CEE 110 Probability and Statistics for Engineers

Problem Set 5
Due Thursday of Week 7, 10 a.m.
Read sections 8-1, 8-2, and 8-4, and complete:
8-4, 8-12, 8-14, 8-17, 8-25, 8-40, 8-61, 8-65

Practice problems (please review):

8-5 a) Sample mean from the first confidence interval = 38.02 + (61.9838.02)/2 = 50
Sample mean from the second confidence interval = 39.95 + (60.0539.95)/2 = 50
b) The 95% CI is (38.02, 61.98) and the 90% CI is (39.95, 60.05). The
higher the confidence
level, the wider the CI.
8-11 95% Two-sided CI on the true mean yield: where x = 90.480, = 3 ,
n=5 and z0.025 = 1.96
x z 0.025 /

n x z 0.025 /

5 90.480 1.96(3) /

90.480 1.96(3) /

87.85 93.11

8-13 a) 99% Two-sided CI on the true mean piston ring diameter

For = 0.01, z/2 = z0.005 = 2.58 , and x = 74.036, = 0.001, n=15

x z0.005

x z0.005

0.001
0.001
74.036 2.58
74.036 2.58

15
15

74.0353 74.0367
b) 99% One-sided CI on the true mean piston ring diameter
For = 0.01, z = z0.01 =2.33 and x = 74.036, = 0.001, n=15

n
0.001

15

x z 0.01

74.036 2.33

74.0354
The lower bound of the one-sided confidence interval is greater than
the lower bound of the two-sided interval even though the level of
significance is the same. This is because for a one-sided confidence
interval the probability in the left tail ( is greater than the probability
in the left tail of the two-sided confidence interval (.

8-15 a) 95% two sided CI on the mean compressive strength

z/2 = z0.025 = 1.96, and x = 3250, 2 = 1000, n=12

x z0.025

x z0.025

31.62
31.62
3250 1.96
3250 1.96

12
12
3232.11 3267.89
b) 99% Two-sided CI on the true mean compressive strength
z/2 = z0.005 = 2.58


x z0.005
x z0.005

n
n

31.62
31.62
3250 2.58
3250 2.58

12
12
3226.4 3273.6
The 99% CI is wider than the 95% CI
8-18 99% confidence that the error of estimating the true compressive
strength is less than 15 psi
For = 0.01, z/2 = z0.005 = 2.58 , and =31.62 , E=15
2

z
2.58(31.62)
n a/2

15

E
Therefore, n = 30
8-24

t 0.025,15 2.131

29.6 30

t 0.05,10 1.812

t 0.10, 20 1.325

t 0.005, 25 2.787

t 0.001,30 3.385

8-39 a) The data appear to be normally distributed based on examination of

the normal probability plot below.

b) 95% two-sided confidence interval on mean comprehensive strength

n 12 x 2259.9 s 35.6 t 0.025,11 2.201

x t 0.025,11

x t 0.025,11

35.6
35.6
2259.9 2.201
2259.9 2.201

12
12
2237.3 2282.5
c) 95% lower-confidence bound on mean strength

x t 0.05,11

35.6
2259.9 1.796

12
2241.4

8-62 a) 95% Confidence Interval on the death rate from lung cancer.
823
p
0.823
n 1000 z / 2 1.96
1000
p (1 p )
p (1 p )
p z / 2
p p z / 2
n
n

0.823 1.96

0.823(0.177)
0.823(0.177)
p 0.823 1.96
1000
1000
0.7993 p 0.8467

b) E = 0.03, = 0.05, z/2 = z0.025 = 1.96 and

estimate of p,

z
n /2
E

= 0.823 as the initial

1.96
p (1 p )
0.823(1 0.823) 621.79
0.03
,

n 622.
c) E = 0.03, = 0.05, z/2 = z0.025 = 1.96 at least 95% confident
2

z
1.96
n / 2 (0.25)
(0.25) 1067.11
0.03
E
,
n 1068.
8-66 E = 0.017, = 0.01, z/2 = z0.005 = 2.58
2

z
2.58
n / 2 p(1 p )
0.5(1 0.5) 5758.13
E
0.017
, n 5759