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  • MG 3543 Homework5

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    GEORGIOSMANIAKIS
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    This document contains Chris Nicolopoulos's homework assignments. It includes: 1) Homework 5.2 which calculates the forecasted value (Fjul) for July using different weighting methods. 2) Homework 5.3 which calculates the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) between actual and forecasted monthly values from January to June. 3) Homework 5.12 which provides actual and forecasted monthly values from April to September, calculates relevant values, and determines the forecasting is acceptable for April and May based on their tracking signal values.

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    MG 3543

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    This document contains Chris Nicolopoulos's homework assignments. It includes: 1) Homework 5.2 which calculates the forecasted value (Fjul) for July using different weighting methods. 2) Homework 5.3 which calculates the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) between actual and forecasted monthly values from January to June. 3) Homework 5.12 which provides actual and forecasted monthly values from April to September, calculates relevant values, and determines the forecasting is acceptable for April and May based on their tracking signal values.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    10 views2 pages

    MG 3543 Homework5

    Uploaded by

    GEORGIOSMANIAKIS
    This document contains Chris Nicolopoulos's homework assignments. It includes: 1) Homework 5.2 which calculates the forecasted value (Fjul) for July using different weighting methods. 2) Homework 5.3 which calculates the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) between actual and forecasted monthly values from January to June. 3) Homework 5.12 which provides actual and forecasted monthly values from April to September, calculates relevant values, and determines the forecasting is acceptable for April and May based on their tracking signal values.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
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    of 2

    7/19/14

    Chris Nicolopoulos

    MG-3543

    HOMEWORK 5
    HOMEWORK 5.2
    A. Fjul = 0,6*15+0,3*16+0,1*12 = 9+4,8+1,2 =15
    B. Fjul = 15+16+12/3 = 14,33
    C. Fjul = fjun+a(Djun-Fjun) = 13+0,2(15-13) = 13,4

    HOMEWORK 5.3
    A.
    Months
    January
    February
    March
    April
    May
    June

    Actual
    100
    94
    106
    80
    68
    94

    Forecast
    80
    84
    86
    90
    88
    84

    B. MAD = 1/n |Di-Fi| = (1/6*20)+(1/6*10)+(1/6*20)+(1/6*10)+(1/6*20)+(1/6*10) =


    14,97

    HOMEWORK 5.12
    April
    May
    June
    July
    August
    September

    Actual

    Forecasting

    200
    250
    325
    300
    325
    400

    250
    325
    400
    350
    375
    450

    Di-Fi

    -50
    -75
    -75
    -50
    -50
    -50

    |Di-Fi|

    (Di-Fi)

    |Di-Fi|

    MAD

    50
    75
    75
    50
    50
    50

    -50
    -125
    -200
    -250
    -300
    -350

    50
    125
    200
    250
    300
    350

    50
    62,5
    66,6
    62,5
    60
    58,3

    TS(n)

    -1
    -2
    -3
    -4
    -5
    -6

    Because the rule says that the tracking signal must be 2,5TS(n) 2,5, thats why I accept
    the April and May.

    7/19/14

    Chris Nicolopoulos

    MG-3543

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