Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chng 6
Financial Modeling
2.160
1.944
EBIT
Li vay (INT) *
216
36
Li trc thu
Thu thu nhp (50) (TAX)
180
90
90
Li rng
Financial Model
90
80
170
0
64
234
40
140
54
234
3
Ti sn
Vn lun chuyn (NWC)***
Ti sn c nh (FA)
Tng ti sn
N v vn c phn
N vay (D)
Vn c phn (E)
Tng n v vn c phn
Financial Model
2004
2003
Thay i
200
800
1.000
160
740
900
+40
+60
+100
400
600
1.000
400
500
900
0
+100
+100
4
Financial Model
Financial Model
Financial Model
Financial Model
Financial Model
10
Financial Model
11
Financial Model
12
Financial Model
13
Financial Model
14
Financial Model
15
16
Financial Model
17
Financial Model
18
Financial Model
19
Financial Model
20
Financial Model
21
Financial Model
22
Financial Model
23
+ Khu hao
Financial Model
24
Financial Model
25
FCF1
FCF2
FCF5
V5
V0
...
1
2
5
(1 WACC ) (1 WACC )
(1 WACC ) (1 WACC ) 5
Trong cng thc ny V5 l gi tr ca doanh nghip vo cui
nm th 5 v c gi tr xp x bng hin gi ca tt c cc
dng tin FCF t nm th 6 tr i
Financial Model
26
FCFt 5
FCF5 (1 g %)t FCF5 (1 g %)
V5
t
t
t 1 (1 WACC )
t 1 (1 WACC )
t 1 WACC g %
Financial Model
27
FCF5
V5
FCF1
FCF2
V0
...
0,5
1, 5
4,5
(1 WACC )
(1 WACC )
(1 WACC )
(1 WACC ) 4,5
Phn tch nhy:
Chng ta c th phn tch nhy cho thy gi tr vn c
phn nhy cm nh th no i vi:
T l tng trng doanh s.
Chi ph s dng vn bnh qun.
C hai nhn t trn.
Financial Model
28