Professional Documents
Culture Documents
OUTPUTS
Period
12
MSE =
MAD =
OUTPUTS
Period
Forecast
Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Forecast =
85414.10 MAPE =
268.108 LAD =
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
482.470 468.79837 455.12704 441.45571 427.78438 414.11305 400.44172 386.7704
Value
756
723
143
823
745
157
834
752
158
836
765
164
Forecast
646.52564
632.85431
619.18298
605.51166
591.84033
578.169
564.49767
550.82634
537.15501
523.48368
509.81235
496.14103
Absolute
Error
109.47436
90.145688
-476.183
217.48834
153.15967
-421.169
269.50233
201.17366
-379.155
312.51632
255.18765
-332.141
Error
Error
109.47436
90.145688
476.18298
217.48834
153.15967
421.169
269.50233
201.17366
379.15501
312.51632
255.18765
332.14103
Absolute
Squared
11984.635
8126.245
226750.23
47301.18
23457.886
177383.32
72631.506
40470.841
143758.52
97666.448
65120.735
110317.66
% Error
0.1448074
0.1246828
3.3299509
0.2642629
0.2055835
2.6826051
0.3231443
0.2675182
2.3997153
0.3738233
0.3335786
2.0252502
103.958
476.183
21
22
23
24
373.09907 359.42774 345.75641 332.08508
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9989842516
R Square
0.9979695349
Adjusted R Square
0.9972081105
Standard Error
16.33796703
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2
X Variable 3
Periode
13
14
15
SS
MS
F
Significance F
3 1049561.23333 349853.74444 1310.6613594 4.179551E-011
8 2135.43333333 266.92916667
11 1051696.66667
850
784
193
Upper 95%
148.92851787
8.2203616064
694.12408974
622.56493424
Lower 95.0%
87.40481546
1.7351939492
639.28702137
568.89062131
Upper 95.0%
148.92851787
8.2203616064
694.12408974
622.56493424
INPUTS
Number of Periods of Data Collected =
Number of Seasons =
Value
756
723
143
823
745
157
834
752
158
836
765
164
850
784
193
Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Seasonal Factors
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
12
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
10
Column A
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
11
Year
Period
Fall
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spring
Summer
Enrollment
yt
t
756
723
143
823
745
157
834
752
158
836
765
164
400
300
200
100
0
1
10 11 12