, , ,

, , , ,
. ,
,
. ,
. , ,
,
. ,
, , .

,

8.

, ,
500 :

(. 31/81,49/82,29/83,21/88 52/90).
.

,
,
.
o EN1998-1 ,
50 , ,
10% 50 .
TNCR= 475 .

10% 10
95 .
.
-PGA
a gR TNCR
475 .
. EN1998-1,
30m
vs30=800m/s.



, , 18 0-24 0
41 0-47 0 ;
.
.
. ,
,
.

,
,
,
.

. :
1.
2.

/ 1970. .
1940.
.
.
,
(
)
.

235
1740-1964 , -98
, I~Mm
.
,
, ,
.

. (vulnerability)
. 400
3<Imax<9, je
Mm .
1970-2000.

.


Mw.
mb, Ms , Mw ML Md
.
w :
Mw=0.324+0.963 ML
Ms: Mw=0.63 x Ms(+/-0.04) +2.097(+/-0.189)
Ms=1.263(+/-0.054)mb -1.505(+/-0.244)
MSK Mw

(Kuka i Duni, 2010)

(Radovanovi 2011)
(Radovanovi, 2009)
( Scordilis (2006):

Mc ,
.
Mc.

((Wiemer, S., and M. Wyss, 2000)
.

, ..
, .
(2009)
m (magnituda main ) r t
:
r =exp(1.8677 + 0.376Mm),
twin = exp(0.452 +0.922Mm)
,
.

.



.
.
,
.
.
.

.

 ,
19 .
, b,
(s- , t- n ) -
.
GR
(-)
,
. x ,
, ,
-Predictive Ground Motion Models PGM,
(, )
Mw
, Vs30
. ,


Berge-Thierry et al. (2003), Bindi et al. (2009), Akkar & Bommer, 2010, Boore &
Atkinson 2008 (NGA, EERI 2008).


,
.
. (Cornell,1968).
,

.
(Frankel, 1995)
zoneless. methodology
. ( . 2003)

. (0=4.5)
-
.
2 3x5=15.
7 .
(7kmx6km).
MW= 4.3-Mmax.
-PGA,
95, 475 975 .