2014 ROMANIAN PRESIDENTIAL

ELECTIONS

EXIT POLL
METHODOLOGY

EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY

NAME OF POLLING COMPANY:
CLIENT OF THE EXIT POLL:
SAMPLE DESIGN:
NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS:
NUMBER OF SAMPLING POINTS:
SAMPLING FRAME:
GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION AND COVERAGE:

SAMPLING POINTS SELECTION:

WHERE INTERVIEWS ARE CONDUCTED:
SURVEY MODE:

THE ROMANIAN INSTITUTE FOR EVALUATION AND STRATEGY - IRES

DIGI24 HD
Stratified, two-stage cluster probabilistic sample. Stage 1: precincts
(PPS). Stage 2: voters (systematic)
Round 1 (2014, November 2): 16.100
Round 2 (2014, November 16): 19.951
250
National precincts (polling places) according to Central Electoral Bureau
(BEC)
Romania
PPS (probability proportional to size)
At polling places
Face to face, paper questionnaire

Any legal limits on data collection

that might affect polling accuracy:

Few cases of: a minimum distance of interviewers from polling place was
required; two or three precincts at same location

TIME OF DAY OF INTERVIEWING:

The interviewing starts at the opening of polls and continues throughout

the day until the closing of the polls (7.00 21.00)

INTERVIEWERS STATUS WITHIN INSTITUTE STAFF:

Most of them (80%) are permanent

EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY

RESPONDENTS ANONYMITY GUARANTEE:
The interview schedule or questionnaire and
instructions:
RESULTS BASED ON PARTS OF THE SAMPLE,
RATHER THAN THE WHOLE SAMPLE:

Precision of the findings, including

estimates of sampling error:
Monitoring and validation procedures:
WEIGHTING PROCEDURES:

Participation was voluntary and anonymous

IRES intellectual property
Analyses on turnout rates across socio- demographics
Theoretical sampling error: +/-2% with 95% probability
Few times, across the election day, by phone and sometimes in the field
Yes. IRES intellectual property

RESPONSE RATES:

Round 1: 89%
Round 2: 93%

ITEM NON-RESPONSE ON VOTE QUESTIONS:

Round 1: 13%
Round 2: 7%

Any known non-response bias:

General description of how estimates are
made and the kinds of variables that are
used, and whether adjustments for
non-responses have been made:
Known design effects:
Rate of homogeneity for voting question:

Yes. IRES intellectual property

Yes. IRES intellectual property

Due to clustering: 7.9

Round 1: 0.08
Round 2: 0.12