possible dark horse Gevrey Chambertin an interesting contender who also holds an entry for the Albert Bartlett, only

loss to a good Jonjo ONeill prospect, and seems to be progressing and trainer has high hopes cannot be dicsounted Road To Riches also entered in the Neptune and Noel Meades lightly raced 6 year old has yet to put a step wrong, notching three victories form three races; most recently in a Grade 3 and is progressing nicely, will have to build on this to compete but is a contender Cloudy Copper two runs two solid victories in lower events but nevertheless hasnt been fully tested as yet; has this as his only entry and has to be another for the shortlist Our Vinnie an interesting contender; contested some good events and not disgraced; with two victories to his credit this year is in the mix; but was 22l behind Pont alexandre latest a distance unikely to made up Champagne Fever last years bumper winner has been the biggest disappointment this season after such early promise. Excuses given by trainer for his two losses and his last win wasnt overly convincing. Busty Brown this his only entry at the festival and this term hasnt been far away on each occasion; two good victories but latest beaten 12l into second by Pont Alexandre a distance that is unlikely to ge reversed Un Atout lightly raced and very much fancied to be in contention. Has won on every outing with conviction and minimal fuss. Not yet tested and remains very unexposed, chance Waaheb Dermot \welds strong hand this year and has some solid form to bring to the table, with a slight loss to Jezki and a fall last time the only blunders. Has entries in all three novice hurdle events and will need to be at his best to contend Shutthefrontdoor has notched up three hurdles victories in lower class affairs, seems to be progressing but might find one or two of these a little too hot to handle; holds an Neptune entry also Sizing Gold has been keeping the better Irish novice company; and has had to settle for second on three occasions; has won once but his defeats one of which to Pont Alexandre ook hard to be reversed Utopie Des Bordes holds all three novice hurdle entries and having notched three chase victores in France before winning on his British hurdles debut is held in high regard by Barry Geraghty and Nicky Henderson, will be in the mix. Tominator holds a few entries at the festival and has the respect of his decent flat record but since tackling hurdles doesnt seem to have floundered, his outing in February was a lot better and if can replicate this may make the frame Easter Day three out of four victories this year and his only defeat a close second to Taquin Du Seuil suggests this horse cannot be totally written off; needs to step up but if he does could make the frame Touch The Eden lightly raced Willie Mullins horse was a top wonner on his bow this year; however his second outing wasnt so fruitful only finishing fourth; a lot more needed here Ballybough Pat is in the Pertemps Final but likely to run here; and if he was to this option his record in handicap hurdles this season is deplorable and cannot be discounted here; in the mix African Gold in scintillating form this year, not lost yet in handicap company and seems to be progressing; possibly more to come, and therefore considered Chilberta King one decent win with three poor runs elsewhere; hard to make a case for him here; others preferred Aerial this his only entry at the festival and from his runs this year is going to struggle keep the pace of the market principals Anonis two solid victories to start the season filled the trainer with promise, but he fell next and then latest was pulled up likely too much to handle here Green Flag a couple of decent wins earier in the season have been followed up by subsequent defeats when stepped up in trip; a run prior to the festival will shed more on his credentials Chat Room lightly raced juvenile who has onlt two career runs; only one this season where he won impressively, not seen since and may well be an interesting inclusion here Corrin Wood has been running well in company of this calibre all season and been in the placings mostly; would need to step up here to get in front Lord Wishes a couple of lower level victories earlier in the season followed by a step up in trip where he found one too good on both occasions; others preferred

Macs Return one outing one poor result but only his career rn; entitled to have developed for the run but a lot to take on here and therefore others peferred Red Devil Boys holds entries for all three novice hurdle events, and has created a good impression in his lower level hurdle outings; will need to further lift his game to compete at this level Shotgun Paddy got ahead in his first outing in a lower level race, hasnt stepped up to much in class and hasnt won since, a lot to take on here and others preferred Suntiep has had this in his sights all year; lightly raced not put a step wrong yet with two solid voctories and has to be considered Twigline holds a Neptune entry too, and if didnt fall latest was likely to make it two from two outings in his career; another Mullins horse whoi is unexposed Unika La Reconce two outings earned a victory and a second followed aafter; another Willie Mullins charge who will be interesting when at the top level, considered Mozoltov entered into all three novice hurdles, and despite his age is still relatively lightly raced; beat Don Cossack on latest outing and on the strength of this holds some respect, however will require to lift game against the market principles According To Trev four outings this year has only brought the one early success, with three subsequent disappointing efforts, unlikely to figure here Bondage two early season solid wins earned the gelding a step in class, where didnt disgrace; has a Neptune and a Coral Cup entry and perhaps will take these options, potential upset if at his best Aaim to Prosper won the Cesarewitch before turning to fences and has taken his time in adjusting to jumps which he seems to be taking to with every run; a possibility if this improves

Race Trends: The Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle was introduced to the
Cheltenham Festival in 2005 when the meeting expanded from three to four days. Raced over a distance of 3 miles, the Albert Bartlett has become a great yardstick for future stayers so is always a race worth following at the Festival. Key Trends include:
All seven previous winners had won previously over at least 2m4f. Five of the last six winners had NEVER run as flat horses. 6 of last 7 winners finished first or second last time out 6 of last 7 winners had run at least three times over hurdles

Predictions: 1. At Fishers Cross 2. Ballycasey 3. Champagne Fever

Stewart's Fancies 1. At Fishers Cross 2. Ballycasey 3. Gevrey Chambertin

1520: BetFred Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase


Grade 1 (3m 2 1/2f)

Race Information: The Gold Cup is the feature race of the entire
Cheltenham Festival 2012 and it brings to the fore the best chaser in Europe and it is run over three miles, two furlongs of the Cheltenham Racecourse. The Gold Cup is obviously the stand out race of the entire week at the Cheltenham Festival and the ante-post betting is looking as competitive as ever as Long Run aims to return and win the race for the second year in succession. Arguably this is the most intruiging Gold Cup in years as there is no stand out contender who has the realms to beat them all. Bobs Worth looks like holding the favouritism tag having impressed at Christmas and winning here in the RSA last year, but only the one outing due to the poor weather maybe decisive. Sir Des Champs has provedhis worth winning on his latst outing and leads the Irish front. Long Run winner in 2011 was set for big things after and last year wasnt so fruitful, but this year regained his King George and could he possibly win this again??

Race Winners:
2012 Synchronised 9 11-10 [167] (AP McCoy) J ONeill 8-1 2011 Long Run 6 11-10 [179] (S Waley-Cohen) NJ Henderson 7/2fav 2010 Imperial Commander 9 11-10 [174] (PJ Brennan) NA Twiston Davies 7/1 2009 Kauto Star 9 11-10 [177] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 7-4fav 2008 Denman 8 11-10 [177] (S Thomas) PF Nicholls 9/4 2007 Kauto Star 7 11-10 [176] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 5/4fav 2006 War Of Attrition 7 11-10 [171] (C O'Dwyer) MF Morris 15/2 2005 Kicking King 7 11-10 [unknown] (BJ Geraghty) TJ Taffe 4/1fav 2004 Best Mate 9 11-10 [unknown] (J Culloty) Henrietta Knight 8/11fav 2003 Best Mate 8 12-0 [unknown] (J Culloty) Henrietta Knight 13/8fav 2002 Best Mate 7 12-0 [unknown] (J Culloty) Henrietta Knight 7/1 2000 Looks Like Trouble 8 12-0 [unknown] (R Johnson) NT Chance 9/2

Race Form:
Bobs Worth won the RSA last year impressively and has only raced once this season where he was very impressive and rightfully deserved early favouritism for this; big player Sir Des Champs showed his true colours in the Irsih Henessey and gained payback for his two earlier defeats albeit narrow defeats; has a great record at Cheltenham, in the mix Long Run won here two years ago, and since has been a little unpredictable, specifically his jumping; retained his King George at Christmas and is guaranteed to stay, another player Silvinacio Conti Paul Nicholls big hope has arguably been as impressive as the other contenders if not more; three outings three victories including Long Run, albeit Long Runs comeback race; nevertheless could be the one First Lieutenant still undecided between this or the RSA; a horse who seems to play the second fiddle to others but will dig in every time he runs; do not discount The Giant Bolster runner up last year and been disappointed as fancied since; has a pretty solid record at Cheltenham and if can be settled in early could play a major role Captain Chris hasnt disgraced himself at all this season; with a good opening victory and a nose defeat to Long Run in the King George; put in his place by Cue Card latest and will need to find more than that effort to win here Cape Tribulation has earned his place at the top table with his second half of the seaon performances; earlier on was breaten twice but since has two good victories including the Argento; a possible outsider Grands Crus after his fantastic form last year and a leading festival hope (floored), has been

somewhat hard tofollow this year and its unlikely this is going to change; may prefer the better ground or just clutching at straws? Finians Rainbow two other events at the festival and not likely to go here as its untested in the distance column; nevertheless the form isnt great this year and from that cannot be considered Prince De Beauchene has two other entries at the festival and near the top of the market in the Grand National; has performed well in the main this season; if it turns into slog may be one to consider would prefer the softer ground Bog Warrior has been in great form this season after falling in his first run, has three subsequent wins another who loves the softer ground and will need that if to contend Quel Esprit in a couple of other races here and realistically has to be at his peak to even compete here; so his only outing this season wasnt brilliant and hard to stake a big case for Quito De La Roque has obvious talent but a very unpredictable horse; at his best can compete with the best; had a promisinfg outing latest beating Roi Du Mee who has since franked the form; an interesting contender China Rock was a surpise winner of the Punchestown Gold Cup last year; and since on ly the one outing which wasnt that impressive beaten by some way; will need to run well here just to compete Teaforthree similar route as his former stablemate and victor here last year Synchronised; but maybe not quite as impressive; if it turns into a slog could be another who comes in to the frame Wyck Hill has been impressive throughout the season and enough for JP McManus to uncharacteristically purchase him mid season; poor outing latest but AP McCoy must have seen something in him; interesting Sunnyhillboy a winner at the festival here last year so ticks the course column but not been in the best of form this season; therefore others preferred Kauto Stone won in opening run quite impressively, but since has been disappointing since not showing what he is capable of; would need to run a massive race just to compete Champion Court has had a decent year without getting his nose in front; competed in some big events but on his latest run was beaten in a lower graded affair thah hes been competing in suggesting that this may one too big Jessies Dream has been running with some conviction this term with two easy victories in lower graded affairs, and subsequently has only been touched off to two further close seconds; this is a bigger challenge and would have to step up again if to compete Monbeg Dude won a grade 3 here followed by the Welsh National this season, and his subsequent third was a decent performance; another in the mould of Synchronised if it turns into a slog maybe interesting What a Friend only the one outing this year where he didnt show up; its likely he will ocme in for the run; but nothing in his career suggests he can compete with the market principals here Wayward Prince two decent runs this year were followed by a poor effort; nothing to suggest he would come in for thise runs to compete here; others preferred

Race Trends: Without doubt the most eagerly anticipated race of the festival
and from recent years it would bode well in your favour to consider the trends that have became apparent:
5 favourites have won the race in the last 11 years. The last 11 winners have come from the front three in the betting Biggest priced winner in the last 9 years was War Of Attrition in 2006 at odds of 15/2. 12 of the last 14 winners of the Gold Cup have been placed at the Festival before 11 of the last 12 winners had all won a race that season Henrietta Knight and Paul Nicholls have both won the race 3 times each in the last ten years. Only one horse older than 9 has won the Gold Cup since 1992 and that was Cool Dawn who was 10 when winning in 1998 No horse older than 10 has won the Gold Cup since What A Myth won when 12 in 1969.

Predictions:

Stewart's Fancies

1. Bobs Worth 2. Sir Des Champs 3. Silviiaco Conti

1. Sir Des Champs 2. Long Run 3. Bobs Worth

1600: Christie's Foxhunter Steeple Chase

Class 2 (3m 2 1/2f)

Race Information: The Cheltenham Festival is highlight of the season for the
hunter chase brigade. The Christies Foxhunter Chase is one of the oldest races at the Festival. The first running in 1904 was won by the 6/4 favourite Palmy Boy, owned and ridden by Mr J Widger. It is now the richest and most prestigious hunter chase of the season, worth a total of 40,000.The major stables are usually represented and are fiercely contested between the Irish and UK based

trainers. This contest is run over three miles about two and a half furlongs and a premium is put on the jumping and this is why experience nearly always plays a factor. In 2003 a young pretender by the name of Kingscliff took on the establish hunters and came out well on top. Later it became clear that this young horse had potential to take on the grade 1 thoroughbreds. Six of the last ten winners of the Foxhunters Chase have been priced at 14/1 or bigger in the betting and in what looks a very competitive race again, another big price winner could be on the cards in the Festival's penultimate race. Last year though we did see a short priced winner in Baby Run for Nigel Twiston-Davies, he came in as a 9/2 Joint Favourite. The 2010 winner Baby Run is back and is being well backed to run another massive race for Nigel Twiston-Davies, we know he likes to bowl along in front and has to be respected here.

Race Winners:
2012 Salsify 7 12-0 [119] (CJ Sweeney) R Sweeney 7/1 2011 Zemsky 8 12-0 [126] (D O'Connor) I Ferguson 33/1 2010 Baby Run 10 12-0 [135] (S Twiston-Davies) NA Twiston Davies 9/2JF 2009 Cappa Bleu 7 12-0 [approx. 143] (R Burton) E Crow 11-2 2008 Amicelli 9 12-0 [135] (O Greenall) C Coward 33/1 2007 Drombeag 9 12-0 [136] (JT McNamara) J ONeill 20/1 2006 Whyso Mayo 9 12-0 [134] (D Murphy) R Hurley 20/1 2005 Sleeping Night 9 12-0 [unknown] (CJ Sweeney) PF Nicholls 7/2fav 2004 Earthmover 13 12-0 [unknown] (A Goschen) PF Nicholls 14/1 2003 Kingscliff 6 12-0 [unknown] (R Young) S Alner 11/4fav 2002 Last Option 10 12-0 [unknown] (F Needham) R Tate 20/1 2000 Cavalero 11 12-0 [unknown] (A Charles-Jones) HJ Manners 16/1

Race Form:
Chapoturgeon very solid form this year with two wins and two placed efforts acting as very good form; likely to make the frame here and considered a contender Salsify has been in stout form this season losing out to Tammys Hill narrowly on two occasions but then powering home against him latest, won here last year and should be there frame here today Tammys Hill has also in excellent form this season, twice getting the better in good scraps with last year winner Salsify who did get his revenge; a poor outing latest however is a slight concern Cottage Oak two outings, two victories and in very impressive style too. Only in lower class events however and will need to step up here, but could be up to the task Oscar Delta been competing in these events all year; a third here last year has been supporting th this form earlier in the season; however only an 11 when Salsify got victory and he will need to be back near to his best to compete here Equus Maximus this Mullins gelding has some predictable form for his two outingsthis term; as on return in January was very impressive when defying Oscar Delta who is in with a chance here; however disappointed latest, leaving a question mark against his credentials, cannot be ruled out Galant Nuit one outing this year where he was pulled up, hard to make a case for him, as his two runs at the end of last season he was laso pulled up; others preferred Doctor Kingsley not seen since last year where on his only outing won a race a Cheltenham; would be interesting to see on return, cannot be discounted Backstage not seen since last April where he didnt perform well, however 10th in last years Grand National shows he has the stamina and may be in the mix if it turns into a slog Benedictus two initial runs were very poor this year and most recently bounced back with a

victory but at a very low level; needs to step back up here to contend alort on his plate Boxing Along only one outing this season, which was a respectable fifth to Salsify, whether he can reverse this form, is another thing and a lot to find Cloudy Lane won a similar event to this at Aintrees festival last year, and will have to recapture this form as he hasnt been as fruitful this term with not any joy from two outings; respected Coombe Hill has a Cheltenham victory to his name albeit a lower level last year; but his performances so far this year havent set any precedent, others fancied Current Exchange this lightly raced gelding is an interesting contender, with only four career oitings this four year old has never been out of the placings, and on that has t obe respected Dantes Storm until recently hadnt been seen for almost two years where he bounced back to a comfortable ten length victory, this was at alower level and will need to step up and possibly maybe the dark horse Thats Rhythm only the one run this year but had a very good return with a mammoth victory albeit again in a lower class event; cannot be ignored Tricky Trickster two outings, has hailed a first and a second from them; and this Nicholls gelding has had this as his aim since the outset could be a major player here, in th emix Up There not seen since last June and then wasnt the most impressive; will have to step up in performance if he is to compete here, others preferred Vic Venturi two outings this year and has improved on both occasions, but still found himself too far behind to compete, more will be needed here and therefore others preferred What a Laugh not seen since last May where he did finish the season off ok with a victory in his pinultimate run; a long lay off though makes it a tough prospect against the market principles Hoopy a very interesting contender; not seen in over 1000 days on the track where prior to this had 5 outings with 5 victories; still undefeated; if the old magic is there would be interesting Kanesh has only just had his first outing this year where he didnt perform too bad, getting third; entitled to come on for that and therefore may make the shortlist Offshore Account has not been seen since May last year and doesnt have a great record coming back off a lay off; does have some ability; but this maybe too much Faasel another who hasnt been seen since last year, where he was pitching with better companyl however the long lay off maybe detrimental; holds ability though not discounted Earth Dream another horse with a long lay off, has a good victory in this company, but on his last outing was beaten well by Salsify, and the long lay off looks unlikely for this to be reversed Keenans Future two outings this year, which have yielded a massive improvement, third last time to Dantes Storm at 50-1, its unlikely this can be reproduced and therefore other spreferred Merchant Royal has been pitching the market principals where he was third behind Salsify and Tammys Girl; by a distance, however and its unlikely this will be removed Kirkleigh comes in to this race in form winning in style on his last run, but that was a low level event and would require to step up here whch chould be possible, respected Roulez Cool not seen since last year where he was a runner up to Cloudy Lane at Aintree; has some decent form to back that up, but after a long lay off this could be a lot ask; respected.

Race Trends: With no stand out races during the season as definitive
indicators towards the 'Foxhunters', it is perhaps prudent to consider the trends that have became prevalent over the last decade:
Nine of the last 10 winners had run in three or less handicap chases. All of the last ten winners had raced no more than 3 times that season prior to Cheltenham. All the last ten winners had won over a distance of 3 miles of further. 9 of the last 10 winners had their final race before Cheltenham in February or early March.

Predictions: 1. Salsify 2. Chapoturgeon 3. Cottage Oak

Stewart's Fancies 1. Salsify 2. Backstage 3. Chapoturgeon

1640: Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle


Class 2 (2m 4 1/2f)

Race Information: The Conditional jockeys race is the latest addition (first
ran in 2009) to the Cheltenham Festival and it will be run on the Friday of the festival. It is right that the conditionals get a chance to ride at the best National Hunt race meeting in the UK as they are the stars of the future and without this race they would probably not get a chance to ride at the festival until they got rid of their allowances. With the Amateurs having their day in the sun it is about time that the young lads also get their opportunity. There are a number of horses being backed for the race this year including the exciting Cape Dutch who could run for the small yard of John Ferguson. The horse has some good form in the book this season and according to the latest show of betting could well be the horse to beat in the Conditional Jockeys race. Paul Nicholls' has also said that his nice prospect Ted Spread, could take his chance in the Conditional race and he would have every chance if he lines up.

Race Winners:
2012 Attaglance 6 11-3 [139] (H Haynes) JM Jefferson 20/1 2011 Sir Des Champs 5 11-3 [134] (E Mullins (3)) WP Mullins 9/2 2010 Pause And Clause 6 11-10 [137] (J W Farrelly (3)) E Lavelle 14/1 2009 Andytown 6 [133] 11-2 (Felix De Giles (3)) NJ Henderson 25/1

Race Form:
Unfortunately I havent has time to frank the form here!!! Sorry the festival came round too fast. But a lot of the runners here also hold a Neptune and a Vincent OBrient entry so the form descriptors at those two races will stand up.

Race Trends: due to inception in 2009 there is not enough data or evidence to
form trends, however it should be noted, that jockeys claiming a lower amount (the last three wining jockey have only claimed three lbs), and the winning horses have all won with an official rating in the mid 130's; food for thought perhaps
Predictions: 1. Gevrey Chambertin 2. Abbey Lane 3. Bonisland Stewart's Fancies 1. Gevrey Chambertin 2. Edeymi 3. Katkeau

1715: Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Steeple Chase


(2m 1/2f)

Race Information: The last race at the Festival is the Grand Annual, which
is one of those races that offers those run of the mill handicappers who run the minimum distance of just over two miles an opportunity to have their glory at the Cheltenham Festival meeting. The other thing that distinguishes this race is that it is named after Nicky Henderson's father and as such, each year he goes all out to win it. Despite only two winning favourites in the last ten years, seven of the last twelve winners have come from the top four in the betting market. Together with horses aged under ten and form on the Cheltenham course, this could be the areas to look in the Cheltenham finale for 2012. One contender for the race this year according to the latest betting is I'msingingtheblues who is being backed for trainer David Pipe who has been in good form. Oiseau De Nuit is another one to consider as he looks to defend the race he won so well last year and that Cheltenham form is sure to see him go close in the Grand Annual.

Race Winners:

2012 Bellvano 8 10-2 [138] (P Carberry) NJ Henderson 20/1 2011 Oiseau de Nuit 9 10-13 [145] (S Clements (7)) C Tizzard 40/1 2010 Pigeon Island 7 10-1 [129] (PJ Brennan) NA Twiston Davies 16/1 2009 Oh Crick 6 10-0 [129] (W Hutchinson) A King 7/1 2008 Tiger Cry 10 10-6 [134] (DN Russell) ALT Moore 15/2 2007 Andreas 7 10-11 [143] (R Thornton) PF Nicholls 12/1 2006 Greenhope 8 10-11 [132] (A Tinkler) NJ Henderson 20/1 2005 Fota Island 9 10-0 [unknown] (P Carberry) MF Morris 7/1 2004 St Pirran 9 10-1 [unknown] (R Walsh) PF Nicholls 4/1fav 2003 Palarshan 5 10-0 [unknown] (M Bradburne) HD Daly 8/1 2002 Fadoudal Du Cochet 9 10-0 [unknown] (DJ Casey) ALT Moore 6/1 2000 Samakaan 7 10-11 [unknown] (N Williamson) Venetia Willaims 9/2fav

Race Form: Unlike most of the other races run at the festival theres is no real
path that runners take for this race. Generally this race attracts a just above average set of chasing handicappers and their build up to this race comes through many avenues making it one of the tougher Cheltenham Festival Races.
Unfortunately I havent has time to frank the form here!!! Sorry the festival came round too fast. There is always a lot of unpredictability surrounding this race and I will leave the last one down to you

Race Trends: Despite there being no real notions for backers to follow, a
number of prudent trends may help with selecting a winner:
Ten of the last 11 winners carried no more than 10st-11lb ten of last eleven winners were aged 9 or younger All of the last eleven had previously won over the 2m trip

Predictions: 1. Alderwood 2. Ulck Du Lin 3. Kid Cassidy

Stewart's Fancies 1. Ballynagour 2. Viva Collonia 3. Alderwood

ALL THE BEST - HAPPY PUNTING!

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