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1999
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2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
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2008
2009
2010
2011
jumlah penduduk
34555622
35723473
36795565
37291946
37980422
39140812
39960896
40737594
41483729
42194869
42693951
43053732
43415384
rasio
x
3.38
3.00
1.35
1.85
3.06
2.10
1.94
1.83
1.71
1.18
0.84
0.84
Kuartal
1
Jumlah
periode
1
2
3
4
jumlah
faktor
penyesuaian
1.027
1.027
1.027
1.027
indeks
musiman
1.302
0.961
0.778
0.959
4.000
Periode (i)
Rasio Pertumbuhan
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
78
3.38
3.00
1.35
1.85
3.06
2.10
1.94
1.83
1.71
1.18
0.84
0.84
b=
a=
Xt = 2,92050 - 0,15675 t
-0.1567548431
2.9205001173
MA
2.39
2.31
2.09
2.24
2.23
1.90
1.67
1.39
1.14
Centered MA
2.35
2.20
2.16
2.23
2.06
1.78
1.53
1.27
Se
0.57
0.84
1.41
0.94
0.94
1.03
1.12
0.93
indeks
musiman
1.30
0.96
0.78
0.96
1.30
0.96
0.78
0.96
1.30
0.96
0.78
0.96
Data deseasonalizing
(TCe)
2.60
3.12
1.73
1.93
2.35
2.18
2.50
1.91
1.32
1.23
1.08
0.88
22.82
t(TCe)
t^2
2.60
6.25
5.20
7.70
11.73
13.08
17.49
15.28
11.85
12.31
11.91
10.51
125.91
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
650
Nilai Trend
2.76
2.61
2.45
2.29
2.14
1.98
1.82
1.67
1.51
1.35
1.20
1.04
Cyclic
error
0.94
1.20
0.71
0.84
1.10
1.10
1.37
1.15
0.87
0.91
0.91
0.84
indeks
siklis
0.95
0.95
0.91
0.88
1.01
1.19
1.21
1.13
0.98
0.90
0.89
0.89