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The Impact of Brazilian Biofuel Production On Amanzonia
The Impact of Brazilian Biofuel Production On Amanzonia
Amazonia
Robert Walker
Department of Geography, Michigan State University
Global energy demand will increase through the twenty-first century. Competition for energy resources has
already revealed geopolitical fault lines, and the dependence of industrial economies on fossil fuel promises to
keep nations on edge. A widespread consensus has emerged that societies must transition to a new energy basis,
given that fossil fuel is nonrenewable and its combustion leads to global warming. Although alternatives like
nuclear energy and hydropower provide important electrical supplies locally, the search goes on, and recently
much attention has focused on biofuel. Although biofuel represents a renewable and green energy, there is also
a downside. This article considers one potential problem, namely, the impact of growing international biofuel
demand on Amazonia. The article focuses on Brazil, given the explosive growth of Brazilian agriculture, and
notable effects on forests within its national borders. The article seeks to answer this question: How will global
demand for Brazils land-based commodities, including biofuel, impact its tropical forest in the Amazon basin? In
attempting to answer this question, the article describes recent agricultural expansion in Brazil and its emergent
landscape of renewable energy. Using an adaptation of rent theory, it frames a concept of landscape cascade and
shows how Brazils expanding landscape of renewable energy is impacting forest areas at a great distance. The
article then considers recent projections of demand for Amazonian land out to 2020, given growth of Brazilian
biofuel production and cattle herds. The projections indicate that more Amazonian land will be demanded than
has been made available by Brazilian environmental policy. With this result in mind, the article discusses the
discursive dismemberment of Amazonia and how this articulates with efforts by Brazilian politicians to increase
the regions land supply. The article points out that agricultural intensification holds the key to meeting global
demand without degrading the Amazonian forest, a landscape unique in the world for its ecological and cultural
riches. Key Words: Amazonia, biofuel, Brazil, deforestation.
La demanda global de energa se incrementara durante el siglo XXI. La competencia por los recursos energeticos
ya revela lneas de falla geopolticas, y la dependencia de las economas industriales de combustibles fosiles
promete mantener algunas naciones en vilo. Ha emergido un consenso generalizado de que las sociedades deben
hacer la transicion hacia nuevas bases de energa, en consideracion a que el combustible fosil no es renovable
y a que su combustion lleva al calentamiento global. Aunque alternativas como la energa nuclear y la energa
hidraulica proveen localmente una importante oferta de electricidad, la busqueda sigue adelante y recientemente
mucha de la atencion se ha concentrado en los biocombustibles. Aunque el biocombustible representa una
energa renovable y verde, tambien tiene su lado malo. Este artculo considera un problema potencial, es decir,
C 2011 by Association of American Geographers
Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 101(4) 2011, pp. 929938
Initial submission, February 2010; revised submission, September 2010; final acceptance, December 2010
Published by Taylor & Francis, LLC.
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Walker
el impacto de la creciente demanda internacional de biocombustibles sobre la Amazonia. Este artculo esta
enfocado en Brasil, dado el explosivo crecimiento de su agricultura y los notables efectos que eso tiene sobre las
selvas ubicadas dentro de sus fronteras. El artculo busca la respuesta a esta pregunta: Como sera el impacto de la
demanda global por los productos brasilenos
basados en tierra, incluyendo los biocombustibles, sobre sus bosques
tropicales en la cuenca amazonica? Intentando resolver esta cuestion, el artculo describe la reciente expansion
agrcola del Brasil y su emergente paisaje de energa renovable. Haciendo uso de una adaptacion de la teora de
la renta, esta enmarca un concepto de cascada de paisajes y muestra como el paisaje de de la energa renovable
en expansion esta impactando las a reas de bosque a grandes distancias. El artculo considera luego recientes
proyecciones de la demanda de tierra amazonica hasta el 2020, dado el crecimiento de la produccion brasilena
en biocombustibles y la expansion del hato ganadero. Las proyecciones indican que se demandara mas tierra
amazonica de la que pueda ponerse a disposicion mediante la poltica ambiental brasilena.
El artculo destaca el
hecho de que la intensificacion en la agricultura es la clave para satisfacer la demanda global, sin que se degrade
la selva amazonica, un paisaje u nico en el mundo por su riqueza ecologica y cultural. Palabras clave: Amazonia,
biocombustibles, Brasil, deforestacion.
nergy demand will increase through the twentyfirst century, particularly with economic growth
in countries like China and India. This has
sparked widespread concern, given societal dependence
on nonrenewable fossil fuels, the exploitation of which
enables industrialization but also makes the world
dangerous. Now, global warming from greenhouse gas
buildup joins violence in the Middle East as a grim
consequence of our reliance on an energy resource we
always knew would have to be replaced (Odum 1971).
Although nuclear energy and hydropower provide
important electrical supplies locally, the search goes on
for a viable alternative, and much attention presently
focuses on biofuel. Biofuel appears to provide a green
panacea to the energy problem. It also raises its own
issues (Zimmerer 2011), and this article considers one
of them: the likely effects of growing biofuel demand
on Amazonia.
Recently, Brazilian agriculture has boomed, and new
demands for land have sparked speculative frenzies
in real estate markets on the margins of Amazonia
(Almeida 2009). The articles goal is to consider
how expanding Brazilian agriculture, driven partly
by biofuel markets, will impact this ecologically rich
region. It poses a question: To what extent does Brazils
expanding landscape of renewable energy production
impose an ecological compensation, by reducing in
equal measure the ancient forests of Amazonia? As the
watershed containing the river that bears its name,
Amazonia, covers more than 7 million km2 and includes parts of Ecuador, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Peru,
and Venezuela. Although certain of these countries
contribute Amazonian landscapes to global markets
for agricultural commodities, this article focuses on
the Brazilian portion alone, given its disproportionate
magnitude and the dynamism of Brazilian agriculture.
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Walker
smallholders unable to exploit emerging market opportunities, this creates a biofuel carbon debt if Amazonian forest biomass is cleared and carbon released to
the atmosphere as a consequence of expanding biofuel
production (Ragauskas et al. 2006; Fargione et al. 2008;
Lapola et al. 2010). Resulting greenhouse gas benefits
might then be offset to the future, and with environmental costs (Fargione et al. 2008; Gibbs et al. 2008).
An important question follows: How much carbon is at
stake? Or, in landscape terms, how much forest?
Landscape Cascades
This article addresses the latter question while recognizing that carbon from vegetative biomass is related
to forest extent, both above and below ground. Geography provides a convenient heuristic to address the forest
extent question, the theory of rent, which posits that
agriculture and ranching occur when rents are positive
and that rents are determined by transportation costs
and market conditions. Thus, agricultural landscapes
organize spatially, with implications for the forested
landscapes with which they form frontiers. The rational
decision making of unitary agents implied by rent theory
is highly conditioned by social processes, institutions,
and history. For the Amazonian case, a great deal of
research has called attention to the political economy
of land use, as well as the impacts of place, household
structure, and social movements on land managers (e.g.,
Moran 1981; Hecht 1985; McCracken et al. 1999; Simmons et al. 2007; Pacheco 2009). That said, rent theory
enables the generalized description of landscape patterns at regional scale and is therefore useful to the
purposes of the article (cf. Cronon 1991). Recently,
it has been embedded in political economy to explain
the advance of ranching into Amazonia, and how this
is linked to soy production (Walker, Browder, et al.
2009).
Rents and Landscape Displacement
The rent theory adaptation focuses on ranching and
mechanized agriculture, with ranching the extensive
land use, and mechanized agriculture, the intensive one.
Ranching forms a frontier with primary forest, beyond
which rents vanish, although mineral extraction and
predatory logging often occur. Behind ranching relative to the economic strongholds of Brazil to the south
comes mechanized farming (Jepson, Brannstrom, and
Filippi 2010). Deforestation takes place as land use, typically for pastures, encroaches on forest, although direct
Elastic
Qb
pb
Perfectly inelastic
d te
=
d pm
933
1
fb
d te
1
=
d pm
fb
fm
p m= price of mechanized crop; p b= price of beef; te = extensive margin, or
forest frontier; f m = unit transportation cost of mechanized crop; f b = unit
transportation cost of beef; q b = productivity, ranching; Qb = demand for
beef; = price elasticity of beef demand.
Expanding land
use (km2 )
Lapola et al.
(2010)a
Walker, DeFries,
et al. (2009)b
Soy + Sugarcane
Pasture
Total
86,117
371,294
457,411
121,332
314,400
435,732
a Lapola
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Walker
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the PAs and forest reserves. A more insidious one involves transforming Amazonias ontological status in
the interest liberating land for agriculture (Almeida
2009). To this end, agribusiness and friendly politicians have launched a discursive campaign to impose a
strong definition of Amazonia, equating it to the closed
moist forest of the region, the Amazonian Biome (AB).
AB was created by IBGE and the Ministry of the Environment with the production and distribution of maps
showing Amazonia defined on ecological grounds that
disregard the hydrologic basin concept, which has long
prevailed (Figure 2; IBGE 2006). This new Amazonia
has energized politicians from Mato Grosso, Tocantins,
and Maranhao, who argue that because their states possess little AB, their citizens should not be held accountable to the restrictions of the forest code as it applies to
AML. Those remaining inside AML boundaries, however defined, might soon benefit from a Brazilian congressional commission, which developed legislation in
2010 weakening the code with respect to the definition
of forest reserve (E. Arima, Assistant Professor, Hobart
and William Smith Colleges, electronic communication, August 2010).
Complementing discursive erasure are efforts to
weaken the PA system, to facilitate land transactions
by redefining property rights, and to sanction the occupation of terras devolutas, public lands in juridical
limbo that have not been declared for specific uses or
for alienation into private holdings (Brito and Barreto
2009). As for PAs, a movement is afoot in the Brazilian
senate to allow indigenous peoples leeway in exploiting their mineral resources; this could function as a
Trojan horse for follow-on agriculture (Almeida 2009).
Indigenous reserves cover about 20 percent of AML
and could greatly augment Brazilian land supply. Outside indigenous areas, Amazonian lands have recently
been marketized by the transformation of aforamento
leases into transactable titles and by the legal recognition of hundreds of thousands of private holdings on
terras devolutas, ranging up to 1,500 ha in size (State
of Para 2009; Brito and Barreto 2009). This later maneuver provides incentives to occupy remaining terras
devolutas, which might otherwise be declared for environmental protection, or turned over to indigenous
claimants.
The world must end its dependency on nonrenewable energy, and biofuel presents a viable alternative.
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Walker
Acknowledgments
I would like to acknowledge support from the National Science Foundation (NSF-BCS-0620384, Globalization, Deforestation, and the Livestock Sector in the
Brazilian Amazon; NSF-BCS-0822597, Territorializing
Exploitation Space and the Fragmentation of the Amazon Forest). I would like to thank Peter Richards for his
many insightful comments on an earlier draft. I would
also like to thank Bruce Pigozzi for refreshing my memory about concepts from transportation geography that
lie behind the details of Table 1. Karl Zimmerer and
anonymous reviewers considerably improved the article. Ritaumaria Pereira provided excellent help with
the graphics. The views expressed are mine alone and
do not necessarily reflect those of the National Science
Foundation.
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Correspondence: Department of Geography, Michigan State University, 314 Natural Science Bldg., East Lansing, MI 48824, e-mail:
rwalker@msu.edu.
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