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INPUTS

Number of Periods of Data Collected =

OUTPUTS
Period

12

MSE =
MAD =
OUTPUTS
Period
Forecast

Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Forecast =
85414.10 MAPE =
268.108 LAD =

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
482.470 468.79837 455.12704 441.45571 427.78438 414.11305 400.44172 386.7704

Value
756
723
143
823
745
157
834
752
158
836
765
164

Forecast
646.52564
632.85431
619.18298
605.51166
591.84033
578.169
564.49767
550.82634
537.15501
523.48368
509.81235
496.14103

Absolute
Error
109.47436
90.145688
-476.183
217.48834
153.15967
-421.169
269.50233
201.17366
-379.155
312.51632
255.18765
-332.141

Error
Error
109.47436
90.145688
476.18298
217.48834
153.15967
421.169
269.50233
201.17366
379.15501
312.51632
255.18765
332.14103

Absolute
Squared
11984.635
8126.245
226750.23
47301.18
23457.886
177383.32
72631.506
40470.841
143758.52
97666.448
65120.735
110317.66

% Error
0.1448074
0.1246828
3.3299509
0.2642629
0.2055835
2.6826051
0.3231443
0.2675182
2.3997153
0.3738233
0.3335786
2.0252502

103.958
476.183
21
22
23
24
373.09907 359.42774 345.75641 332.08508

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9989842516
R Square
0.9979695349
Adjusted R Square
0.9972081105
Standard Error
16.33796703
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2
X Variable 3
Periode
13
14
15

SS
MS
F
Significance F
3 1049561.23333 349853.74444 1310.6613594 4.179551E-011
8 2135.43333333 266.92916667
11 1051696.66667

Coefficients Standard Error


t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
118.16666667 13.3398942191 8.858141206 0.000020824 87.4048154596
4.9777777778 1.4061483159 3.5400090597 0.0076197572 1.7351939492
666.70555556 11.8900628963 56.07250032 1.13565E-011 639.287021371
595.72777778 11.637948119 51.188385761 2.35007E-011 568.890621312
Unadjusted
Adjusted
182.87777778 849.583333333
187.85555556 783.583333333
192.83333333 192.833333333

850
784
193

Upper 95%
148.92851787
8.2203616064
694.12408974
622.56493424

Lower 95.0%
87.40481546
1.7351939492
639.28702137
568.89062131

Upper 95.0%
148.92851787
8.2203616064
694.12408974
622.56493424

INPUTS
Number of Periods of Data Collected =
Number of Seasons =

Value
756
723
143
823
745
157
834
752
158
836
765
164
850
784
193

Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Seasonal Factors
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0

12
3

3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0

900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15

10

Column A

9 10 11 12 13 14 15

11

Year

Period

Fall
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spring
Summer

Enrollment
yt
t
756
723
143
823
745
157
834
752
158
836
765
164

Additive model based on linear regression to account seasonaly


900
800
700
600
500
Column C

400
300
200
100
0
1

10 11 12

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