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Assumptions

Interest Income
2%
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
6.0x
Tax Rate
40%
Amortization
5 years
Minimum Cash Bala
10
Advisory Fees
15
Financing Fees
5
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

ASP
Volume
Revenue

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45

2007A
$4.35
100
$435

Capitalization
Current Share Price $30.00
FD Shares
50
% Premium

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

2008A
$5.93
120
$711

2009A
$7.14
130
$928

COGS

(214)

(284)

(328)

Operating Expenses

(103)

(75)

(87)

(77)

(92)

(93)

(8)

(10)

(11)

Interest Expense
Memo: Capex

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets

35.0%

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309

15.00%

PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

1,500
0
$1,809
25
63
$89

Debt
Total Liabilities

1,357
$1,446

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

12.50%

10.00%

7.50%

5.00%

Assumptions
Interest Income
2%
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
6.0x
Tax Rate
40%
Amortization
5 years
Minimum Cash Bala
10
Advisory Fees
15
Financing Fees
5
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
2009 EBITDA
2014 EBITDA

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45
$513.4
$956.0

Income Statement 2007A


ASP
$4.35
Volume
100
Revenue

$435

COGS
(214)
COGS margin
49.1%
Operating Expenses
(103)
Operating Expenses 23.7%
EBITDA
$118.2
D&A
(10.0)
EBIT
$108.2
Interest Expense
(77)
EBT
$31.4
Tax
(12.6)
NI
$18.9
Memo: Capex
(8)

Balance Sheet

Capitalization
Current Share Pric $30.00
FD Shares
50
Purchase Accounting
% Premium
35.0%
Purchase Share Pri
$40.5
Equity Value
2,025.0
Plus: Debt
1,357.2
Less: Cash
(159.1)
Enterprise Value
3,223.2

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

2008A
$5.93
120

2009A
$7.14
130

$711

$928

(284)
39.9%
(75)
10.6%
$352.4
(10.0)
$342.4
(92)
$250.6
(100.3)
$150.4
(10)

Adj

2009PF

(328)
35.3%
(87)
9.3%
$513.4
(10.0)
$503.4
(93)
$410.7
(164.3)
$246.4
(11)

2009A

Adj

2009PF

Sources
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
Cash Less Min. Bal
Sponsor Equity
Total

Goodwill Accountin
Purchase Equity Valu
Less: Book Value of E
Plus: Fees
Goodwill

2010E
$7.4
149.5
15.00%
###

2011E
$7.6
168.2
12.50%
###

2012E
$7.8
185.0
10.00%
###

(388.3)
35.3%
(102.6)
9.3%
$608.1
(10.0)
$598.1
(239.9)
$358.2
(143.3)
$214.9

(449.9)
35.3%
(118.9)
9.3%
$704.7
(10.0)
$694.7
(223.5)
$471.2
(188.5)
$282.7

(509.7)
35.3%
(134.8)
9.3%
$798.4
(10.0)
$788.4
(200.0)
$588.4
(235.4)
$353.0

2010E

2011E

2012E

Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities
Debt
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
Total Liabilities
Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE
Check
Sales
COGS
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid Margin
Accrued Margin

$159
96
50
4
$309
1,500
0
$1,809

(149.1)

($149)

1,681.3
$1,532

25
63
$89
1,357

###
1,540.2
770.1
256.7
###
###

364
$1,809
0.0

322.5
$1,532
0.0

$10
96
50
4
$160

$10
210.8
47.9
4.9
$274

$10
244.2
55.5
5.7
$315

$10
276.7
62.8
6.5
$356

1,500
1,681
$3,342

1,500.0
1,681.3
$3,455

1,500.0
1,681.3
$3,497

1,500.0
1,681.3
$3,537

25
63
$89

69.1
75.1
$144

80.1
87.0
$167

90.8
98.5
$189

0
0.0
0.0
1,540 1,372.5 1,098.1
770
770.1
770.1
257
267.0
277.6
###
###
###

0.0
752.4
770.1
288.7
###

686
$3,342
0.0

901.1
$3,455
0.0

1,183.8
$3,497
0.0

1,536.8
$3,537
0.0

927.8
327.8
70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

1,099.0
388.3
70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

1,273.5
449.9
70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

1,442.8
509.7
70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

Cashflow Statement
NI
D&A
Non Cash Interest
Change in WC
CFO

$214.9
10.0
10.3
(57.5)
$177.7

$282.7
10.0
10.7
(18.9)
$284.4

$353.0
10.0
11.1
(18.4)
$355.7

Capex
CFI

(10.0)
($10.0)

(10.0)
($10.0)

(10.0)
($10.0)

Cash Availiable for Debt Paydown

$167.7

$274.4

$345.7

Borrowing/(Repayment)
CFF
Beg. Cash
Change in Cash
End. Cash

(167.7) (274.4) (345.7)


($167.7) ($274.4) ($345.7)
$10
0.0
$10

$10
0.0
$10

$10
0.0
$10

Debt Payment Schdule


Term
Beg. Balance
Optional Payment
End Balance
Interest Expense

1,540.2

8.0%

116.5

98.8

74.0

770.1
0.0
770.1

770.1
0.0
770.1

770.1
0.0
770.1

12.0%

92.4

92.4

92.4

4.0%

256.7
10.3
267.0

267.0
10.7
277.6

277.6
11.1
288.7

20.9

21.8

22.7

240.1
(0.2)
239.9

223.7
(0.2)
223.5

200.2
(0.2)
200.0

Sr. Sub
Beg. Balance
Optional Payment
End Balance
Interest Expense

1,540.2 1,372.5 1,098.1


(167.7) (274.4) (345.7)
1,372.5 1,098.1
752.4

770.1

Mezz
Beg. Balance
PIK
End Balance

256.7

Interest Expense

8.0%

Total Interest Expense


Interest Income
Net Interest Expense
IRR
Enterprise Value

Multiple
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x

Net Debt

3,040.6
3,648.7
4,256.8

3,523.3
4,227.9
4,932.6

3,991.8
4,790.2
5,588.6

2,399.6

2,135.8

1,801.2

1,387.4
2,092.1
2,796.7

2,190.7
2,989.0
3,787.4

5.0x
6.0x
7.0x

641.0
1,249.1
1,857.2

IRR

5.0x
6.0x
7.0x

(6.6%)
42.2%
47.2%
82.0%
74.6%
63.3%
170.7% 101.9%
76.7%
Equity Premium
25.00%
30.0%
35.0%
29.4%
26.1%
23.2%
40.2%
36.5%
33.4%
48.4%
44.6%
41.2%
55.1%
51.1%
47.6%
60.8%
56.7%
53.1%
65.8%
61.6%
57.9%

Exit Multiple

Equity Value

3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x

1,540.2
770.1
256.7
149.1
686.2
3,402.2

Cash Less Min. Bal


Sponsor Equity

Goodwill Accounting
Purchase Equity Value
Less: Book Value of Equity
Plus: Fees

2013E
$8.0
198.9
7.50%
###

2014E
$8.3
208.8
5.00%
###

(564.4)
35.3%
(149.2)
9.3%
$884.0
(10.0)
$874.0
(170.8)
$703.1
(281.3)
$421.9

(610.4)
35.3%
(161.4)
9.3%
$956.0
(10.0)
$946.0
(133.2)
$812.9
(325.2)
$487.7

2013E

2014E

2,025.0
(364)
20.0
1,681.3

Uses
Equity Purchase
Refinancing of Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total

2,025.0
1,357.2
15.0
5.0
3,402.2

$10
306.4
69.6
7.2
$393

$10
331.4
75.3
7.7
$424

1,500.0
1,681.3
$3,574

1,500.0
1,681.3
$3,606

100.5
109.1
$210

108.7
118.0
$227

0.0
335.7
770.1
300.3
###

0.0
0.0
620.2
312.3
###

1,958.7
$3,574
0.0

2,446.4
$3,606
0.0

1,597.6
564.4
70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

1,727.8
610.4
70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

$421.9
10.0
11.5
(16.8)
$426.6

$487.7
10.0
12.0
(14.1)
$495.6

(10.0)
($10.0)

(10.0)
($10.0)

$416.6

$485.6

(416.6) (485.6)
($416.6) ($485.6)
$10
0.0
$10

$10
0.0
$10

752.4
(416.6)
335.7
43.5

770.1
0.0
770.1

335.7
(335.7)
0.0
13.4

770.1
(149.9)
620.2

92.4

83.4

288.7
11.5
300.3

300.3
12.0
312.3

23.6

24.5

171.0
(0.2)
170.8

133.4
(0.2)
133.2

4,420.0
5,304.0
6,188.0

4,780.2
5,736.2
6,692.3

1,396.1

922.5

3,023.9
3,907.9
4,791.9

3,857.7
4,813.7
5,769.8

44.9%
54.5%
62.6%
uity Premium
40.0%
20.6%
30.7%
38.3%
44.6%
49.9%
54.6%

41.2%
47.6%
53.1%
45.0%
18.4%
28.3%
35.8%
41.9%
47.2%
51.7%

Assumptions
Interest Income
2%
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
6.0x
Tax Rate
40%
Amortization
5 years
Minimum Cash Bala
10
Advisory Fees
15
Financing Fees
5
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
2009 Ebitda

ASP
Volume

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45
513.4

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

2007A
4.4

2008A
5.9

2009A
7.1

100.0

120.0

130.0

711.4
(283.8)
39.9%
(75.2)
10.6%
352.4
(10.0)
342.4
(91.8)
250.6
(100.3)
150.4
(10)

927.8
(327.8)
35.3%
(86.7)
9.3%
513.4
(10.0)
503.4
(92.7)
410.7
(164.3)
246.4
(11)

Revenue
435.2
COGS
(213.9)
Margin
49.1%
Operating Expenses (103.1)
Margin
23.7%
Ebitda
118.2
Dep & Amort
(10.0)
Ebit
108.2
Interest Expense
(76.7)
Ebt
31.4
Tax
(12.6)
NI
18.9
Memo: Capex
(8)

Balance Sheet

Capitalization
Current Share Price $30.00
FD Shares
50
Purchase Assumption
% Premium
35.0%
Purchase Share Pri
$40.5
Equity Value
2,025.0
Plus: Debt
1,445.7
Less: Cash
(159.1)
Enterprise Value
3,311.7

2009A

2010E
2011E
7.4
7.6
3%
3%
149.5
168.2
15.00% 12.50%
1,099.0 1,273.5
(388.3) (449.9)
35.3%
35.3%
(102.6) (118.9)
9.3%
9.3%
608.1
704.7
(10.0)
(10.0)
598.1
694.7
(239.9) (223.5)
358.2
471.2
(143.3) (188.5)
214.9
282.7

Adj

2009PF

2010E

2011E

Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities
Existing Debt
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
Total Liabilities
Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE
Check

$159.1
96.2
50.0
4.2
$309.4

(149.1)

($149.1)

$10.0
96.2
50.0
4.2
$160.4

10.0
210.8
47.9
4.9
$273.6

10.0
244.2
55.5
5.7
$315.4

1,500.0
1,500.0 1,500.0 1,500.0
0.0 1,681.3 1,681.3 1,681.3 1,681.3
###
###
###
###
###
25.1
63.4
$88.5

$0.0

25.1
63.4
$88.5

69.1
75.1
$144.2

80.1
87.0
$167.1

1,357.2 (1,357.2)
0.0
0.0
0.0
1,540.2 1,540.2 1,372.5 1,098.1
770.1
770.1
770.1
770.1
256.7
256.7
267.0
277.6
###
###
###
###
###
363.7
###

901.1 1,183.8
###
###
0.0

0.0

927.8
327.8

1,099.0
388.3

1,273.5
449.9

70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

NI
Dep & Amort
Non Cash Interest
Change in WC
CFO

214.9
10.0
10.3
(57.5)
177.7

282.7
10.0
10.7
(18.9)
284.4

Capex
CFI

(10.0)
(10.0)

(10.0)
(10.0)

Cash Availiable for Debt Payment

167.7

274.4

(167.7)
(167.7)

(274.4)
(274.4)

Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid Margin
Accured Margin

0.0

686.2
###
0.0

Sales
Cogs

0.0

322.5
###

Statement of Cash Flow

Debt Repayment/Borrowing
CFF

Beg. Cash
Change in Cash
End Cash

10.0

10.0
0.0
10.0

10.0
0.0
10.0

Debt Payment Schedule


Term
Beg Bal
Optional Payment
End Bal

1,540.2

Sr. Sub
Beg Bal
Optional Payment
End Bal
Mezz
Beg Bal
PIK
End Bal
Interest Expense
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
PIK
Interest Income
Net Interest Expense

770.1

770.1
0.0
770.1

770.1
0.0
770.1

256.7

256.7
10.3
267.0

267.0
10.7
277.6

(116.5)
(92.4)
(20.9)
(10.3)
0.2
(239.9)

(98.8)
(92.4)
(21.8)
(10.7)
0.2
(223.5)

4.0%

8.0%
12.0%
8.0%
2.0%

1,540.2 1,372.5
(167.7) (274.4)
1,372.5 1,098.1

Sources
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
Cash - Min. Bal
Sponsor Equity
Total Sources

1,540.2
770.1
256.7
149.1
686.2
3,402.2

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Price
BV of Equity
Excess Purchase Price
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Goodwill

2,025.0
(363.7)
1,661.3
15.0
5.0
1,681.3

2012E
2013E
2014E
7.8
8.0
8.3
3%
3%
3%
185.0
198.9
208.8
10.00%
7.50%
5.00%
1,442.8 1,597.6 1,727.8
(509.7) (564.4) (610.4)
35.3%
35.3%
35.3%
(134.8) (149.2) (161.4)
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
798.4
884.0
956.0
(10.0)
(10.0)
(10.0)
788.4
874.0
946.0
(200.0) (170.8) (133.2)
588.4
703.1
812.9
(235.4) (281.3) (325.2)
353.0
421.9
487.7

2012E

2013E

2014E

Uses
Equity Value
Debt Refinancing
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total Uses

2,025.0
1,357.2
15.0
5.0
3,402.2

10.0
276.7
62.8
6.5
$356.0

10.0
306.4
69.6
7.2
$393.1

10.0
331.4
75.3
7.7
$424.4

1,500.0 1,500.0 1,500.0


1,681.3 1,681.3 1,681.3
###
###
###
90.8
98.5
$189.3
0.0
752.4
770.1
288.7
###

100.5
109.1
$209.6
0.0
335.7
770.1
300.3
###

108.7
118.0
$226.7
0.0
0.0
620.2
312.3
###

1,536.8 1,958.7 2,446.4


###
###
###
0.0

0.0

0.0

1,442.8
509.7

1,597.6
564.4

1,727.8
610.4

70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

70.0
65.0
45.0
0.4%
6.8%

353.0
10.0
11.1
(18.4)
355.7

421.9
10.0
11.5
(16.8)
426.6

487.7
10.0
12.0
(14.1)
495.6

(10.0)
(10.0)

(10.0)
(10.0)

(10.0)
(10.0)

345.7

416.6

485.6

(345.7)
(345.7)

(416.6)
(416.6)

(485.6)
(485.6)

10.0
0.0
10.0

1,098.1
(345.7)
752.4

10.0
0.0
10.0

10.0
0.0
10.0

752.4
(416.6)
335.7

335.7
(335.7)
0.0

770.1
0.0
770.1

770.1
0.0
770.1

770.1
(149.9)
620.2

277.6
11.1
288.7

288.7
11.5
300.3

300.3
12.0
312.3

(74.0)
(92.4)
(22.7)
(11.1)
0.2
(200.0)

(43.5)
(92.4)
(23.6)
(11.5)
0.2
(170.8)

(13.4)
(83.4)
(24.5)
(12.0)
0.2
(133.2)

Assumptions
Interest Income
Implied Entry Multi
Exit Multiple
Tax Rate
Amortization
5
Minimum Cash Bala
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid Margin
Accured Margin

Capitalization
Current Share Price $30.00
FD Shares
50
Purchase Assumptions
% Premium
35.0%
Purchase Price/Sha
40.5
Equity Value
###
Net Debt
###
Enterprise Value
###

2%
6.3x
6.0x
40%
years
10
15
5
3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
5.0x

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

3%
10
70
65
45
0.4%
6.8%
2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

2009A
$7.14

2010
7.35
3.00%

2011
7.57
3.00%

2012
7.80
3.00%

100

120

130

149.50
15.00%

168.19
12.50%

185.01
10.00%

$435

$711

$928

COGS
Margin

(214)
49.1%

(284)
39.9%

(328)
35.3%

388.26
35.33%

449.89
35.33%

509.73
35.33%

Operating Expenses
Margin

(103)
23.7%

(75)
10.6%

(87)
9.3%

102.64
9.34%

118.93
9.34%

134.75
9.34%

$118
$10
$108

$352
$10
$342

$513
$10
$503

$608
$10
$598

$705
$10
$695

$798
$10
$788

(77)
$31

(92)
$251

(93)
$411

(240.1)
$358

(223.7)
$471

(200.2)
$588

13
19

100
150

164
246

ASP

Volume

Revenue

EBITDA
D&A
EBIT
Interest Expense
EBT
Taxes
Net Income

1,099.0

143
215

1,273.5

188
283

1,442.8

235
353

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets

2009A AdjustmePF
$159
($149)
96
50
4
$309

PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets

1,500
0
$1,809

A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

###

25
63
$89

Debt
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
Total Liabilities

1,357

$1,446

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

Capex
CFI
Capex Margin

8
8
1.9%

2008A
150
$10
0

(1,357)
###
$770.09
$256.70

323

2009A
246
$10
0

160

256

10
10
1.4%

11
11
1.2%

Cash Available for Debt Repayment

Debt Schedule
Term Loan
Beginning Balance
Voluntary Amort.
Ending Balance

2007A

2008A

$1,500
$1,681
$3,342
$25
$63
$89

Check
SCF
2007A
Net Income
19
D&A
$10
PIK
0
Change in Current Assets
Change in Current Liab
CFO
29

2009
$10
$96
$50
$4
$160

2009A

2010
$10
210.8
47.9
$5
$274

2011
$10
244.2
55.5
$6
$315

2012
$10
276.7
62.8
$6
$356

###
$1,681
###

###
$1,681
###

###
$1,681
###

69.1
75.1
144.2

80.1
87.0
167.1

90.8
98.5
189.3

$0
$0
$0
$0
$1,540 1,372.6 1,098.3
752.7
$770
770.1
770.1
770.1
$257 $266.96 $277.64 $288.75
$2,655
$2,554
$2,313
$2,001
$686
$3,342

$901
$3,455

$1,184
$3,497

$1,536
$3,537

$0

$0

$0

$0

2010
215
$10
10.3
(113.2)
55.7
178

2011
283
$10
10.7
(41.8)
22.9
284

2012
353
$10
11.1
(40.6)
22.2
356

10.0
10
1.2%

10.0
10
1.2%

10.0
10
1.2%

167.5

274.3

345.6

2010

###
###
###

2011

2012

###
###
###
###
### $752.75

Interest

8% $116.51

Senior Sub
Beginning Balance
Voluntary Amort.
Ending Balance
Interest

$98.84

$74.04

$770.09 $770.09 $770.09


$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$770.09 $770.09 $770.09
12%

$92.41

$92.41

$92.41

Mezz
Beginning Balance
PIK
Ending Balance

$256.70 $266.96 $277.64


4%
10.3
10.7
11.1
$266.96 $277.64 $288.75

Interest

8%

Total Interest

20.9

21.8

22.7

240.1

223.7

200.2

Sources
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
Equity
Cash
Total

###
$770.09
$256.70
$686.21
$149
###

2013
8.03
3.00%

2014
8.27
3.00%

198.88
7.50%

208.83
5.00%

1,597.6

1,727.8

564.39
35.33%

610.39
35.33%

149.20
9.34%

161.36
9.34%

$884
$10
$874

$956
$10
$946

(171.1)
$703

(133.4)
$813

281
422

325
488

Uses
Purchase of Equity
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Refinancing Debt
Total

###
15
5
1,357
###

2013
$10
306.4
69.6
$7
$393

2014
$10
331.4
75.3
$8
$424

###
$1,681
###

###
$1,681
###

100.5
109.1
209.6

108.7
118.0
226.7

$0
$0
336.3
0.0
770.1
620.9
$300.30 $312.31
$1,616
$1,160
$1,958
$3,574

$2,446
$3,606

$0

$0

2013
422
$10
11.5
(37.1)
20.3
426

2014
488
$10
12.0
(31.2)
17.1
495

10.0
10
1.2%

10.0
10
1.2%

416.5

485.4

2013

2014

$752.75 $336.26
###
###
$336.26
$0.00

$43.56

$13.45

$770.09 $770.09
$0.00
###
$770.09 $620.91
$92.41

$83.46

$288.75 $300.30
11.5
12.0
$300.30 $312.31
23.6

24.5

171.1

133.4

Assumptions
Interest Income
Implied Entry Multi
Exit Multiple
Tax Rate
Amortization
5
Minimum Cash Bala

Capitalization
Current Share Price $30.00
FD Shares
50

2%
6.3x
6.0x
40%
years
10

Sources
Cash from B/S
Sponsor Equity
New Debt
Total Sources

$149
$686
2566.96
3402.23

Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinanced Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total Uses

2025
1,357
15
5
3402.23

% Premium
35.0%
Purchase Price per
40.5
Total Purchase Pric
2025
Plus: Existing Debt
1,357
Less: Existing Cash ($159)
Transaction TEV
3223.17

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Equity
$2,025
Less: Book Value
(364)
Excess Purchae Pr1661.31
Plus: Fees
20
Goodwill
1681.31

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

ASP
% Growth
Volume
% Growth
Revenue
COGS
Gross Profit

Multiple
$
Cash Int
3.0x 1540.18
8%
1.5x 770.088
12%
0.5x 256.696
8%

2007A
$4.35
100
$435
(214)
221.29

PIK Interest Rate


0%
8%
0%
12%
4%
12%

2008A
$5.93
36.22%
120
20.00%
$711

2009A
$7.14
20.40%
130
8.33%
$928

2010E
$7.35
3.00%
149.5
15.00%
$1,099

(284)

(328)

(388)

427.59

600.04

710.75

% Margin

50.85%

60.11%

64.67%

64.67%

D&A
SG&A
% of Revenue

(10)
(103)
23.70%

(10)
(75)
10.57%

(10)
(87)
9.34%

(10)
(103)
9.34%

EBIT
% Margin

108.17
24.86%

342.40
48.13%

503.39
54.26%

598.11
54.42%

Interest Expense

-239.933

EBT

358.18

Taxes
% Tax Rate

-143.272
40%

Net Income

214.91

Memo: EBITDA
Memo: Capex

118
(10)

352
(10)

513
(10)

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309

PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets

1,500
0
$1,809

A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

608
(10)

Debit

25
63
$89
1,357
0
$1,446

(1,357)

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

(364)

Net Working Capital

Days Receivable

1,500
1,681
$3,342

1681.31

Existing Debt
New Debt
Total Liabilities

CHECK

Credit 2009PF
($149)
$10
96
50
4
$160

62

37.8429

2566.96

$686

2010E
10
210.77
47.8671
$4.93
$274
1,500
1,681
$3,455

25
63
$89

69.1414
75.0523
$144

0
2,567
$2,655

0
2409.57
$2,554

686
$3,342

901
$3,455

62

119

70

Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid % of Sales
Accrued % of COGS

27.9947
55.6776
0.45%
19.33%

65
45
0.45%
19.33%

SCF
2010E
214.91
10
10
(10)
(58)
167.66

Net Income
Plus: D&A
Plus: Non-Cash Interest
Less: Capex
Plus: Decrease / (Increase) in NWC
CADR

Debt Schedule
Term Loan
Beg. Bal
Paydown
End Bal
Interest

1540.18
(167.66)
1540.18 1372.52
8%

Sr. Sub
Beg. Bal
Paydown
End Bal
Interest
Mezz
Beg. Bal
PIK
End Bal
Cash Interest

770.088
0.00
770.088 770.088
12%

92.4106

4%

256.696
10.2678
256.696 266.964

8%

20.9464

Cash
Beg. Bal
Cash Build
End Bal
Interest Income
Total Cash Interest Expense
Non-Cash Interest Expense
Interest Income
Net Interest Expense

116.508

$10
2%

10
0.00
10
0.2
229.865
10.2678
-0.2
239.933

Total Debt

2409.57
1

IRR
EBITDA
Exit Multiple
TEV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value

2010E
608
6.0x
3648.68
-2409.57
10
1249.11

ROIC
IRR

1.8x
82.03%

2014 ROIC
Exit
Multiple
7.0x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Entry Premiu
30.0%
6.3x
7.1
7.9
8.7
9.4

2014 IRR
Exit
Multiple
47.6%
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Entry Premiu
30.0%
44.6%
48.0%
51.1%
54.0%
56.7%

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
$7.57
$7.80
$8.03
$8.27
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
168.188 185.006 198.882 208.826
12.50% 10.00%
7.50%
5.00%
$1,273
$1,443
$1,598
$1,728
(450)
823.58

(510)
933.12

(564)

(610)

###

###

64.67%

64.67%

64.67%

64.67%

(10)
(119)
9.34%

(10)
(135)
9.34%

(10)
(149)
9.34%

(10)
(161)
9.34%

694.65
54.55%

788.37
54.64%

873.99
54.71%

946.04
54.75%

-223.498
471.15

-199.99 -170.846 -133.164


588.38

-188.461 -235.352
40%
40%
282.69
705
(10)

353.03
798
(10)

703.15

812.88

-281.26 -325.151
40%
40%
421.89
884
(10)

487.73
956
(10)

2011E
10
244.23
55.466
$5.71
$315

2012E
2013E
2014E
10
10
10
276.71
306.39
331.36
62.843 69.5829 75.2539
$6.47
$7.16
$7.75
$356
$393
$424

1,500
1,681
$3,497

1,500
1,681
$3,537

1,500
1,681
$3,574

1,500
1,681
$3,606

80.1176 90.7732 100.509


108.7
86.9668 98.5334 109.101 117.993
$167
$189
$210
$227
0
2145.83
$2,313
1,184
$3,497
138

70

0
0
1811.2 1406.11
$2,001
$1,616

0
932.53
$1,159

1,537
$3,537

2,446
$3,606

157

70

1,959
$3,574
174

70

188

70

65
45
0.45%
19.33%

65
45
0.45%
19.33%

65
45
0.45%
19.33%

65
45
0.45%
19.33%

2011E
282.69
10
11
(10)
(19)
274.42

2012E
353.03
10
11
(10)
(18)
345.74

2013E
421.89
10
12
(10)
(17)
416.63

2014E
487.73
10
12
(10)
(14)
485.60
KILL
1

1372.52
1098.1 752.359 335.727
(274.42) (345.74) (416.63) (335.73)
1098.1 752.359 335.727
0
98.8245 74.0182 43.5234 13.4291

770.088 770.088 770.088 770.088


0.00
0.00
0.00 (149.87)
770.088 770.088 770.088
620.22
92.4106 92.4106 92.4106 83.4185

266.964 277.643 288.748 300.298


10.6786 11.1057 11.5499 12.0119
277.643 288.748 300.298
312.31
21.7843 22.6556 23.5619 24.5043

10
0.00
10

10
0.00
10

10
0.00
10

10
0.00
10

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

213.019 189.084 159.496 121.352


10.6786 11.1057 11.5499 12.0119
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
223.498
199.99 170.846 133.164

2145.83
2

1811.2 1406.11
3

932.53
5

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
705
798
884
956
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
4227.91 4790.22 5303.97 5736.24
-2145.83 -1811.2 -1406.11 -932.53
10
10
10
10
2092.08 2989.02 3907.86 4813.71
3.0x
74.61%

4.4x
63.31%

5.7x
54.48%

7.0x
47.64%

Entry Premium
32.5% 35.0%
37.5%
5.9x
5.6x
5.3x
6.7
6.3
6.0
7.4
7.0
6.7
8.2
7.7
7.3
8.9
8.4
8.0

40.0%
5.1x
5.7
6.3
7.0
7.6

Premium Step
Multiple Step

2.50%
0.5x

40.0%
38.3%
41.6%
44.6%
47.4%
49.9%

Premium Step
Multiple Step

2.50%
0.5x

2014 ROIC

2014 IRR
Entry Premium
32.5%
35.0%
37.5%
42.8%
41.2%
39.8%
46.2%
44.6%
43.1%
49.3%
47.6%
46.1%
52.2%
50.5%
48.9%
54.8%
53.1%
51.5%

Assumptions
Interest Income
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
Tax Rate
Amortization
Minimum Cash Balance

2%
6.2x
6.0x
40%
5 years
10

Sources
Cash from B/S
Sponsor Equity
New Debt
Total Sources

$149
$611
2566.96
3327.23

Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinanced Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total Uses

1950
1,357
15
5
3327.23

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Equity
Less: Book Value
Excess Purchae Price
Plus: Fees
Excess to be Allocated

$2,025
(364)
1661.31
20
1681.31

New PPE
New Intangibles
Goodwill Before Deferred Tax

15.0% 252.197
20.0% 336.263
65.0% 1092.85

Deferred Taxes

235.384

Goodwill

1328.24

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

ASP
% Growth

Multiple
$
Cash Int
3.0x 1540.18
8%
1.5x 770.088
12%
0.5x 256.696
8%

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93
36.22%

2009A
$7.14
20.40%

Capitalization
Current Share Price $30.00
FD Shares
50
% Premium
35.0%
Purchase Price per
39
Total Purchase Pric
1950
Plus: Existing Debt
1,357
Less: Existing Cash ($159)
Transaction TEV
3185.67

Years to Amortize
10
10

PIK Interest Rate


0%
8%
0%
12%
4%
12%

2010E
$7.35
3.00%

Volume
% Growth
Revenue

100
$435

120
20.00%
$711

130
8.33%
$928

149.5
15.00%
$1,099

COGS
% of Revenue

(214)
49.15%

(284)
39.89%

(328)
35.33%

(388)
35.33%

Gross Profit
% Margin

221.29
50.85%

427.59
60.11%

600.04
64.67%

710.75
64.67%

D&A
Additional Dep.
Additional Amort
SG&A
% of Revenue

(10)
0
0
(103)
23.70%

(10)
0
0
(75)
10.57%

(10)
0
0
(87)
9.34%

(10)
(25)
(34)
(103)
9.34%

EBIT
% Margin

108.17
24.86%

342.40
48.13%

503.39
54.26%

539.27
49.07%

Interest Expense

-10.0678

EBT

529.20

Cash Taxes
Deferred Taxes
Taxes
% Tax Rate

-235.218
23.5384
-211.68
40%

Net Income
Memo: EBITDA
Memo: Capex

317.52
118
(10)

352
(10)

513
(10)

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309

PPE
New PPE
New Intangibles
Goodwill
Total Assets

1,500
0
0
0
$1,809

A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

25
63
$89

549
(10)

Debit

252.197
336.263
1328.24

Credit
2009PF
($149)
$10
96
50
4
$160
1,500
252
336
1,328
$3,577
25
63
$89

2010E
10
210.769
47.8671
$4.93
$274
1,500
227
303
1,328
$3,631
69.1414
75.0523
$144

DTL
Existing Debt
New Debt
Total Liabilities

0
1,357
0
$1,446

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

CHECK
Net Working Capital

Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid % of Sales
Accrued % of COGS

235.384
(1,357)
2566.96

(364)

$686

235
0
2,567
$2,891

212
0
2271.65
$2,628

686
$3,577

1,004
$3,631

62

62

37.8429
27.9947
55.6776
0.45%
19.33%

119

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

SCF
2010E
317.52
10
25
34
(24)
10
(10)
(58)
305.58

Net Income
Plus: D&A
Plus: New Dep
Plus: New Amort
Less: Deferred Taxes
Plus: Non-Cash Interest
Less: Capex
Plus: Decrease / (Increase) in NWC
CADR

Debt Schedule
Term Loan
Beg. Bal
Paydown
End Bal
Interest

1540.18
(305.58)
1540.18
1234.6
8%

Sr. Sub
Beg. Bal
Paydown
End Bal
Interest

110.991

770.088
0.00
770.088 770.088
12%

92.4106

Mezz
Beg. Bal
PIK
End Bal
Cash Interest

4%

256.696
10.2678
256.696 266.964

8%

20.9464

Cash
Beg. Bal
Cash Build
End Bal
Interest Income

$10
2%

10
0.00
10
0.2

Total Cash Interest Expense


Non-Cash Interest Expense
Interest Income
Net Interest Expense

224.348
10.2678
-0.2
10.0678

Total Debt

2271.65
1

IRR
EBITDA
Exit Multiple
TEV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value

2010E
549
6.0x
3295.6
-2271.65
10
1033.95

ROIC
IRR

1.6x
59.39%

2014 ROIC
Exit
Multiple
7.3x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Entry Premiu
30.0%
7.3x
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3

2014 IRR
Exit
Multiple
48.8%
30.0%
5.0x 48.8%
5.5x 48.8%

Entry Premiu

6.0x 48.8%
6.5x 48.8%
7.0x 48.8%

2011E
$7.57
3.00%

2012E
$7.80
3.00%

2013E
$8.03
3.00%

2014E
$8.27
3.00%

168.188 185.006 198.882 208.826


12.50% 10.00%
7.50%
5.00%
$1,273
$1,443
$1,598
$1,728
(450)
35.33%

(510)
35.33%

(564)
35.33%

(610)
35.33%

823.58
64.67%

933.12
64.67%

###
64.67%

###
64.67%

(10)
(25)
(34)
(119)
9.34%

(10)
(25)
(34)
(135)
9.34%

(10)
(25)
(34)
(149)
9.34%

(10)
(25)
(34)
(161)
9.34%

635.81
49.93%

729.52
50.56%

815.15
51.02%

887.19
51.35%

-10.4786 -10.9057 -11.3499 -11.8119


625.33

718.62

803.80

875.38

-273.669 -310.986 -345.058 -373.691


23.5384 23.5384 23.5384 23.5384
-250.131 -287.447 -321.52 -350.153
40%
40%
40%
40%
375.20
646
(10)

431.17
740
(10)

482.28
825
(10)

525.23
897
(10)

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
10
10
10
10
244.228 276.711 306.388 331.358
55.466
62.843 69.5829 75.2539
$5.71
$6.47
$7.16
$7.75
$315
$356
$393
$424
1,500
202
269
1,328
$3,614

1,500
177
235
1,328
$3,596

1,500
151
202
1,328
$3,574

1,500
126
168
1,328
$3,547

80.1176 90.7732 100.509


108.7
86.9668 98.5334 109.101 117.993
$167
$189
$210
$227

188
165
141
0
0
0
1880.1 1432.01 931.235
$2,235
$1,786
$1,282
1,379
$3,614
138

1,810
$3,596
157

2,292
$3,574
174

118
0
384.84
$729
2,818
$3,547
188

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

2011E
375.20
10
25
34
(24)
11
(10)
(19)
402.23

2012E
431.17
10
25
34
(24)
11
(10)
(18)
459.19

2013E
482.28
10
25
34
(24)
12
(10)
(17)
512.33

2014E
525.23
10
25
34
(24)
12
(10)
(14)
558.41
KILL
1

1234.6 832.365 373.178


(402.23) (459.19) (373.18)
832.365 373.178
0

0
0.00
0

82.6785 48.2217 14.9271

770.088 770.088 770.088 630.937


0.00
0.00 (139.15) (558.41)
770.088 770.088 630.937 72.5301
92.4106 92.4106 84.0615

42.208

266.964 277.643 288.748 300.298


10.6786 11.1057 11.5499 12.0119
277.643 288.748 300.298
312.31
21.7843 22.6556 23.5619 24.5043

10
0.00
10

10
0.00
10

10
0.00
10

10
0.00
10

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

196.873 163.288
122.55 66.7124
10.6786 11.1057 11.5499 12.0119
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
10.4786 10.9057 11.3499 11.8119
1880.1 1432.01 931.235
2

384.84
5

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
646
740
825
897
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
3874.83 4437.14 4950.89 5383.17
-1880.1
-1432 -931.235 -384.84
10
10
10
10
2004.73 3015.13 4029.66 5008.33
2.9x
70.92%

4.2x
60.91%

5.6x
53.61%

7.3x
48.82%

Entry Premium
32.5% 35.0%
37.5%
7.3x
7.3x
7.3x
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3

37.5%
7.3x
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3

Premium Step
Multiple Step

2.50%
0.5x

37.5%
48.8%
48.8%

Premium Step
Multiple Step

2.50%
0.5x

2014 ROIC

2014 IRR
Entry Premium
32.5%
35.0%
37.5%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%

48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%
48.8%

48.8%
48.8%
48.8%

Assumptions
Interest Income
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
Tax Rate
Amortization
Minimum Cash Balance
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees

2%
6.0x
40%
5 years
10
15
5

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45

Sources
Sponsor Equity
Acquisition Debt
Cash From BS

686.2065
2566.9615
149.062

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

3402.23

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

Multiple
$
Cash
PIK
3.0x 1540.1769
8%
1.5x 770.08845
12%
0.5x 256.69615
8%

0%
0%
4%

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

2009A
$7.14

100

120

130

Revenue

$435

$711

$928

COGS

(214)

(284)

(328)

$221
50.9%

$428
60.1%

$600
64.7%

-10

-10

-10

ASP
Growth %
Volume
Growth %

Gross Margins
Gross Margins %
D&A

SG&A
Operating Margins %

(103)
23.7%

(75)
10.6%

(87)
9.3%

Operating Income
Operating Margins %

$108.17
24.9%

$342.40
48.1%

$503.39
54.3%

(77)

(92)

(93)

31

251

411

118
(10)

352
(10)

513
(10)

Interest Expense
EBT
Taxes
Tax Rate
Net Income
Memo: EBITDA
Memo: Capex

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309
1,500
0
$1,809

Debit

Credit
($149)

2009PF
$10
$96
$50
$4
$160
$1,500
$1,681
$3,342

1,681

25
63
$89

$25
$63
$89

Existing Debt
Total Liabilities

1,357
$1,446

(1,357)

2,567

$2,567
$2,655

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

(364)

686

$686
$3,342

Check
Days Sales Outstanding
Days Payables Outstanding
Days Inventory Turnover
Prepaid as % of Sales
Accrued as % of COGS

37.842876
27.994692
55.677589
0.45%
19.33%

SCF
Net Income
Plus: D&A
Plus: Non-Cash Interest
Less: Increases in CA
Plus: Increases in CL
CFO
Less: Capex
CADR

Debt Schedule
Term Loan
BoY
Paydown
EoY

Rate
8%

Interest
Senior Sub.
BoY
Paydown
EoY

Rate
12%

Interest
Senior Sub.
BoY
PIK
EoY

PIK
4%
Cash

Interest

8%

Cash
BoY
Change
EoY
Cash
Interest

Total Cash Interest Expense


Total PIK Interest Expense
Total Interest Income
Net Interest Expense
Total Debt

2%

Exit
EBITDA
Exit Multiple
FV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value
ROIC
IRR

Exit
Multiple
7.0x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Exit
Multiple
48%
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Credit Ratios
Debt/EBITDA
Net Debt/EBITDA
Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Net Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Debt/Equity
Debt/Capitalization
Coverage Ratios
EBITDA/Interest
(EBITDA-Capex)/Interest
EBIT/Interest
(EBIT-Capex)/Interest

Capitalization
Current Share Price
FD Shares
% Premium
Acquistiion Share Price
Purchase Price
Plus: Debt
Less: Cash
FV

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Price
Book Value
Excess Purchase Price
Plus Fees
Plus: Existing Goodwill
New Goodwill

Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total Uses

$30.00
50
35.0%
40.5
2025

2025

2025
(364)
1,661
20
0
1,681

2025
1,357
15
5
3402.23

Rate
8%
12%
12%
Year 1
2010E
7.3512233
3.00%
149.5
15.00%
$1,099

Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
7.57176 7.7989128 8.0328802 8.2738666
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
168.1875 185.00625 198.88172
12.50%
10.00%
7.50%
$1,273

($388.26)

($449.89)

$710.75
64.7%

$823.58
64.7%

-10

-10

$1,443
($509.73)

$1,598
($564.39)

208.8258
5.00%
$1,728
($610.39)

$933.12 $1,033.20 $1,117.40


64.7%
64.7%
64.7%
-10

-10

-10

($102.64)
9.3%

($118.93)
9.3%

($134.75)
9.3%

($149.20)
9.3%

($161.36)
9.3%

$598.11
54.4%

$694.65
54.5%

$788.37
54.6%

$873.99
54.7%

$946.04
54.8%

-239.9326 -223.4979 -199.9901 -170.8458 -133.1638


358

471

588

703

813

-143.2722 -188.4613 -235.3518 -281.2596 -325.1507


40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
215

283

353

422

488

608
(10)

705
(10)

798
(10)

884
(10)

956
(10)

2010E
10
$210.77
$47.87
$4.93
$274

2011E
10
$244.23
$55.47
$5.71
$315

2012E
10
$276.71
$62.84
$6.47
$356

2013E
10
$306.39
$69.58
$7.16
$393

2014E
10
$331.36
$75.25
$7.75
$424

1,500
$1,681
$3,455

1,500
$1,681
$3,497

1,500
$1,681
$3,537

1,500
$1,681
$3,574

1,500
$1,681
$3,606

$69.14
$75.05
$144

$80.12
$86.97
$167

$90.77
$98.53
$189

$100.51
$109.10
$210

$108.70
$117.99
$227

2410
$2,554

2146
$2,313

1811
$2,001

1406
$1,616

933
$1,159

901
$3,455

1184
$3,497

1537
$3,537

1959
$3,574

2446
$3,606

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

2010E
215
10
10
(113)
56
178

2011E
283
10
11
(42)
23
284

2012E
353
10
11
(41)
22
356

2013E
422
10
12
(37)
20
427

2014E
488
10
12
(31)
17
496

(10)
168

(10)
274

(10)
346

(10)
417

(10)
486

CIRC
1
1540.1769 1372.5163 1098.0957 752.35875 335.72717
(168)
(274)
(346)
(417)
(336)
1372.5163 1098.0957 752.35875 335.72717
0
116.50773 98.824481 74.018179 43.523437 13.429087

770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845


0
0
0
0
(150)
770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 620.2199
92.410614 92.410614 92.410614 92.410614 83.418501

256.69615
266.964 277.64256 288.74826 300.29819
10
11
11
12
12
266.964 277.64256 288.74826 300.29819 312.31012
20.946406 21.784262 22.655633 23.561858 24.504332

$10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

229.86475 213.01936 189.08443 159.49591 121.35192


10
11
11
12
12
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
239.93259 223.49792 199.99013 170.84584 133.16385
2409.5687 2145.8267 1811.1955 1406.1138 932.53001

2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
608
705
798
884
956
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
3648.6791 4227.9069 4790.2185 5303.9694 5736.2429
-2409.569 -2145.827 -1811.195 -1406.114
-932.53
10
10
10
10
10
1249.1103 2092.0801 2989.023 3907.8556 4813.7129
1.8203126 3.0487618 4.3558652 5.6948683 7.0149626
82.03%
74.61%
63.31%
54.48%
47.64%
2014 ROIC

30.0%
6.3x
7.1x
7.9x
8.7x
9.4x

Entry Premium
32.5%
35.0%
37.5%
5.9x
5.6x
5.3x
6.7x
6.3x
6.0x
7.4x
7.0x
6.7x
8.2x
7.7x
7.3x
8.9x
8.4x
8.0x

40.0%
5.1x
5.7x
6.3x
7.0x
7.6x

2014 IRR

30.0%
44.6%
48.0%
51.1%
54.0%
56.7%

3.9623689
3.9459246

Entry Premium
32.5%
35.0%
37.5%
42.8%
41.2%
39.8%
46.2%
44.6%
43.1%
49.3%
47.6%
46.1%
52.2%
50.5%
48.9%
54.8%
53.1%
51.5%

40.0%
38.3%
41.6%
44.6%
47.4%
49.9%

Multiple
Premium

0.5
0.025

Assumptions
Interest Income
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
Tax Rate
Amortization
Minimum Cash Balance
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

Sources
Sponsor Equity
New Debt
Cash from B/S

2%
6.0x
40%
5 years
10
15
5
3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

686.2065
2566.9615
149.062
3402.23

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

Multiple
$
Cash
PIK
3.0x 1540.1769
8%
1.5x 770.08845
12%
0.5x 256.69615
8%

Rate
0
0
4%

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

2009A
$7.14

100

120

130

Revenue

$435

$711

$928

COGS

(214)

(284)

(328)

221.29
50.9%

427.59
60.1%

600.04
64.7%

-10
(103)
23.7%

-10
(75)
10.6%

-10
(87)
9.3%

ASP
% Growth
Volume
% Growth

Gross Margins
% Margin
D&A
SG&A
% Margin

8%
12%
12%

Operating Profit
% Margin
Interest Expense
EBT

108
24.9%

342
48.1%

503
54.3%

(77)

(92)

(93)

31

251

411

118
(10)

352
(10)

513
(10)

Taxes
Tax Rate %
Net Income
EBITDA
Memo: Capex

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309

Debit

1,500
0
$1,809

Credit
($149)

1,681

25
63
$89

2009PF
$10
$96
$50
$4
$160
$1,500
$1,681
$3,342
$25
$63
$89

Debt
Total Liabilities

1,357
$1,446

(1,357)

2,567

$2,567
$2,655

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

(364)

686

$686
$3,342

Check

A/R Days Outstanding


A/P Days Outstanding
Inv. Days Turnover
Prepaid Exp. % of Sales
Accrued Liab. % of Sales

SCF
Net Income

37.842876
27.994692
55.677589
0.45%
19.33%

Plus: D&A
Plus: Non-cash interest
Less: Inc. in CA
Plus: Inc. in CL
CFO
Capex
CADR

Debt
Term Loan
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Interest

8%

Sr. Sub
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Interest

Mezz
BoY
PIK
EoY

12%

4%

Interest

8%

Cash
BoY
Change
EoY
Interest

Total
Total
Total
Total

Cash Interest Expense


PIK Interest Expense
Interest Income
Interest Expense

Total Debt

2%

Exit
EBITDA
Exit Multiple
FV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value
ROIC
IRR

Exit
Multiple
7.0x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Exit
Multiple
48%
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

Leverage Ratios
Debt/EBITDA
Net Debt/EBITDA
Debt/(EBITDA-CAPEX)
Net Debt/(EBITDA-CAPEX)
Debt/Equity
Debt/Capitalization
Coverage Ratios
EBITDA/Interest
(EBITDA-Capex)/Interest
EBIT/Interest

Capitalization
Current Share Price
FD Shares
% Premium
Acquisition Price
Mkt. Cap.
Plus: Debt
Less: Cash
FV

Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total Uses

$1,099

35.0%
40.5
2025
1,357
($159)
$3,223.17

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Price
Less: Book Value
Excess Purchase Price
Plus: Fees
Plus: Existing Goodwill
New Goodwill

2010E
7.3512233
3%
149.5
15.00%

$30.00
50

2025
(364)
1,661
20
0
1,681

2025
1,357
15
5
3402.23

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
7.57176 7.7989128 8.0328802 8.2738666
3%
3%
3%
3%
168.1875 185.00625 198.88172 208.8258
12.50%
10.00%
7.50%
5.00%
$1,273

($388.26)

($449.89)

$710.75
64.7%

$823.58
64.7%

-10
($102.64)
9.3%

-10
($118.93)
9.3%

$1,443
($509.73)

$1,598
($564.39)

$1,728
($610.39)

$933.12 $1,033.20 $1,117.40


64.7%
64.7%
64.7%
-10
($134.75)
9.3%

-10
($149.20)
9.3%

-10
($161.36)
9.3%

$598.11
54.4%

$694.65
54.5%

$788.37
54.6%

$873.99
54.7%

$946.04
54.8%

-239.9326 -223.4979 -199.9901 -170.8458 -133.1638


358

471

588

703

813

-143.2722 -188.4613 -235.3518 -281.2596 -325.1507


40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
215

283

353

422

488

608
(10)

705
(10)

798
(10)

884
(10)

956
(10)

2010E
10
$210.77
$47.87
$4.93
$274

2011E
10
$244.23
$55.47
$5.71
$315

2012E
10
$276.71
$62.84
$6.47
$356

2013E
10
$306.39
$69.58
$7.16
$393

2014E
10
$331.36
$75.25
$7.75
$424

1,500
$1,681
$3,455

1,500
$1,681
$3,497

1,500
$1,681
$3,537

1,500
$1,681
$3,574

1,500
$1,681
$3,606

$69.14
$75.05
$144

$80.12
$86.97
$167

$90.77
$98.53
$189

$100.51
$109.10
$210

$108.70
$117.99
$227

2409.5687 2145.8267 1811.1955 1406.1138 932.53001


$2,554
$2,313
$2,001
$1,616
$1,159
$901
$3,455

$1,184
$3,497

$1,537
$3,537

$1,959
$3,574

$2,446
$3,606

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

2010E
215

2011E
283

2012E
353

2013E
422

2014E
488

10
10
(113)
56
178

10
11
(42)
23
284

10
11
(41)
22
356

10
12
(37)
20
427

10
12
(31)
17
496

(10)
168

(10)
274

(10)
346

(10)
417

(10)
486

CIRC KILL
1
1540.1769 1372.5163 1098.0957 752.35875 335.72717
(168)
(274)
(346)
(417)
(336)
1372.5163 1098.0957 752.35875 335.72717
0
116.50773 98.824481 74.018179 43.523437 13.429087

770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845


0
0
0
0
(150)
770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 620.2199
92.410614 92.410614 92.410614 92.410614 83.418501

256.69615
266.964 277.64256 288.74826 300.29819
10
11
11
12
12
266.964 277.64256 288.74826 300.29819 312.31012
20.946406 21.784262 22.655633 23.561858 24.504332

$10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

229.86475 213.01936 189.08443 159.49591 121.35192


10
11
11
12
12
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
239.93259 223.49792 199.99013 170.84584 133.16385
2409.5687 2145.8267 1811.1955 1406.1138 932.53001

1
2
3
4
5
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
608
705
798
884
956
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
3648.6791 4227.9069 4790.2185 5303.9694 5736.2429
-2409.569 -2145.827 -1811.195 -1406.114
-932.53
10
10
10
10
10
1249.1103 2092.0801 2989.023 3907.8556 4813.7129
1.8203126 3.0487618 4.3558652 5.6948683 7.0149626
82.0%
74.6%
63.3%
54.5%
47.6%

2014 ROIC

30.0%
6.3x
7.1x
7.9x
8.7x
9.4x

Premium Paid
32.5%
35.0%
5.9x
5.6x
6.7x
6.3x
7.4x
7.0x
8.2x
7.7x
8.9x
8.4x

37.5%
5.3x
6.0x
6.7x
7.3x
8.0x

Multiple
Premium

0.5
0.025

Multiple
Premium

0.5
0.025

40.0%
5.1x
5.7x
6.3x
7.0x
7.6x

2014 IRR

30.0%
44.6%
48.0%
51.1%
54.0%
56.7%

Premium Paid
32.5%
35.0%
42.8%
41.2%
46.2%
44.6%
49.3%
47.6%
52.2%
50.5%
54.8%
53.1%

37.5%
39.8%
43.1%
46.1%
48.9%
51.5%

40.0%
38.3%
41.6%
44.6%
47.4%
49.9%

2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
3.9623689 3.0452327 2.2686173 1.5906356 0.9754085
3.9459246
4.0286167
4.0118975
$2.67
$0.70

2.5345168
2.4928384
2.4928384

Assumptions
Interest Income
2%
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
6.0x
Tax Rate
40%
Amortization
5 years
Minimum Cash Bala
10
Advisory Fees
15
Financing Fees
5
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

Sources
Sponsor Equity
Refinance Debt
Cash from B/S

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45

Capitalization
Current Share Price
FD Shares
% Premium
Acquisition Price
Mkt Cap
Plus: Debt
Less: Cash
FV

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Price
Less: Book Value
Excess Purchase Price
Plus: Fees
Plus: Existing Goodwill
New Goodwill

Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees

$686
2,567
149
$3,402

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

ASP

Volume

Multiple
3.0x
1.5x
0.5x

$
$1,540
$770
$257

Cash
8%
12%
8%

PIK
0
0
4%

Rate
8%
12%
12%

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

2009A
$7.14

2010E
$7.35
3.00%

100

120

130

150
15.00%

Revenue
% Growth

$435

$711
63.5%

$928
30.4%

$1,099
18.5%

COGS

(214)

(284)

(328)

(388)

Gross Profit
% Margin

$221
50.9%

$428
60.1%

$600
64.7%

$711
64.7%

D&A
SG&A
% of Sales

(10)
(103)
23.7%

(10)
(75)
10.6%

(10)
(87)
9.3%

(10)
(103)
9.3%

Operating Income
% Margin

$108
24.9%

$342
48.1%

$503
54.3%

$598
54.3%

Interest Expense

(77)

(92)

(93)

(240)

EBT

$31

$251

$411

$358

Taxes
Tax Rate %

(143)
40%

Net Income

$215

Memo: EBITDA
Memo: Capex

118.167 352.398
(10)
(10)

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

513.392
(10)

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309
1,500
0
$1,809

$608
(10)

Debit

Credit
($149)

1,681

25
63
$89

2009PF
$10
96
50
4
$160

2010E
$10
211
48
5
$274

$1,500
1,681
$3,342

1,500
1,681
$3,455

25
63
$89

69
75
$144

Debt
Total Liabilities

1,357
$1,446

(1,357)

2,567

2,567
$2,655

2,410
$2,554

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

(364)

686

686
$3,342

901
$3,455

Check
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

38
28
56

70
65
45

Prepaid % of Sales
Prepaid % of Accrued Liab.

0.45%
19.33%

SCF
Net Income
Plus: D&A
Plus: Non-cash interest
Less: Inc. in CA
Plus: Inc. in CL
CFO

0.45%
19.33%

2010E
$215
10
10
(113)
56
$178

Less: Capex
CADR

(10)
$168

Debt
Term Loan
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Interest

$1,540
(168)
$1,373
Rate
8%

Sr. Sub
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Interest
Mezz
BoY
PIK
EoY
Interest

$770
0
$770
Rate
12%

PIK
4%
Cash
8%

Cash
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Interest

Total Cash Interest


Total PIK Interest
Interest Income

$117

$92

$257
10
$267
$21

$10
0
$10
Rate
2%

$0

$230
10
(0)

Net Interest Expense

$240

Total Debt

$2,410
1

Exit
EBITDA
Exit Multiple
FV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value

2010E
$608
6.0x
$3,649
(2,410)
10
$1,249

ROIC
IRR

Leverage Multiples
Debt/EBITDA
Net Debt/EBITDA
Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Net Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Debt/Equity
Debt/Capitalization
Coverage Ratios
EBITDA/Interest
(EBITDA-Capex)/Interest
EBIT/Interest

1.8x
82.0%

Exit
Multiple
7.0x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

30.0%
6.3x
7.1x
7.9x
8.7x
9.4x

Exit
Multiple
47.6%
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

30.0%
44.6%
48.0%
51.1%
54.0%
56.7%
2010E
4.0x
3.9x
4.0x
4.0x
2.7x
0.7x

2.5x
2.5x
2.5x

$0

Capitalization
Current Share Price

$30.00
50
35.0%
$40.50
$2,025

% Premium
Acquisition Price

$1,357
($159)
$3,223

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Price
Less: Book Value
Excess Purchase Price

Plus: Existing Goodwill


New Goodwill

Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees

$2,025
(364)
$1,661
20
0
$1,681

$2,025
1,357
15
5
$3,402

2011E
$7.57
3.00%

2012E
$7.80
3.00%

2013E
$8.03
3.00%

2014E
$8.27
3.00%

168
12.50%

185
10.00%

199
7.50%

209
5.00%

$1,273
15.9%

$1,443
13.3%

$1,598
10.7%

$1,728
8.2%

(450)

(510)

(564)

(610)

$824
64.7%

$933
64.7%

$1,033
64.7%

$1,117
64.7%

(10)
(119)
9.3%

(10)
(135)
9.3%

(10)
(149)
9.3%

(10)
(161)
9.3%

$695
54.3%

$788
54.3%

$874
54.3%

$946
54.3%

(223)

(200)

(171)

(133)

$471

$588

$703

$813

(188)
40%

(235)
40%

(281)
40%

(325)
40%

$283

$353

$422

$488

$705
(10)

$798
(10)

$884
(10)

$956
(10)

2011E
$10
244
55
6
$315

2012E
$10
277
63
6
$356

2013E
$10
306
70
7
$393

2014E
$10
331
75
8
$424

1,500
1,681
$3,497

1,500
1,681
$3,537

1,500
1,681
$3,574

1,500
1,681
$3,606

80
87
$167

91
99
$189

101
109
$210

109
118
$227

2,146
$2,313

1,811
$2,001

1,406
$1,616

933
$1,159

1,184
$3,497

1,537
$3,537

1,959
$3,574

2,446
$3,606

70
65
45

70
65
45

70
65
45

70
65
45

0.45%
19.33%

0.45%
19.33%

0.45%
19.33%

0.45%
19.33%

2011E
$283
10
11
(42)
23
$284

2012E
$353
10
11
(41)
22
$356

2013E
$422
10
12
(37)
20
$427

2014E
$488
10
12
(31)
17
$496

(10)
$274

(10)
$346

(10)
$417

(10)
$486

Circ Kill
1
$1,373
(274)
$1,098

$1,098
(346)
$752

$752
(417)
$336

$336
(336)
$0
$13

$99

$74

$44

$770
0
$770

$770
0
$770

$770
0
$770

$92

$92

$92

$83

$267
11
$278

$278
11
$289

$289
12
$300

$300
12
$312

$22

$23

$24

$25

$10
0
$10

$10
0
$10

$10
0
$10

$10
0
$10

$0

$0

$0

$0

$213
11
(0)

$189
11
(0)

$159
12
(0)

$770
(150)
$620

$121
12
(0)

$223

$200

$171

$133

$2,146

$1,811

$1,406

$933

2011E
$705
6.0x
$4,228
(2,146)
10
$2,092

2012E
$798
6.0x
$4,790
(1,811)
10
$2,989

2013E
$884
6.0x
$5,304
(1,406)
10
$3,908

2014E
$956
6.0x
$5,736
(933)
10
$4,814

3.0x
74.6%

4.4x
63.3%

5.7x
54.5%

7.0x
47.6%

37.5%
5.3x
6.0x
6.7x
7.3x
8.0x

40.0%
5.1x
5.7x
6.3x
7.0x
7.6x

37.5%
39.8%
43.1%
46.1%
48.9%
51.5%

40.0%
38.3%
41.6%
44.6%
47.4%
49.9%

2014 ROIC

32.5%
5.9x
6.7x
7.4x
8.2x
8.9x

Premium
35.0%
5.6x
6.3x
7.0x
7.7x
8.4x

2014 IRR

32.5%
42.8%
46.2%
49.3%
52.2%
54.8%

Premium
35.0%
41.2%
44.6%
47.6%
50.5%
53.1%

2011E
3.0x
3.0x
3.1x
3.1x
1.8x
0.6x

2012E
2.3x
2.3x
2.3x
2.3x
1.2x
0.5x

2013E
1.6x
1.6x
1.6x
1.6x
0.7x
0.4x

2014E
1.0x
1.0x
1.0x
1.0x
0.4x
0.3x

3.2x
3.1x
3.1x

4.0x
3.9x
3.9x

5.2x
5.1x
5.1x

7.2x
7.1x
7.1x

Multiple
Premium

0.5
0.025

Assumptions
Interest Income
2%
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
6.0x
Tax Rate
40%
Amortization
5 years
Minimum Cash Bala
10
Advisory Fees
15
Financing Fees
5
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

Sources
Sponsor Equity
New Debt
Cash from B/S

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

686.2065
2566.9615
149.062
3402.23

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

Multiple
$
3.0x
1540.1769
1.5x
770.08845
0.5x
256.69615

ASP
Volume

Cash
8%
12%
8%

PIK
0
0
4%

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

2009A
$7.14

100

120

130

Revenue
% Growth

$435

$711
63.5%

$928
30.4%

COGS

(214)

(284)

(328)

221
50.9%

428
60.1%

600
64.7%

-10

-10

-10

Gross Profit
% Margin
D&A

SG&A

(103)
23.7%

(75)
10.6%

(87)
9.3%

Operating Profit
% Margin

108
24.9%

342
48.1%

503
54.3%

(77)

(92)

(93)

31

251

411

118
(10)

352
(10)

513
(10)

Interest Expense
EBT
Taxes
Tax Rate %
Net Income
Memo: EBITDA
Memo: Capex

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309
1,500
0
$1,809

Debit

Credit
($149)

2009PF
$10
$96
$50
$4
$160
$1,500
$1,681
$3,342

1,681

25
63
$89

$25
$63
$89

Debt
Total Liabilities

1,357
$1,446

(1,357)

2,567

$2,567
$2,655

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

(364)

686

$686
$3,342

Check
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid Exp. % of Sales
Accrued Liab. % of COGS
SCF

38
28
56
0.45%
19.33%

Net Income
Plus: D&A
Plus: Non-cash Interest
Less: Inc. in CA
negative
Plus: Inc. in CL
CFO
Less: Capex
CADR
Debt
Term Loan
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Rate
Interest

8%

Sr. Sub
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Rate
Interest
Mezz
BoY
Paydown
EoY

12%

PIK
4%
Cash

Interest

8%

Cash
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Rate
Interest

Total Cash Interest


Total PIK Interest
Interest Income
Net Interest Expense
Total Debt

Exit

2%

EBITDA
Exit Multiple
FV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value
ROIC
IRR

Exit
Multiple
7.0x
5
5.5
6
6.5
7

Exit
Multiple
47.6%
5
5.5
6
6.5
7

ASP
Volume

Revenue
Change
Volume 1
ASP 1

Volume 1
ASP 1

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

100

120

$435

$711

$928

$1,099

$1,273

$1,443

$276

$216

$171

$174

$169

$189.16
$87.03
$276.19

$157.19
$59.28
$216.47

$32.01
$139.17
$171.18

$37.09
$137.38
$174.47

$42.02
$127.35
$169.37

68.5%
31.5%
100.0%

2009A
2010E
$7.14 7.3512233
3.00%
130
149.5
15.00%

72.6%
27.4%
100.0%

18.7%
81.3%
100.0%

2011E
2012E
7.57176 7.7989128
3.00%
3.00%
168.1875 185.00625
12.50%
10.00%

21.3%
78.7%
100.0%

24.8%
75.2%
100.0%

Volume 2
ASP 2

Volume 2
ASP 2

Avg. Volume
Avg. ASP

Leverage Ratios
Debt/EBITDA
Net Debt/EBITDA
Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Net Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Debt/Equity
Debt/Capitalization
Coverage Ratios
EBITDA/Interest
(EBITDA-Capex)/Interest
EBIT/Interest
47 mins

$157.63
$118.56
$276.19

$145.10
$71.37
$216.47

$27.83
$143.35
$171.18

$32.97
$141.50
$174.47

$38.20
$131.17
$169.37

57.1%
42.9%
100.0%

67.0%
33.0%
100.0%

16.3%
83.7%
100.0%

18.9%
81.1%
100.0%

22.6%
77.4%
100.0%

62.8%
37.2%

69.8%
30.2%

17.5%
82.5%

20.1%
79.9%

23.7%
76.3%

Capitalization
Current Share Price
FD Shares

$30.00
50
35.0%
40.5
2025
1,357
($159)
3223.168

% Premium
Acquisition Price
Market Cap.
Plus: Debt
Less: Cash
FV

Purchase Accounting
Purchase Price
2025
Less: Book Value
(364)
Excess Purchase Price 1661.314
Plus: Fees
20
Plus: Existing Goodwill
0
New Goodwill
1681.314
Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees
Total Uses

2025
1,357
15
5
3402.23

Rate
8%
12%
12%

2010E
7.3512233
3.00%
149.5
15.00%

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
7.57176 7.7989128 8.0328802 8.2738666
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
3.00%
168.1875 185.00625 198.88172 208.8258
12.50%
10.00%
7.50%
5.00%

$1,099
18.5%

$1,273
15.9%

$1,443
13.3%

$1,598
10.7%

$1,728
8.2%

($388.26)

($449.89)

($509.73)

($564.39)

($610.39)

$710.75
64.7%

$823.58
64.7%

-10

-10

$933.12 $1,033.20 $1,117.40


64.7%
64.7%
64.7%
-10

-10

-10

($102.64)
9.3%

($118.93)
9.3%

($134.75)
9.3%

($149.20)
9.3%

($161.36)
9.3%

598
54.3%

695
54.3%

788
54.3%

874
54.3%

946
54.3%

-239.9326 -223.4979 -199.9901 -170.8458 -133.1638


358

471

588

703

813

-143.2722 -188.4613 -235.3518 -281.2596 -325.1507


40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
215

283

353

422

488

608
(10)

705
(10)

798
(10)

884
(10)

956
(10)

2010E
10
$210.77
$47.87
$4.93
$274

2011E
10
$244.23
$55.47
$5.71
$315

2012E
10
$276.71
$62.84
$6.47
$356

2013E
10
$306.39
$69.58
$7.16
$393

2014E
10
$331.36
$75.25
$7.75
$424

1,500
$1,681
$3,455

1,500
$1,681
$3,497

1,500
$1,681
$3,537

1,500
$1,681
$3,574

1,500
$1,681
$3,606

$69.14
$75.05
$144

$80.12
$86.97
$167

$90.77
$98.53
$189

$100.51
$109.10
$210

$108.70
$117.99
$227

2409.5687 2145.8267 1811.1955 1406.1138 932.53001


$2,554
$2,313
$2,001
$1,616
$1,159
$901
$3,455

$1,184
$3,497

$1,537
$3,537

$1,959
$3,574

$2,446
$3,606

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

70
65
45
0.45%
19.33%

2010E

2011E

2012E

2013E

2014E

214.91
10
10
($113.21)
$55.69
178

282.69
10
11
($41.84)
$22.89
284

353.03
10
11
($40.62)
$22.22
356

421.89
10
12
($37.11)
$20.30
427

487.73
10
12
($31.23)
$17.08
496

(10)
167.66

(10)
274.42

(10)
345.74

(10)
416.63

(10)
485.60
CIRC KILL
1

1540.1769 1372.5163 1098.0957 752.35875 335.72717


(168)
(274)
(346)
(417)
(336)
1372.5163 1098.0957 752.35875 335.72717
0
116.50773 98.824481 74.018179 43.523437 13.429087

770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845


0
0
0
0
(150)
770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 770.08845 620.2199
92.410614 92.410614 92.410614 92.410614 83.418501

256.69615
266.964 277.64256 288.74826 300.29819
10
11
11
12
12
266.964 277.64256 288.74826 300.29819 312.31012
20.946406 21.784262 22.655633 23.561858 24.504332

$10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

10
0
10

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

229.86475 213.01936 189.08443 159.49591 121.35192


10
11
11
12
12
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
239.93259 223.49792 199.99013 170.84584 133.16385
2409.5687 2145.8267 1811.1955 1406.1138 932.53001
1
2010E

2
2011E

3
2012E

4
2013E

5
2014E

608
705
798
884
956
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
3648.6791 4227.9069 4790.2185 5303.9694 5736.2429
-2409.569 -2145.827 -1811.195 -1406.114
-932.53
10
10
10
10
10
1249.1103 2092.0801 2989.023 3907.8556 4813.7129
1.8x
82.03%

3.0x
74.61%

4.4x
63.31%

5.7x
54.48%

7.0x
47.64%

Purchase Premium
32.5%
35.0%
37.5%
7.4x
7.0x
6.7x
7.4x
7.0x
6.7x
7.4x
7.0x
6.7x
7.4x
7.0x
6.7x
7.4x
7.0x
6.7x

40.0%
6.3x
6.3x
6.3x
6.3x
6.3x

2014 ROIC

30.0%
7.9x
7.9x
7.9x
7.9x
7.9x

2014 IRR

30.0%
51.1%
51.1%
51.1%
51.1%
51.1%

Purchase Premium
32.5%
35.0%
49.3%
47.6%
49.3%
47.6%
49.3%
47.6%
49.3%
47.6%
49.3%
47.6%

2013E
2014E
8.0328802 8.2738666
3.00%
3.00%
198.88172 208.8258
7.50%
5.00%
$1,598

$1,728

$155

$130

$46.53
$108.21
$154.75

$50.32
$79.88
$130.20

30.1%
69.9%
100.0%

38.7%
61.3%
100.0%

37.5%
46.1%
46.1%
46.1%
46.1%
46.1%

40.0%
44.6%
44.6%
44.6%
44.6%
44.6%

Multiple Step
Premium Step

0.5x
2.5%

$43.29
$111.46
$154.75

$47.93
$82.28
$130.20

28.0%
72.0%
100.0%

36.8%
63.2%
100.0%

29.0%
71.0%

37.7%
62.3%

2010E
4.0x
3.9x
4.0x
4.0x
2.7x
0.7x

2011E
3.0x
3.0x
3.1x
3.1x
1.8x
0.6x

2012E
2.3x
2.3x
2.3x
2.3x
1.2x
0.5x

2013E
1.6x
1.6x
1.6x
1.6x
0.7x
0.4x

2014E
1.0x
1.0x
1.0x
1.0x
0.4x
0.3x

2.5x
2.5x
2.5x

3.2x
3.1x
3.1x

4.0x
3.9x
3.9x

5.2x
5.1x
5.1x

7.2x
7.1x
7.1x

Assumptions
Interest Income
2%
Implied Entry Multiple
Exit Multiple
6.0x
Tax Rate
40%
Amortization
5 years
Minimum Cash Bala
10
Advisory Fees
15
Financing Fees
5
Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz
ASP Growth
D&A
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory

3.0x
1.5x
0.5x
3%
10
70
65
45

Sources
Sponsor Equity
New Debt
Cash from B/S

Rates
8%
12%
8%/4%

FV/EBITDA
Debt/EBITDA

Goodwill
Purchase Price
Less: Book Value
Excess Purchase Price
Plus: Fees
Plus: Existing Goodwill
New Goodwill
Uses
Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees

3402.23

Multiple
$
3.0x
1540.18
1.5x
770.088
0.5x
256.696

ASP
% Growth
Volume
% Growth

% Premium
Acquisition Price
Mkt. Cap
Plus: Debt
Less: Cash
FV

686.207
2566.96
149.062

Total Sources

Term
Sr. Sub
Mezz

Capitalization
Current Share Price
FD Shares

Cash
8%
12%
8%

PIK
0
0
4%

2007A
$4.35

2008A
$5.93

2009A
$7.14

100

120

130

Rate
8%
12%
12%

2010E
7.3512233
3%
149.5
15.00%

Revenue
% Growth

$435

$711
63.5%

$928
30.4%

$1,099
18.5%

COGS

(214)

(284)

(328)

($388.26)

221.29
50.9%

427.59
60.1%

600.04
64.7%

$710.75
64.7%

Gross Profit
Gross Margin %

D&A
SG&A
% of Sales
EBIT
Operating Margin

-10
(103)
23.7%

-10
(75)
10.6%

-10
(87)
9.3%

-10
($102.64)
9.3%

108.167 342.398
24.9%
48.1%

503.392
54.3%

598.113
54.3%

(93)

($240)

Interest Expense
EBT

(77)

(92)

31.435 250.631

410.715

358.181

Taxes
Tax Rate%

-143.2722
40%

Net Income

214.908

Memo: EBITDA
Memo: Capex

118.167 352.398
(10)
(10)

Balance Sheet
Cash
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
PPE
Goodwill
Total Assets
A/P
Accrued Liability
Total Current Liabilities

513.392
(10)

2009A
$159
96
50
4
$309
1,500
0
$1,809

608.113
(10)

Debit

Credit
($149)

1,681

25
63
$89

2009PF
$10
$96
$50
$4
$160

2010E
$10
$210.77
$47.87
$4.93
$274

$1,500
$1,681
$3,342

1,500
$1,681
$3,455

$25
$63
$89

$69.14
$75.05
$144

Debt
Total Liabilities

1,357
$1,446

(1,357)

2,567

$2,567
$2,655

$2,410
$2,554

Shareholder's Equity
Total Liabilities & SE

364
$1,809

(364)

686

$686
$3,342

$901
$3,455

Check
Drivers
Days Receivable
Days Payable
Days Inventory
Prepaid Exp. % of Sales
Accrued Liab % of COGS

38
28
56
0.4%
19.3%

70
65
45
0.4%
19.3%

SCF
Net Income
Plus: D&A
Plus: Non-Cash Int. Expense
Less: Inc. in CA
neg
Plus: Inc. in CL
CFO

214.908
10
10
($113.21)
55.69
177.661

Less: Capex
CADR

(10)
167.661

Debt
Term Loan
BoY
Paydown
EoY

$1,540
(168)
$1,373
Rate

Interest

8%

Sr Sub
BoY
Paydown
EoY

$117

$770
0
$770
Rate

Interest
Mezz
BoY
Paydown
EoY

12%

$92

4%

$257
10
$267

8%

$21

PIK

Cash
Interest
Cash
BoY
Paydown
EoY
Interest

Total Cash Interest Expense


Total PIK Interest Expense
Interest Income
Net Interest Expense

$10
0
$10
2%

$0

$230
10
($0)
$240

Total Debt

$2,410
1

Exit
EBITDA
Exit Multiple
FV
Less: Debt
Plus: Cash
Equity Value

2010E
608.113
6.0x
3648.6791
($2,410)
$10
1249.1103

ROIC
IRR

1.8x
82.0%

Exit
Multiple
7.0x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

30.0%
6.3x
7.1x
7.9x
8.7x
9.4x

Exit
Multiple
47.6%
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x

30.0%
44.6%
48.0%
51.1%
54.0%
56.7%

Leverage Ratios
Debt/EBITDA
Net Debt/EBITDA
Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Net Debt/(EBITDA-Capex)
Debt/Equity
Debt/Capitalization

En

2010E
4.0x
3.9x
4.0x
4.0x
2.7x
0.7x

Coverage Ratios
EBITDA/Interest
(EBITDA-Capex)/Interest
EBIT/Interest

2007A

En

2.5x
2.5x
2.5x

2008A

2009A

2010E

2011E

2012E

2013E

ASP
% Growth
Volume
% Growth
Revenue
Change

$4.35

$5.93

100

120

$435

$711
$276

$7.14 7.3512233
3%
130
149.5
15.00%
$928
$216

$1,099
$171

7.57176 7.7989128 8.0328802


3%
3%
3%
168.1875 185.00625 198.88172
12.50%
10.00%
7.50%
$1,273
$174

$1,443
$169

$1,598
$155

ASP 1
Volume 1

189.161
$87.03
276.194

ASP 1
Volume 1

68.5%
31.5%
100.0%

ASP 2
Volume 2

157.634
$118.56
276.194

ASP 2
Volume 2

57.1%
42.9%
100.0%

67.0%
33.0%
100.0%

16.3%
83.7%
100.0%

18.9%
81.1%
100.0%

22.6%
77.4%
100.0%

28.0%
72.0%
100.0%

62.8%
37.2%

69.8%
30.2%

17.5%
82.5%

20.1%
79.9%

23.7%
76.3%

29.0%
71.0%

Avg. ASP
Avg. Volume

157.1869 32.009938 37.091516 42.024688 46.531835


$59.28
$139.17
$137.38
$127.35
$108.21
216.4667 171.18358 174.4675 169.37223 154.74541
72.6%
27.4%
100.0%

18.7%
81.3%
100.0%

21.3%
78.7%
100.0%

24.8%
75.2%
100.0%

30.1%
69.9%
100.0%

145.0956 27.834729 32.970237 38.204262 43.285428


$71.37
$143.35
$141.50
$131.17
$111.46
216.4667 171.18358 174.4675 169.37223 154.74541

Capitalization
Current Share Price

% Premium
Acquisition Price

FV/EBITDA
Debt/EBITDA

$30.00
50
35.0%
40.5
2025
1,357
($159)
3223.168
6.3x
2.6x

Purchase Price
Less: Book Value
Excess Purchase Price

2025
(364)
1661.314
20
Plus: Existing Goodwill
0
New Goodwill
1681.314

Purchase Equity
Refinance Debt
Advisory Fees
Financing Fees

2025
1,357
15
5
3402.23

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
7.57176 7.7989128 8.0328802 8.2738666
3%
3%
3%
3%
168.1875 185.00625 198.88172 208.8258
12.50%
10.00%
7.50%
5.00%
$1,273
15.9%

$1,443
13.3%

$1,598
10.7%

$1,728
8.2%

($449.89)

($509.73)

($564.39)

($610.39)

$823.58
64.7%

$933.12 $1,033.20 $1,117.40


64.7%
64.7%
64.7%

-10
($118.93)
9.3%

-10
($134.75)
9.3%

-10
($149.20)
9.3%

-10
($161.36)
9.3%

694.651
54.3%

788.370
54.3%

873.995
54.3%

946.040
54.3%

($223)

($200)

($171)

($133)

471.153

588.380

703.149

812.877

-188.4613 -235.3518 -281.2596 -325.1507


40%
40%
40%
40%
282.692

353.028

421.889

487.726

704.651
(10)

798.370
(10)

883.995
(10)

956.040
(10)

2011E
$10
$244.23
$55.47
$5.71
$315

2012E
$10
$276.71
$62.84
$6.47
$356

2013E
$10
$306.39
$69.58
$7.16
$393

2014E
$10
$331.36
$75.25
$7.75
$424

1,500
$1,681
$3,497

1,500
$1,681
$3,537

1,500
$1,681
$3,574

1,500
$1,681
$3,606

$80.12
$86.97
$167

$90.77
$98.53
$189

$100.51
$109.10
$210

$108.70
$117.99
$227

$2,146
$2,313

$1,811
$2,001

$1,406
$1,616

$933
$1,159

$1,184
$3,497

$1,537
$3,537

$1,959
$3,574

$2,446
$3,606

70
65
45
0.4%
19.3%

70
65
45
0.4%
19.3%

70
65
45
0.4%
19.3%

70
65
45
0.4%
19.3%

282.692
10
11
($41.84)
22.89
284.421

353.028
10
11
($40.62)
22.22
355.737

421.889
10
12
($37.11)
20.30
426.632

487.726
10
12
($31.23)
17.08
495.596

(10)
274.421

(10)
345.737

(10)
416.632

(10)
485.596

CIRC KILL
1
$1,373
(274)
$1,098

$1,098
(346)
$752

$752
(417)
$336

$336
(336)
$0
$13

$99

$74

$44

$770
0
$770

$770
0
$770

$770
0
$770

$92

$92

$92

$83

$267
11
$278

$278
11
$289

$289
12
$300

$300
12
$312

$22

$23

$24

$25

$10
0
$10

$10
0
$10

$10
0
$10

$10
0
$10

$0

$0

$0

$0

$213
11
($0)
$223

$189
11
($0)
$200

$159
12
($0)
$171

$770
(150)
$620

$121
12
($0)
$133

$2,146

$1,811

$1,406

$933

2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
704.651
798.370
883.995
956.040
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
6.0x
4227.9069 4790.2185 5303.9694 5736.2429
($2,146)
($1,811)
($1,406)
($933)
$10
$10
$10
$10
2092.0801 2989.023 3907.8556 4813.7129
3.0x
74.6%

4.4x
63.3%

5.7x
54.5%

7.0x
47.6%

37.5%
5.3x
6.0x
6.7x
7.3x
8.0x

40.0%
5.1x
5.7x
6.3x
7.0x
7.6x

37.5%
39.8%
43.1%
46.1%
48.9%
51.5%

40.0%
38.3%
41.6%
44.6%
47.4%
49.9%

2014 ROIC
Entry Premium
32.5%
35.0%
5.9x
5.6x
6.7x
6.3x
7.4x
7.0x
8.2x
7.7x
8.9x
8.4x

2014 IRR
Entry
32.5%
42.8%
46.2%
49.3%
52.2%
54.8%

Premium
35.0%
41.2%
44.6%
47.6%
50.5%
53.1%

2011E
3.0x
3.0x
3.1x
3.1x
1.8x
0.6x

2012E
2.3x
2.3x
2.3x
2.3x
1.2x
0.5x

2013E
1.6x
1.6x
1.6x
1.6x
0.7x
0.4x

2014E
1.0x
1.0x
1.0x
1.0x
0.4x
0.3x

3.2x
3.1x
3.1x

4.0x
3.9x
3.9x

5.2x
5.1x
5.1x

7.2x
7.1x
7.1x

2014E

Multiple Step
Premium Step

0.5
0.025

8.2738666
3%
208.8258
5.00%
$1,728
$130
50.32418
$79.88
130.20383
38.7%
61.3%
100.0%
47.927791
$82.28
130.20383
36.8%
63.2%
100.0%
37.7%
62.3%

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