Pstat 172A, Winter 2009: Homework 3.

1. Do problems 3.27, 3.29, 3.30, 3.36, and 3.40 from the textbook.
2. (Spring 2000, #12, SOA) For a certain mortality table, you are given:
(a) (80.5) = 0.0202, (81.5) = 0.0408, (82.5) = 0.0619
(b) Deaths are uniformly distributed between integral ages.
Calculate the probability that a person age 80.5 will die within two years.
3. (Spring 2001, #27, SOA) An actuary is modeling the mortality of a group of 1000 people,
each age 95, for the next three years. The actuary starts by calculating the expected
number of survivors at each integral age by
l95+k = 1000 k p95 ,

k = 1, 2, 3

The actuary subsequently calculates the expected number of survivors at the middle of
each year using the assumption that deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of
age. This is the result of the actuarys model
Age
95 95.5 96 96.5 97 97.5 98
Survivors 1000 800 600 480 288
The actuary decides to change his assumption for mortality at fractional ages to the
constant force assumption. He retains his original assumption for each k p95 . Calculate
the revised expected number of survivors at age 97.5.
4. (Sample Question #120) For a 4-year college, you are given the following probabilities
for dropout from all causes:
q0 = 0.15,

q1 = 0.10,

q2 = 0.05,

q3 = 0.01

Dropouts are uniformly distributed over each year. Compute the temporary 1.5-year
complete expected college lifetime of a student entering the second year,
e1:1.5 .
5. (Sample Question #145) Given:
(a) Superscripts M and N identify two forces of mortality and the curtate expectations
of life calculated
from them.
(
N
25 (t) + 0.1(1 t), 0 t 1
(b) N
25 (t) =
M
t>1
25 (t),
M
(c) e25 = 10.0
Calculate eN
25 .
6. (Sample Question #168) For a life table with a one-year select period, you are given:
x l[x] d[x] lx+1
e[x]
(a)
80 1000 90
8.5
81 920 90
(b) Deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age.
Calculate
e[81] .